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2022-08-10 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2099
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.3%
in alpha space · 61.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.074134+5.44%0.063383-9.85%0.0871✗0.61192k2022-09-09
GTGateEthereum4.93775.1737+4.78%4.3137-12.64%0.0999✗0.71894k2022-09-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.104804+3.97%0.0939-6.85%0.0050✓1.008,4352022-09-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000012893+3.97%0.00001292+4.19%0.1151✓0.98864k2022-09-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.05113+3.29%0.0376-24.04%0.1953✗0.9810k2022-09-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1824,721.51+3.17%21,364.50-10.84%0.0312✓1.00472.7M2022-09-09
KCSKuCoinnative10.77911.0984+2.96%9.611-10.84%0.0274✓1.022.0M2022-09-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006823+2.84%0.006215-6.32%0.0098✓0.733,9632022-09-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.315394+2.47%0.2292-25.54%0.1949✗1.08274k2022-09-09
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0942+2.05%0.927032-13.54%0.0737✗0.8058k2022-09-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001793+2.03%0.001624-7.57%0.0057✓0.819,0932022-09-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.064771+2.00%0.052-18.11%0.0904✗1.13197k2022-09-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3024,395.56+1.99%21,371.80-10.65%0.0212✗0.9711k2022-09-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.128446+1.96%0.114404-9.19%0.0090✓0.937.2M2022-09-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.7832+1.77%4.9689+5.72%0.0525✓0.13367k2022-09-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6162.6176+1.64%61.15-0.75%0.0970✓1.0513.7M2022-09-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.072384+1.60%0.063921-10.28%0.0056✓1.041.6M2022-09-09
XMRMoneroMonero167.53169.9474+1.44%161.29-3.72%0.0660✓1.031.2M2022-09-09
XECeCashnative0.000046430.000047049+1.33%0.00004454-4.07%0.0451✓0.871.9M2022-09-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.182129+1.32%0.14129-21.40%0.1022✗1.32227k2022-09-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0794.1328+1.32%4.322+5.96%0.0760✓0.272.3M2022-09-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.13398+1.19%0.1034-21.90%0.1602✗0.864,7012022-09-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.053167+1.14%0.04619-12.14%0.0522✗0.7717k2022-09-09
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.052718+1.12%0.046222-11.34%0.0143✗1.0237k2022-09-09
SOLSolanaSolana42.542.9558+1.07%34.69-18.38%0.0700✗1.2581.8M2022-09-09
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.543341+1.07%0.5022-6.58%0.0469✓1.0942.6M2022-09-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.00000102+0.98%9.10e-7-9.90%0.0250✗0.786.0M2022-09-09
PROPropyEthereum0.770.777382+0.96%0.73-5.19%0.0099✗0.4686k2022-09-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.6356+0.95%1.8421+13.69%0.2688✓1.31619k2022-09-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.4575+0.94%1.234-14.54%0.0399✗1.102.6M2022-09-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.061261+0.92%0.0531-12.52%0.0005✓1.25339k2022-09-09
FTTFTXEthereum31.3731.6295+0.83%27.21-13.26%0.0441✗0.9310.0M2022-09-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.02044+0.82%0.02424+19.56%0.1897✓0.17215k2022-09-09
UMAUMAEthereum3.0983.123+0.81%2.75-11.23%0.0272✗0.87587k2022-09-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008435+0.77%0.00584-30.23%0.2920✗0.661.6M2022-09-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.617955+0.74%0.4993-18.60%0.0837✗1.13318k2022-09-09
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.08+0.74%0.80804-24.62%0.1633✗1.10558k2022-09-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.7539+0.73%4.674+70.96%0.6271✓0.8592k2022-09-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1696+0.70%1.0469-9.87%0.0289✗0.714.4M2022-09-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0629.1241+0.69%7.744-14.54%0.0343✗1.1319.0M2022-09-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.263353+0.67%0.1358-48.09%0.6608✗0.0135k2022-09-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.092434+0.58%0.0636-30.79%0.2716✗0.89130k2022-09-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.266415+0.57%0.2217-16.31%0.0644✗1.0491k2022-09-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.9761+0.57%4.4753+51.23%0.4753✓0.591.3M2022-09-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29262.6363+0.55%55.512-10.88%0.0373✗0.73321k2022-09-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.055098+0.54%0.0475-13.32%0.0292✗1.04248k2022-09-09
STXStacksnative0.49790.500393+0.50%0.3813-23.42%0.1365✗1.18892k2022-09-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.023.0349+0.49%1.85-38.74%0.4355✗0.52110k2022-09-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,861.73+0.41%1,719.21-7.28%0.0712✓1.31480.7M2022-09-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0503+0.41%1.04-0.57%0.0528✓0.554.2M2022-09-09
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17111.5846+0.37%91.14-18.02%0.0222✗1.578.2M2022-09-09
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.7327+0.34%5.02-25.19%0.1657✗1.111.5M2022-09-09
ZECZcashZcash78.778.9443+0.31%66.01-16.12%0.0407✗1.202.2M2022-09-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.015814+0.30%0.013248-15.97%0.0960✗0.712.1M2022-09-09
XVGVergenative0.003830.003841+0.29%0.00328-14.36%0.0292✗1.12517k2022-09-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18142.548+0.26%132.9-6.53%0.0596✓1.135.0M2022-09-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.085465+0.25%0.06733-21.02%0.1496✗0.779772022-09-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.0260.026048+0.19%0.0271+4.23%0.0938✓0.4740k2022-09-09
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.1117+0.18%1.685-20.07%0.1109✗1.00261k2022-09-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.082844+0.17%0.064-22.61%0.1289✗1.131.4M2022-09-09
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.8515+0.14%1.38-25.37%0.1395✗1.35401k2022-09-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.00216+0.12%0.001551-28.09%0.2162✗1.001.1M2022-09-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.364204-0.05%0.3246-10.92%0.0017✓0.998.4M2022-09-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5189-0.07%1.43-5.92%0.0518✓0.07159k2022-09-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.164935-0.16%0.1499-9.26%0.0284✗1.08115k2022-09-09
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.8699-0.18%1.6453-12.17%0.0034✗1.15513k2022-09-09
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.265495-0.19%0.2297-13.65%0.0365✓0.94629k2022-09-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.33e-7-0.24%7.32e-7+119.08%0.8650✗0.68150k2022-09-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.018864-0.35%0.01236-34.71%0.3417✓0.71167k2022-09-09
DASHDashDash54.654.4037-0.36%49.01-10.24%0.0108✗1.00552k2022-09-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3488.3168-0.37%7.1-14.95%0.0367✓1.065.7M2022-09-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.462644-0.46%0.3721-19.94%0.0837✓1.17174k2022-09-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.068279-0.47%0.0518-24.49%0.1460✓1.13827k2022-09-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.152427-0.50%0.2053+34.01%0.4009✗0.901.1M2022-09-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.006047-0.51%0.006311+3.83%0.0988✗0.4951k2022-09-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0464.0227-0.58%4.223+4.37%0.0914✗0.371.6M2022-09-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010249-0.59%0.00972-5.72%0.0320✗0.745.5M2022-09-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.761271-0.62%0.561-26.76%0.1519✓1.34137k2022-09-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.073431-0.63%0.0602-18.54%0.1056✓0.81143k2022-09-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.089218-0.64%0.07205-19.76%0.1872✓0.231.1M2022-09-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.125672-0.65%0.1144-9.57%0.0069✗0.88370k2022-09-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.2168-0.68%1.0805-11.81%0.0096✓0.9552k2022-09-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001023-0.68%9.50e-7-7.77%0.0144✗0.7722k2022-09-09
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.180632-0.70%0.1353-25.62%0.1683✓1.052.7M2022-09-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.4608-0.72%7.759-18.57%0.0710✓1.1112.4M2022-09-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.451952-0.74%0.4155-8.74%0.0707✗1.35188k2022-09-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.269524-0.76%0.2765+1.80%0.1384✗0.9865k2022-09-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.876739-0.82%0.962+8.82%0.2304✗1.20984k2022-09-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.230657-0.84%0.2145-7.78%0.0865✗1.39107k2022-09-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.344916-0.86%0.2922-16.01%0.0458✓1.053.5M2022-09-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.144927-0.87%0.1126-22.98%0.1146✓1.203.4M2022-09-09
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.484798-0.96%0.39753-18.79%0.1394✓0.5170k2022-09-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.6222-1.02%6.39+12.50%0.1692✗0.361.1M2022-09-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.184195-1.02%0.1548-16.82%0.0452✓1.12553k2022-09-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.023963-1.03%0.02179-10.00%0.0038✓0.8612k2022-09-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.336461-1.04%0.277-18.53%0.0975✓0.851.1M2022-09-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.1755-1.10%7.5152+134.06%0.9056✗0.381.5M2022-09-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046111-1.15%0.03896-16.48%0.0717✓0.842,4562022-09-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.141131-1.17%0.1389-2.73%0.1113✗1.1150k2022-09-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.056796-1.24%0.042569-25.98%0.2285✓0.5230k2022-09-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.168271-1.25%0.1374-19.37%0.1229✓0.704.2M2022-09-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.6875-1.36%12.387+160.67%1.0008✗0.251.2M2022-09-09
UNIUniswapEthereum9.229.0924-1.38%6.51-29.39%0.1825✓1.329.9M2022-09-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.41029-1.47%0.33379-19.84%0.0859✓1.05481k2022-09-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.86701-1.48%0.691-21.48%0.0570✓1.484.4M2022-09-09
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02852.9829-1.50%2.3273-23.15%0.0953✓1.3313k2022-09-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.528866-1.51%0.332-38.18%0.3137✓1.32245k2022-09-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5558-1.53%1.3263-16.06%0.0097✓1.311.2M2022-09-09
MOVRMoonriverBase17.717.4139-1.62%12.9714-26.72%0.1763✓1.0358k2022-09-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.8728-1.63%6.47+8.38%0.1394✗0.37894k2022-09-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.8351-1.73%4.61-6.30%0.0006✓0.411.3M2022-09-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.645962-1.74%0.5324-19.01%0.0897✓0.90755k2022-09-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.034558-1.77%0.03907+11.06%0.2442✗1.0616k2022-09-09
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.1187-1.81%3.3109-21.07%0.1010✓1.0253k2022-09-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.119644-1.85%0.0985-19.20%0.0702✓1.08566k2022-09-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.22471-1.87%0.17882-21.91%0.0852✓1.25703k2022-09-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.370867-1.88%0.4161+10.08%0.2201✗0.91405k2022-09-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.026107-1.89%0.02126-20.11%0.1107✓0.83159k2022-09-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.361985-1.90%0.313944-14.92%0.0128✓1.13855k2022-09-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.3223-1.91%0.9795-27.34%0.1580✓1.241.1M2022-09-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004757-1.91%0.00416-14.23%0.0047✓1.13102k2022-09-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.4422-1.95%1.3501-8.21%0.0530✗1.04907k2022-09-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.042.9782-2.03%2.35-22.70%0.0895✓1.28227k2022-09-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043179-2.09%0.0391-11.34%0.0212✗1.0577k2022-09-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1984.109-2.12%3.24-22.82%0.1516✓0.751.3M2022-09-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.454429-2.12%0.35417-23.72%0.1291✓1.05127k2022-09-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5518.1417-2.20%14.71-20.70%0.0669✓1.241.4M2022-09-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3068.1125-2.33%6.379-23.20%0.1391✓0.885.8M2022-09-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5322-2.49%8.88+1.49%0.0600✗0.171.8M2022-09-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.951-2.56%0.685-29.82%0.2131✓1.00271k2022-09-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008727-2.60%0.00784-12.50%0.0230✓1.13457k2022-09-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.3227-2.66%1.936-18.86%0.0568✓1.0938k2022-09-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.1027-2.68%0.881-22.24%0.0808✓1.252.3M2022-09-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.085079-2.69%0.07407-15.28%0.0095✓1.1229k2022-09-09
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.3292-2.74%16.88-23.03%0.0957✓1.20118k2022-09-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.2812-2.74%5.39-0.74%0.0576✗0.322.1M2022-09-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.7677-2.88%1.48-18.68%0.0547✓1.07164k2022-09-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1111-2.96%0.84654-26.07%0.1591✓0.9812k2022-09-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.530137-3.10%0.4513-17.51%0.0306✓1.1454k2022-09-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.5901-3.30%16.126+34.54%0.4708✗1.2214.7M2022-09-09
METISMetisEthereum47.2445.6507-3.36%32.42-31.37%0.1245✓1.90362k2022-09-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.355255-3.38%0.29001-21.12%0.0727✓1.1413k2022-09-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.852905-3.41%0.659-25.37%0.1488✓0.95377k2022-09-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.513445-3.49%0.444-16.54%0.0298✓1.0113k2022-09-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.672161-3.56%0.548-21.38%0.0614✓1.2591k2022-09-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.229482-3.70%0.1851-22.32%0.0504✓1.431,3132022-09-09
API3Api3Ethereum2.0751.9958-3.82%1.845-11.08%0.0355✓0.99567k2022-09-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1381-3.84%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.8143-3.88%2.01-31.35%0.1360✓1.75134k2022-09-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.1454-3.90%6.12-4.30%0.0159✓0.173.4M2022-09-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000094629-3.99%0.00043064+336.93%1.5940✗0.69421k2022-09-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4847-4.07%2.58-0.39%0.1463✗0.95636k2022-09-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.031576-4.20%0.02351-28.67%0.1780✓1.0213.8M2022-09-09
KSMKusamaHydration62.9260.2192-4.29%52.65-16.32%0.0118✓1.07525k2022-09-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.003786-4.42%0.002899-26.81%0.1622✓0.91994k2022-09-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.935962-4.49%0.7844-19.96%0.0049✓1.50469k2022-09-09
QNTQuantEthereum126.64120.8898-4.54%103.35-18.39%0.0565✓0.874.2M2022-09-09
COMPCompoundEthereum65.262.205-4.59%51.69-20.72%0.0368✓1.2935k2022-09-09
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1166.7875-4.62%5.047-29.08%0.1379✓1.3812.8M2022-09-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1611.5985-4.62%10.69-12.09%0.0500✗1.15313k2022-09-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.684793-4.62%0.55787-22.30%0.0462✓1.3857k2022-09-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.933611-4.65%0.8564-12.53%0.0973✗1.60296k2022-09-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.3226-4.81%1.2042-13.33%0.0721✗1.456.8M2022-09-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.2209-5.17%6.9482+104.58%0.8270✗0.511.9M2022-09-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.098839-5.21%0.06971-33.14%0.2022✓1.281.8M2022-09-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1715.3264-5.22%15.48-4.27%0.1484✗1.212.6M2022-09-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.705-5.29%2.192-23.25%0.0709✓1.2258k2022-09-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.0293-5.30%18.09-14.47%0.0194✓0.722.4M2022-09-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0491.9393-5.35%1.485-27.53%0.1305✓1.19234k2022-09-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001438-5.46%0.001388-8.73%0.0656✗0.881.4M2022-09-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1827.5421-5.61%20.4-30.09%0.1386✓1.4130.8M2022-09-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.186383-5.66%0.17041-13.74%0.1675✗2.241,0642022-09-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.2923-6.51%1.545-36.99%0.2614✓1.16177k2022-09-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.03036-6.56%0.026-19.98%0.0071✓1.291,7322022-09-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8336.2839-6.56%39.19+0.93%0.2354✗1.3814.2M2022-09-09
HIVEHivenative0.62610.583291-6.84%0.5768-7.87%0.1076✗1.042.4M2022-09-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1993.9117-6.84%2.999-28.58%0.0795✓1.625.2M2022-09-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.735415-6.91%0.497-37.09%0.2481✓1.252,7912022-09-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6010,692.33-7.11%10,439.05-9.31%0.1288✗1.335.8M2022-09-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.22936-7.22%0.1641-33.62%0.2057✓1.131,6562022-09-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6835.8554-7.30%17.28-55.33%0.5925✓1.201.3M2022-09-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.619.8186-7.46%7.92-25.35%0.0850✓1.13562k2022-09-09
FLOWFlownative3.0572.8068-8.18%2.111-30.95%0.1378✓1.28649k2022-09-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.124555-8.55%0.1242-8.81%0.0950✗0.85206k2022-09-09
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.415-9.82%1.411-10.07%0.2171✗1.923.3M2022-09-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.445142-10.09%0.3091-37.57%0.2367✓1.1285k2022-09-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.