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2022-07-30 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2787
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.6%
in alpha space · 67.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006631+7.83%0.005874-4.47%0.0167✓0.909,1592022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.601156+5.47%0.4607-19.18%0.0915✗1.14350k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.091849+5.09%0.0843-3.55%0.1004✓1.216,3652022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001728+5.08%0.001529-7.00%0.0351✓1.0216k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.071857+4.09%0.063437-8.11%0.0066✓0.77376k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.080446+3.14%0.1032+32.31%0.3756✓0.82148k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1324,359.59+3.00%20,286.97-14.22%0.0296✓1.00427.9M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0401+2.52%0.918733-9.44%0.0232✓0.9658k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.741541+2.42%0.989+36.60%0.4748✓1.22776k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.440463+2.36%0.3701-13.99%0.0170✓1.25613k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.767206+2.29%0.74-1.33%0.0568✓0.6179k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.294499+2.22%0.3223+11.87%0.2646✓1.1475k2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.043946+2.15%0.03792-11.85%0.0003✓0.961,9372022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.068464+2.03%0.0617-8.05%0.0609✓1.08351k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.5345+2.03%4.397-1.07%0.0808✓0.73947k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.256115+1.96%0.2257-10.15%0.0475✓1.13681k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.58e-7+1.95%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0537✓0.836.0M2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7151.5759+1.71%47.46-6.41%0.0866✓1.11574k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1366.1996+1.64%63.75-2.12%0.1547✓1.251.5M2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009152+1.58%0.00649-27.97%0.2032✗0.921.6M2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.045904+1.56%0.0373-17.48%0.0021✓1.347,5232022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.149963+1.46%0.148+0.14%0.1773✓1.2488k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.070548+1.40%0.063828-8.26%0.0757✓1.151.7M2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021798+1.39%0.02336+8.65%0.2277✓1.03149k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.322105+1.37%0.30106-5.25%0.1338✓1.3111k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.056425+1.30%0.0525-5.75%0.1476✓1.43140k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.436452+1.22%0.3664-15.03%0.0286✓1.33104k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009726+1.21%0.00891-7.28%0.0608✓0.974.7M2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1557+1.20%1.0621-6.99%0.0788✓1.0643k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.030093+1.15%0.02554-14.15%0.0371✓1.311,3342022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.132858+1.11%0.123-6.39%0.1198✓1.2850k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.862+1.10%12.6602-13.88%0.0203✓1.1870k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.022439+1.08%0.020994-5.42%0.0835✓0.989,2332022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000012042+0.94%0.00001248+4.61%0.2244✓1.23951k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.7391+0.94%3.8811+43.02%0.4984✓0.981.0M2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.237523+0.82%0.2219-5.81%0.1596✓1.4892k2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85157.0366+0.76%152.71-2.01%0.1412✓1.101.3M2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.2565+0.72%9.1-10.64%0.0466✓1.082.6M2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.0869+0.70%5.2836+4.59%0.0704✓0.21210k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4819+0.60%4.203+70.37%0.6678✓0.92105k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.120327+0.55%0.105918-11.49%0.0247✓0.996.8M2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.806291+0.53%0.553-31.05%0.1482✗1.4980k2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9231.932+0.47%1.919-0.21%0.1886✓1.27413k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000044336+0.35%0.00004993+13.01%0.2963✓1.161.9M2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.322535+0.32%0.36085+12.24%0.2914✓1.17400k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.2603+0.25%1.8412-18.34%0.0159✗1.2324k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.62e-7+0.25%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0639✓1.0024k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002348+0.25%0.001636-30.15%0.2078✗1.001.8M2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.090802+0.25%0.08429-6.94%0.0323✗0.27985k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.047359+0.23%0.04816+1.93%0.1550✓0.9015k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5877+0.07%1.7099+7.77%0.2957✓1.44609k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,607.73-0.00%20,303.80-17.49%0.0420✓0.9817k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.308885-0.04%0.283-8.41%0.0720✗1.04766k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.765408-0.08%0.672-12.27%0.0211✗0.99360k2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.0256-0.09%6.29+25.05%0.3183✗0.61605k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004364-0.14%0.00407-6.86%0.1322✗1.32103k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.337483-0.15%0.2981-11.80%0.0493✗1.137.7M2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003167-0.16%0.003238+2.08%0.1774✗1.01999k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.117656-0.21%0.1045-11.37%0.0445✗1.06337k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.590049-0.23%0.523-11.57%0.0569✗1.16624k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.242923-0.24%0.2102-13.68%0.0441✗1.23101k2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.255888-0.24%0.2484-3.16%0.1355✗1.0863k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.625502-0.24%0.527-15.95%0.0432✗1.4086k2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.165736-0.24%0.13956-16.00%0.0653✗1.55207k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.790873-0.27%0.698-11.98%0.0641✗1.23210k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7217.6576-0.35%16.44-7.22%0.1392✗1.37108k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.1807-0.38%7.276-11.40%0.0735✗1.249.4M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.006944-0.40%0.006696-3.96%0.0462✗0.5439k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.057598-0.41%0.044446-23.15%0.1672✓0.6022k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.045-0.43%0.87542-16.59%0.0083✓1.109,9742022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.126523-0.45%0.101-20.54%0.0733✓0.995,2722022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.003612-0.50%0.00301-17.08%0.0180✗1.31566k2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.2979-0.54%3.1823-26.36%0.1333✓1.0933k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.259725-0.56%0.2615+0.11%0.0086✗0.0129k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.314684-0.57%0.291-8.06%0.1036✗1.192.9M2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8418-0.64%2.15-24.83%0.0452✓1.52192k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.217171-0.65%0.1725-21.09%0.0167✓1.391,0652022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6286-0.69%1.33-18.90%0.0077✗1.37114k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3681-0.72%1.189-13.72%0.0554✗1.282.4M2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.080999-0.80%0.07284-10.79%0.1002✗1.3528k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1130.8604-0.80%27.34-12.12%0.0250✗0.9510.8M2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.1018-0.85%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8016-0.86%1.5357-15.49%0.0330✗1.26492k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4759.9443-0.87%55.79-7.74%0.1055✗1.1613.5M2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.144407-0.89%0.1306-10.36%0.0505✗0.983.5M2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.7513-0.92%6.7-14.36%0.0478✗1.2616.2M2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.502334-0.92%0.4238-16.41%0.0020✓1.1245k2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063489-0.95%0.0576-10.14%0.1171✗1.40339k2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.345409-0.96%0.305285-12.47%0.0771✗1.311.0M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9302-1.01%2.856-3.51%0.1451✗1.11619k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.125424-1.01%0.2159+70.40%0.7114✗1.10617k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.521197-1.04%0.4505-14.47%0.0457✗1.2543.2M2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6449-1.06%4.177+13.38%0.2471✗0.721.1M2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.7859-1.07%2.1453-23.82%0.0205✓1.5711k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.8004-1.08%1.768-2.86%0.0793✗0.64219k2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029459-1.08%0.03677+23.47%0.4119✗1.2414k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.052912-1.10%0.0441-17.57%0.0108✓1.26263k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.7998-1.12%6.0774+114.64%0.8938✗0.77978k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.213476-1.17%0.174-19.44%0.0274✗1.51786k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.04853-1.20%0.044565-9.27%0.0973✗1.1935k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00880.995782-1.29%0.79536-21.16%0.0224✓1.32431k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.071065-1.30%0.0606-15.83%0.0128✓0.96183k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.057829-1.32%0.0491-16.21%0.0362✗1.30787k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47143.5477-1.32%119.61-17.78%0.0001✓1.193.9M2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6861.8204-1.37%54.194-13.54%0.0020✓0.84386k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.399624-1.46%0.3476-14.29%0.0459✗1.21118k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.168282-1.59%0.1311-23.33%0.0572✓1.263.1M2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,670.84-1.60%1,551.65-8.62%0.1189✗1.26387.0M2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.5447-1.69%6.38+13.12%0.2419✗0.66554k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.076505-1.73%0.06742-13.40%0.0135✓0.741,1722022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.450618-1.76%0.3499-23.72%0.0273✓1.47242k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.1617-1.85%12.777+201.34%1.2118✗0.591.3M2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.517654-1.87%0.5461+3.53%0.2312✗1.161.4M2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.107737-1.88%0.0924-15.85%0.0455✗1.30491k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015318-1.89%0.013701-12.25%0.0242✗0.881.2M2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2693.4393-1.91%85.76-9.97%0.1694✗1.6610.0M2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001076-1.93%0.001401+27.70%0.4608✗1.281.5M2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020468-1.95%0.023085+10.58%0.1996✗0.52167k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4601-2.00%1.1021-26.03%0.0610✓1.441.1M2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.492-2.04%11.438+6.80%0.2966✗1.3715.0M2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.8959-2.04%7.74-3.97%0.1887✗1.36256k2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.087464-2.06%0.0637-28.67%0.1367✓1.18155k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.161.765-2.12%50.12-20.57%0.0271✓1.19257k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.3333-2.30%10.28-11.38%0.0884✗1.21241k2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3071-2.31%0.987-26.23%0.0907✓1.241.2M2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.6612-2.34%4.266+13.79%0.2439✗0.591.5M2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4741-2.38%1.44-4.64%0.0101✓0.22268k2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.5645-2.38%1.955-25.58%0.0020✓1.7692k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0321-2.54%0.946-10.67%0.0194✓0.691.3M2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.420889-2.54%0.33586-22.23%0.0121✓1.39583k2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.037508-2.58%0.0365-5.19%0.1595✗1.2268k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.163857-2.70%0.1447-14.07%0.0668✗1.25446k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.5139-2.73%4.983-25.59%0.0020✓1.7311.0M2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8442.6279-2.76%32.41-26.07%0.0659✓1.3681.8M2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.9111-2.79%1.495-23.96%0.0270✓1.42234k2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08973.0031-2.80%5.7778+87.00%0.7912✗0.891.1M2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2523.5684-2.81%19.33-20.29%0.0465✗1.6027.5M2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.128135-2.85%0.1063-19.41%0.0239✓1.372.5M2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.50e-7-2.86%8.65e-7+140.30%1.0514✗0.95188k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2356.5347-2.91%48.57-16.59%0.0615✗1.3932k2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.6803-2.92%3.276-13.58%0.0200✓0.89754k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.447806-2.95%0.3855-16.45%0.0296✓0.7857k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.7186-3.04%2.089-25.50%0.0451✓1.4243k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.158.8711-3.05%8.46-7.54%0.0332✗0.531.2M2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7392-3.11%1.263-29.64%0.0983✓1.45316k2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.8695-3.19%1.729-10.46%0.1167✗1.27637k2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.2855-3.21%12.6-14.63%0.0930✗1.421.7M2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.3148-3.23%1.0799-20.51%0.0333✗1.506.4M2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.947575-3.31%1.2628+28.86%0.4664✗1.171.2M2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.5343-3.34%5.12-24.26%0.0300✓1.391.0M2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4933.2822-3.50%32.49-5.80%0.2755✗1.95213k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018009-3.54%0.0151-19.12%0.0597✓0.76254k2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0766-3.55%2.24-29.78%0.2408✓0.5077k2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.464-3.60%6.339-27.80%0.0749✓1.407.7M2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.3668-3.60%4.53+0.00%0.1459✗0.71912k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.220901-3.66%0.164-28.48%0.0883✓1.371,5612022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.549365-3.79%0.3367-41.03%0.2741✓1.40234k2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.7249-3.85%6.015-25.13%0.0853✓1.082.3M2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.913351-3.91%0.9656+1.59%0.1927✗0.893.6M2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.285239-3.93%0.2566-13.57%0.0680✗1.13309k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.484997-3.96%0.441-12.67%0.0813✗1.1513k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1398-3.98%0.8693-26.76%0.0554✓1.401.4M2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.2337-4.05%1.615-30.63%0.1072✓1.42169k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1916.4732-4.17%17.22+0.17%0.1790✗0.882.2M2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.3473-4.34%5.31-5.01%0.0875✗0.62956k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2787.9163-4.37%6.682-19.28%0.0223✓1.255.9M2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.2385-4.61%13.83-27.67%0.0704✓1.341.3M2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.2986-4.62%2.13-11.62%0.0893✗1.08207k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.18304-4.84%0.15839-17.65%0.2111✗2.321,1512022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.4701-4.85%3.47-4.85%0.2648✗1.734.3M2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4837.506-5.00%33.55-15.02%0.1045✗1.412.8M2022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.413299-5.03%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.009748-5.09%0.00853-16.94%0.0597✗1.26355k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.640953-5.24%0.55401-18.10%0.0862✗1.5181k2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.83491-5.55%0.684-22.62%0.0647✗1.725.2M2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.92032-5.70%0.6813-30.19%0.0298✓1.77513k2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.79158-5.76%0.525-37.50%0.1821✓1.493,1392022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.031253-5.84%0.02267-31.70%0.0869✓1.5311.5M2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.3599.8448-6.12%101.16-4.88%0.1683✗1.014.2M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0329.9483-6.50%35+9.27%0.3675✗1.38563k2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3194.9578-6.79%6.102+14.72%0.2913✗0.552.0M2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000091424-6.82%0.0001317+34.22%0.6624✗1.94635k2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.078962-7.04%0.06651-21.70%0.0582✓1.50768k2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.904507-7.16%0.7824-19.70%0.1059✗1.64202k2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2010,816.34-8.12%9,081.72-22.85%0.0380✓1.394.0M2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.5665-13.41%1.174-35.10%0.0141✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.