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2022-08-06 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2144
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.00%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 31.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.7608-7.38%1.199-36.93%0.0946✓1.953.1M2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum120.14113.5394-5.49%93.14-22.47%0.0534✓0.974.5M2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.0541-5.15%3.005-29.69%0.0403✓1.755.2M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6320.599-4.77%17.32-19.93%0.0509✓0.832.6M2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,191.83-4.54%9,493.61-19.02%0.0508✗1.454.9M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.252816-4.42%0.1562-40.95%0.2877✓1.311,5612022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.836.1893-4.26%39.67+4.95%0.3027✗1.4213.0M2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7330.4111-4.16%18.31-42.29%0.3013✓1.39949k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.033867-3.92%0.02134-39.46%0.2465✓1.4513.9M2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2646.9846-3.85%4.75-34.61%0.1312✓1.7111.9M2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3211-3.80%1.1527-16.06%0.0908✗1.536.4M2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.2774-3.74%1.573-33.52%0.1579✓1.43169k2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.951663-3.73%0.8257-16.47%0.1073✗1.68296k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.666819-3.60%0.55546-19.70%0.0416✗1.5178k2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0562.917-3.28%48.36-25.66%0.0539✓1.4138k2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.382-3.24%14.53-14.18%0.0891✗1.412.6M2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration66.4164.7802-2.45%51.33-22.71%0.0599✓1.16419k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.785178-2.10%0.487-39.28%0.2608✓1.462,7912022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.425222-1.64%0.3145-27.25%0.1260✓1.1880k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.406347-1.39%0.35378-14.15%0.0655✗1.38507k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6426.3144-1.22%19.44-27.03%0.0686✓1.5827.5M2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5116-1.20%1.45-5.23%0.0018✓0.29242k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative2.572.5405-1.15%1.919-25.33%0.0924✓1.27466k2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9715-1.08%1.465-26.49%0.0894✓1.40253k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.491-1.03%7.53-28.96%0.1225✓1.41358k2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.4136-0.99%7.2089+109.09%0.8774✗0.871.6M2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.862707-0.95%0.676-22.39%0.0150✗1.744.4M2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.544824-0.76%–pending––1.1516k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.1043-0.69%1.69-20.25%0.0303✓1.27619k2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000099353-0.67%0.00040493+304.85%1.7159✗2.10480k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.7219-0.66%6.576-25.10%0.0759✓1.399.9M2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.197058-0.66%0.158-20.35%0.1194✗2.291,1202022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.920346-0.29%0.6925-24.97%0.0181✓1.80469k2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.010032-0.28%0.00891-11.43%0.0124✗0.885.2M2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.6051-0.21%10.8-7.14%0.1075✗1.21290k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.054518-0.20%0.041483-24.07%0.1892✓0.5725k2022-09-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.1079-0.04%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.6382+0.06%12.633+18.82%0.3733✓1.3613.0M2022-09-05
DASHDashDash52.5752.619+0.09%47.59-9.47%0.0641✓1.11574k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum41.2341.2778+0.12%30.53-25.95%0.0248✗1.87293k2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.80914+0.14%0.662-18.07%0.0475✗1.03390k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.360949+0.19%0.28593-20.63%0.0416✗1.2913k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.046627+0.25%0.03742-19.54%0.0812✗0.932,3002022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.00112+0.25%0.00133+19.14%0.3572✓1.241.3M2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.7718+0.43%2.117-23.30%0.0562✗1.4447k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.3245+0.48%6.734-18.72%0.0295✗1.236.9M2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.181388+0.49%0.1279-29.14%0.1655✗1.243.3M2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.572224+0.50%0.4308-24.34%0.1173✗1.1246k2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.681414+0.50%0.533-21.39%0.0383✗1.4090k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.4976+0.56%6.141-34.98%0.2817✗1.043.3M2022-09-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.025355+0.62%0.0255+1.19%0.0880✓0.5545k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.114821+0.63%0.0939-17.70%0.0140✗1.26505k2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.57053+0.64%0.307-45.85%0.4238✗1.32234k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017825+0.65%0.01272-28.18%0.2149✗0.83176k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.5203+0.68%1.2398-17.89%0.0055✓1.411.2M2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.341566+0.76%0.271-20.06%0.0787✗1.031.1M2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.343834+0.80%0.2822-17.27%0.0244✗1.173.6M2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42461.9251+0.82%53.71-12.56%0.0177✗0.84321k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.139+0.88%0.8473-24.96%0.0921✗1.371.5M2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.032952+0.92%0.03562+9.10%0.2610✓1.2314k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.842782+0.93%0.663-20.60%0.0597✗1.21241k2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.7038+0.95%5.7+0.88%0.0895✓0.611.5M2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.225131+0.96%0.173-22.42%0.0401✗1.50716k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.086944+0.99%0.07261-15.66%0.0206✓1.3529k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1707+1.03%0.85582-26.15%0.1502✗1.1012k2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.176093+1.03%0.1398-19.79%0.0444✗1.26529k2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.41e-7+1.10%8.55e-7+153.78%1.0640✓0.97153k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.033.0648+1.15%2.34-22.77%0.0443✗1.52234k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.016077+1.17%0.013125-17.41%0.0688✗0.902.1M2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.2077+1.17%1.0444-12.51%0.0112✓1.0543k2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.447+1.19%1.17-18.18%0.0247✗1.272.5M2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8524+1.22%1.37-25.14%0.1048✗1.33129k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.035.0921+1.23%4.72-6.16%0.0282✓0.701.3M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.7147+1.26%13.008+179.38%1.0972✓0.551.3M2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.8257+1.32%6.64+15.48%0.2185✓0.59878k2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.58410.591811+1.32%0.5388-7.76%0.0808✓1.182.1M2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.00370.00375+1.34%0.00309-16.49%0.0013✓1.30551k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.660851+1.36%0.5193-20.35%0.0693✗1.16755k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.358273+1.36%0.298688-15.50%0.0063✓1.271.0M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0617+1.38%0.7895-24.61%0.1018✗1.31532k2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.83e-7+1.39%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0066✓0.7225k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.1848+1.39%3.3484-18.88%0.0625✗1.0853k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.7366+1.43%1.916-28.98%0.0956✗1.76118k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.518709+1.43%0.4987-2.48%0.1397✓1.2140.5M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.26237+1.46%0.2097-18.91%0.0428✗1.2299k2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.479489+1.48%0.38052-19.46%0.1189✗0.7670k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.123017+1.50%0.104-14.19%0.0074✓1.08370k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008468+1.53%0.00599-28.18%0.2105✗0.911.6M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9664.0269+1.54%2.972-25.06%0.1775✗0.85976k2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.354632+1.56%0.3046-12.77%0.0189✓1.158.2M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.6616+1.61%7.368-13.56%0.0214✓1.2311.0M2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.437844+1.64%0.34064-20.92%0.0736✗1.20124k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.275394+1.70%0.2373-12.37%0.0154✓1.1165k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum99.08100.8092+1.75%91.3-7.85%0.1476✓1.6610.0M2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.061456+1.75%0.0558-7.62%0.1125✓1.41350k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0343.0871+1.75%2.722-10.28%0.0414✓1.13572k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.116.2215+1.83%6.72+9.98%0.1765✓0.67754k2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505918.8454+1.83%12.9054-30.26%0.2113✗1.1353k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.1572+1.85%1.97-36.45%0.3973✗0.50116k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.161332+1.85%0.1447-8.65%0.0340✓0.963.6M2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase19.2719.6269+1.85%16.1-16.45%0.0044✓1.36118k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.443453+1.87%0.355-18.45%0.0274✗1.31134k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006581+1.89%0.00635-1.69%0.0376✓0.4944k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash67.6568.9395+1.91%63.41-6.27%0.1046✓1.271.7M2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00293.0609+1.93%2.3084-23.13%0.0508✗1.5613k2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004773+1.98%0.00402-14.10%0.0228✓1.31112k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.2016+2.00%1.056-10.36%0.0351✗0.632.1M2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9614.0409+2.02%4.31+8.81%0.1669✓0.691.5M2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9418.3038+2.03%14.28-20.40%0.0500✗1.341.3M2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.889.0601+2.03%9.21+3.72%0.0873✓0.481.8M2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.322798+2.07%0.35+10.67%0.2460✓1.11366k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34144.2683+2.07%125.75-11.03%0.0419✓1.214.7M2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006456+2.09%0.00602-4.80%0.0578✓0.864,5222022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.3269+2.10%1.752-23.12%0.1164✗1.13219k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.3887+2.10%1.8663-20.23%0.0667✗1.2137k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.07251+2.13%0.0571-19.58%0.1010✗0.93158k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.079053+2.14%0.1303+68.35%0.6081✓0.73159k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.319724+2.15%0.2337-25.34%0.1507✗1.10300k2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.141497+2.16%0.1229-11.26%0.0462✓1.2661k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0414.1287+2.17%4.501+11.38%0.1716✓0.571.9M2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.91e-7+2.19%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0173✓0.846.1M2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.5038+2.20%4.075+66.33%0.6196✓0.8992k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8462.183+2.21%60.36-0.79%0.1435✓1.1713.5M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000045742+2.24%0.00004372-2.28%0.1280✓1.171.9M2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.14949+2.25%0.2073+41.79%0.4868✓1.081.0M2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.585914+2.27%0.4722-17.58%0.0452✗1.15318k2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.056509+2.32%0.0442-19.97%0.1154✗0.8816k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.463328+2.33%0.3741-17.38%0.0057✓1.48242k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003318+2.36%0.002935-9.44%0.0263✓1.001.0M2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.9782+2.36%7.382-5.29%0.1094✓1.2616.9M2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.023569+2.39%0.02235-2.91%0.0970✓1.01159k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002263+2.40%0.001564-29.23%0.2211✗1.001.1M2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.124845+2.41%0.10507-13.81%0.0255✗0.997.0M2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.045475+2.42%0.0367-17.34%0.0311✗1.2376k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.48450.496338+2.44%0.3681-24.02%0.1151✗1.24808k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.020751+2.54%0.025549+26.24%0.2672✓0.40173k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum30.3931.1652+2.55%26.62-12.41%0.0162✓0.959.4M2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.955.0766+2.56%5.0514+2.05%0.0208✓0.17228k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.088641+2.59%0.07583-12.23%0.1157✗0.271.1M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.023808+2.60%0.020653-10.99%0.0003✓0.9612k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.22111+2.60%0.1872-13.13%0.0436✓1.421,2762022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.133219+2.63%0.1025-21.03%0.1143✗1.004,7012022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,735.54+2.65%1,618.01-4.31%0.1208✓1.29407.7M2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.9277+2.66%1.546-17.67%0.0307✗1.28530k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.264679+2.67%0.222-13.89%0.0015✓1.17768k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.733+2.69%6.361+13.94%0.1809✓0.522.6M2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.066471+2.74%0.0496-23.34%0.1010✗1.29803k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.3564+2.76%0.9577-27.45%0.1637✗1.241.1M2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.053262+2.82%0.043718-15.61%0.0200✓1.2037k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana40.0741.2066+2.84%32.18-19.69%0.0443✗1.3780.8M2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.51165.1302+2.88%157.52-1.86%0.1197✓1.121.1M2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.268875+2.90%0.1628-37.70%0.4998✗0.0131k2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.5831+2.91%2.31-7.97%0.0471✓1.07507k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.089448+2.93%0.0559-35.67%0.2975✗1.16126k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97583.065+3.00%4.9518+66.40%0.6245✓0.981.2M2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.6066+3.06%1.6684+7.02%0.2436✓1.39619k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.8847+3.10%1.307-28.50%0.1531✗1.43371k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9023,965.38+3.20%19,866.30-14.45%0.0425✗0.9812k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.009136+3.24%0.00785-11.30%0.0366✓1.27392k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.2046+3.24%0.9784-16.15%0.0806✗0.864.1M2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.773439+3.26%1.044+39.39%0.4812✓1.22963k2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.920.950127+3.27%0.72-21.74%0.1919✗0.5878k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.070955+3.37%0.062695-8.66%0.0512✓1.181.6M2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.243394+3.44%0.209-11.18%0.0657✓1.4789k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.088988+3.66%0.06402-25.43%0.1090✗1.481.1M2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.168609+3.70%0.1448-10.95%0.0326✓1.25102k2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.052427+3.82%0.0367-27.33%0.1648✗1.2910k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9323,843.43+3.84%19,794.58-13.79%0.0377✓1.00427.9M2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.132761+3.88%0.104-18.62%0.0359✓1.402.9M2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.062442+3.90%0.0508-15.47%0.0005✓1.39179k2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001777+3.96%0.001468-14.10%0.0380✓1.039,0932022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.032625+4.00%0.02511-19.96%0.0700✗1.291,3502022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.8879+4.05%4.93-25.53%0.1296✗1.381.4M2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0891+4.10%0.898557-14.12%0.0527✗0.9458k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.800553+4.10%0.522-32.12%0.2093✗1.47135k2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.1395+4.11%1.1375+3.93%0.1685✓1.151.0M2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.081009+4.14%0.06802-12.56%0.0666✗0.739072022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.3468+4.25%7.3781+129.83%0.9030✓0.761.2M2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.9487+4.26%9.414-10.35%0.0126✓1.102.0M2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.077687+4.42%0.0625-15.99%0.0543✗1.101.1M2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012494+4.55%0.00001261+5.52%0.1935✓1.24934k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.057343+4.83%0.0446-18.46%0.0610✗1.28269k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.069510.072883+4.85%0.062937-9.46%0.0413✓0.71327k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.106679+5.21%0.0818-19.33%0.0868✗1.205,6912022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.17818+5.25%0.13844-18.22%0.0224✓1.55212k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.77755.0392+5.48%4.0071-16.13%0.1179✗0.75908k2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.