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2022-08-14 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0073
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-10.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.3%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025627+0.17%0.020191-21.07%0.0807✗0.8413k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.070451+0.14%0.060682-13.74%0.0359✗0.61192k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006713-0.01%0.005899-12.12%0.0052✗0.723,2222022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.259597-0.58%0.1365-47.72%0.6403✓0.0155k2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008198-0.63%0.00563-31.76%0.2555✓0.641.6M2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.365145-0.65%0.26692-27.37%0.1098✓1.0913k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.0766-0.99%4.9699-3.07%0.0039✓0.13233k2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.208618-1.22%0.165-21.88%0.0314✗1.421,3132022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,909.18-1.24%20,237.10-16.41%0.0140✗0.977,5932022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.054686-1.25%0.04273-22.84%0.1106✓0.7316k2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7123,995.73-1.32%20,174.78-17.03%0.0133✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1899-1.32%0.82473-31.60%0.1857✓0.9712k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0419-1.41%0.846269-19.92%0.0643✓0.7777k2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.097813-1.70%0.0848-14.77%0.0504✗1.039,7202022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.031685-1.87%0.02317-28.24%0.0713✓1.292,9912022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.266953-1.96%0.2161-20.64%0.0381✓0.93551k2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1831-1.98%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.90e-7-1.99%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0146✓0.7721k2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006585-2.01%0.006216-7.50%0.0260✗0.4555k2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.04623-2.06%0.0403-14.62%0.0432✗0.9711k2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025197-2.07%0.02007-22.00%0.0683✓0.85209k2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.055282-2.07%0.03987-29.37%0.2325✓0.5136k2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.685378-2.09%0.52-25.71%0.0349✓1.29137k2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.048384-2.10%0.03648-26.18%0.1306✓0.812,5822022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.791906-2.23%0.71-12.35%0.0319✓0.41105k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.127875-2.24%0.0968-25.99%0.1300✓0.793,9702022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.581399-2.24%0.4625-22.23%0.0191✓1.12365k2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010115-2.46%0.00851-17.94%0.0167✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9062-2.48%1.81-39.26%0.3757✓0.52102k2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.052429-2.56%0.042163-21.64%0.0435✓0.9343k2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.070229-2.60%0.0572-20.67%0.0494✓0.83119k2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04163.4418-2.74%145.44-13.45%0.0691✗0.991.2M2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.085724-2.92%0.0679-23.10%0.0220✓1.1329k2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.276791-3.02%0.1898-33.50%0.1906✓1.00108k2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.9818-3.10%2.0329-33.93%0.1333✓1.3413k2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.6967-3.12%11.9339-26.34%0.0894✓0.9959k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0853.3561-3.13%43.77-20.53%0.0148✓0.98574k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.5964-3.14%1.9586+18.84%0.4411✗1.27540k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.9278-3.14%6.12+0.00%0.0959✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.166-3.17%5.136-19.35%0.0704✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.589871-3.20%0.4865-20.17%0.0504✓0.76784k2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.468095-3.23%0.3308-31.61%0.1361✓1.13190k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05494.8914-3.24%4.1432-18.04%0.0297✓0.73882k2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8429.8319-3.27%25.89-16.05%0.0326✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2187-3.32%1.0027-20.45%0.0241✓0.9256k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.516565-3.34%0.4014-24.89%0.0405✓1.1359k2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019183-3.34%0.024692+24.42%0.2849✗0.17230k2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8756.8952-3.35%46.38-21.22%0.0105✓1.04524k2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2341-3.38%1.7866-22.73%0.0225✓1.0838k2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.185208-3.39%0.16738-12.69%0.3161✗2.236712022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4491-3.39%1.41-6.00%0.0259✓0.01132k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39160.2286-3.47%51.566-17.35%0.0192✓0.73354k2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.462166-3.57%0.4008-16.38%0.1048✗1.32242k2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.0047-3.59%4.082-1.73%0.0805✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.474004-3.60%0.3497-28.88%0.0929✓1.13808k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.0461-3.63%4.1321+30.73%0.3995✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001727-3.64%0.001531-14.56%0.0211✓0.769,0932022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.121001-3.70%0.104654-16.71%0.0241✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.897386-3.71%0.921-1.18%0.1239✗0.524.4M2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.078037-3.84%0.06468-20.30%0.0440✓0.778802022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6828-3.84%1.3-25.71%0.0635✓1.04190k2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.164372-3.88%0.1253-26.73%0.0832✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9408-3.89%2.03-33.66%0.1327✓1.27244k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.051982-3.92%0.0452-16.45%0.0453✗0.99237k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.3883-3.92%1.152-20.28%0.0030✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.141852-3.96%0.1963+32.90%0.5288✗1.0946k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.081982-4.00%0.0594-30.44%0.1558✓0.89130k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.00479-4.01%0.00381-23.65%0.0306✓1.06145k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.31384-4.02%0.263-19.57%0.0256✓0.811.1M2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.7492-4.03%1.5348-15.79%0.0807✗1.13467k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1760.621-4.04%59.1-6.44%0.1702✗1.0513.6M2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.215878-4.05%0.16284-27.63%0.0550✓1.22657k2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.7081-4.06%3.055-20.96%0.0624✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.170039-4.10%0.13476-23.99%0.0066✓1.28243k2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.332448-4.11%0.2679-22.73%0.0252✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.218911-4.15%0.1561-31.65%0.1342✓1.091,7402022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.387775-4.19%0.30966-23.49%0.0448✓0.96479k2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.176464-4.20%0.1444-21.61%0.0052✓1.10586k2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.803682-4.21%0.595-29.08%0.1265✓0.93370k2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.286917-4.23%0.2103-29.81%0.1082✓1.08189k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.040986-4.24%0.0361-15.65%0.0624✗1.0176k2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.16431-4.25%0.1392-18.88%0.0263✓1.03131k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044139-4.34%0.00004395-4.75%0.1643✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.014993-4.36%0.012152-22.49%0.0892✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.545067-4.39%0.4637-18.66%0.0362✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.274191-4.40%0.3444+20.08%0.4011✗0.9370k2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.4901-4.41%6.034-32.06%0.0961✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.3791-4.46%7.025-19.90%0.0306✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.175.8948-4.46%6.47+4.86%0.1562✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.593563-4.46%0.5504-11.41%0.1092✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.65e-7-4.50%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0302✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.470441-4.51%0.38116-22.63%0.1228✓0.4770k2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.1256-4.59%4.66-27.41%0.0760✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.5228-4.61%6.58+78.17%0.7095✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.666603-4.63%0.493-29.47%0.0769✓1.20115k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.1517-4.64%9.254-13.08%0.0898✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.256471-4.76%0.2085-22.58%0.0199✓1.0091k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.6407-4.77%2.022-27.08%0.0473✓1.1862k2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.3687-4.78%7.2349+104.50%0.8259✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.122248-4.79%0.1076-16.20%0.0424✓0.91328k2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.003836-4.81%0.00337-16.38%0.0716✗1.08517k2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002-4.84%0.001519-27.74%0.0885✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.08156-4.85%0.06913-19.35%0.1212✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19063.9872-4.85%3.0233-27.86%0.0899✓1.0053k2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.508055-4.86%0.434-18.73%0.0301✓1.0014k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.516-4.90%7.07-21.05%0.0128✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0208-4.91%0.73147-31.86%0.1470✓1.00574k2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000095215-4.92%0.00035806+257.56%1.5148✗1.02336k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.843359-4.92%0.61-31.23%0.1446✓0.96280k2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.076864-4.99%0.059-27.07%0.0506✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.155807-5.05%0.1243-24.25%0.1007✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.242534-5.07%0.199-22.11%0.0541✗1.35132k2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.6441-5.07%1.244-28.18%0.0311✓1.33460k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.345695-5.08%0.2966-18.56%0.0275✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.5141-5.08%8.75-2.45%0.0486✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.2703-5.10%2.618-24.03%0.0608✓0.87640k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7169.9346-5.12%58.92-20.07%0.0437✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.077499-5.14%0.059635-27.01%0.0700✓1.031.8M2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45132.101-5.27%117.6-15.67%0.0928✗1.125.1M2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.0618-5.30%1.0223-8.82%0.0895✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0381-5.30%0.8066-26.42%0.0250✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4015-5.30%1.1703-20.93%0.0617✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5739.3615-5.31%35.29-15.11%0.1491✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3147-5.37%1.0525-24.24%0.0444✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.016674-5.37%0.01252-28.94%0.1541✓0.71155k2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.7883-5.37%4.5-11.07%0.0123✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.42061-5.43%0.32139-27.74%0.0802✓1.01109k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.6978-5.48%6.97-32.07%0.1223✓1.11638k2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.711715-5.48%0.449-40.37%0.2303✓1.232,7912022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.1609-5.50%9.73-17.61%0.0758✗1.14305k2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,829.13-5.51%1,574.71-18.66%0.0976✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.110138-5.54%0.0924-20.75%0.0192✓1.04499k2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9257-5.56%1.553-23.84%0.0288✓1.00189k2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.717-5.60%14.53+0.00%0.2871✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8942.3008-5.77%33.01-26.46%0.0217✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.489578-5.83%0.3105-40.28%0.2075✓1.33213k2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2419.9918-5.88%16.8-20.90%0.0442✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1023.8607-5.88%4.142+0.98%0.1149✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.0981-5.94%5.72+5.54%0.1654✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1418.9437-5.94%14.84-26.32%0.0232✓1.18124k2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.947568-6.00%0.913-9.42%0.1899✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44100.985-6.01%82.97-22.78%0.0953✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.062973-6.01%0.0441-34.18%0.1523✓1.09877k2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.351394-6.07%0.289387-22.65%0.0073✓1.08916k2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.8204-6.11%1.455-24.96%0.0097✓1.15203k2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.819997-6.18%0.622-28.83%0.0030✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.6342-6.19%1.785-36.43%0.0625✓1.75144k2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.3917-6.21%2.32-9.02%0.1434✗0.93636k2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.071733-6.23%0.0496-35.16%0.1412✓1.22350k2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.2574-6.24%0.8796-34.41%0.1270✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.02743-6.25%0.02043-30.18%0.1077✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.385934-6.28%0.298-27.63%0.0522✓1.10100k2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008104-6.32%0.00796-7.98%0.1915✗1.12463k2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.937082-6.47%0.8463-15.53%0.1939✗1.58296k2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.065745-6.48%0.0479-31.86%0.1166✓1.07225k2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58810.8372-6.48%13.897+19.93%0.4669✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2357.6965-6.54%5.871-28.71%0.1097✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0458.9171-6.54%55.83-11.44%0.1845✗1.2835k2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61110.6686-6.70%97.87-17.49%0.0393✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.6414-6.73%1.864-34.18%0.1105✓1.27754k2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.0359-6.91%1.41-35.53%0.1540✓1.14169k2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.222-6.91%1.68-29.62%0.0979✓0.97607k2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.456429-6.95%0.35-28.64%0.1062✓0.851382022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.4447-6.95%6.4-20.01%0.0397✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2640.2362-6.99%27.9-35.51%0.0017✓1.95385k2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,438.37-7.02%9,017.07-19.68%0.1023✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.2554-7.03%13.18-28.99%0.0473✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.167852-7.32%0.1934+6.79%0.3016✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1926.1239-7.33%18.87-33.06%0.0681✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.129079-7.34%0.1082-22.33%0.0318✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.5367-7.44%2.719-28.84%0.0339✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.34824-7.52%0.42001+11.54%0.3515✗0.88439k2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.656464-7.56%0.50798-28.47%0.0075✓1.3349k2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2736.2822-7.61%15.2-61.29%0.6627✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001321-7.70%0.001236-13.64%0.0938✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.044955-7.86%0.03367-30.99%0.0988✓1.0220k2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.003858-7.93%0.002827-32.53%0.1609✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.902961-7.96%0.6606-32.66%0.0402✓1.46407k2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-73.91e-7-8.12%6.96e-7+63.55%0.7042✗0.68150k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.4425-8.25%12.092+103.84%0.8380✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000015459-8.42%0.00001209-28.38%0.0664✓0.96679k2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.084437-9.02%0.05951-35.88%0.1227✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3545.7777-9.07%6.134-3.46%0.0791✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.56-9.74%4.212+6.80%0.3296✗0.86124k2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.441.2952-10.06%1.182-17.92%0.2665✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.2899-11.58%1.2429-14.80%0.1496✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.111108-12.86%0.1104-13.41%0.1581✗0.88220k2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.