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2022-08-15 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0080
187 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.7%
in alpha space · 71.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FORTFortaEthereum0.29750.312682+5.10%0.2099-29.45%0.2092✗1.08178k2022-09-14
TRXTRONTron0.0689650.0723+4.84%0.061645-10.61%0.0539✗0.60182k2022-09-14
PROPropyEthereum0.820.854701+4.23%0.72-12.20%0.1011✗0.40105k2022-09-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0450.046826+4.06%0.0391-13.11%0.0116✓0.9611k2022-09-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17560.182505+3.93%0.13632-22.37%0.0691✗1.27246k2022-09-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.5238+3.66%1.41-4.08%0.0772✗0.00124k2022-09-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10070.104147+3.42%0.0914-9.24%0.0511✓1.049,7202022-09-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08350.086313+3.37%0.0607-27.31%0.1924✗0.91134k2022-09-14
STXStacksnative0.48590.500888+3.08%0.3522-27.52%0.1545✗1.13808k2022-09-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06920.071264+2.98%0.0582-15.90%0.0559✗0.84119k2022-09-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07070.072798+2.97%0.0553-21.78%0.0603✗1.23339k2022-09-14
NANOnanopayBase1.01711.0469+2.93%0.870716-14.40%0.0508✗0.7677k2022-09-14
GTGateEthereum4.98225.1253+2.87%4.3085-13.52%0.0470✗0.72912k2022-09-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188750.193797+2.67%–pending––2.236672022-09-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026860.027531+2.50%0.02042-23.98%0.1486✗0.86244k2022-09-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.52610.7634+2.26%9.368-11.00%0.0304✓0.972.0M2022-09-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.963.0259+2.23%1.81-38.85%0.4222✗0.52100k2022-09-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38465.4987+2.12%4.8787-9.40%0.0966✗0.13233k2022-09-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067630.006902+2.06%0.005976-11.64%0.0193✓0.713,2222022-09-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.080243+1.83%0.0601-23.73%0.0883✗1.151.4M2022-09-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,840.3024,243.64+1.69%20,259.00-15.02%0.0098✓0.977,5932022-09-14
XEMNEMnative0.0530670.053949+1.66%0.042714-19.51%0.0709✗0.9343k2022-09-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14191.1608+1.66%1.0173-10.91%0.0148✓0.673.9M2022-09-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9470.96154+1.54%0.928-2.01%0.0541✓0.514.4M2022-09-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.130957+1.52%0.0953-26.12%0.1813✗0.783,9702022-09-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.265193+1.49%0.1305-50.06%0.7068✗0.0155k2022-09-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.411140.416913+1.40%0.32281-21.48%0.0885✗0.96457k2022-09-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008210.008323+1.38%0.00561-31.67%0.2819✗0.641.6M2022-09-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.012.0319+1.09%1.536-23.58%0.1048✗1.00181k2022-09-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2260.227582+0.70%0.16348-27.66%0.1225✗1.19657k2022-09-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017420.017524+0.60%0.01237-28.99%0.2231✗0.72153k2022-09-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.442860.445338+0.56%0.32611-26.36%0.1356✗1.0196k2022-09-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58040.583514+0.54%0.4883-15.87%0.0177✓1.12376k2022-09-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.6960.9306+0.40%60.2-0.81%0.1698✓1.0413.7M2022-09-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017890.001796+0.37%0.00153-14.48%0.0282✗0.759,2532022-09-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.03931.043+0.35%0.8234-20.77%0.0234✗1.222.3M2022-09-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21140.212007+0.29%0.1637-22.56%0.0093✗1.421,3972022-09-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,097.8224,149.67+0.22%20,227.77-16.06%0.0021✓1.00482.6M2022-09-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031120.03115+0.10%0.02324-25.32%0.0661✗1.303,2032022-09-14
XMRMoneroMonero163.5163.5844+0.05%149.8-8.38%0.0850✓0.991.2M2022-09-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053790.053763-0.05%0.0431-19.87%0.0938✓0.7316k2022-09-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.518706-0.06%0.431-16.96%0.0090✓1.0112k2022-09-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.46691.4647-0.15%1.2286-16.25%0.0034✓0.981.0M2022-09-14
QNTQuantEthereum113.47113.2862-0.16%99.05-12.71%0.0172✗0.873.6M2022-09-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3240.323461-0.17%0.268-17.28%0.0516✓0.781.1M2022-09-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1235280.123251-0.22%0.105209-14.83%0.0001✓0.907.5M2022-09-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.693.6808-0.25%3.109-15.75%0.0468✓0.701.1M2022-09-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.41861.2176-0.33%52.366-14.74%0.0292✓0.73365k2022-09-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45030.447963-0.52%0.3776-16.14%0.0557✗1.29255k2022-09-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.084130.083547-0.69%0.06674-20.67%0.0902✓0.778802022-09-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0251930.025004-0.75%0.020693-17.86%0.0417✓0.8413k2022-09-14
XTZTezosTezos1.82791.8133-0.80%1.6104-11.90%0.0789✗1.13488k2022-09-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.053957-0.82%0.0465-14.52%0.0239✗0.99228k2022-09-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067210.006662-0.88%0.006325-5.89%0.0266✗0.4555k2022-09-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0766960.075975-0.94%0.061125-20.30%0.0371✓1.031.8M2022-09-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4758.3938-0.96%6.182-27.06%0.0769✓1.3110.0M2022-09-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47150.466933-0.97%0.3366-28.61%0.1309✓1.12190k2022-09-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021050.002083-1.03%0.001556-26.08%0.1168✓1.00950k2022-09-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.36.2327-1.07%4.67-25.87%0.1038✓1.061.4M2022-09-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9913.9482-1.07%4.013+0.55%0.0544✗0.222.1M2022-09-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.145778-1.10%0.2045+38.74%0.5288✗1.0946k2022-09-14
SGBSongbirdnative0.03010.029751-1.16%0.0262-12.96%0.0158✓0.6437k2022-09-14
AAVEAaveEthereum107.14105.8106-1.24%83.92-21.67%0.0398✗1.556.7M2022-09-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52360.517088-1.24%0.4062-22.42%0.0427✓1.1360k2022-09-14
XECeCashnative0.000046010.000045436-1.25%0.00004616+0.33%0.1728✗0.902.0M2022-09-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0558660.055146-1.29%0.040455-27.59%0.2218✓0.5036k2022-09-14
ZECZcashZcash73.8472.8603-1.33%61.96-16.09%0.0367✗1.142.1M2022-09-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27260.268945-1.34%0.2119-22.27%0.0639✓1.0091k2022-09-14
MOVRMoonriverBase15.855915.6336-1.40%12.0571-23.96%0.0875✓0.9858k2022-09-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.361340.356263-1.41%0.26901-25.55%0.0903✓1.0913k2022-09-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.40090.395258-1.41%0.285-28.91%0.1345✓1.1095k2022-09-14
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004811-1.41%0.00389-20.29%0.0283✓1.05158k2022-09-14
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.76e-7-1.45%8.80e-7-11.11%0.0327✗0.785.4M2022-09-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.28530.281158-1.45%0.3096+8.52%0.2574✗0.9275k2022-09-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4189-1.46%1.1889-17.44%0.0475✗1.281.2M2022-09-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26780.263744-1.51%0.1889-29.46%0.1587✓1.00110k2022-09-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084170.082887-1.52%0.06876-18.31%0.1446✓0.241.1M2022-09-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.3053.2546-1.53%2.614-20.91%0.0698✓0.85658k2022-09-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.84e-7-1.55%8.80e-7-12.00%0.0224✗0.7721k2022-09-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.4552.4148-1.64%1.664-32.22%0.2032✓0.97641k2022-09-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25730.253088-1.64%0.1975-23.24%0.0153✓1.33131k2022-09-14
STEEMSteemnative0.27520.270566-1.68%0.2195-20.24%0.0480✓0.92551k2022-09-14
ZENHorizenBase20.1119.7701-1.69%15.1-24.91%0.0642✓1.17121k2022-09-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.0670.065865-1.69%0.0487-27.31%0.1144✓1.07237k2022-09-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0160060.015729-1.73%0.012183-23.88%0.1437✓0.642.1M2022-09-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.854805-1.75%0.628-27.82%0.0539✓1.454.4M2022-09-14
ADACardanoCardano0.55010.540371-1.77%0.481-12.56%0.0689✗1.0643.6M2022-09-14
DIADIAEthereum0.474740.466309-1.78%0.38003-19.95%0.1231✓0.4770k2022-09-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.34134.8203-1.83%119.99-12.63%0.0788✗1.125.1M2022-09-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.720.706658-1.85%0.513-28.75%0.0963✓1.28135k2022-09-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1314.0522-1.91%3.938-4.67%0.0233✗0.301.7M2022-09-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.88434.7908-1.91%4.4848-8.18%0.1091✗1.00100k2022-09-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.27551.2507-1.94%1.0171-20.26%0.0485✓0.9056k2022-09-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204130.020004-2.00%0.025957+27.16%0.2854✗0.14230k2022-09-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.0423.961-2.00%3.0963-23.40%0.0721✓0.9953k2022-09-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1192.0759-2.03%1.387-34.54%0.2043✓1.14157k2022-09-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.6849-2.04%1.33-22.67%0.0557✓1.03190k2022-09-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.584272-2.05%0.4853-18.64%0.0522✓0.76784k2022-09-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015250.000014933-2.08%0.00001219-20.07%0.0345✓0.96744k2022-09-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11450.111986-2.20%0.1138-0.61%0.1658✗0.86220k2022-09-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.125.9824-2.25%6.2+1.31%0.0905✗0.311.0M2022-09-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67721.6389-2.28%1.9379+15.54%0.3821✗1.23540k2022-09-14
BANDBandEthereum1.7111.6716-2.30%1.257-26.53%0.0548✓1.32485k2022-09-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35780.349444-2.34%0.3032-15.26%0.0259✗0.968.3M2022-09-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.19940.194738-2.34%0.1399-29.84%0.1525✓1.02134k2022-09-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.715260.698534-2.34%0.51452-28.07%0.0756✓1.3151k2022-09-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6498.4426-2.39%7.458-13.77%0.0696✗1.1120.0M2022-09-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33411.302-2.40%1.0706-19.75%0.0550✗1.436.4M2022-09-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09663.0214-2.43%3.8335+23.80%0.3237✗0.491.3M2022-09-14
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00120.976729-2.44%0.8515-14.95%0.1395✗1.58276k2022-09-14
METISMetisEthereum40.939.8864-2.48%27.58-32.57%0.0245✓1.97408k2022-09-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12610.122939-2.51%0.1076-14.67%0.0267✗0.91328k2022-09-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047630.046427-2.53%0.03631-23.77%0.1035✓0.812,5642022-09-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04250.041412-2.56%0.0366-13.88%0.0516✗1.0076k2022-09-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4178.1983-2.60%5.955-29.25%0.1694✓0.869.1M2022-09-14
XVGVergenative0.004030.003925-2.61%0.00337-16.38%0.0333✗1.06528k2022-09-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096910.000094279-2.71%0.00030041+209.99%1.3394✗1.03336k2022-09-14
SOLSolanaSolana43.7242.5163-2.75%34.12-21.96%0.0088✓1.2181.1M2022-09-14
DASHDashDash53.1751.701-2.76%45.58-14.27%0.0455✗0.98574k2022-09-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7947.5763-2.79%6.311-19.03%0.0048✓1.025.5M2022-09-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34480.335168-2.79%0.2719-21.14%0.0324✓1.013.6M2022-09-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5819.9897-2.87%16.98-17.49%0.0420✓0.692.2M2022-09-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,899.391,844.08-2.91%1,639.14-13.70%0.1140✗1.32528.6M2022-09-14
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.163025-2.96%0.1249-25.65%0.0923✓0.992.4M2022-09-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17990.174536-2.98%0.1482-17.62%0.0278✓1.09616k2022-09-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.471.4262-2.98%1.167-20.61%0.0260✓1.002.6M2022-09-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.974.8193-3.03%4.38-11.87%0.0275✓0.391.2M2022-09-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010730.010395-3.12%0.0085-20.78%0.0545✓0.845.6M2022-09-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08860.085702-3.27%0.0709-19.98%0.0084✓1.1329k2022-09-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.028830.027884-3.28%0.0206-28.55%0.1294✓0.9914.3M2022-09-14
FTTFTXEthereum30.8529.8316-3.30%25.5-17.34%0.0069✓0.949.2M2022-09-14
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2156.0079-3.33%5.102-17.91%0.0719✗1.3412.8M2022-09-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.990.956943-3.34%0.917-7.37%0.1704✗1.221.3M2022-09-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42463.3093-3.37%6+75.20%0.6471✗0.301.6M2022-09-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.49920.482307-3.38%0.3394-32.01%0.1172✓1.34211k2022-09-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.6048-3.41%14.69-2.84%0.2168✗1.212.6M2022-09-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.1841.1433-3.44%0.81175-31.44%0.1735✓0.9712k2022-09-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13420.129524-3.48%0.1128-15.95%0.0568✗1.113.9M2022-09-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7180.692621-3.53%0.443-38.30%0.2303✓1.242,7912022-09-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3715380.358258-3.57%0.293868-20.90%0.0103✓1.07962k2022-09-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.095050.091616-3.61%0.06049-36.36%0.2046✓1.202.4M2022-09-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0235.8004-3.70%5.739-4.72%0.0042✓0.083.4M2022-09-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.7878.462-3.70%7.208-17.97%0.0257✓1.0614.4M2022-09-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05341.0133-3.81%0.74432-29.34%0.1345✓0.99623k2022-09-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.732.6224-3.94%2.029-25.68%0.0546✓1.1564k2022-09-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.929.5262-3.97%7.08-28.63%0.1028✓1.11638k2022-09-14
KSMKusamaHydration57.7155.4099-3.99%47.58-17.55%0.0267✓1.02590k2022-09-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.40810.9475-4.04%13.974+22.49%0.4485✗1.1713.2M2022-09-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00850.008156-4.04%0.00805-5.29%0.1821✗1.12463k2022-09-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.22050.211465-4.10%0.1487-32.56%0.1617✓1.091,7402022-09-14
FISStafiEthereum0.49360.473262-4.12%0.3209-34.99%0.2398✓0.851542022-09-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.4125-4.19%8.42-4.10%0.0163✓0.091.7M2022-09-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.21271.1598-4.37%–pending––1.1113k2022-09-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8931.8102-4.37%1.466-22.56%0.0111✓1.14194k2022-09-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.357640.341589-4.49%0.41296+15.47%0.3437✗0.88432k2022-09-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8963.7211-4.49%4.3+10.37%0.2951✗0.86124k2022-09-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.0916-4.52%5.87-7.99%0.0189✓0.321.4M2022-09-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.25-4.65%0.8986-31.46%0.1140✓1.231.2M2022-09-14
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0359.0882-4.74%60.09-3.13%0.2386✗1.2727k2022-09-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30163.1443-4.77%2.0244-38.68%0.2112✓1.3113k2022-09-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33382.22-4.88%1.8088-22.50%0.0176✓1.0738k2022-09-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6943.5124-4.92%2.719-26.39%0.0219✓1.595.3M2022-09-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.14916-4.93%0.1252-20.20%0.0582✓0.674.4M2022-09-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8190.777261-5.10%0.612-25.27%0.0764✓0.93370k2022-09-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.812885-5.15%0.632-26.25%0.0844✓0.96280k2022-09-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3325-5.18%2.35-4.47%0.1697✗0.93520k2022-09-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.11480.108777-5.25%0.095-17.25%0.0451✓1.03478k2022-09-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7252.5763-5.46%1.814-33.43%0.0448✓1.75144k2022-09-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.1817.1839-5.48%13.31-26.79%0.0484✓1.181.7M2022-09-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.185848-5.57%0.1924-2.24%0.1829✗0.851.1M2022-09-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048850.046107-5.62%0.03442-29.54%0.1156✓1.0121k2022-09-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.323.1327-5.64%2.04-38.55%0.2096✓1.25269k2022-09-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.4565.141-5.77%11.172+104.77%0.7969✗0.121.1M2022-09-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6810.641279-5.83%0.508-25.40%0.0230✓1.20115k2022-09-14
FLOWFlownative2.712.5497-5.91%1.868-31.07%0.0876✓1.28810k2022-09-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06590.061962-5.98%0.043-34.75%0.1771✓1.08877k2022-09-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0016370.001536-6.18%0.001225-25.17%0.0790✓0.841.5M2022-09-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,093.5610,405.88-6.20%9,194.00-17.12%0.1095✗1.336.5M2022-09-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.9411.1849-6.32%10-16.25%0.0869✗1.14305k2022-09-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum4037.4688-6.33%18.12-54.70%0.5342✓1.101.8M2022-09-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62393.39-6.46%5.5438+52.98%0.5663✗0.431.9M2022-09-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.9739.2167-6.56%39.37-6.19%0.2457✗1.3816.5M2022-09-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.076-6.69%5.33-2.02%0.0930✗0.251.6M2022-09-14
GMTGMTEthereum1.0530.977715-7.15%0.6751-35.89%0.1179✓1.44433k2022-09-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.925.8589-7.32%19.13-31.43%0.0612✓1.3730.5M2022-09-14
HIVEHivenative0.62510.577809-7.57%0.5551-11.20%0.1307✗0.982.1M2022-09-14
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.4444-7.94%1.216-22.50%0.1625✗1.913.7M2022-09-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0042380.003883-8.39%0.002872-32.23%0.1598✓0.811.0M2022-09-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.43e-76.62e-7-10.79%6.58e-7-11.40%0.1070✓0.65155k2022-09-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.