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2022-08-12 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0818
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.4%
in alpha space · 85.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.071128+0.91%0.06419-8.93%0.0349✗0.61182k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.00695+0.82%0.006537-5.17%0.0197✓0.723,4592022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025632+0.65%0.021887-14.05%0.0644✗0.8413k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.8218+0.51%5.0627+5.53%0.0634✓0.13307k2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.262331+0.36%0.127-51.42%0.7239✗0.0144k2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.053933-0.05%0.04664-13.57%0.0615✓0.7516k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8024,085.57-0.28%21,663.60-10.31%0.0021✓0.9711k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.369633-0.36%0.29146-21.43%0.1155✓1.0913k2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008347-0.39%0.00661-21.12%0.1610✓0.651.6M2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.221055-0.60%0.183-17.72%0.0296✓1.421,3132022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.049205-0.66%0.0396-20.05%0.1249✓0.822,5822022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.2233-0.69%0.8518-30.85%0.2536✓0.9714k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1824,229.45-0.76%21,831.72-10.58%0.0076✓1.00472.7M2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.055688-1.28%0.042322-24.98%0.2166✓0.5233k2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.00674-1.34%0.006309-7.66%0.0103✓0.5053k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.273754-1.42%0.235-15.38%0.0520✓0.90629k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001015-1.43%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0232✓0.7721k2022-09-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.2089-1.66%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001677-1.72%0.001636-4.10%0.0644✗0.809,0932022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.596506-1.79%0.512-15.71%0.0266✓1.13332k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.0868-1.94%0.927788-16.28%0.0704✓0.7963k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.049209-1.97%0.0372-25.90%0.1712✓0.9711k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53662.267-2.00%54.454-14.29%0.0534✓0.72344k2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.101907-2.01%0.0941-9.52%0.0338✗1.019,1182022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.032927-2.09%0.0255-24.17%0.1108✓1.292,7512022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.830.812209-2.14%0.72-13.25%0.0704✓0.4591k2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.026065-2.16%0.0213-20.05%0.1118✓0.81186k2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010164-2.17%0.00944-9.14%0.0082✓0.735.5M2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero166.92163.1417-2.26%159.22-4.61%0.0900✗1.021.1M2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.054417-2.30%0.046785-16.00%0.0386✓1.0144k2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.070657-2.30%0.063703-11.92%0.0119✓1.031.7M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.723813-2.32%0.595-19.70%0.0473✓1.33135k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.29533-2.34%0.2106-30.36%0.2263✓1.00108k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.070909-2.46%0.0611-15.96%0.0586✓0.81128k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum31.2230.4349-2.51%27.89-10.67%0.0163✓0.9310.8M2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01682.9403-2.54%4.6789+55.09%0.5251✗0.541.3M2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.255-2.55%1.0863-15.65%0.0397✓0.9456k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.923-2.57%1.9-36.67%0.3723✓0.5296k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum5.0444.9117-2.62%4.3301-14.15%0.0459✓0.72911k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.135335-2.64%0.1027-26.12%0.1786✓0.874,5542022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.089166-2.66%0.07546-17.62%0.0421✓1.1229k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.3309-2.80%1.9241-19.77%0.0706✓1.0838k2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.11e-7-2.82%7.30e-7+128.03%0.9287✗0.68150k2022-09-11
DASHDashDash56.1654.5611-2.85%48.35-13.91%0.0099✓0.99544k2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.6343-3.02%2.0077+19.14%0.3481✗1.27540k2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.461867-3.05%0.4255-10.68%0.0681✗1.34242k2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.169842-3.06%0.1518-13.36%0.0030✓1.03131k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.080733-3.09%0.07307-12.29%0.0136✓0.779772022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.019465-3.11%0.023973+19.33%0.2283✗0.18223k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124116.5897-3.12%12.8866-24.75%0.1374✓1.0359k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.54-3.15%1.42-10.69%0.0766✓0.04143k2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.122399-3.18%0.114387-9.51%0.0348✗0.927.2M2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.46081-3.19%0.3619-23.97%0.1120✓1.16174k2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.000012286-3.26%0.00001299+2.28%0.1656✗0.98744k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.622936-3.27%0.5157-19.92%0.0966✓0.83755k2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.191913-3.32%0.17414-12.28%0.1526✗2.238742022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.1091-3.34%6.57+3.96%0.1123✗0.351.2M2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.1271-3.35%2.3057-28.74%0.1565✓1.3313k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1459.0694-3.39%51.9-15.11%0.0104✓1.06551k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9560.7722-3.46%62.18-1.22%0.1404✗1.0513.7M2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.1106-3.49%2.782-13.68%0.0149✓0.86587k2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.1424-3.50%3.3066-22.97%0.1123✓1.0153k2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1514.0042-3.54%4.405+6.12%0.1334✗0.341.7M2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.50990.491696-3.57%0.3903-23.46%0.1006✓1.17808k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.1339-3.57%2.33-28.31%0.1549✓1.27269k2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.084117-3.60%0.07414-15.04%0.1003✓0.231.1M2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.831-3.63%1.46-23.16%0.1091✓1.05190k2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.520939-3.65%0.5101-5.66%0.1007✗1.0942.0M2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.316914-3.67%0.285-13.37%0.0111✓0.851.1M2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.7753-3.69%5.682-19.23%0.0220✓1.3811.9M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.147819-3.70%0.2611+70.10%0.6900✗1.0850k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0130.975432-3.71%1.024+1.09%0.1099✗0.554.2M2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003920.003771-3.79%0.00381-2.81%0.1345✗1.11534k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.004915-3.82%0.00419-18.00%0.0363✓1.10112k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4385-3.85%1.251-16.38%0.0191✓1.082.6M2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.535803-3.87%0.4445-20.25%0.0601✓1.1358k2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.07941-3.98%0.0662-19.95%0.0556✓1.131.4M2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.2262-4.02%9.755-8.44%0.0648✗1.002.0M2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.015626-4.02%0.013193-18.96%0.0904✓0.702.1M2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.283695-4.03%0.3308+11.91%0.2601✗0.9570k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.218.8367-4.05%6.491-29.52%0.1608✓1.3210.0M2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001039.88e-7-4.07%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0046✓0.785.9M2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.671133-4.12%0.543-22.43%0.0759✓1.22100k2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.63480.608553-4.13%0.5792-8.76%0.0629✗1.002.4M2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.267163-4.14%0.2303-17.37%0.0357✓1.0191k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.175354-4.17%0.14382-21.41%0.0508✓1.32236k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.347945-4.17%0.2923-19.50%0.0593✓1.033.6M2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.8445-4.18%1.6855-12.44%0.0374✓1.14467k2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.054508-4.20%0.0497-12.65%0.0228✓1.03254k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.408924-4.23%0.33139-22.39%0.0939✓1.04502k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000045815-4.23%0.00004562-4.64%0.0909✗0.852.0M2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.225953-4.26%0.17789-24.62%0.1018✓1.23657k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002098-4.26%0.001558-28.89%0.1855✓1.001.0M2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.173175-4.27%0.1333-26.31%0.1455✓1.042.7M2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.896958-4.38%0.686-26.87%0.1575✓0.99280k2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.135.8616-4.38%6.73+9.79%0.1774✗0.351.0M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0214-4.42%0.80376-24.78%0.1258✓1.02543k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.124602-4.45%0.1156-11.35%0.0215✓0.86350k2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.1633-4.46%7.6094+129.83%0.9168✗0.351.5M2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.166715-4.46%0.1378-21.03%0.1122✓0.704.4M2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.840718-4.46%0.649-26.25%0.1537✓0.94377k2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3338.9123-4.51%8.03-13.96%0.0222✓1.1319.3M2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.173.9813-4.53%3.278-21.39%0.1118✓0.741.3M2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.042471-4.56%0.0393-11.69%0.0390✓1.0476k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.07051-4.59%0.0508-31.26%0.1917✓1.22367k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.348767-4.60%0.3264-10.72%0.0432✓0.988.4M2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.186841-4.67%0.1545-21.17%0.0673✓1.10570k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.2819-4.72%7.1468+107.50%0.8318✗0.481.9M2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1136.3428-4.72%130.35-8.91%0.0807✗1.125.1M2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.345-4.73%5.1-23.42%0.0968✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7155-4.75%1.369-23.99%0.0758✓1.34432k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.459535-4.75%0.40526-16.00%0.0693✓0.5070k2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.087532-4.75%0.0645-29.82%0.2122✓0.83127k2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.016958-4.78%0.01293-27.40%0.1920✓0.71159k2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000093367-4.81%0.00043138+339.78%1.6177✗0.78353k2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash77.3473.6016-4.83%64.27-16.90%0.0047✓1.172.2M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.431-4.84%8.98+1.35%0.0810✗0.161.8M2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.896202-4.86%0.974+3.40%0.2169✗1.201.1M2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.241319-4.88%0.2141-15.61%0.0339✓1.37116k2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,864.17-4.89%1,766.95-9.85%0.0939✗1.32522.8M2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.231481-4.90%0.168-30.98%0.1971✓1.101,7402022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.294214-4.91%0.2312-25.27%0.1198✓1.08203k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.1684-4.97%7.63-28.69%0.1638✓1.10638k2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.7526-4.97%0.515-34.97%0.2382✓1.262,9182022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.0113-4.98%7.702-18.79%0.0358✓1.0813.2M2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.7987-5.03%2.202-25.28%0.1051✓1.2059k2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.062673-5.04%0.052-21.21%0.0642✓1.09207k2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.6256-5.12%12.594+158.34%1.0290✗0.251.1M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.3498-5.15%1.183-16.87%0.0294✓1.446.7M2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.52459-5.15%0.3328-39.83%0.3071✓1.32232k2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.0873-5.18%0.8663-24.45%0.0878✓1.252.3M2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.442072-5.21%0.35169-24.59%0.1137✓1.03107k2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.0961-5.21%1.0275-11.15%0.0159✓0.723.9M2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.525099-5.22%0.513-7.40%0.0881✗1.0015k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4141.0788-5.37%38.56-11.17%0.0909✗1.3816.2M2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.4761-5.38%1.3029-16.48%0.0215✓1.311.2M2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.8059-5.40%4.64-8.66%0.0105✓0.411.3M2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana45.543.0426-5.40%35.01-23.05%0.0674✓1.2481.1M2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1519.9827-5.52%18.93-10.50%0.0257✓0.712.4M2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0315.1439-5.53%15.7-2.06%0.1712✗1.212.6M2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.366778-5.56%0.313787-19.20%0.0329✓1.10916k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1763.9409-5.63%4.354+4.26%0.1283✗0.262.3M2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum2.0751.9569-5.69%1.655-20.24%0.0567✓0.99261k2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.7936-5.75%1.99-32.86%0.1438✓1.75143k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.411.6869-5.75%11.23-9.44%0.0890✗1.15313k2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.2567-5.80%0.9748-26.93%0.1160✓1.231.1M2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.2036-5.87%1.648-29.60%0.1620✓1.15172k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79108.0361-5.88%91.63-20.18%0.0109✓1.577.9M2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.116341-5.95%0.0997-19.40%0.0336✓1.08529k2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.339-5.99%15.699+30.16%0.4616✗1.2214.4M2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.418211-6.00%0.2929-34.16%0.2305✓1.1295k2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.068875-6.04%0.0501-31.65%0.1932✓1.12877k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008381-6.04%0.00844-5.38%0.1331✗1.13463k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.1958-6.04%5.43-1.81%0.0787✗0.312.1M2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0341.9087-6.16%1.517-25.42%0.0982✓1.18220k2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase21.3520.0295-6.18%16.47-22.86%0.0625✓1.19118k2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.153855-6.19%0.2083+27.01%0.4029✗0.891.1M2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.030499-6.50%0.02332-28.51%0.1544✓1.0213.8M2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.1699-6.64%6.417-26.67%0.1425✓0.896.2M2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.881289-6.64%0.676-28.39%0.1011✓1.474.4M2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02480.956407-6.67%0.8885-13.30%0.1054✗1.60296k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4171-6.68%2.63+1.54%0.1887✗0.93636k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1260.7215-6.75%55.25-15.16%0.0490✓1.2838k2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.366021-6.81%0.45678+16.29%0.3221✗0.90439k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.2605-6.82%1.838-24.24%0.0975✓0.98588k2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.9452.7427-6.87%2.116-28.15%0.1169✓1.27711k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum128.24119.4225-6.88%108.82-15.14%0.0052✓0.884.0M2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.676543-6.88%0.55506-23.60%0.0460✓1.3659k2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5710,715.66-6.89%10,194.93-11.41%0.0993✗1.336.2M2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6617.3654-6.94%14.56-21.97%0.0392✓1.231.4M2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3947.8036-7.03%7.173-14.55%0.0346✓1.065.5M2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3527.1971-7.34%20.69-29.51%0.1168✓1.4030.7M2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.153.845-7.35%2.963-28.60%0.0797✓1.625.3M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001398-7.35%0.001367-9.40%0.0749✓0.871.4M2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.136309-7.40%0.1167-20.72%0.0276✓1.143.8M2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3836.3557-7.68%16.58-57.90%0.6533✓1.181.5M2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004168-7.85%0.002904-35.79%0.2645✓0.87994k2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.044594-7.92%0.03781-21.93%0.0505✓1.0219k2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.904419-7.99%0.7351-25.22%0.0423✓1.48440k2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum49.0745.0832-8.12%31.98-34.83%0.1283✓1.92385k2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5945.9904-9.15%6.139-6.90%0.0412✓0.153.5M2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.091164-9.26%0.06521-35.10%0.1928✓1.272.0M2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.6456-10.01%4.501+11.11%0.3069✗0.86102k2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.4766-10.56%1.402-15.08%0.1627✗1.923.6M2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.2723-10.77%1.3145-7.81%0.1453✗1.01907k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.111587-12.14%0.1254-1.26%0.2115✗0.85209k2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.