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2022-08-07 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1807
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.6557-13.41%1.095-42.73%0.0046✓1.953.1M2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.093732-12.62%0.05773-46.18%0.1742✓1.481.2M2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.0337-11.65%5.919-13.33%0.0718✓0.432.7M2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.097947-10.14%0.1124+3.12%0.2984✗0.77163k2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum44.2240.3867-8.67%28.84-34.78%0.0562✓1.87293k2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5410,455.60-8.59%8,612.34-24.71%0.1013✗1.415.2M2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.731-8.55%2.791-31.59%0.0643✓1.695.2M2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.630168-8.46%0.5036-26.85%0.0843✓1.4769k2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.031532-8.23%0.01917-44.21%0.2222✓1.3113.9M2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.855459-8.11%0.6322-32.09%0.0355✓1.61462k2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum126.46116.3161-8.02%90.03-28.81%0.0631✓0.924.5M2022-09-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.037325-8.00%0.02171-46.49%0.3275✓1.02159k2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.432377-7.87%0.296-36.93%0.1411✓1.1380k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8558.8651-7.81%45.35-28.97%0.0269✓1.3738k2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04390.964452-7.61%1.0186-2.42%0.2831✗1.09933k2022-09-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4830.0136-7.59%15.93-50.95%0.3250✓1.471.1M2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.74997-7.53%0.439-45.87%0.2425✓1.402,7022022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.925.8116-7.49%18.21-34.73%0.0227✓1.5529.2M2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4917.1205-7.41%13.11-29.10%0.0062✓1.301.4M2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.2975-7.36%2.26-8.87%0.2094✗1.08507k2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.8525-7.28%1.395-30.18%0.0050✓1.38234k2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.1541-7.26%5.599-36.32%0.1688✓0.994.0M2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.808465-7.18%0.614-29.51%0.0819✗1.704.3M2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2497.6598-7.14%6.22-24.60%0.0433✓1.206.8M2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.917982-7.13%0.8135-17.70%0.2421✗1.73296k2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000092577-7.01%0.00037885+280.52%1.7845✗1.79466k2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008428-6.97%0.00747-17.55%0.1345✗1.22421k2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.2591-6.92%5.2-7.96%0.0994✗0.532.1M2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.016647-6.89%0.01183-33.84%0.1790✓0.78175k2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.237772-6.79%0.1524-40.26%0.1794✓1.271,5612022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.119741-6.67%0.0977-23.85%0.0817✗1.362.9M2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.141239-6.65%0.185+22.27%0.4824✗1.011.1M2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.0891.9516-6.58%1.597-23.55%0.0352✓1.12606k2022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.0897-6.57%0.938-19.57%0.0201✓0.814.1M2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7410.9804-6.47%9.48-19.25%0.1065✗1.21263k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.7437-6.44%4.37-13.81%0.0459✓0.611.3M2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8815.8004-6.40%14.19-15.94%0.1789✗1.372.6M2022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.515965-6.36%0.399-27.59%0.0232✓1.1114k2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.0444-6.35%1.727-20.89%0.0659✗1.12225k2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.6242.4576-6.34%1.772-32.47%0.0609✓1.27505k2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1920.7836-6.34%16.78-24.38%0.0555✓0.762.6M2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.406465-6.30%0.31421-27.57%0.0186✓1.14124k2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.528181-6.28%0.3016-46.49%0.2842✓1.32232k2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.2216-6.26%1.457-38.52%0.1491✓1.30160k2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.445631-6.23%0.36615-22.95%0.0557✓0.6770k2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.33255-6.18%0.272462-23.14%0.0540✓1.211.0M2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.6274-6.10%1.947-30.41%0.0098✓1.3848k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.428-6.02%4.52-33.92%0.0867✓1.271.4M2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.06049-5.93%0.0453-29.55%0.0282✓1.24799k2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.2682-5.91%6.6193+90.56%0.8606✗0.741.7M2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.112166-5.90%0.0892-25.17%0.0226✓1.20529k2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7135.4862-5.90%34.44-8.67%0.2701✗1.4313.0M2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.4432-5.85%6.8-32.20%0.0467✓1.34385k2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.4123-5.82%11.915+154.32%1.0836✗0.431.2M2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.041552-5.78%0.0348-21.09%0.0646✗1.1577k2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.0328-5.76%7.2344+124.79%1.0030✗0.641.2M2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.0731-5.76%0.7744-31.99%0.0403✓1.361.7M2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.2432-5.75%0.8793-33.34%0.0860✓1.241.1M2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.555354-5.66%0.3885-34.01%0.1212✓1.1346k2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4152-5.65%1.1464-23.57%0.0800✗1.391.2M2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37410.7331-5.64%11.775+3.53%0.3666✗1.3113.7M2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.03116-5.63%0.03333+0.94%0.3139✗1.1814k2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1473.9147-5.60%4.174+0.65%0.1635✗0.471.9M2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.6359-5.59%1.774-36.46%0.0236✓1.78126k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001127-5.55%0.001265+6.09%0.3640✗1.181.3M2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.084365-5.53%0.0592-33.71%0.1201✓1.12124k2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.2941-5.48%12.1746-33.46%0.1194✓1.1053k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.4515-5.46%8.6-3.80%0.0901✗0.351.8M2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7106-5.44%1.182-34.66%0.0765✓1.40371k2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.166325-5.39%0.1307-25.65%0.0027✓1.16529k2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.185473-5.36%0.15332-21.77%0.2896✗2.291,0642022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.369628-5.32%0.3-23.16%0.0118✓0.941492022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3287-5.26%1.0359-26.13%0.0692✗1.526.4M2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3195.991-5.25%83.58-17.50%0.2034✗1.639.9M2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.646243-5.24%0.482-29.33%0.0106✓1.3590k2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.213265-5.22%0.15955-29.09%0.0072✓1.42703k2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.321321-5.22%0.25-26.25%0.0385✓1.011.1M2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.7261-5.20%6.26+3.64%0.2123✗0.59887k2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.057493-5.13%0.0473-21.95%0.0850✗1.34179k2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.00325-5.06%0.002767-19.16%0.0396✓0.961.0M2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.22712-5.05%0.2009-16.01%0.1941✗1.5189k2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.246518-5.00%0.1963-24.35%0.0148✓1.1698k2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.6238.5888-5.00%30.87-24.00%0.0595✗1.3579.4M2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98133.9455-4.99%112.17-20.44%0.0698✗1.184.7M2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.2148-4.98%14.54-24.15%0.0471✓1.30118k2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.2269-4.97%6.874-20.60%0.0664✗1.1711.0M2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.120145-4.95%0.1014-19.78%0.0405✓1.00398k2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0561-4.94%0.94-15.39%0.0095✓0.602.1M2022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.25e-7-4.94%7.89e-7+130.63%1.0718✗0.88150k2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.01517-4.90%0.012145-23.87%0.0479✓0.832.1M2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9677-4.88%1.96-37.18%0.3094✓0.50116k2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0079-4.87%0.73689-30.45%0.0513✓1.25532k2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.168712-4.87%0.13097-26.15%0.0668✗1.53207k2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.406582-4.82%0.31667-25.87%0.0185✓1.28507k2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.3621-4.80%5.829-33.64%0.0718✓1.389.9M2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.173169-4.80%0.1191-34.52%0.1235✓1.203.3M2022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.301758-4.79%0.33208+4.77%0.3056✗1.00366k2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.59910.570522-4.77%0.5213-12.99%0.1451✗1.122.1M2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.293316-4.77%0.2418-21.49%0.0367✓1.10300k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration65.4262.3301-4.72%45.56-30.36%0.0743✓1.14419k2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2086.8712-4.67%4.301-40.33%0.1337✓1.6011.9M2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.8261-4.63%2.889-27.99%0.1036✓0.85976k2022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004493-4.61%0.00379-19.53%0.0934✗1.26102k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.339679-4.56%0.2855-19.78%0.0504✗1.078.2M2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7276-4.55%1.23-32.04%0.0759✓1.26132k2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.051963-4.48%0.0433-20.40%0.0702✗1.20256k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.151757-4.44%0.1271-19.96%0.0016✓0.843.6M2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8046-4.42%1.433-24.10%0.0214✓1.20530k2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.634765-4.39%0.5082-23.45%0.0035✓1.08726k2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9257-4.39%2.1-31.37%0.0318✓1.43234k2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.259223-4.38%0.2232-17.67%0.0752✗1.0765k2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000043348-4.35%0.00004054-10.55%0.1586✗1.081.8M2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.49070.469509-4.32%0.3401-30.69%0.0681✓1.21808k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.328294-4.32%0.2593-24.42%0.0017✓1.133.6M2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,627.71-4.28%1,559.28-8.30%0.2335✗1.32407.7M2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.8851-4.26%3.962-2.37%0.1411✗0.581.6M2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.9048-4.23%2.544-16.12%0.0823✗1.02585k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.773291-4.18%0.608-24.66%0.0475✓0.92380k2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003740.003585-4.14%0.00295-21.12%0.0712✗1.27534k2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.081801-4.12%0.07402-13.24%0.0434✓0.271.1M2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.446999-4.08%0.431-7.51%0.2838✗1.53207k2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.0012-4.06%6.659-20.16%0.0712✗1.2116.7M2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3672-4.05%1.103-22.60%0.0411✓1.222.5M2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.100466-4.04%0.0785-25.02%0.0083✓1.145,6912022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5069-4.02%1.47-6.37%0.0249✓0.24207k2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87859.4021-4.00%49.549-19.92%0.0150✓0.79306k2022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.9345-3.97%2.136-30.10%0.0075✓1.4813k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.1826-3.96%9.033-14.80%0.1079✗1.091.9M2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.824271-3.93%0.624-27.27%0.0324✓1.17246k2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.461745-3.92%0.3263-32.11%0.0753✓1.30155k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.049193-3.92%0.0358-30.08%0.0558✓1.2510k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1258.7362-3.90%54.12-11.45%0.1508✗1.1113.5M2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011554-3.88%0.00001199-0.25%0.2744✗1.13926k2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash70.2667.552-3.85%57.93-17.55%0.1034✗1.231.8M2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.5527-3.77%6.09+5.55%0.1998✗0.51964k2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002199-3.75%0.001603-29.85%0.1065✓1.001.2M2022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019134-3.72%0.025115+26.38%0.3345✗0.30173k2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.09193.941-3.69%2.9851-27.05%0.0511✓1.0853k2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.731262-3.65%0.475-37.42%0.1287✓1.44135k2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.076545-3.60%0.0605-23.80%0.0026✓1.131.3M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.156009-3.58%0.1322-18.29%0.0787✗1.16102k2022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.508853-3.57%0.4626-12.34%0.1469✗1.1539.5M2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.8818-3.57%4.417+47.80%0.6037✗0.841.2M2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.07685-3.56%0.06355-20.25%0.0367✓0.738502022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.132573-3.51%0.116-15.57%0.1185✗1.2061k2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.3728-3.47%3.885+58.06%0.6794✗0.8992k2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.058409-3.46%0.052-14.05%0.1807✗1.42339k2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.119732-3.34%0.099872-19.38%0.0231✓0.977.0M2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.39e-7-3.22%8.70e-7-10.31%0.0982✗0.836.0M2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.125375-3.11%0.0961-25.73%0.0458✓1.054,5002022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.2602-3.10%1.6996-27.14%0.0405✓1.1738k2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.50e-7-3.10%8.70e-7-11.22%0.0634✗0.7225k2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.840.814261-3.06%0.71-15.48%0.0157✓0.5878k2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.527-3.03%1.6782+6.57%0.3873✗1.40619k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.1793-3.03%0.977259-19.65%0.0270✓1.0243k2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.7552-2.98%25.64-16.40%0.0510✗0.959.1M2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.050029-2.95%0.041181-20.12%0.0333✗1.0937k2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.728891-2.94%0.907+20.77%0.4835✗1.26963k2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0239-2.94%0.84826-19.59%0.0021✓0.8951k2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.06698-2.87%0.058897-14.59%0.1088✗1.131.6M2022-09-06
DASHDashDash53.3551.8198-2.87%42.68-20.00%0.0322✗1.08552k2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.053508-2.81%0.040185-27.01%0.1622✓0.5926k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010167-2.80%0.00852-18.55%0.0166✓0.925.1M2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071463-2.77%0.0558-24.08%0.0505✓0.94158k2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.081609-2.68%0.06801-18.90%0.0916✗1.3129k2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1366-2.49%0.80255-31.15%0.1212✓1.0812k2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001686-2.47%0.001469-15.04%0.0621✗0.958,9342022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.030946-2.44%0.02333-26.45%0.0115✓1.291,3502022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.209602-2.33%0.1824-15.00%0.1574✗1.411,1742022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.76024.6582-2.14%3.9648-16.71%0.0011✓0.76887k2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.255869-2.12%0.1539-41.12%0.5057✓0.0131k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero164.87161.515-2.03%144.79-12.18%0.1098✗1.041.1M2022-09-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0903-1.98%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.254409-1.96%0.2072-20.15%0.0232✗1.09766k2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.044953-1.87%0.03561-22.27%0.0393✓0.922,3482022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006221-1.74%0.006199-2.08%0.1033✗0.5148k2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.582709-1.69%0.4434-25.19%0.0303✓1.16303k2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.052913-1.61%0.04195-22.00%0.0507✓0.8616k2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.352611-1.55%0.26857-25.01%0.0102✓1.2513k2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008287-0.99%0.00551-34.17%0.2491✓0.761.6M2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,896.24-0.93%18,917.90-18.14%0.0148✗0.9812k2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.023313-0.76%0.019706-16.11%0.0312✗0.9512k2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3923,097.60-0.34%18,790.91-18.93%0.0034✓1.00414.2M2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.069519-0.20%0.060766-12.77%0.0056✓0.61279k2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006464-0.16%0.005724-11.60%0.0430✗0.784,5222022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.9011+0.04%5.1426+4.97%0.0855✓0.18234k2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.