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2022-08-03 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1613
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.9%
in alpha space · 82.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.693-15.05%1.234-38.08%0.0514✓1.972.4M2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.034221-8.72%0.02024-46.01%0.3317✓1.4413.9M2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.049,829.57-8.35%10,076.20-6.05%0.2162✗1.424.4M2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.435.8952-8.32%5.99-6.84%0.0979✗0.611.4M2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.074543-8.21%0.06497-20.00%0.0625✓1.49786k2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.5817-8.02%6.365+27.79%0.3998✗0.532.2M2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.4365-7.37%3.028-18.38%0.1074✗1.745.0M2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.839959-7.19%0.6722-25.72%0.0149✓1.77513k2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum105.1897.6583-7.15%92.78-11.79%0.0818✗0.994.2M2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.2952-7.08%2.25-8.91%0.1250✗1.08398k2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.603201-7.06%0.53972-16.84%0.0920✗1.5188k2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.932013-7.05%0.889-11.34%0.1834✗1.72211k2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000093027-6.94%0.00024148+141.55%1.2278✗2.04536k2022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6425.7816-6.72%19.34-30.03%0.1050✓1.36773k2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.762177-6.60%0.668-18.14%0.1020✗1.744.8M2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9820.5541-6.49%17.08-22.29%0.0710✓0.852.2M2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum35.333.0389-6.41%31.7-10.20%0.2167✗1.92251k2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.8698-6.37%1.701-14.82%0.0763✗1.27626k2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.7579-6.34%4.95-2.56%0.1338✗0.701.3M2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.954041-6.26%1.1047+8.54%0.3009✗1.151.1M2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.507939-6.13%0.3186-41.12%0.2779✓1.40222k2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.118-6.13%14.03-18.29%0.0370✓1.311.3M2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4415.4362-6.11%13.76-16.30%0.0740✗1.412.3M2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.3813-6.10%6.292-19.96%0.0045✓1.227.0M2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.5977-6.05%5.831-27.90%0.1243✓1.042.4M2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008158-6.01%0.00814-6.22%0.1697✗1.28375k2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9028-5.99%1.488-26.48%0.0562✓1.41255k2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03430.972365-5.99%0.9679-6.42%0.1132✗0.883.9M2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.0722-5.92%7.9584+143.72%1.0543✗0.761.1M2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.016635-5.91%0.01324-25.11%0.1174✓0.82207k2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.0969-5.90%7.59-29.26%0.0995✓1.38334k2022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.734271-5.86%0.479-38.59%0.2316✓1.453,6872022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0633.9856-5.75%32.45-10.01%0.1425✗1.409.4M2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.0037-5.72%9.58+0.31%0.1274✗0.491.7M2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.1683-5.64%7.5477+124.79%0.9875✗0.891.3M2022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.439878-5.53%0.3771-19.01%0.0512✓0.7668k2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.5481-5.45%2.034-24.53%0.0332✓1.4349k2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.489243-5.37%0.423-18.18%0.0088✓1.1513k2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.301253-5.36%0.2313-27.33%0.1150✓1.11294k2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.128-5.26%1.534-31.70%0.1412✓1.38177k2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.625-5.25%4.612+20.54%0.3197✗0.591.9M2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0267-5.23%0.829-23.48%0.0293✓1.371.4M2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.2566-5.21%10.18-5.91%0.1537✗1.20259k2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.683-5.12%7.11+18.70%0.3152✗0.68725k2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.17854-5.05%0.15905-15.42%0.1955✗2.311,1512022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.1055-5.05%4.86-24.42%0.0414✓1.391.2M2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039249-4.97%0.035-15.25%0.0502✓1.2376k2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.112157-4.95%0.103-12.71%0.0992✗1.372.9M2022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6056-4.94%1.31-22.44%0.0112✓1.43341k2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.0696-4.92%1.008-10.40%0.0283✓0.651.8M2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.5422-4.86%1.899-28.93%0.0561✓1.75109k2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.4746-4.85%6.406-28.08%0.0930✓1.399.8M2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.081946-4.82%0.057-33.80%0.2083✓1.15128k2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.32e-7-4.75%8.64e-7+147.55%1.0878✗0.99170k2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.2666-4.72%14.875+232.18%1.3248✗0.561.3M2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7653.1323-4.71%45.81-17.84%0.0387✓1.3934k2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7146-4.69%1.76-2.17%0.1115✗0.64189k2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.724-4.63%2.96-24.20%0.1144✓0.86922k2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0421.9735-4.63%18.87-18.10%0.0604✗1.5827.5M2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.105794-4.60%0.0931-16.05%0.0406✓1.25505k2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0248-4.58%1.98-37.54%0.3574✓0.49102k2022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.15159-4.54%0.1381-13.04%0.0737✗1.24508k2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.197607-4.54%0.1524-26.38%0.0843✓1.311,6972022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.055864-4.51%0.0486-16.92%0.0333✓1.28799k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.029883-4.44%0.03437+9.91%0.3058✗1.2314k2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.8549-4.37%4.706-34.35%0.1430✓1.7312.2M2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.128019-4.32%0.2187+63.45%0.6814✗1.09779k2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.377194-4.32%0.33413-15.24%0.0389✓1.19118k2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2049-4.30%0.93-26.13%0.0917✓1.241.2M2022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3689-4.27%1.1131-22.16%0.0174✓1.411.1M2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.321578-4.26%0.292616-12.88%0.0764✗1.271.1M2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.2785-4.16%1.0939-18.00%0.0453✗1.506.4M2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001042-4.07%0.001355+24.69%0.4288✗1.241.3M2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.318518-4.06%0.27-18.67%0.0258✓1.041.1M2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.389466-4.05%0.35346-12.92%0.0886✗1.38583k2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.5960.572084-4.01%0.5541-7.03%0.1271✗1.181.5M2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.8208-3.95%4.42+11.11%0.2390✗0.691.5M2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration61.3158.9218-3.90%47.83-21.99%0.0509✓1.17379k2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015172-3.88%0.01333-15.55%0.0091✓0.892.1M2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.8514-3.80%2.743-7.46%0.1110✗1.11597k2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.052547-3.76%0.0438-19.78%0.0100✓1.28284k2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.222472-3.73%0.2219-3.98%0.1951✗1.4789k2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.056137-3.71%0.0499-14.41%0.0693✗1.39167k2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1659.788-3.71%12.614+24.09%0.4358✗1.3514.4M2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.205146-3.69%0.168-21.13%0.0036✓1.51786k2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.164513-3.68%0.1232-27.87%0.1251✓1.223.5M2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31158.0934-3.68%53.741-10.89%0.0342✓0.83330k2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4643-3.67%1.48-2.63%0.0516✗0.30221k2022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9791.5006-3.65%88.39-6.93%0.1880✗1.6610.2M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019221-3.65%0.025779+29.22%0.3503✗0.42165k2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.925243-3.62%0.77622-19.14%0.0010✓1.30532k2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.157324-3.51%0.13722-15.84%0.0696✗1.53212k2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7121-3.48%2.19-22.06%0.0098✓1.52198k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003730.0036-3.48%0.00313-16.09%0.0341✓1.29551k2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7129.0762-3.46%116.4-12.94%0.0577✗1.204.5M2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004402-3.46%0.00396-13.16%0.0698✗1.31112k2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5448-3.45%1.31-18.13%0.0127✓1.32122k2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,563.54-3.41%1,575.69-2.66%0.1793✗1.28404.0M2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana38.5537.2431-3.39%31.24-18.96%0.0081✓1.3781.8M2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.425059-3.37%0.3489-20.69%0.0012✓1.48278k2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.139932-3.36%0.1352-6.63%0.0929✗0.953.6M2022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.075654-3.35%0.0671-14.28%0.0216✓0.731,0202022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.6465-3.35%2.2074-19.38%0.0288✓1.5612k2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3136-3.34%1.181-13.10%0.0653✗1.282.5M2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.611935-3.33%0.508-19.75%0.0020✓1.4088k2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.3927-3.33%3.82+54.34%0.5877✗0.89110k2022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.742133-3.24%0.713-7.04%0.0966✗1.02377k2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.7441-3.24%7.3-8.78%0.1050✗1.2211.0M2022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.6334-3.21%6.91+18.73%0.2837✗0.59873k2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.252853-3.20%0.1972-24.50%0.2470✓0.0129k2022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.238376-3.14%0.2088-15.16%0.0319✓1.22110k2022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase17.1516.6189-3.10%15.53-9.45%0.1167✗1.37116k2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.085288-3.09%0.0801-8.99%0.0276✓0.261.1M2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.085042-3.04%0.07182-18.12%0.0144✓1.3629k2022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003046-3.02%0.002989-4.84%0.1139✗0.991.0M2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.460225-2.99%0.436-8.09%0.0966✗1.1246k2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.252123-2.95%0.2409-7.27%0.1046✗1.1265k2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.112593-2.94%0.1007-13.19%0.0328✗1.07370k2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.585984-2.92%0.4979-17.51%0.0096✓1.14690k2022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.300374-2.89%0.34352+11.06%0.2858✗1.13398k2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.767184-2.89%0.657-16.84%0.0065✓1.20225k2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.047882-2.86%0.044071-10.59%0.0780✗1.2035k2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.486752-2.82%0.4544-9.28%0.0928✗1.2041.9M2022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.310966-2.82%0.281-12.19%0.0554✗1.173.5M2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.769-2.79%5.1574+81.06%0.7539✗0.981.2M2022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011502-2.78%0.00001218+2.96%0.2249✗1.25986k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.125261-2.75%0.1-22.36%0.0914✓1.004,9522022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7856.1949-2.74%61.02+5.61%0.2376✗1.1513.7M2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1174-2.69%1.788-17.83%0.0077✓1.2032k2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.317964-2.67%0.3024-7.44%0.1011✗1.138.1M2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.054299-2.57%0.043204-22.48%0.1506✓0.5824k2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.057254-2.46%0.0558-4.94%0.1662✗1.43350k2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.106-2.46%6.93-4.87%0.1431✗1.2518.3M2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041409-2.43%0.00004622+8.91%0.2653✗1.161.9M2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002202-2.37%0.001603-28.91%0.1829✓1.001.5M2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.57e-7-2.34%8.90e-7-9.18%0.0618✗1.0025k2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.46630.455558-2.30%0.3635-22.05%0.0590✓1.24892k2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.081-2.23%0.87122-21.20%0.0670✓1.1111k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.6823-2.22%1.4907-13.35%0.0496✗1.27530k2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.066689-2.22%0.0568-16.72%0.0342✓0.94229k2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030123-2.20%0.0246-20.13%0.0275✓1.301,3502022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8152-2.14%3.1377-19.52%0.0496✓1.0945k2022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.8202-2.07%9.161-8.65%0.0790✗1.102.0M2022-09-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0159-2.06%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.394204-1.99%0.3535-12.11%0.0679✗1.32127k2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4303-1.96%1.798+23.24%0.4168✗1.40675k2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.5311-1.95%26.31-9.59%0.0465✗0.9510.8M2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.3576-1.81%12.8342-12.23%0.0423✗1.1563k2022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.196289-1.81%0.1768-11.56%0.0833✗1.401,1742022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.075971-1.72%0.0619-19.92%0.0562✓1.11952k2022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.095558-1.69%0.0821-15.53%0.0101✓1.206,5342022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006585-1.69%0.006468-3.43%0.0514✗0.5239k2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045041-1.66%0.0367-19.87%0.0298✓1.309,0132022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.152677-1.63%0.141-9.15%0.0859✗1.23102k2022-09-02
FLOWFlownative1.841.8103-1.61%1.965+6.79%0.2537✗1.28430k2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.132744-1.60%0.1218-9.71%0.0847✗1.2761k2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0081-1.58%0.876412-14.44%0.0138✓0.9460k2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.112432-1.53%0.104596-8.40%0.0609✗0.997.0M2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash61.8560.9556-1.45%60.36-2.41%0.1583✗1.251.5M2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1228-1.38%1.0393-8.71%0.0640✗1.0547k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009633-1.30%0.00875-10.35%0.0222✗0.885.0M2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.677173-1.29%0.538-21.57%0.0318✓1.47106k2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.34512-1.17%0.29376-15.88%0.0145✗1.3113k2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.314469-1.17%0.3031-4.75%0.1149✗1.1377k2022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero157.11155.3754-1.10%153.67-2.19%0.1373✗1.101.2M2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.04784-1.03%0.04476-7.41%0.0527✗0.8915k2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,613.97-1.01%20,019.30-12.37%0.0099✓0.9814k2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.51e-7-0.98%8.90e-7-7.29%0.0467✗0.846.4M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.740.733372-0.90%0.72-2.70%0.0615✗0.5983k2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.00169-0.85%0.001528-10.33%0.0383✗1.039,4962022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021121-0.84%0.02248+5.54%0.1989✗1.02159k2022-09-02
DASHDashDash48.7748.3754-0.81%45.69-6.32%0.0902✗1.10574k2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.738046-0.80%1.084+45.70%0.5479✗1.22895k2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.065728-0.71%0.061662-6.86%0.0936✗1.171.7M2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.043208-0.56%0.03809-12.34%0.0004✓0.942,3002022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4874-0.49%4.2655-5.41%0.0496✗0.75920k2022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.248315-0.47%0.2233-10.50%0.0505✗1.17768k2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022948-0.47%0.020785-9.85%0.0306✗0.9611k2022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0072-0.16%5.402+7.71%0.0990✗0.17219k2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008228+0.46%0.00602-26.50%0.1912✗0.901.6M2022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.062381+0.62%0.1196+92.90%0.7499✓0.74159k2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0023,043.79+0.96%19,953.74-12.58%0.0095✓1.00427.9M2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006279+1.15%0.005767-7.11%0.0279✓0.848,9962022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.068636+1.23%0.062628-7.63%0.0005✓0.69364k2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.55294+1.40%0.466-14.54%0.0185✗1.14335k2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.