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2022-08-04 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2368
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.2%
in alpha space · 31.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.7917-6.58%1.195-37.70%0.1457✓1.972.8M2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.96764-5.06%0.8416-17.43%0.0859✗1.71241k2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.5349-5.02%17.13-20.77%0.0703✓0.842.4M2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.7499.8486-3.75%93.83-9.55%0.0680✗0.994.2M2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1784-3.27%1.543-31.48%0.1622✓1.39172k2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.1945-3.26%4.756-36.05%0.1861✓1.7313.1M2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.646818-2.87%0.54122-18.72%0.0205✓1.5188k2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.2104-2.79%19.02-32.05%0.1796✓1.36946k2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.54-2.53%1.49-5.70%0.0061✓0.30242k2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.769039-2.16%0.519-33.97%0.2018✓1.463,1392022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.6965-2.13%2.941-22.13%0.0005✓1.745.0M2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3013-2.06%1.0729-19.25%0.0034✓1.495.6M2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1786-2.00%1.68-24.43%0.0928✓1.27626k2022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.829748-1.92%0.669-20.92%0.0135✓1.744.6M2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.547984-1.80%0.412-26.16%0.1347✓1.1414k2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034373-1.71%0.02059-41.12%0.3228✓1.4413.9M2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,471.10-1.65%9,785.94-8.09%0.1197✗1.424.5M2022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.264-1.54%32.23-7.39%0.1236✗1.4011.4M2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9383-1.46%1.482-24.66%0.0827✓1.41266k2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098099-1.16%0.00026115+163.12%1.2475✗2.04516k2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.415095-1.06%0.36179-13.77%0.0439✗1.38583k2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.5168-0.99%48.81-20.14%0.0606✓1.17379k2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.7043-0.98%14.03-11.54%0.0721✗1.412.5M2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.187315-0.82%0.15784-16.43%0.1330✗2.311,1512022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7471-0.81%6.305-28.51%0.1442✓1.399.9M2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3452-0.80%7.3234+117.18%0.9006✗0.891.4M2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative2.62.5807-0.74%1.951-24.96%0.1138✓1.26448k2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum46.0145.6808-0.72%30.98-32.67%0.1487✓1.82266k2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.216351-0.53%0.1524-29.93%0.1785✓1.311,5612022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.90619-0.31%0.678-25.41%0.0581✓1.76496k2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009785-0.05%0.00869-11.24%0.0028✓0.885.1M2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001091+0.17%0.001326+21.79%0.3586✓1.241.3M2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.1259+0.19%2.25-27.88%0.1292✗1.52211k2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.395+0.35%12.627+21.89%0.3727✓1.3513.7M2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum5656.2352+0.42%47.89-14.48%0.0223✓1.3935k2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.173675+0.45%0.1258-27.24%0.1617✗1.223.5M2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.802629+0.45%0.688-13.89%0.0200✗1.02377k2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.570279+0.45%0.4418-22.18%0.1087✗1.1146k2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.364588+0.49%0.29127-19.72%0.0530✗1.3013k2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.11014+0.49%0.0949-13.41%0.0160✓1.25505k2022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054554+0.54%0.042307-22.03%0.1780✗0.5825k2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.580704+0.54%0.3093-46.45%0.4490✗1.38234k2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0711.1342+0.58%10.12-8.58%0.0624✓1.20263k2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.988.029+0.61%6.499-18.56%0.0509✗1.227.0M2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7448+0.62%2.045-25.04%0.1062✗1.4349k2022-09-03
DASHDashDash49.449.7069+0.62%46.77-5.32%0.0833✓1.10574k2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.2069+0.67%2.2636-28.94%0.1428✗1.5612k2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.460886+0.83%0.3754-17.87%0.1048✗0.7668k2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.4108+0.84%1.159-17.16%0.0288✗1.282.6M2022-09-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0599+0.89%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26960.8229+0.92%52.516-12.86%0.0372✗0.83321k2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.165713+0.92%0.1379-16.02%0.0204✗1.24518k2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.032631+0.99%0.03443+6.56%0.2156✓1.2314k2022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.06222+1.01%0.0556-9.74%0.0755✓1.43350k2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.003770.003809+1.03%0.00311-17.51%0.0323✗1.30551k2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.087049+1.04%0.07135-17.18%0.0195✗1.3629k2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4854+1.05%1.1328-22.94%0.0856✗1.411.2M2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.01576+1.06%0.013081-16.12%0.0689✗0.892.1M2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.044338+1.09%0.03762-14.23%0.0407✗0.942,0262022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.6516+1.10%5.78+3.40%0.1030✓0.611.4M2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.6282+1.10%18.9-19.13%0.0154✗1.5826.1M2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.60e-7+1.18%8.93e-7+150.93%1.0380✓0.99164k2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.505624+1.19%0.4804-3.86%0.1070✓1.2040.5M2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9824.0299+1.20%2.976-25.26%0.1905✗0.86922k2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.3111+1.21%7.65-16.85%0.0141✗1.39334k2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.334718+1.25%0.2804-15.18%0.0238✗1.173.5M2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017814+1.33%0.01336-24.00%0.1797✗0.82193k2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1278+1.34%0.86852-21.96%0.1159✗1.1111k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.63e-7+1.38%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0298✓1.0025k2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.337609+1.38%0.269-19.22%0.0906✗1.041.1M2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9823.0263+1.49%2.744-7.98%0.0492✓1.12591k2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4513+1.50%4.026+66.71%0.6134✓0.89110k2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.067708+1.51%0.0578-13.34%0.0346✗0.94183k2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.410586+1.55%0.33497-17.15%0.0469✗1.19107k2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.906+1.57%4.96+2.69%0.1031✓0.701.3M2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1684+1.58%1.0572-8.08%0.0382✓1.0543k2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2333+1.59%1.014-16.47%0.1103✗0.651.9M2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.341641+1.65%0.303-9.85%0.0288✓1.138.2M2022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.6314+1.65%6.85+23.65%0.2737✓0.59873k2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.6933+1.67%13.804+199.05%1.1529✓0.561.4M2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.740.752474+1.69%0.73-1.35%0.0484✓0.6079k2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.7291+1.71%1.29-24.12%0.1195✗1.32122k2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.265208+1.77%0.2386-8.44%0.0407✓1.1165k2022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.22197+1.82%0.17-22.02%0.0678✗1.51782k2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006263+1.90%0.005893-4.11%0.0506✓0.857,1222022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1489+1.92%0.8243-26.88%0.1519✗1.371.4M2022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.119066+1.94%0.1012-13.36%0.0211✗1.08370k2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.2495+1.95%7.29-9.91%0.0368✓1.2211.0M2022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.9059+1.98%4.492+17.28%0.2311✓0.691.5M2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020946+2.05%0.026685+30.01%0.2974✓0.42167k2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.70008+2.05%0.52-24.20%0.1136✗1.4088k2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.9244+2.09%4.797+24.79%0.2776✓0.581.9M2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.2361+2.11%1.7905-18.24%0.0644✗1.2032k2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.308371+2.11%0.2308-23.58%0.1432✗1.11300k2022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.9435+2.12%6.87+18.04%0.2338✓0.68746k2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.425174+2.16%0.354-14.94%0.0103✓1.31127k2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008399+2.17%0.00602-26.76%0.2142✗0.901.6M2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.6527+2.18%1.881-27.54%0.1132✗1.75109k2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.7792+2.19%26.2-10.09%0.0032✓0.9510.0M2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.5281+2.23%6.861-6.83%0.0717✓1.2516.9M2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.1593+2.24%1.93-37.54%0.4279✗0.49109k2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.137723+2.24%0.1211-10.10%0.0385✓1.2761k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8549+2.26%1.771-2.37%0.0367✓0.63206k2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.9512+2.30%9.31+6.40%0.1034✓0.491.8M2022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000043935+2.32%0.00004471+4.12%0.1696✓1.161.9M2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.254267+2.32%0.2102-15.41%0.0296✗1.22101k2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash64.3865.8911+2.35%62.7-2.61%0.1147✓1.251.6M2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.258154+2.36%0.2228-11.66%0.0055✓1.16768k2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.610715+2.38%0.5007-16.06%0.0484✗1.14690k2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.800755+2.40%0.671-14.19%0.0184✓1.20225k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.129946+2.40%0.102-19.62%0.1111✗1.004,7012022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3498.6763+2.43%87.18-9.51%0.0938✓1.6610.2M2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6561.1169+2.46%60.19+0.91%0.1366✓1.1513.6M2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.2939+2.50%6.507-19.59%0.1053✗1.042.5M2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.84e-7+2.50%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0016✓0.846.4M2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.3295+2.50%0.9295-28.33%0.1945✗1.241.1M2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8716+2.56%1.5227-16.56%0.0395✗1.27530k2022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.95924.0607+2.56%3.1511-20.41%0.1108✗1.0945k2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.05037+2.59%0.04477-8.82%0.0013✓0.8915k2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.064635+2.59%0.0485-23.02%0.1185✗1.28802k2022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.321521+2.60%0.35+11.69%0.2327✓1.12396k2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992451.0182+2.60%0.78775-20.63%0.0859✗1.30532k2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021695+2.68%0.02203+4.26%0.1488✓1.02159k2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.116988+2.69%0.105238-7.62%0.0245✓0.996.9M2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana38.8239.8751+2.72%31.12-19.84%0.0682✗1.3781.1M2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.8037+2.77%1.319-24.84%0.1249✗1.43341k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.47370.486903+2.79%0.361-23.79%0.1363✗1.24808k2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.148828+2.85%0.2171+50.03%0.5200✓1.08907k2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003157+2.86%0.002948-3.94%0.0620✓0.991.0M2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.35+2.88%0.292785-13.94%0.0115✓1.271.0M2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.268679+2.90%0.1834-29.76%0.3803✗0.0129k2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006897+2.94%0.006407-4.37%0.0060✓0.5140k2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34138.3126+2.96%117.83-12.29%0.0027✓1.204.6M2022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.023112+2.96%0.020633-8.09%0.0133✓0.9611k2022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.087956+2.98%0.07801-8.66%0.0844✗0.271.1M2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,656.23+2.99%1,557.70-3.14%0.1065✓1.28407.7M2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.8384+2.99%15.52-10.39%0.0428✓1.38116k2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.050210.051724+3.02%0.043496-13.37%0.0158✓1.2035k2022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.1523+3.05%5.1775+3.55%0.0279✓0.17219k2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.043385+3.05%0.0354-15.91%0.0422✗1.2376k2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.339057+3.06%0.3208-2.49%0.0928✓1.1377k2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.00468+3.08%0.00397-12.56%0.0074✓1.31112k2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002256+3.08%0.001655-24.39%0.1784✗1.001.4M2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.143529+3.11%0.1363-2.08%0.0730✓0.953.6M2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.079343+3.14%0.06648-13.58%0.0806✗0.739772022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.562549+3.14%0.4583-15.97%0.0555✗1.14333k2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.452707+3.17%0.3659-16.61%0.0184✓1.48278k2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.206026+3.27%0.1738-12.88%0.0137✓1.401,2762022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.25164.4599+3.27%154.44-3.02%0.0828✓1.111.2M2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.58130.600563+3.31%0.5434-6.52%0.0558✓1.181.8M2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2023,248.32+3.35%19,875.80-11.64%0.0278✓0.9813k2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91753.0153+3.35%4.8007+64.55%0.5941✓0.981.2M2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.2254+3.38%0.9676-18.37%0.1217✗0.874.1M2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7518.3527+3.40%15.21-14.31%0.0160✓1.311.3M2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.5569+3.65%1.7051+13.52%0.2749✓1.40594k2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.3458+3.68%6.609+28.18%0.2813✓0.532.4M2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.069852+3.71%0.062675-6.94%0.0457✓1.171.7M2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.765605+3.74%1.037+40.51%0.4630✓1.21968k2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635915.1882+3.77%12.6808-13.36%0.0295✓1.1558k2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9423,486.53+3.81%19,835.47-12.33%0.0374✓1.00427.9M2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.009344+3.82%0.00798-11.33%0.0105✓1.28387k2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.088697+3.86%0.0572-33.02%0.2875✗1.15126k2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.5777+3.94%2.26-8.87%0.0100✓1.08507k2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.075983+3.94%0.119+62.79%0.5445✓0.73159k2022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.061761+4.15%0.05-15.68%0.0279✓1.39172k2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.2762+4.28%7.5278+139.62%0.9324✓0.761.1M2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0788+4.34%1.1337+9.65%0.2008✓1.151.0M2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.236246+4.40%0.212-6.32%0.0846✓1.4787k2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.7137+4.41%4.84-24.73%0.1444✗1.391.2M2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000012376+4.44%0.0000123+3.80%0.1579✓1.25951k2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.050362+4.49%0.0358-25.73%0.1701✗1.307,5232022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0614+4.55%0.885648-12.76%0.0572✗0.9460k2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.031804+4.69%0.02472-18.63%0.0807✗1.301,4012022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.163464+4.72%0.1418-9.16%0.0196✓1.23107k2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.056349+4.93%0.0443-17.50%0.0722✗1.28284k2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.076944+4.97%0.0608-17.05%0.0899✗1.111.1M2022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.072411+4.97%0.06311-8.51%0.0461✓0.69345k2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.12645+5.20%0.1018-15.31%0.0365✓1.372.9M2022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.102792+5.43%0.0824-15.49%0.0628✗1.207,1482022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.085355+5.51%0.06279-22.39%0.1115✗1.49871k2022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.5983+5.61%9.192-8.40%0.0029✓1.102.0M2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.00175+5.63%0.001499-9.54%0.0192✓1.039,0682022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.554.8183+5.90%4.2494-6.61%0.0274✓0.75920k2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.77045+5.98%0.527-27.51%0.1862✗1.47121k2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.169947+6.22%0.13707-14.33%0.0133✓1.53212k2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.