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2022-08-01 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1989
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.7%
in alpha space · 22.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001858+9.48%0.00156-8.07%0.0223✓1.0211k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.796221+8.92%0.528-27.77%0.1884✗1.4980k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.8513+8.92%9.001-9.66%0.0252✓1.082.1M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.133826+8.27%0.1026-16.99%0.0597✓1.382.8M2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.178523+7.93%0.13698-17.19%0.0347✓1.54212k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.102514+7.80%0.0821-13.67%0.0423✓1.216,7862022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.068779+7.30%0.1161+81.12%0.6446✓0.81155k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.057045+7.23%0.044-17.29%0.0731✗1.25269k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94513.1539+7.09%7.8611+166.92%1.0288✓0.77978k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.032121+7.03%0.02455-18.19%0.0740✗1.311,2932022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.774092+6.48%1.078+48.28%0.5123✓1.21806k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9195.2364+6.45%6.047+22.93%0.2262✓0.552.0M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.7013+6.45%4.3008-2.62%0.0198✓0.73916k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.08566+6.41%0.06211-22.84%0.0977✗1.50773k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.175222+6.39%0.1445-12.26%0.0074✓1.2494k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.245175+6.27%0.2184-5.33%0.1056✓1.4897k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.068828+6.22%0.0503-22.38%0.0991✗1.44154k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.043789+6.03%0.0349-15.50%0.0437✓1.2371k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.49e-7+6.01%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1182✓0.96178k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.090882+5.92%0.0595-30.65%0.2480✗1.18137k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0783+5.87%0.894603-12.16%0.0437✓0.9660k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.993484+5.82%0.9535+1.57%0.0926✓0.903.2M2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.051088+5.77%0.0357-26.09%0.1578✗1.347,6872022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.073921+5.64%0.063428-9.35%0.0371✓0.78373k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.07443+5.57%0.0622-11.77%0.0190✓1.08567k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.9766+5.57%12.38-18.20%0.0796✗1.1868k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8818.8703+5.54%14.14-20.92%0.0875✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.157527+5.44%0.2179+45.85%0.4895✓1.11698k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.5198+5.43%2.13-10.88%0.0085✓1.07301k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.064461+5.33%0.0484-20.92%0.0920✗1.30799k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000012599+5.25%0.00001208+0.92%0.1419✓1.23986k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum88.4163+5.20%7.66-4.25%0.1098✓1.37263k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.9396+5.11%4.0516+44.87%0.4665✓0.981.0M2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.3809+5.00%0.29809-17.83%0.0515✗1.301.0M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.4935+4.91%2.03-39.04%0.4696✗0.4994k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008832+4.90%0.00619-26.48%0.2191✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.8282+4.89%4.86-25.35%0.1312✗1.401.1M2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.1316+4.89%0.8327-22.82%0.0959✗1.411.4M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003413+4.82%0.002994-8.05%0.0210✓1.021.0M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8624,393.94+4.81%20,048.26-13.86%0.0470✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.8002+4.78%1.275-25.79%0.1286✗1.45327k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.58101.1137+4.69%84.85-12.15%0.0726✓1.6610.2M2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.726+4.63%6.25-25.06%0.1480✗1.246.8M2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.053771+4.52%0.043941-14.59%0.0249✓1.1938k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9344.1117+4.52%4.337+10.24%0.1606✓0.721.4M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.674559+4.42%0.515-20.28%0.0605✗1.4088k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.160889+4.41%0.1324-14.08%0.0473✗0.993.5M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.082457+4.40%0.06618-16.21%0.1108✗0.731,1722022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,702.49+4.39%1,554.00-4.71%0.0961✓1.26387.0M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009792+4.39%0.00799-14.82%0.0151✓1.26359k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.6431+4.35%1.7276+9.71%0.2644✓1.44589k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.33754+4.24%0.3041-6.08%0.0666✓1.1576k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006932+4.24%0.006495-2.33%0.0153✓0.5438k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0752+4.23%1.1394+10.46%0.2322✓1.171.1M2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.018657+4.23%0.01358-24.13%0.2010✗0.78229k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87143.6676+4.21%115.16-16.47%0.0434✗1.194.3M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.507513+4.18%0.3717-23.70%0.1944✗0.7863k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.812561+4.17%0.73-6.41%0.0169✓0.6179k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004979+4.17%0.00404-15.48%0.0128✓1.32112k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69167.3809+4.16%149.22-7.14%0.0509✓1.111.3M2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.58048+4.14%0.4594-17.58%0.0639✗1.14341k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.441432+4.14%0.3513-17.13%0.0302✓1.33127k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.5155+4.10%7.033-14.02%0.0063✓1.2410.0M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.9016+4.08%15.53-14.48%0.0080✓1.37116k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8765.4287+4.07%59.88-4.76%0.0981✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.824614+3.99%0.663-16.39%0.0342✓1.23218k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.489516+3.93%0.3462-26.50%0.1272✗1.47273k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.071404+3.90%0.061277-10.83%0.0184✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-70.000001008+3.89%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0115✓0.836.4M2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3742+3.87%0.9427-28.75%0.1917✗1.241.2M2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.122858+3.85%0.104365-11.78%0.0147✓0.996.8M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.5311+3.83%13.005+198.01%1.1412✓0.581.2M2022-08-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02450.025435+3.81%0.0257+4.90%0.0872✓0.5143k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.643179+3.81%0.5054-18.43%0.0687✗1.16642k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.022379+3.80%0.02304+6.86%0.1831✓1.03159k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.273078+3.79%0.2112-19.73%0.0736✗1.23101k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.31748+3.79%0.2325-23.99%0.1438✗1.12300k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6743.234+3.75%31.5-24.41%0.1139✗1.3681.1M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.2602+3.75%4.79-5.52%0.0122✓0.711.2M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.4084+3.75%6.6294+101.80%0.7985✓0.891.2M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.9922+3.72%4.449+15.59%0.1970✓0.591.7M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7769.0994+3.69%5.746-34.53%0.3010✗1.062.4M2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006553+3.67%0.005668-10.32%0.0108✓0.909,1592022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.275442+3.67%0.2291-13.77%0.0159✓1.13768k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.9628+3.63%2.1594-24.47%0.0829✗1.5612k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.6571+3.59%1.915-25.34%0.0657✗1.7595k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4761.5935+3.57%53.84-9.47%0.0379✓1.1613.6M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.320079+3.55%0.35+13.22%0.2638✓1.17398k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.8425+3.55%6.628-12.49%0.0204✓1.2616.9M2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.530721+3.49%0.4458-13.07%0.0121✓1.2541.9M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.214225+3.49%0.1824-11.88%0.0475✓1.401,1792022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.053464+3.43%0.04593-11.14%0.0173✓0.9015k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.183666+3.42%0.1276-28.15%0.1768✗1.263.5M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003878+3.41%0.00335-10.67%0.0488✓1.31559k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.9564+3.37%2.15-24.83%0.0919✗1.52192k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.353931+3.37%0.2885-15.74%0.0344✗1.147.7M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4701+3.31%1.205-15.32%0.0092✓1.272.5M2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.095408+3.30%0.08149-11.77%0.1213✗0.241.1M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000046629+3.30%0.00004452-1.37%0.1268✓1.161.9M2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.148539+3.30%0.1236-14.05%0.0078✓1.2859k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.476417+3.28%0.365-20.88%0.0806✗1.25778k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.34597+3.27%0.282-15.82%0.0506✗1.03959k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,930.90+3.27%19,990.40-13.73%0.0336✗0.9814k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.177608+3.26%0.1395-18.90%0.0551✗1.25491k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8774.0021+3.23%2.922-24.63%0.1826✗0.88754k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.1144+3.19%0.91-15.74%0.0981✗0.701.5M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002506+3.18%0.001503-38.12%0.3622✗1.001.8M2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.995+3.18%6.4+10.15%0.1565✓0.61732k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7531.7253+3.17%26.73-13.07%0.0293✓0.9510.2M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0484+3.15%0.77191-24.05%0.1088✗1.32525k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.062091+3.14%0.0577-4.15%0.1360✓1.40339k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8763+3.10%1.5108-16.98%0.0283✓1.26492k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.2797+2.95%6.7+9.84%0.1636✓0.66623k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6234.6079+2.94%31.03-7.70%0.1809✓1.94229k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.069375+2.93%0.0574-14.84%0.0465✗0.96229k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.26946+2.93%0.247-5.65%0.0854✗0.0128k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.3406+2.90%5.8014+11.78%0.1139✓0.21210k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0826+2.85%2.072+2.32%0.1847✓1.27415k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.227198+2.80%0.168-23.98%0.0759✗1.51821k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.8510.1241+2.78%8.84-10.25%0.0575✗0.521.7M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.020551+2.77%0.030314+51.59%0.4655✓0.51165k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.793295+2.76%0.663-14.12%0.0322✗0.99377k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.024268+2.74%0.02152-8.89%0.0255✓0.989,6292022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.844+2.73%1.818+1.28%0.0812✓0.64189k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4587+2.73%1.0347-27.13%0.1288✗1.441.1M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.123936+2.68%0.1033-14.42%0.0224✓1.07352k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6735+2.67%1.31-19.63%0.0403✗1.37114k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5924.2159+2.65%19.13-18.91%0.0024✓1.6027.5M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.554087+2.59%0.3203-40.70%0.3373✗1.41234k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.086359+2.58%0.07274-13.60%0.0289✓1.3429k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.2526+2.57%3.149-24.05%0.1373✗1.0939k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.128715+2.56%0.1003-20.08%0.1017✗0.994,9522022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.3259+2.55%1.7939-20.91%0.0755✗1.2329k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.28404+2.54%0.2447-11.66%0.0115✓1.0867k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4951+2.47%3.743+53.72%0.5427✓0.92105k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.5142+2.36%12.5-11.85%0.0607✓1.411.9M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.03276+2.25%0.03519+9.83%0.2566✓1.2414k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015346+2.19%0.013176-12.26%0.0209✓0.881.6M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.81e-7+2.16%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0294✓1.0025k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.6156+2.08%11.825+13.71%0.3129✓1.3714.4M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.679+2.05%2.959-17.92%0.0402✓1.735.0M2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.421103+2.01%0.31794-22.98%0.0729✗1.39583k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.118536+2.01%0.0899-22.63%0.0826✗1.30472k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010414+2.00%0.00858-15.96%0.0497✗0.974.7M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.342276+1.87%0.2809-16.40%0.0211✗1.183.1M2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67661.7979+1.85%51.915-14.44%0.0482✗0.85345k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.876444+1.79%0.673-21.84%0.0067✓1.735.0M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.047006+1.79%0.03845-16.74%0.0576✗0.962,3002022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001115+1.76%0.001342+22.42%0.3765✓1.291.4M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.4452+1.73%10.1-10.22%0.0562✓1.21243k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.527958+1.73%0.418-19.46%0.0627✗1.1513k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.963.0088+1.65%2.728-7.84%0.0688✓1.12619k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.2183+1.60%0.89656-25.23%0.1427✗1.1010k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2647+1.50%1.0708-14.06%0.0078✓1.0643k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.195339+1.47%0.15568-19.13%0.1183✓2.311,2222022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.4837+1.42%6.142-26.58%0.1139✗1.408.5M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.503237+1.34%0.439-11.60%0.0305✓1.1247k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.213316+1.29%0.1531-27.30%0.1290✗1.361,6972022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9831+1.23%2.012-31.73%0.1811✗1.4349k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7550.3181+1.14%44.55-10.45%0.0433✓1.11574k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0902+1.14%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.959.5637+1.13%47.14-19.97%0.0263✗1.3932k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.601+1.09%5.61-14.09%0.0703✗0.621.2M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.7137+1.05%4.761-28.34%0.0854✗1.7311.3M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3189+0.98%1.1463-12.24%0.0843✓1.515.6M2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.9071+0.91%1.43-24.34%0.0754✗1.42234k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057747+0.90%0.043128-24.65%0.2026✗0.6022k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.423068+0.88%0.33416-20.32%0.0551✗1.21118k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.347064+0.46%0.31172-9.77%0.0888✓1.3112k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.4591+0.36%47.42-26.17%0.1302✗1.18354k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000105111+0.31%0.00022156+111.43%1.0356✓1.94592k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.957156+0.23%0.6723-29.60%0.0889✗1.77513k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,637.46+0.23%9,021.07-22.31%0.0463✗1.404.2M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.1801-0.10%17.27-10.05%0.0237✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.829362-0.20%0.475-42.84%0.3355✓1.493,6872022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.9429-0.22%32.41-7.45%0.1352✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0098-0.60%1.65-18.40%0.0066✓1.28637k2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.2219-0.77%19.03-33.09%0.1863✓1.39641k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036469-0.90%0.02026-44.95%0.3605✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4972-0.98%1.129-25.33%0.0136✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.764028-1.35%0.5573-28.04%0.1416✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.46101.6022-1.80%96.47-6.76%0.0994✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5226-2.40%1.52-2.56%0.0306✗0.22268k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3539-2.57%1.522-37.00%0.2253✓1.41177k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.691635-2.80%0.55118-22.54%0.0013✓1.5188k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1017-3.34%0.9023-20.84%0.0462✗1.65205k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.