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2022-08-01 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2015
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 77.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.323-12.50%1.129-25.33%0.1373✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,617.35-8.56%9,021.07-22.31%0.0455✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0423-8.55%0.9023-20.84%0.1016✗1.65205k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.033877-7.94%0.02026-44.95%0.2868✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.0153-7.88%5.61-14.09%0.0226✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000097147-7.29%0.00022156+111.43%1.1143✗1.94592k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.888821-6.93%0.6723-29.60%0.0148✓1.77513k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.075018-6.81%0.06211-22.84%0.0350✓1.50773k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.5849-6.79%6.047+22.93%0.3591✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4696.6426-6.59%96.47-6.76%0.1495✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.5723-6.57%19.03-33.09%0.1261✓1.39641k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.805214-6.48%0.673-21.84%0.0781✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.665776-6.44%0.55118-22.54%0.0368✓1.5188k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.725824-6.28%0.5573-28.04%0.0903✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.3791-6.27%2.959-17.92%0.1253✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.2592-5.89%5.746-34.53%0.2042✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.783078-5.77%0.475-42.84%0.2781✓1.493,6872022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.2562-5.60%2.13-10.88%0.1021✗1.07301k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.008862-5.52%0.00799-14.82%0.0847✗1.26359k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9112-5.48%1.65-18.40%0.0437✓1.28637k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.7961-5.40%4.79-5.52%0.1046✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.460978-5.37%0.3717-23.70%0.0982✓0.7863k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.97659-5.32%1.1394+10.46%0.3284✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.347.8983-5.30%6.25-25.06%0.0484✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.3385-5.19%8.84-10.25%0.0233✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.182699-5.09%0.15568-19.13%0.1852✗2.311,2222022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.249-5.06%32.41-7.45%0.1849✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.2944-5.03%1.522-37.00%0.1997✓1.41177k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.7994-5.01%2.012-31.73%0.1176✓1.4349k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8816.9968-4.94%14.14-20.92%0.0171✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017024-4.89%0.01358-24.13%0.1094✓0.78229k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6231.9832-4.87%31.03-7.70%0.2598✗1.94229k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.266-4.86%17.27-10.05%0.0726✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.142148-4.85%0.2179+45.85%0.5922✗1.11698k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.893855-4.79%0.9535+1.57%0.1982✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.494242-4.77%0.418-19.46%0.0033✓1.1513k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.956.1117-4.73%47.14-19.97%0.0334✓1.3932k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.514552-4.73%0.3203-40.70%0.2633✓1.41234k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039459-4.46%0.0349-15.50%0.0604✗1.2371k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.292285-4.45%0.2325-23.99%0.0611✓1.12300k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.2291-4.31%4.86-25.35%0.0393✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.5712-4.29%12.5-11.85%0.1279✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1444-4.29%6.6294+101.80%0.8791✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.111242-4.27%0.0899-22.63%0.0191✓1.30472k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.8407-4.25%6.7+9.84%0.2361✗0.66623k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.1916-4.16%2.03-39.04%0.3793✓0.4994k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0342-4.14%0.8327-22.82%0.0059✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8118-4.14%1.43-24.34%0.0242✓1.42234k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.6916-4.09%4.449+15.59%0.2753✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2510.7952-4.04%10.1-10.22%0.1147✗1.21243k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.165219-3.94%0.1395-18.90%0.0172✓1.25491k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7242-3.94%2.922-24.63%0.1106✓0.88754k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0375-3.93%0.91-15.74%0.0266✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6513-3.88%1.275-25.79%0.0422✓1.45327k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.0414-3.87%6.142-26.58%0.0604✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.118849-3.84%0.1026-16.99%0.0590✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.6856-3.83%19.13-18.91%0.0677✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2001-3.76%13.005+198.01%1.2171✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.202798-3.70%0.1531-27.30%0.0784✓1.361,6972022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2585-3.65%1.1463-12.24%0.1312✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2748-3.65%0.9427-28.75%0.1166✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5033-3.63%1.52-2.56%0.0433✗0.22268k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.030915-3.51%0.03519+9.83%0.3145✗1.2414k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7321-3.51%1.818+1.28%0.1438✗0.64189k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8439-3.44%7.8611+166.92%1.1323✗0.77978k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.059107-3.42%0.0484-20.92%0.0053✓1.30799k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.405169-3.39%0.33416-20.32%0.0119✓1.21118k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6740.264-3.37%31.5-24.41%0.0427✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.062632-3.35%0.0503-22.38%0.0047✓1.44154k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2362.1101-3.30%47.42-26.17%0.0931✓1.18354k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.4272-3.26%4.761-28.34%0.0418✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.4814-3.26%1.915-25.34%0.0027✓1.7595k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.7393-3.26%7.66-4.25%0.1937✗1.37263k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.083028-3.23%0.0595-30.65%0.1576✓1.18137k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001061-3.23%0.001342+22.42%0.4268✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.399589-3.20%0.31794-22.98%0.0205✓1.39583k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.456101-3.16%0.3462-26.50%0.0564✓1.47273k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.351581-3.08%0.29809-17.83%0.0286✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.19e-7-3.07%9.25e-7+181.07%1.2077✗0.96178k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.0826-3.04%11.825+13.71%0.3644✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019391-3.03%0.030314+51.59%0.5236✗0.51165k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5893.6669-3.02%84.85-12.15%0.1491✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.172363-2.95%0.1276-28.15%0.1133✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3788-2.90%1.0347-27.13%0.0725✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8203-2.89%4.337+10.24%0.2341✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.149673-2.87%0.1324-14.08%0.0249✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01630.987676-2.82%0.77191-24.05%0.0491✓1.32525k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.21482-2.80%0.168-23.98%0.0199✓1.51821k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.051812-2.61%0.044-17.29%0.0232✓1.25269k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3861-2.59%1.205-15.32%0.0496✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,589.24-2.55%1,554.00-4.71%0.1649✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.270062-2.50%0.2447-11.66%0.0620✗1.0867k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67659.1662-2.49%51.915-14.44%0.0046✓0.85345k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050175-2.47%0.043941-14.59%0.0443✗1.1938k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004662-2.46%0.00404-15.48%0.0530✗1.32112k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87134.5034-2.44%115.16-16.47%0.0225✓1.194.3M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.327821-2.43%0.2809-16.40%0.0221✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.256739-2.42%0.2112-19.73%0.0119✓1.23101k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077093-2.39%0.06618-16.21%0.0435✓0.731,1722022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.8896-2.38%2.728-7.84%0.1093✗1.12619k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003662-2.33%0.00335-10.67%0.1060✗1.31559k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7927-2.32%2.1594-24.47%0.0238✓1.5612k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6754-2.32%6.4+10.15%0.2112✗0.61732k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014677-2.26%0.013176-12.26%0.0237✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.327562-2.22%0.282-15.82%0.0041✓1.03959k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.632096-2.15%0.515-20.28%0.0045✓1.4088k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.606303-2.15%0.5054-18.43%0.0097✓1.16642k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003187-2.13%0.002994-8.05%0.0896✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.161897-2.12%0.13698-17.19%0.0631✗1.54212k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.256256-2.12%0.247-5.65%0.0351✓0.0128k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.7782-2.10%15.53-14.48%0.0693✗1.37116k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7823-2.06%1.5108-16.98%0.0231✗1.26492k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.502351-2.04%0.4458-13.07%0.0670✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8033-1.98%2.15-24.83%0.0387✓1.52192k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.118354-1.94%0.1033-14.42%0.0237✗1.07352k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.082557-1.94%0.07274-13.60%0.0739✗1.3429k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.161-1.92%26.73-13.07%0.0213✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.487091-1.91%0.439-11.60%0.0631✗1.1247k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044288-1.89%0.00004452-1.37%0.1783✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.0259-1.88%7.033-14.02%0.0529✗1.2410.0M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4758.3508-1.88%53.84-9.47%0.0920✗1.1613.6M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.4346-1.84%6.628-12.49%0.0738✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.336154-1.82%0.2885-15.74%0.0172✓1.147.7M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.3906-1.82%3.743+53.72%0.5855✗0.92105k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6005-1.81%1.31-19.63%0.0042✓1.37114k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056229-1.76%0.043128-24.65%0.1759✓0.6022k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.059188-1.68%0.0577-4.15%0.1839✗1.40339k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.779866-1.66%0.663-16.39%0.0216✗1.23218k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5497-1.59%1.7276+9.71%0.3230✗1.44589k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1801-1.59%0.89656-25.23%0.1108✓1.1010k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.090922-1.56%0.08149-11.77%0.0732✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0612-1.55%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.203901-1.50%0.1824-11.88%0.0969✗1.401,1792022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066418-1.46%0.0574-14.84%0.0030✓0.96229k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9956-1.45%2.072+2.32%0.2274✗1.27415k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.760792-1.45%0.663-14.12%0.0096✓0.99377k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2372-1.36%1.7939-20.91%0.0366✓1.2329k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.091-1.33%3.149-24.05%0.0985✓1.0939k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.761-1.28%4.0516+44.87%0.5292✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.228033-1.16%0.2184-5.33%0.1781✗1.4897k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.142178-1.13%0.1236-14.05%0.0515✗1.2859k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.124111-1.11%0.1003-20.08%0.0653✓0.994,9522022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.50e-7-1.05%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0613✗1.0025k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.305896-1.04%0.35+13.22%0.3091✗1.17398k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,940.83-1.00%19,990.40-13.73%0.0087✓0.9814k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006584-0.99%0.006495-2.33%0.0668✗0.5438k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002405-0.98%0.001503-38.12%0.3210✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.9921-0.94%12.38-18.20%0.0160✓1.1868k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011862-0.90%0.00001208+0.92%0.2022✗1.23986k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.117414-0.75%0.104365-11.78%0.0306✗0.996.8M2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2367-0.75%1.0708-14.06%0.0146✗1.0643k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69159.5427-0.71%149.22-7.14%0.0989✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029802-0.69%0.02455-18.19%0.0010✓1.311,2932022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051341-0.68%0.04593-11.14%0.0232✗0.9015k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163589-0.67%0.1445-12.26%0.0613✗1.2494k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010143-0.66%0.00858-15.96%0.0233✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9111-0.52%9.001-9.66%0.0654✗1.082.1M2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048111-0.39%0.0357-26.09%0.0978✓1.347,6872022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.777704-0.29%0.73-6.41%0.0270✗0.6179k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.460006-0.28%0.365-20.88%0.0455✓1.25778k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.422862-0.24%0.3513-17.13%0.0127✗1.33127k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.344653-0.24%0.31172-9.77%0.0957✗1.3112k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.323213-0.18%0.3041-6.08%0.1099✗1.1576k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1824-0.15%5.8014+11.78%0.1440✗0.21210k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.046128-0.11%0.03845-16.74%0.0387✓0.962,3002022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.730487-0.07%0.528-27.77%0.1022✓1.4980k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068758+0.05%0.061277-10.83%0.0561✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070603+0.15%0.0622-11.77%0.0338✓1.08567k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023658+0.16%0.02152-8.89%0.0510✓0.989,6292022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021613+0.25%0.02304+6.86%0.2179✓1.03159k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8763.0299+0.25%59.88-4.76%0.1354✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.75e-7+0.51%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0216✓0.836.4M2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7550.0293+0.56%44.55-10.45%0.0491✓1.11574k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.731576+0.63%1.078+48.28%0.5688✓1.21806k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.026+0.74%0.894603-12.16%0.0060✓0.9660k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4555+0.88%4.3008-2.62%0.0735✓0.73916k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.26845+1.03%0.2291-13.77%0.0098✓1.13768k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008523+1.23%0.00619-26.48%0.1835✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,659.54+1.66%20,048.26-13.86%0.0164✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001731+2.03%0.00156-8.07%0.0482✓1.0211k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.071424+2.08%0.063428-9.35%0.0028✓0.78373k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.09713+2.13%0.0821-13.67%0.0117✓1.216,7862022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.065498+2.18%0.1161+81.12%0.6935✓0.81155k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.576826+3.49%0.4594-17.58%0.0576✗1.14341k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006551+3.64%0.005668-10.32%0.0105✓0.909,1592022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.