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2022-07-29 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3041
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.7%
in alpha space · 59.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.5836-14.07%1.054-42.81%0.0209✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.900033-7.00%0.7842-18.97%0.1818✗1.63205k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,110.44-6.99%8,473.37-22.05%0.0947✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000092503-6.56%0.0001251+26.36%0.6867✗1.96646k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.78351-5.94%0.489-41.30%0.1810✓1.482,9182022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.010678-5.84%0.00825-27.25%0.0110✓1.26355k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.29100.185-5.74%92.31-13.15%0.1170✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.8179-5.50%2.966-26.58%0.0874✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.2266-5.41%4.82-36.91%0.1317✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.9295-5.35%0.6463-34.19%0.0192✓1.76516k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.84068-5.33%0.645-27.36%0.0729✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.075422-5.27%0.06229-21.77%0.1032✗1.50768k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.4822-5.26%2.08-20.61%0.0337✓1.07175k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5338.6049-4.75%30.93-23.69%0.0548✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.636905-4.74%0.52437-21.57%0.1027✗1.5279k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.175066-4.60%0.15977-12.93%0.3630✗2.321,1272022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.306428-4.48%0.2638-17.77%0.0711✗1.13309k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.3193-4.46%5.809+28.49%0.4029✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.028659-4.34%0.02162-27.84%0.0180✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4422.4308-4.31%37.2+58.70%0.7767✗1.38534k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.506855-4.19%0.412-22.12%0.0173✓1.1513k2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.7011-4.07%16.67-4.25%0.1697✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.384034-3.99%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.7384-3.99%6.275-22.15%0.0360✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.2597-3.93%5.5537+63.68%0.7065✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.3283-3.82%5.16-6.86%0.0887✗0.62786k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.2974-3.72%1.511-36.67%0.1415✓1.42169k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.5198-3.63%4.34-7.46%0.0991✗0.71759k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.7618-3.56%5.739-36.83%0.1492✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.936098-3.55%0.9334-3.83%0.1728✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.469013-3.41%0.36304-25.24%0.1040✓0.7855k2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7235.4827-3.37%29.26-20.32%0.1859✗1.93194k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2617.6476-3.35%13.16-27.93%0.0281✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3818-3.34%0.9934-30.51%0.0363✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.3306-3.31%8.09-16.17%0.0401✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.952461-3.21%1.201+22.05%0.4613✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018365-3.04%0.01478-21.96%0.0695✓0.75258k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.069-2.88%2.33-26.27%0.1777✓0.5082k2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.9939-2.88%1.36-33.76%0.1025✓1.43220k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6957.0177-2.85%43.85-25.29%0.0090✓1.3928k2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.8241-2.82%7.2-20.70%0.0632✗1.36256k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.1904-2.63%9.51-24.04%0.0102✓1.22241k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.2504-2.59%11.33-22.56%0.0543✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.7514-2.59%3.876+0.65%0.2052✗0.88754k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.7745-2.58%1.944-31.74%0.0768✓1.4243k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7666-2.44%4.096+6.09%0.2004✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.9135-2.43%18.53-24.40%0.0573✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037881-2.37%0.0345-11.08%0.1453✗1.2268k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0362-2.34%0.7744-27.01%0.0136✓1.421.4M2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.509146-2.33%0.32-38.62%0.2686✓1.00234k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.160552-2.28%0.1337-18.62%0.0626✗1.25411k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8289-2.25%1.6-14.48%0.1153✗1.27626k2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.5207-2.24%4.649-30.30%0.0077✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.535-2.23%1.39-11.46%0.0513✓0.24268k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.824-2.12%6.04+1.51%0.1665✗0.66554k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.9396-2.07%10.559-5.48%0.2323✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.50e-7-2.03%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9828✗0.94193k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.3498-2.01%12.382+178.94%1.1607✗0.591.2M2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.421477-1.93%0.31363-27.03%0.0225✓1.39592k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.463806-1.84%0.3261-30.98%0.0638✓1.47220k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8762.7448-1.76%45.4-28.92%0.0917✓1.18257k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.6646-1.75%1.828-32.60%0.0329✓1.7692k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.125078-1.75%0.0992-22.07%0.0373✗1.372.5M2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3051-1.72%0.9332-29.73%0.0925✓1.241.2M2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.20006-1.59%0.1381-32.07%0.1027✓1.371,5612022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9441.2866-1.56%30.45-27.40%0.0378✓1.3681.8M2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4777-1.48%1.0043-33.05%0.1047✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.087428-1.43%0.0619-30.21%0.1117✓1.19155k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.694.2419-1.42%78.57-17.81%0.1435✗1.6610.0M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6507-1.39%1.192-28.79%0.0420✓1.45316k2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.170501-1.33%0.1182-31.60%0.1191✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.529974-1.33%0.5282-1.66%0.2235✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.403553-1.19%0.32806-19.68%0.0306✗1.21118k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.6051-1.18%2.9825-36.00%0.2201✓1.0932k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.00107-1.16%0.001346+24.25%0.4808✗1.291.6M2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.076765-1.15%0.06712-13.57%0.0100✓0.741,2712022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84150.1546-1.11%112.59-25.85%0.0550✓1.193.9M2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,703.67-1.08%1,426.63-17.16%0.0690✗1.26387.0M2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86965.1622-1.07%51.793-21.37%0.0637✓0.85398k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.9207-1.05%5.4352+84.14%0.7725✗0.77941k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.106974-1.04%0.0854-21.00%0.0308✗1.31491k2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.0189-0.99%0.022963+20.29%0.2912✗0.49165k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02552.9969-0.95%2.0034-33.78%0.0947✓1.5711k2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.014918-0.91%0.013002-13.64%0.0357✗0.881.2M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.087239-0.90%0.06897-21.65%0.0266✗1.3428k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.049336-0.78%0.042995-13.53%0.0950✗1.1935k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.128206-0.77%0.2102+62.69%0.7105✗1.10617k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.7745-0.75%3.998+5.13%0.1954✗0.70670k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.05442-0.69%0.0419-23.54%0.0193✓1.24263k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.213597-0.65%0.164-23.72%0.0314✗1.51786k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9504-0.59%2.607-12.16%0.0939✗1.11619k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.965604-0.57%0.74832-22.94%0.0048✓1.33431k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.8421-0.57%6.251-20.74%0.0203✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.130271-0.56%0.0996-23.97%0.0744✓0.995,4502022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.495506-0.54%0.3673-26.27%0.0797✓1.1242k2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.1068-0.52%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.519623-0.49%0.4291-17.83%0.0535✗1.2543.2M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8519-0.49%1.733-6.88%0.0570✗0.63223k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7160.4176-0.48%53.38-12.07%0.1028✗1.1613.5M2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.222057-0.42%0.1592-28.61%0.0601✓1.391,0652022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067116-0.42%0.0554-17.80%0.0041✓0.96183k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.618298-0.42%0.4996-19.54%0.0148✗1.16624k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0930.962-0.41%25.35-18.46%0.0132✓0.9510.8M2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.9579-0.41%1.95-34.34%0.1179✓1.53192k2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029736-0.38%0.03552+18.99%0.4217✗1.2514k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6544-0.34%1.23-25.90%0.0265✓1.38114k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033952-0.29%0.0242-28.93%0.0821✓1.311,3182022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.055704-0.17%0.0455-18.46%0.0525✗1.30787k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.172725-0.16%0.13172-23.86%0.0308✗1.54207k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.062512-0.14%0.0582-7.03%0.2032✗1.40339k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3472-0.13%1.129-16.31%0.0714✗1.272.4M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.1118-0.10%14.8-18.37%0.0680✗1.38108k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003657-0.08%0.00289-21.04%0.0210✗1.31539k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0446-0.07%0.84626-19.04%0.0052✗1.109,6842022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.331044-0.04%0.291277-12.05%0.1256✗1.291.0M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.006992+0.01%0.006708-4.05%0.0629✓0.5339k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.1527+0.05%5.87+13.98%0.2500✓0.61587k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.244426+0.05%0.2024-17.15%0.0521✓1.23101k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.309462+0.15%0.2731-11.62%0.1073✓1.192.8M2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.885604+0.18%0.84-4.98%0.0853✓0.711.3M2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.76462+0.21%0.631-17.30%0.0013✓0.99360k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.604472+0.24%0.488-19.07%0.0601✓1.4084k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004403+0.29%0.00393-10.48%0.1443✓1.32103k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.26233+0.32%0.261-0.19%0.0029✓0.0130k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.2154+0.36%6.861-16.19%0.0643✓1.259.4M2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.6204+0.36%1.6656+3.16%0.3068✓1.43609k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.135713+0.38%0.1202-11.09%0.0733✓0.993.5M2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.198+0.48%5.175+0.04%0.0362✓0.21210k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.76366+0.48%0.645-15.13%0.0736✓1.24205k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003176+0.51%0.002987-5.47%0.1353✓1.00999k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.338801+0.59%0.2823-16.18%0.0401✓1.147.7M2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7196+0.60%1.426-16.57%0.0585✓1.25492k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.25313+0.61%0.2362-6.12%0.1419✓1.0863k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.117931+0.62%0.1013-13.57%0.0566✓1.07352k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2966+0.67%1.7152-24.81%0.0492✗1.2424k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.047561+0.74%0.04418-6.42%0.1028✓0.9015k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.05656+0.77%0.044396-20.90%0.1236✗0.6120k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5571+0.79%4.106+61.84%0.6542✓0.92105k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.094242+0.79%0.08638-7.61%0.0353✗0.26910k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.305501+0.83%0.275-9.24%0.0985✓1.04766k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.68e-7+0.88%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0771✓1.0025k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000045402+0.92%0.00004676+3.93%0.2579✓1.171.8M2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25161.8434+0.99%146.4-8.64%0.1145✓1.101.3M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.8619+1.05%3.6555+29.07%0.4362✓0.98917k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9666.0297+1.07%5.639-5.48%0.1451✓1.082.1M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.8868+1.11%1.692-9.32%0.1405✓1.27382k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.119167+1.22%0.102736-12.74%0.0466✓1.006.8M2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5024,128.59+1.26%19,646.40-17.55%0.0139✗0.9819k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.3411+1.41%8.816-13.54%0.0531✓1.092.6M2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.240854+1.54%0.2134-10.03%0.1686✓1.4892k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.320067+1.56%0.36389+15.47%0.3570✓1.17407k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011934+1.65%0.00001177+0.26%0.2284✓1.24951k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.132029+1.72%0.1184-8.78%0.1426✓1.2849k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.430085+1.77%0.34-19.55%0.0270✓1.34104k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.325687+1.77%0.29294-8.46%0.1511✓1.3111k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.784692+1.78%0.525-31.91%0.1085✗1.5080k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.02228+1.78%0.020386-6.87%0.1031✓0.989,0542022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.00958+1.81%0.00848-9.88%0.0683✓0.974.7M2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1484+1.83%1.0384-7.92%0.1079✓1.0643k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.07021+1.83%0.06175-10.44%0.0966✓1.151.7M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.009095+1.96%0.00642-28.03%0.1695✗0.911.6M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.152501+2.08%0.1396-6.56%0.1551✓1.2488k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.046757+2.09%0.0357-22.05%0.0076✓1.347,1312022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.056113+2.21%0.0493-10.20%0.1529✓1.44119k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.022268+2.29%0.02214+1.70%0.1966✓1.03149k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.5258+2.29%12.062-15.06%0.0454✓1.1870k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.72e-7+2.34%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0294✓0.845.9M2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6151.8012+2.35%44.14-12.78%0.0581✓1.11594k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.80882+2.38%0.73-7.59%0.0160✓0.6179k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.253752+2.48%0.2183-11.83%0.0728✓1.14643k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.070959+2.54%0.0604-12.72%0.0480✓1.07308k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.565.1408+2.58%61.17-3.67%0.1846✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.300034+2.72%0.3044+4.21%0.2366✓1.1375k2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.5119+2.73%4.3228-1.58%0.0988✓0.72986k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.443359+3.01%0.3529-18.01%0.0164✓1.25606k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.044628+3.23%0.03732-13.67%0.0087✓0.962,4262022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929391.0257+3.30%0.862501-13.14%0.0162✓0.9758k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.739447+3.42%0.916+28.11%0.4510✓1.21806k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5024,641.37+3.60%19,554.03-17.79%0.0354✗1.00439.9M2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.082442+3.70%0.0981+23.40%0.3359✓0.83148k2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.072368+4.43%0.061392-11.41%0.0104✓0.79376k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001587+5.30%0.001503-0.27%0.1432✓1.0116k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.599858+6.15%0.4349-23.04%0.0987✗1.14350k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.092538+6.37%0.0792-8.97%0.0820✓1.216,3652022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.00675+8.72%0.005519-11.11%0.0277✓0.897,2112022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.