8=======>

2022-08-09 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1204
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.2%
in alpha space · 84.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.11375-14.86%0.13-2.69%0.2880✗0.85203k2022-09-08
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.4269-11.81%1.178-27.19%0.1624✗1.953.1M2022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4615.7733-10.64%6.112-5.40%0.0900✓0.183.4M2022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.092002-10.55%0.06043-41.24%0.1868✓1.291.6M2022-09-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3535.7456-9.16%15.9-59.59%0.5895✓1.221.3M2022-09-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001348-8.89%0.001335-9.74%0.1500✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum42.6539.0612-8.41%29.13-31.70%0.0463✓1.88328k2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.9972.7464-8.36%1.956-34.73%0.1056✓1.29587k2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,259.34-8.30%9,266.66-17.17%0.1402✗1.345.4M2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.870347-8.29%0.6533-31.16%0.0151✓1.50469k2022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.610552-8.22%0.52967-20.38%0.1072✗1.3857k2022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.5116-7.88%2.931-23.11%0.1115✗1.615.2M2022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.128608-7.87%0.1043-25.29%0.0076✓1.203.1M2022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4266-7.73%2.6-1.14%0.2431✗0.96726k2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum125.81116.2209-7.62%101.92-18.99%0.0288✓0.884.2M2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03820.959119-7.62%1.2129+16.83%0.4068✗0.95907k2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.8777-7.59%1.415-30.36%0.0658✓1.20234k2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.883452-7.31%0.8317-12.74%0.2309✗1.61296k2022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4325.4332-7.28%19.14-30.22%0.0298✓1.4030.7M2022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.794026-7.24%0.643-24.88%0.0588✓1.494.4M2022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.029835-7.20%0.0209-34.99%0.1700✓1.0313.9M2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5816.3269-7.13%13.85-21.22%0.0604✓1.241.4M2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2455.0396-7.09%48.43-18.25%0.1034✗1.2835k2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.016262-7.07%0.01167-33.31%0.2067✓0.69167k2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008106-6.93%0.00743-14.70%0.1187✗1.14457k2022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.414541-6.91%0.2984-32.99%0.1300✓1.1080k2022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.325265-6.77%0.38118+9.25%0.3217✗0.90396k2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.4997-6.77%5.865-27.09%0.0861✓0.885.7M2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.297-6.75%6.478-17.21%0.0714✗1.055.9M2022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.405927-6.74%0.33034-24.10%0.0177✓1.04124k2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum2.1011.9617-6.63%1.685-19.80%0.0339✓1.03261k2022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.264.9175-6.51%5.32+1.14%0.1368✗0.322.1M2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.136607-6.24%0.187+28.35%0.4759✗0.891.1M2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.32272-6.24%0.305298-11.30%0.1473✗1.12875k2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.715432-6.23%0.469-38.53%0.1945✓1.262,7022022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.6527-6.23%9.92-12.68%0.1350✗1.14306k2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase19.9218.6853-6.20%15.53-22.04%0.0305✓1.19118k2022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0344-6.19%0.9741-11.66%0.0683✗0.714.4M2022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.7648-6.19%4.29+6.90%0.1801✗0.272.2M2022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.5238-6.15%4.54-5.81%0.0779✗0.411.3M2022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.452075-6.12%0.37908-21.28%0.0827✓0.5268k2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.6844-6.07%7.37-28.52%0.0671✓1.14482k2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.060345-6.00%0.0483-24.77%0.0187✓1.13827k2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5719.3431-5.96%17.38-15.51%0.0230✓0.722.6M2022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2169-5.96%0.9148-29.30%0.0608✓1.241.1M2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.1978-5.96%1.45-37.95%0.2060✓1.16172k2022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.8436-5.94%1.763-10.05%0.1342✗0.99588k2022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash79.8175.1024-5.90%61.13-23.41%0.0152✓1.222.0M2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.6575-5.86%15.71+0.90%0.2883✗1.212.6M2022-09-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000091147-5.82%0.00051629+433.47%1.8466✗0.62421k2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38910.727-5.81%13.883+21.90%0.4793✗1.2214.4M2022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.48893-5.79%0.418-19.46%0.0261✓1.0113k2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.5462-5.77%1.843-31.79%0.0077✓1.74131k2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.434.3065-5.75%37.1+1.92%0.3277✗1.3813.5M2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.1356-5.73%3.093-29.50%0.1511✓0.771.1M2022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.056472-5.72%0.049-18.20%0.0613✗1.12185k2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.5882-5.68%2.072-24.49%0.0023✓1.2254k2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.083111-5.66%0.0599-32.01%0.1671✓0.89127k2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.306-5.65%12.416+172.04%1.1037✗0.251.1M2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.6679-5.61%1.273-27.96%0.0265✓1.35383k2022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.106592-5.59%0.0972-13.91%0.1018✗1.07566k2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.046-5.54%0.8184-26.10%0.0175✓1.262.0M2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.084503-5.54%0.06787-24.13%0.1768✓0.231.1M2022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.4108-5.52%7.389-17.00%0.0700✗1.1011.8M2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.166804-5.49%0.131-25.78%0.1123✓0.713.9M2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.488087-5.46%0.3149-39.01%0.1970✓1.33245k2022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.902403-5.41%0.652-31.66%0.1429✓1.01263k2022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.223268-5.40%0.1562-33.81%0.1536✓1.121,5612022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.106-5.35%6.8937+110.07%0.8886✗0.501.8M2022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.354-5.32%1.3273-7.18%0.2139✗1.291.2M2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.0587-5.30%8.78+3.17%0.1165✗0.171.8M2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.5442-5.23%6.37+8.89%0.2059✗0.37894k2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003181-5.21%0.002728-18.71%0.0043✓0.87988k2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.9061-5.21%7.6822+150.57%1.0405✗0.381.4M2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7127.6852-5.21%126.62-6.00%0.1955✗1.135.0M2022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.635125-5.21%0.525-21.64%0.0353✓1.2591k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9692.88-5.19%88.29-9.87%0.2302✗1.558.2M2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.04059-5.16%0.0382-10.75%0.1300✗1.0577k2022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.1747-5.15%4.8-26.27%0.0492✓1.121.4M2022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.311275-5.10%0.263-19.82%0.0157✓0.841.1M2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana40.3538.2972-5.09%33.62-16.68%0.0960✗1.2579.4M2022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.288417-5.06%0.2268-25.35%0.0433✓1.09294k2022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.029965-5.05%0.03515+11.38%0.3478✗1.0414k2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.165158-4.98%0.13663-21.40%0.0503✓1.32216k2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.161297-4.95%0.1491-12.14%0.1218✗1.11548k2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01980.969556-4.92%0.77284-24.21%0.0272✓1.10543k2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.208219-4.92%0.17034-22.22%0.0253✓1.25716k2022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.60670.576864-4.92%0.5518-9.05%0.1433✗1.042.4M2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.117281-4.80%0.1109-9.98%0.1033✗0.88370k2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.181804-4.77%0.15778-17.36%0.2674✗2.261,0642022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.229-4.75%12.7985-24.89%0.0510✓1.0358k2022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.386018-4.70%0.32661-19.36%0.0236✓1.05481k2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.329022-4.69%0.3078-10.83%0.1111✗0.988.4M2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.05128-4.68%0.0465-13.57%0.0914✗1.04248k2022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.239483-4.66%0.2135-15.01%0.0726✗1.0491k2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.3482-4.59%7.407-15.35%0.0854✗1.1318.6M2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.0543-4.57%9.277-11.95%0.1041✗1.021.9M2022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003680.003513-4.53%0.00316-14.13%0.0970✗1.12517k2022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,626.64-4.50%1,635.73-3.97%0.2415✗1.30453.9M2022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.633-4.50%1.4-18.13%0.0387✓1.06140k2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.7412-4.49%1.84-35.89%0.3076✓0.50110k2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.014653-4.49%0.012974-15.43%0.0062✓0.712.1M2022-09-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.15e-7-4.48%7.48e-7+127.10%0.9895✗0.68150k2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.235-4.46%1.1279-12.74%0.1699✗1.446.8M2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.7524-4.45%4.056+3.28%0.1448✗0.371.6M2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0180.972771-4.44%1.038+1.96%0.1635✗0.543.7M2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.77214-4.44%0.638-21.04%0.0218✓0.93377k2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.0719-4.35%6.173-26.85%0.0307✓1.319.9M2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.7188-4.35%4.5-35.93%0.1483✓1.3911.9M2022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.163992-4.32%0.1249-27.13%0.0832✓1.042.8M2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004317-4.28%0.00399-11.53%0.1240✗1.1299k2022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.495069-4.26%0.3993-22.78%0.0104✓1.1350k2022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.216486-4.25%0.2042-9.69%0.1938✗1.3997k2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration60.2657.7185-4.22%50.26-16.59%0.0546✗1.07489k2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4655-4.22%1.42-7.19%0.0180✓0.07173k2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.29e-7-4.21%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0851✗0.776.0M2022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.077704-4.19%0.0618-23.80%0.0242✓1.131.4M2022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.4335-4.16%4.722+85.98%0.8154✗0.8486k2022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.731-4.14%1.5877-12.07%0.1212✗1.15530k2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.7709-4.12%2.27-21.45%0.0331✓1.28227k2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.597752-4.11%0.5067-18.72%0.0028✓0.90755k2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000041625-4.09%0.00004219-2.79%0.1693✗0.861.9M2022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3095-4.07%1.188-12.97%0.1016✗1.102.5M2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019344-4.05%0.024425+21.15%0.2637✗0.17215k2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.77723-4.05%0.894+10.37%0.3545✗1.18968k2022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.315383-4.02%0.2794-14.97%0.0674✗1.043.5M2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.8283-3.96%2.656-9.81%0.0939✗0.87585k2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.056577-3.94%0.0517-12.22%0.1370✗1.25339k2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.47780.459015-3.93%0.3621-24.22%0.0239✓1.18892k2022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011581-3.89%0.00001223+1.49%0.2331✗0.99864k2022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.079318-3.86%0.06606-19.93%0.0428✓0.779072022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1856.9229-3.81%57.99-2.01%0.2089✗1.0513.7M2022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.250239-3.79%0.3012+15.80%0.3631✗0.9865k2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71957.4553-3.79%53.27-10.80%0.0553✗0.72321k2022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.8626-3.79%3.1692-21.06%0.0131✓1.0257k2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.3028-3.76%6.34+15.06%0.2430✗0.361.1M2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.7888-3.69%2.2544-22.14%0.0288✓1.3313k2022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.149181-3.63%0.1402-9.43%0.1322✗1.07110k2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.494383-3.63%0.479-6.63%0.1662✗1.0940.5M2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.690299-3.59%0.501-30.03%0.0798✓1.33137k2022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002064-3.57%0.001463-31.64%0.1628✓1.001.2M2022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2135-3.57%1.851-19.37%0.0189✓1.0938k2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7367-3.53%4.474+57.71%0.5967✗0.581.2M2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.117754-3.51%0.104355-14.49%0.0477✗0.937.1M2022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.434503-3.42%0.3426-23.85%0.0254✓1.17165k2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.417111-3.38%0.4045-6.30%0.2131✗1.35207k2022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.045907-3.35%0.0351-26.11%0.0917✓0.9810k2022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.38e-7-3.32%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0799✗0.7322k2022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.06676-3.29%0.060978-11.66%0.0971✗1.041.6M2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.132064-3.25%0.1624+18.97%0.4073✗1.1155k2022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1317-3.18%1.0517-10.03%0.0985✗0.9552k2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.083325-3.09%0.07073-17.74%0.0410✗1.1329k2022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.4791-3.06%1.7721+16.14%0.4165✗1.30698k2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025515-3.06%0.02088-20.67%0.0499✓0.83159k2022-09-08
DASHDashDash52.9751.3696-3.02%46.28-12.63%0.0777✗1.00552k2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.053639-2.99%0.040974-25.90%0.1760✓0.5229k2022-09-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.756847-2.97%0.73-6.41%0.0485✗0.4783k2022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.094801-2.97%0.0926-5.22%0.1586✗1.017,6272022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.123242-2.96%0.0993-21.81%0.0605✓0.864,5002022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.77384.6364-2.88%4.0459-15.25%0.0073✓0.71887k2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.0388-2.82%26.05-12.82%0.0586✗0.929.4M2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.069268-2.71%0.0555-22.05%0.0754✓0.81151k2022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.048011-2.63%0.044321-10.11%0.1038✗1.0137k2022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0104-2.63%0.875349-15.64%0.0015✓0.8056k2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.254445-2.62%0.1397-46.54%0.5973✓0.0135k2022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.030969-2.58%0.02409-24.22%0.0159✓1.301,7322022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.577434-2.43%0.4736-19.97%0.0059✓1.13318k2022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.21316-2.35%0.1767-19.06%0.0698✗1.421,2802022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.00964-2.33%0.00886-10.23%0.0490✗0.745.3M2022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero158.78155.1182-2.31%152.39-4.02%0.1682✗1.031.2M2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.00162-2.22%0.00152-8.27%0.0809✗0.808,9342022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0824-2.07%0.85429-22.71%0.0587✓0.9812k2022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006059-1.98%0.006191+0.16%0.1117✗0.5050k2022-09-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.123-1.93%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.245975-1.92%0.2219-11.52%0.0667✗0.94681k2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.349263-1.64%0.27969-21.23%0.0162✓1.1413k2022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008115-1.63%0.00567-31.27%0.2387✓0.661.6M2022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.04393-1.59%0.03746-16.08%0.0075✓0.842,3482022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.050095-1.33%0.04438-12.59%0.0180✗0.7717k2022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6022,904.10-1.32%19,295.10-16.87%0.0041✓0.9712k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006439-0.71%0.005905-8.94%0.0451✗0.734,4282022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,998.40-0.69%19,321.87-16.57%0.0069✗1.00455.4M2022-09-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02184.9913-0.61%4.9672-1.09%0.0214✗0.14367k2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022747-0.36%0.020726-9.21%0.0614✗0.8512k2022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068319-0.21%0.061193-10.62%0.0007✓0.60216k2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.