8=======>

2022-08-16 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0442
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.7%
in alpha space · 93.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.069291-0.68%0.061091-12.43%0.0093✓0.61182k2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.02443-0.71%0.020113-18.25%0.0400✓0.8113k2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.351487-1.06%0.25784-27.42%0.1098✓1.0514k2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.051309-1.42%0.04198-19.35%0.0661✓0.7016k2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006646-1.79%0.005941-12.21%0.0231✗0.713,2222022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9323,418.41-1.84%19,703.67-17.41%0.0186✓1.00482.6M2022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1342-1.89%0.80867-30.05%0.1600✓0.9312k2022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,374.15-2.04%19,833.10-16.88%0.0213✗0.977,5932022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008108-2.08%0.00541-34.66%0.2830✓0.641.6M2022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.255648-2.13%0.1245-52.34%0.7170✓0.0159k2022-09-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1612-2.22%–pending––1.1313k2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.067207-2.32%0.0557-19.04%0.0352✓0.80119k2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.270.263492-2.41%0.2141-20.70%0.0422✓0.86550k2022-09-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.1215-2.46%4.8786-7.09%0.0226✓0.14225k2022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.206072-2.47%0.1557-26.31%0.0080✓1.421,3972022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.119873-2.54%0.0978-20.49%0.0587✓0.764,2082022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.024684-2.78%0.02027-20.17%0.0332✓0.86271k2022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.551292-2.89%0.4691-17.37%0.0509✗1.11388k2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.04321-2.90%0.0367-17.53%0.0112✓0.9111k2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.045435-2.94%0.03582-23.48%0.0860✓0.792,5822022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase1.02260.990666-3.13%0.788148-22.93%0.0871✓0.7477k2022-09-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.182254-3.21%0.15985-15.11%0.2961✗2.236712022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.431932-3.24%0.3559-20.27%0.0463✗1.25255k2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.053025-3.24%0.039421-28.07%0.2025✓0.4936k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.030335-3.27%0.02264-27.81%0.0449✓1.293,2032022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero169.61164.0209-3.30%145.86-14.00%0.0667✗0.961.2M2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.0067-3.41%0.006336-8.66%0.0312✓0.4655k2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.65e-7-3.46%8.30e-7-17.00%0.0050✓0.7621k2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1975.9804-3.50%4.909-20.78%0.0572✗1.3312.6M2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.050139-3.52%0.040879-21.34%0.0334✓0.8943k2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.89324.7209-3.52%4.1854-14.46%0.0178✓0.72912k2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.087893-3.64%0.06499-28.75%0.0828✓1.1529k2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.0754.0237-3.65%44.46-20.71%0.0003✓1.02645k2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.439039-3.70%0.3228-29.19%0.0962✓1.10190k2022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.199338-3.70%0.1448-30.05%0.1167✓1.061,7402022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.5744-3.71%2.0023+22.46%0.4833✗1.27598k2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.8293-3.76%1.79-39.12%0.3577✓0.5296k2022-09-15
DASHDashDash52.4650.4814-3.77%43.87-16.37%0.0451✗0.97595k2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.77936-3.78%0.7-13.58%0.0310✓0.40105k2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.4998-3.83%11.3056-25.02%0.0658✓0.9658k2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.253454-3.85%0.1907-27.66%0.0932✓1.00111k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.102779-3.85%0.0912-14.69%0.0744✗1.0110k2022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.13811-3.89%0.1738+20.95%0.4296✗1.0443k2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.041-3.96%5.59-11.13%0.0059✓0.371.4M2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.484585-3.99%0.3922-22.29%0.0059✓1.1460k2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.7215-4.00%4.47-25.00%0.0473✓1.041.5M2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.4737-4.04%2.988-17.46%0.0189✓0.69976k2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.565803-4.05%0.4585-22.25%0.0537✓0.82784k2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.1766-4.12%1.7321-23.70%0.0270✓1.0538k2022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.0168-4.13%3.752-10.45%0.0002✓0.361.6M2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.116736-4.14%0.102273-16.02%0.0360✓0.887.8M2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.16062-4.16%0.1202-28.28%0.1066✓0.962.3M2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12122.9905-4.19%3.7372+19.74%0.3227✗0.521.3M2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.3787-4.21%24.08-21.49%0.0221✓0.929.2M2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.408-4.22%1.41-4.08%0.0014✓-0.01124k2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.162347-4.25%0.12968-23.52%0.0140✓1.25250k2022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.288984-4.28%0.2059-31.80%0.1334✓1.07178k2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001685-4.30%0.001455-17.38%0.0051✓0.749,4152022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16858.5008-4.36%51.746-15.40%0.0101✓0.69365k2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3467.9819-4.36%5.884-29.50%0.0586✓1.2910.1M2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3612-4.48%1.126-20.98%0.0017✓1.002.5M2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.1969-4.52%0.977095-22.05%0.0371✓0.8756k2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011018-4.52%0.00833-27.82%0.1363✓0.755.8M2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.66828-4.53%0.485-30.71%0.0895✓1.21135k2022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3358.5442-4.54%56.34-8.14%0.1563✗1.0213.5M2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.323725-4.56%0.2622-22.70%0.0260✓0.973.6M2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.47620.454356-4.59%0.3436-27.85%0.0688✓1.10808k2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.065-4.59%7.563-10.53%0.1417✗1.0820.0M2022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000092613-4.62%0.00025952+167.27%1.2124✗0.95336k2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.051404-4.63%0.0441-18.18%0.0354✓0.99220k2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.5505-4.66%5.7604+54.69%0.5766✗0.481.9M2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.17134-4.71%0.1496-16.80%0.0693✗1.07616k2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.779449-4.71%0.591-27.75%0.0995✓0.93357k2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.1447-4.74%1.9299-41.54%0.2505✓1.2413k2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.676276-4.75%0.421-40.70%0.2467✓1.192,7912022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2241-4.76%1.0528-18.09%0.1199✗1.416.4M2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.040555-4.80%0.0355-16.67%0.0523✗0.9776k2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.0786-4.82%0.06518-21.07%0.0402✓0.778802022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.61150.581995-4.82%0.5477-10.43%0.1187✗0.942.1M2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.23e-7-4.88%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0436✓0.785.4M2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004528-4.88%0.00375-21.22%0.0061✓1.02158k2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.077119-4.91%0.0665-18.00%0.0095✓0.82134k2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.529733-4.91%0.466-16.35%0.0677✗1.0243.6M2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.00192-4.97%0.0022+8.91%0.3276✗1.00901k2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.176809-4.99%0.1336-28.21%0.0874✓1.01140k2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.7938-5.02%1.5204-19.50%0.0466✓1.11488k2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000044980.00004271-5.05%0.00004321-3.94%0.1785✗0.872.0M2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.797408-5.07%0.603-28.21%0.1019✓0.93280k2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.0947-5.07%1.94-40.49%0.2333✓1.22269k2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.387738-5.10%0.3001-26.55%0.0824✓0.91446k2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.8264-5.11%6.06-1.30%0.1171✗0.411.1M2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6604-5.12%1.27-27.43%0.0763✓1.00190k2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.636824-5.23%0.489-27.23%0.0410✓1.17115k2022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.399.8448-5.25%9.109-12.33%0.1092✗0.982.0M2022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02990.975663-5.27%0.71924-30.16%0.1240✓0.95623k2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.8014-5.27%2.9863-25.58%0.0552✓0.9750k2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.299139-5.34%0.259-18.04%0.0015✓0.751.0M2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.325-5.38%6.1741+75.70%0.6816✗0.331.7M2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.004010.003794-5.40%0.00326-18.70%0.0457✓1.03554k2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8837.7115-5.44%35.67-10.56%0.2071✗1.3716.5M2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.4057-5.45%8.14-8.44%0.0293✓0.321.8M2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.446124-5.47%0.36772-22.08%0.0472✓0.7670k2022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.914082-5.47%0.92-4.86%0.0986✗0.484.4M2022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.5994-5.55%1.962-28.71%0.0604✓1.1564k2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015078-5.56%0.012048-24.54%0.1060✓0.622.1M2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02210.965219-5.57%0.7977-21.95%0.0367✓1.192.3M2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.249649-5.61%0.2063-22.00%0.0008✓1.0091k2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.6719-5.62%4.21-14.95%0.0212✓0.431.2M2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.447931-5.68%0.3195-32.72%0.0793✓1.35211k2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.230126-5.69%0.15592-36.10%0.1706✓1.14696k2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.145801-5.69%0.1206-21.99%0.0721✓0.624.4M2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.2246-5.74%2.24-5.08%0.1823✗0.92520k2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.332306-5.76%0.295-16.34%0.0577✓0.928.3M2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.6014-5.78%6.64-34.84%0.1606✓1.09592k2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,767.75-5.80%1,472.68-21.52%0.0696✗1.32534.1M2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3276-5.84%1.1128-21.08%0.0641✗1.261.2M2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3219.1301-5.86%16.28-19.88%0.0320✓0.682.2M2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.32-5.87%6.934-21.55%0.0131✓1.0214.8M2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.5766-5.87%1.206-28.00%0.0202✓1.30520k2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.118982-5.94%0.1042-17.63%0.0327✓0.86317k2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.512413-5.98%0.453-16.88%0.0643✗0.9811k2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.073689-6.01%0.0585-25.38%0.0079✓1.171.4M2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.106956-6.01%0.0903-20.65%0.0214✓1.00456k2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.0924-6.05%14.21-5.27%0.2296✗1.162.6M2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.194-6.06%0.8579-32.50%0.0942✓1.241.1M2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34128.0203-6.10%117.54-13.79%0.1249✗1.105.1M2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.423808-6.11%0.3538-21.62%0.0140✓0.871922022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0611.9342-6.15%1.509-26.78%0.0590✓0.99181k2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.373617-6.24%0.2861-28.21%0.0572✓1.10101k2022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.0767-6.28%0.9834-14.41%0.0291✓0.633.9M2022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana43.0940.3777-6.29%33.07-23.25%0.0257✓1.1881.1M2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.06013-6.34%0.0408-36.45%0.1898✓1.04877k2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79102.8249-6.34%78.51-28.49%0.0233✓1.536.4M2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.7817-6.35%3.815-5.52%0.0553✓0.242.1M2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.1215-6.37%2.546-23.64%0.0438✓0.84696k2022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.280892-6.40%0.3312+10.36%0.3404✗0.9281k2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.48-6.45%1.72-35.12%0.0350✓1.73144k2022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.401462-6.47%0.31479-26.66%0.0552✓0.9896k2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3611.5599-6.47%9.29-24.84%0.0047✓1.12313k2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative2.6852.5107-6.49%1.753-34.71%0.1150✓1.28873k2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.0851-6.52%5.19-4.60%0.0904✗0.372.0M2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash75.9570.928-6.61%58.33-23.20%0.0147✓1.102.1M2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39610.6332-6.69%14.912+30.85%0.5561✗1.1413.2M2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.01635-6.73%0.01216-30.63%0.1440✓0.79153k2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.894172-6.76%0.883-7.92%0.2203✗1.221.3M2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.026002-6.77%0.01964-29.58%0.0988✓0.9514.3M2022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.238268-6.78%0.1903-25.55%0.0310✓1.34131k2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.8792-6.79%1.313-34.87%0.1330✓1.18157k2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum116.11108.1888-6.82%103.96-10.46%0.1170✗0.823.6M2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.079917-6.83%0.06724-21.61%0.1282✓0.231.1M2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum38.936.2398-6.84%25.7-33.93%0.0353✓1.98408k2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.900692-6.86%0.8518-11.91%0.2420✗1.56244k2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.337185-6.86%0.28088-22.42%0.0164✓1.04962k2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.809803-6.92%0.593-31.84%0.0400✓1.424.6M2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.023847-6.99%0.025135-1.96%0.0884✗0.19232k2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.06827-6.99%0.0505-31.20%0.0797✓1.16331k2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.080915-7.04%0.058603-32.67%0.1292✓1.011.8M2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4267.8284-7.09%5.726-32.04%0.1549✓0.839.5M2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1218.6918-7.10%14.5-27.93%0.0374✓1.13121k2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,228.49-7.10%8,520.47-22.61%0.0703✓1.326.5M2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.4179-7.12%2.583-29.81%0.0183✓1.565.3M2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0956.7353-7.13%56.91-6.84%0.2379✗1.2323k2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.2165-7.16%6.13-21.14%0.0240✓0.985.4M2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.7862-7.16%1.388-27.86%0.0373✓1.12170k2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.007927-7.18%0.00782-8.43%0.1938✗1.08463k2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1125.1419-7.26%18.2-32.87%0.0667✓1.3430.5M2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.064469-7.37%0.0471-32.33%0.1167✓1.03253k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9516.6101-7.46%12.71-29.19%0.0385✓1.201.7M2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.120236-7.58%0.1085-16.60%0.1046✗1.083.9M2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.4408-7.61%11.656+97.93%0.8143✗0.271.2M2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6137.4525-7.78%15.76-61.19%0.6578✓1.091.8M2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.637616-7.93%0.48387-30.13%0.0297✓1.2951k2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000014553-7.95%0.00001167-26.19%0.0406✓0.94827k2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.325062-8.02%0.40594+14.86%0.3897✗0.88402k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.2138-8.10%1.578-34.50%0.1593✓0.94680k2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.046706-8.65%0.03257-36.30%0.1755✓0.9721k2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001449-8.65%0.00116-26.91%0.0688✓0.811.6M2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.191543-8.66%0.1909-8.97%0.1603✗0.861.2M2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.081784-9.09%0.05919-34.20%0.1053✓1.142.4M2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.003726-9.14%0.002756-32.80%0.1515✓0.781.0M2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.4584-9.30%5.586-7.18%0.0425✓0.103.4M2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.0720.971147-9.41%0.6666-37.82%0.1050✓1.42469k2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.091922-10.23%0.1102+7.62%0.3406✗0.83220k2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.3025-10.42%1.131-22.21%0.2253✗1.923.7M2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.4717-10.43%4.046+4.39%0.3152✗0.85124k2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.3042-11.31%1.2148-17.39%0.1125✓0.961.0M2022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.4837-12.06%4.4233-13.25%0.1777✗1.00111k2022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-76.27e-7-15.68%5.79e-7-22.16%0.0437✓0.65164k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.