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2022-08-11 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1077
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.7%
in alpha space · 84.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.70784.7336+0.55%4.9455+5.05%0.0565✓0.13367k2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0703710.070605+0.33%0.064586-8.22%0.0289✗0.60186k2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066180.006634+0.25%0.0063-4.79%0.0201✓0.713,4592022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0249970.025023+0.10%0.021575-13.69%0.0622✗0.8512k2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.1024,014.74-0.57%21,732.50-10.02%0.0023✓0.9711k2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053440.053116-0.61%0.04614-13.66%0.0644✓0.7617k2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.367760.365351-0.66%0.29035-21.05%0.1170✓1.1213k2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,944.8623,783.95-0.67%21,651.52-9.58%0.0067✗1.00482.6M2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.258894-0.92%0.1307-49.98%0.6822✓0.0144k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008249-1.09%0.00593-28.90%0.2648✓0.651.6M2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.17061.1567-1.18%0.85018-27.37%0.2097✓0.9712k2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22260.219752-1.28%0.1861-16.40%0.0221✓1.431,3132022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047930.047315-1.28%0.03978-17.00%0.0895✓0.832,5642022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.26950.265727-1.40%0.2293-14.92%0.0542✓0.93629k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09880.097053-1.77%0.0995+0.71%0.1279✗1.029,1182022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59370.58313-1.78%0.5059-14.79%0.0287✓1.13332k2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017030.001672-1.81%0.001601-5.99%0.0375✗0.819,2532022-09-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22551.2028-1.86%–pending––1.0913k2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.00656-2.06%0.006228-7.02%0.0018✓0.5053k2022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031870.031201-2.10%0.02547-20.08%0.0732✓1.291,9722022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001029.98e-7-2.12%9.10e-7-10.78%0.0150✓0.7722k2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009842-2.17%0.00938-6.76%0.0256✗0.735.6M2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero160.49156.9619-2.20%157.51-1.86%0.1070✗1.031.1M2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase1.08621.0613-2.29%0.938309-13.62%0.0430✓0.8060k2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.5229.8175-2.30%27.69-9.27%0.0191✓0.9210.8M2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087080.085053-2.33%0.07598-12.75%0.0002✓1.1229k2022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04880.04765-2.36%0.0379-22.34%0.1314✓0.9711k2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0530860.05178-2.46%0.045736-13.85%0.0244✓0.9939k2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0571690.055735-2.51%0.042535-25.60%0.2182✓0.5230k2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0708820.069078-2.55%0.064731-8.68%0.0387✗1.031.7M2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.92860.2949-2.64%55.236-10.81%0.0148✓0.72330k2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07180.069857-2.71%0.0598-16.71%0.0746✓0.80137k2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.29290.284902-2.73%0.21-28.30%0.2044✓1.00138k2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.93724.7994-2.79%4.324-12.42%0.0327✓0.71911k2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027180.026408-2.84%0.02106-22.52%0.1442✓0.82169k2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1340.130172-2.86%0.1036-22.69%0.1426✓0.854,5542022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4580.4445-2.95%0.3665-19.98%0.0766✓1.16174k2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192550.018686-2.95%0.024191+25.63%0.2730✗0.15223k2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.93372.8468-2.96%4.573+55.88%0.5266✗0.521.3M2022-09-10
DASHDashDash55.6153.9331-3.02%48.77-12.30%0.0001✓1.00552k2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.740.717334-3.06%0.568-23.24%0.0993✓1.33137k2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66431.613-3.08%2.0477+23.04%0.3686✗1.29619k2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.25911.2194-3.16%1.0696-15.05%0.0364✓0.9452k2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012330.000011936-3.20%0.00001328+7.70%0.2044✗0.97827k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4713-3.20%1.43-5.92%0.0222✓0.06150k2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083320.080652-3.20%0.06911-17.05%0.0766✓0.779772022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.17010.164644-3.21%0.1491-12.35%0.0085✓1.07124k2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45910.44432-3.22%0.4204-8.43%0.0786✗1.33207k2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum3.0212.9228-3.25%2.807-7.08%0.0459✗0.86587k2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.13663.029-3.43%2.3273-25.80%0.1297✓1.3313k2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.932.8294-3.43%1.89-35.49%0.3513✓0.52102k2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.6006-3.44%6.46+11.38%0.1774✗0.341.2M2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.850.820743-3.44%0.73-14.12%0.0734✓0.4491k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9930.95841-3.48%1.028+3.52%0.1249✗0.544.2M2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39382.31-3.50%1.9389-19.01%0.0654✓1.0938k2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.21494.0651-3.55%3.3754-19.92%0.0834✓1.0253k2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22970.221525-3.56%0.2116-7.88%0.0924✗1.37110k2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1252830.120794-3.58%0.114707-8.44%0.0412✗0.927.2M2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.53060.511488-3.60%0.5124-3.43%0.1111✗1.0943.6M2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9296.6789-3.61%5.052-27.09%0.1409✓1.3712.8M2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.8959.6271-3.66%63.32+2.31%0.1656✗1.0513.7M2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.9158.6665-3.68%52.32-14.10%0.0076✓1.06551k2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.133.0142-3.70%2.34-25.24%0.1243✓1.28269k2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.14192-3.72%0.1738+17.91%0.3132✗1.1050k2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.14e-7-3.72%6.85e-7+109.73%0.8445✗0.66153k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19520.1879-3.74%0.17129-12.25%0.1330✗2.249582022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.087416.431-3.84%13.4676-21.18%0.0957✓1.0359k2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3210.308401-3.92%0.284-11.53%0.0017✓0.841.2M2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4561.3982-3.97%1.222-16.07%0.0245✓1.092.6M2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9648.6078-3.97%6.674-25.55%0.1222✓1.3110.0M2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.64870.622828-3.99%0.5249-19.08%0.0822✓0.88755k2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16460.157967-4.03%0.1391-15.49%0.0575✓0.694.4M2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.50320.482882-4.04%0.3846-23.57%0.1091✓1.18892k2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05490.052665-4.07%0.0479-12.75%0.0083✓1.02254k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0443.879-4.08%4.296+6.23%0.1372✗0.351.6M2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022120.002122-4.08%0.001548-30.02%0.2146✓1.001.1M2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.334988-4.10%0.2949-15.57%0.0226✓1.043.6M2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.51210.0811-4.10%9.776-7.00%0.0703✗1.002.0M2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.68e-7-4.14%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0373✓0.776.0M2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08190.078497-4.15%0.067-18.19%0.0450✓1.131.4M2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0913.9178-4.23%3.272-20.02%0.1046✓0.751.3M2022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.90221.8207-4.28%1.6664-12.40%0.0265✓1.14488k2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.178090.17043-4.30%0.14372-19.30%0.0384✓1.31236k2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000046440.00004444-4.31%0.00004456-4.05%0.0879✗0.851.9M2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.968.5692-4.36%7.906-11.76%0.0326✓1.1219.3M2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003930.003758-4.37%0.00322-18.07%0.0427✓1.11534k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55220.528053-4.37%0.4434-19.70%0.0603✓1.1458k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159490.01525-4.38%0.013066-18.08%0.0831✓0.712.1M2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17750.169698-4.40%0.1336-24.73%0.1343✓1.042.7M2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087460.083608-4.40%0.07197-17.71%0.1263✓0.231.1M2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9240.883206-4.41%0.686-25.76%0.1526✓0.99274k2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406160.388099-4.45%0.3323-18.18%0.0509✓1.04507k2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27050.258469-4.45%0.2208-18.37%0.0540✓1.0391k2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9110.87026-4.47%0.978+7.35%0.2371✗1.201.0M2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6910.659708-4.53%0.552-20.12%0.0541✓1.23100k2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.8233-4.54%1.49-21.99%0.0943✓1.07182k2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05271.0048-4.55%0.8137-22.70%0.1030✓1.07558k2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.63020.601267-4.59%0.5779-8.30%0.0636✗1.032.4M2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12630.120498-4.59%0.1145-9.34%0.0366✓0.87370k2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.217473-4.62%0.17959-21.23%0.0664✓1.24696k2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8640.824066-4.62%0.657-23.96%0.1319✓0.94377k2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35951.2957-4.69%1.2446-8.45%0.1054✗1.456.8M2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.915.6323-4.70%6.62+12.01%0.1974✗0.36894k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,881.041,792.49-4.71%1,774.69-5.65%0.1222✗1.31509.7M2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.20043.0481-4.76%7.4153+131.70%0.9239✗0.351.5M2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.004924-4.77%0.00413-20.12%0.0628✓1.12112k2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.041747-4.90%0.0394-10.25%0.0471✓1.0476k2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36130.343432-4.95%0.3223-10.79%0.0356✓0.988.4M2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39723.2287-4.96%6.9782+105.41%0.8188✗0.481.9M2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.478140.454389-4.97%0.40366-15.58%0.0680✓0.5070k2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6834.448-5.02%12.214+160.82%1.0334✗0.231.1M2022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.616.2775-5.03%5.11-22.69%0.0949✓1.101.5M2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.578.1388-5.03%9.02+5.25%0.1193✗0.161.8M2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana42.840.6378-5.05%35.07-18.06%0.0219✓1.2581.8M2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.98135.7517-5.06%132.64-7.23%0.0903✗1.135.1M2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19490.184977-5.09%0.1533-21.34%0.0754✓1.12570k2022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000097270.000092309-5.10%0.0004348+347.00%1.6585✗1.08369k2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2018.7316-5.10%7.777-15.48%0.0057✓1.0912.9M2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.06210.058926-5.11%0.0522-15.94%0.0105✓1.10197k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.6762-5.14%1.372-22.35%0.0658✓1.34416k2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7690.728997-5.20%0.516-32.90%0.2206✓1.242,7912022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.53890.510859-5.20%0.3401-36.89%0.2736✓1.32245k2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8492.6999-5.23%2.224-21.94%0.0727✓1.2059k2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12741.0684-5.24%0.8719-22.66%0.0777✓1.252.3M2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.39.7573-5.27%7.78-24.47%0.1126✓1.13592k2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash79.2675.0409-5.32%65.33-17.58%0.0180✓1.202.4M2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.614.7648-5.35%15.57-0.19%0.1735✗1.202.6M2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1271.0663-5.38%1.0341-8.24%0.0403✓0.704.1M2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3262.2006-5.39%1.615-30.57%0.1936✓1.15177k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.4557-5.47%1.3351-13.31%0.0432✓1.291.3M2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.5364-5.49%4.63-3.54%0.0611✗0.401.3M2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.290863-5.50%0.2299-25.31%0.1261✓1.08232k2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum107.55101.6118-5.52%92.74-13.77%0.0662✗1.578.2M2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1419.9719-5.53%17.96-15.04%0.0346✓0.712.4M2022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.086528-5.54%0.0658-28.17%0.1865✓0.87130k2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0343.8074-5.62%4.354+7.93%0.1605✗0.262.3M2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8752.7126-5.65%2.048-28.77%0.1048✓1.75143k2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative42.0639.6745-5.67%39.23-6.73%0.1272✗1.3815.1M2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017870.01685-5.71%0.01306-26.92%0.1842✓0.70167k2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.42850.403754-5.78%0.314-26.72%0.1399✓1.1190k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.74911.0692-5.79%15.995+36.14%0.4909✗1.2214.7M2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14970.141016-5.80%0.2016+34.67%0.4467✗0.891.1M2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0780.07338-5.92%0.0508-34.87%0.2424✓1.25350k2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3241.2455-5.93%0.9875-25.42%0.1075✓1.241.1M2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.46050.433032-5.96%0.35407-23.11%0.0963✓1.04118k2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.811.096-5.97%10.95-7.20%0.1019✗1.14313k2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.51803-5.98%0.516-6.35%0.0964✗1.0014k2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3761180.353568-6.00%0.312676-16.87%0.0099✓1.12916k2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.12150.114179-6.03%0.0989-18.60%0.0355✓1.07566k2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.0891.9611-6.12%1.661-20.49%0.0652✓1.00261k2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.284.9541-6.17%5.41+2.46%0.1199✗0.322.1M2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.25540.239397-6.27%0.1625-36.37%0.2746✓1.121,7402022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.30410.285011-6.28%0.2818-7.33%0.0869✗0.9867k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.00816-6.31%0.00786-9.76%0.0750✗1.12463k2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.1842.0453-6.35%1.789-18.09%0.0346✓0.99588k2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031610.029593-6.38%0.02305-27.08%0.1472✓1.0213.8M2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3477.7974-6.58%6.359-23.82%0.1156✓0.886.0M2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0051.8725-6.61%1.514-24.49%0.0939✓1.18234k2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase21.6320.1887-6.66%16.85-22.10%0.0599✓1.20124k2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4075-6.69%2.61+1.16%0.1756✗0.94636k2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum124.47116.0363-6.78%105.47-15.26%0.0068✓0.884.1M2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1867.6286-6.81%7.129-12.91%0.0366✓1.045.5M2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8890.827876-6.88%0.68-23.51%0.0488✓1.474.4M2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum63.1158.7579-6.90%53.06-15.92%0.0272✓1.2835k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07490.069686-6.96%0.051-31.91%0.1983✓1.13877k2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.931323-7.12%0.902-10.04%0.1286✗1.59296k2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.386890.359179-7.16%0.46503+20.20%0.3500✗0.91439k2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.5426.4917-7.18%20.45-28.35%0.1175✓1.4030.8M2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,294.4410,480.23-7.21%10,440.99-7.56%0.1304✗1.336.2M2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4517.109-7.27%14.72-20.22%0.0255✓1.241.4M2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.9712.7518-7.38%2.11-28.98%0.1366✓1.28686k2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0383.7362-7.48%3.024-25.11%0.0484✓1.625.3M2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14250.131808-7.50%0.1173-17.68%0.0034✓1.193.7M2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.1233.4048-7.52%17.47-51.63%0.5286✓1.191.4M2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum44.841.3545-7.69%32.55-27.34%0.0476✓1.91385k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001403-7.75%0.001381-9.22%0.0716✓0.871.4M2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.72420.667309-7.86%0.55641-23.17%0.0434✓1.3769k2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.889857-7.98%0.7491-22.53%0.0237✓1.47462k2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.098330.089165-9.32%0.06588-33.00%0.1743✓1.282.0M2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2565.6656-9.44%6.021-3.76%0.0779✓0.173.4M2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6113.266-9.55%4.569+26.53%0.4218✗0.8698k2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051950.046764-9.98%0.0382-26.47%0.0961✓1.0519k2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.5581.3912-10.70%1.387-10.98%0.1898✗1.923.4M2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0049510.004415-10.83%0.002911-41.20%0.3259✓0.90994k2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.48451.3016-12.32%1.325-10.74%0.1212✓1.03907k2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.112693-13.58%0.1274-2.30%0.2085✗0.85209k2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.