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2022-07-28 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2220
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.7%
in alpha space · 49.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.268-12.43%1.025-29.21%0.1305✓1.971.1M2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.908296-6.98%0.79-19.09%0.1457✗1.64209k2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000093507-6.74%0.0001339+33.55%0.6989✗1.95662k2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.794576-6.08%0.509-39.83%0.1839✓1.503,1392022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.6213-6.05%2.14-23.30%0.0147✓1.08175k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1353.8984-5.72%2.891-30.08%0.0056✓1.753.8M2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.010809-5.68%0.00757-33.94%0.1350✓1.27352k2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum103.7898.1318-5.44%94.38-9.06%0.1379✗1.014.1M2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.958354-5.30%0.6853-32.28%0.0268✓1.77551k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.80063-5.25%0.659-22.01%0.1080✗1.745.2M2022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.413069-5.09%–pending––0.912142022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.174488-4.94%0.15762-14.13%0.3027✗2.321,1272022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8338.8301-4.90%33-19.18%0.0854✗1.421.3M2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.639142-4.80%0.54155-19.34%0.1003✗1.5379k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,757.10-4.20%8,782.65-3.92%0.2436✗1.384.0M2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.282968-4.11%0.268-9.18%0.1435✗1.13323k2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4316.73-4.02%17.54+0.63%0.1998✗0.882.4M2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.4845-3.91%1.0479-32.17%0.0850✓1.515.6M2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2758.9274-3.75%6.056-34.71%0.1422✓1.416.7M2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3178-3.70%1.63-32.28%0.1025✓1.43160k2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5617.9043-3.53%38.17+105.66%0.9995✗1.39534k2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1163.9711-3.52%5.784+40.52%0.4721✗0.552.0M2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.944849-3.39%0.963-1.53%0.1782✗0.913.9M2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.483182-3.36%0.412-17.60%0.0402✗1.1413k2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026411-3.26%0.02303-15.64%0.1323✗1.5411.5M2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.069844-3.14%0.06428-10.86%0.1816✗1.52768k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.1685-3.06%4.59+6.74%0.2217✗0.72685k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.0482-2.98%6.303-13.24%0.1087✗1.265.5M2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum36.335.2451-2.91%30.05-17.22%0.1780✗1.94181k2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.1776-2.83%2.47-24.46%0.1648✓0.5082k2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018304-2.79%0.01518-19.38%0.0546✓0.76263k2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.1314-2.63%5.29+0.38%0.1391✗0.62786k2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.917196-2.59%1.3728+45.79%0.6091✗1.181.2M2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.7512-2.50%4.757-31.30%0.0577✓1.6811.5M2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1816.7582-2.46%13.8-19.67%0.0446✗1.371.3M2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9756.5865-2.39%46.09-20.49%0.0373✗1.3932k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.435961-2.34%0.36774-17.62%0.0350✓0.7853k2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.03783-2.25%0.0348-10.08%0.1309✗1.2368k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.8197-2.22%8.4-6.87%0.0444✗0.53918k2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.7657-2.21%11.9-21.19%0.0311✗1.421.5M2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6416-2.21%2.682-27.98%0.1526✓0.88754k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.160971-2.15%0.1404-14.65%0.0830✗1.26411k2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.547-2.09%1.41-10.76%0.0472✓0.26283k2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7196-2.07%1.221-30.47%0.0887✓1.46316k2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.747-1.99%20.04-17.29%0.1096✗1.6027.5M2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration65.4464.1414-1.98%45.84-29.95%0.1281✓1.19244k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7288-1.95%2.028-27.13%0.0457✓1.4443k2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8028-1.93%1.96-31.42%0.0515✓1.7692k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3322-1.83%0.9661-28.81%0.1051✓1.241.2M2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4198.5795-1.82%82.11-18.23%0.1082✗1.679.0M2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.417769-1.81%0.32976-22.50%0.0096✓1.41592k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.7941-1.80%10-16.74%0.0474✗1.22241k2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5424-1.76%1.0612-32.41%0.1206✓1.451.0M2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.2349-1.62%31.54-26.53%0.0531✓1.3781.8M2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.7986-1.61%1.69-7.55%0.1620✗1.29626k2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020608-1.58%0.023238+10.98%0.2085✗0.51165k2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.228.0914-1.56%7.33-10.83%0.1387✗1.36256k2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.58e-7-1.50%7.59e-7+108.75%0.9177✗0.96195k2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8254-1.49%1.404-24.23%0.0117✓1.44217k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.458563-1.47%0.3492-24.97%0.0150✓1.48220k2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.7021-1.44%11.173+2.90%0.2824✗1.3714.4M2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.55270.545223-1.35%0.5335-3.47%0.1813✗1.161.5M2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3152-1.25%4.23+26.01%0.3486✗0.601.5M2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.477265-1.17%0.3532-26.86%0.1267✓1.00224k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015261-1.09%0.013178-14.59%0.0090✓0.891.2M2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.94296-1.03%0.7896-17.13%0.0715✗1.431.4M2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69154.1712-0.98%115.26-25.97%0.0829✓1.193.9M2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001087-0.97%0.00137+24.77%0.4572✗1.301.6M2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.196702-0.96%0.1524-23.26%0.0161✓1.371,5612022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.162382-0.87%0.1246-23.93%0.0415✓1.282.8M2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9585-0.81%13.227+231.42%1.3105✗0.601.1M2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,711.30-0.81%1,491.22-13.56%0.0818✗1.26383.0M2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.083967-0.75%0.0639-24.47%0.0643✓1.20155k2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5591-0.73%4.87-13.04%0.1136✗1.41959k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.074807-0.71%0.06819-9.49%0.0356✗0.741,3772022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1362.6889-0.70%52.374-17.04%0.0313✓0.85386k2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.9738-0.67%0.77842-20.60%0.0098✗1.34399k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4363.0088-0.66%53.03-16.40%0.0298✗1.1613.5M2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.406162-0.66%0.33622-17.77%0.0240✗1.22118k2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.21461-0.64%0.171-20.83%0.0360✗1.51786k2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.105334-0.63%0.0908-14.34%0.0807✗1.32491k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.3056-0.63%5.259+126.66%0.9817✗0.90979k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.114125-0.59%0.1033-10.02%0.1416✗1.382.5M2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.049027-0.53%0.044708-9.29%0.1142✗1.1832k2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.112-0.48%–pending––1.0312k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.3724-0.47%15.2-17.66%0.0512✗1.38100k2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029796-0.45%0.03599+20.25%0.4072✗1.2514k2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.4658-0.42%3.1269-30.27%0.1644✓1.1028k2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3396-0.38%6.18+15.30%0.2625✗0.67514k2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.8336-0.35%2.0859-26.65%0.0301✓1.5810k2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.497759-0.33%0.376-24.71%0.0850✓1.1242k2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.511675-0.24%0.45-12.26%0.0902✗1.2543.2M2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.7051-0.23%1.758+2.87%0.1434✗0.65223k2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.052282-0.22%0.0436-16.79%0.0278✗1.20263k2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4907-0.21%4.212+20.41%0.3108✗0.71497k2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.372-0.15%1.146-16.59%0.0444✗1.292.4M2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.083994-0.08%0.0675-19.70%0.0144✗1.3428k2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8628-0.04%2.671-6.74%0.1230✗1.10597k2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062933+0.05%0.0604-3.97%0.2038✓1.41337k2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003690.003693+0.08%0.00292-20.87%0.0063✗1.31505k2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0451+0.10%0.86406-17.24%0.0030✓1.119,1202022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.120842+0.12%0.22+82.27%0.7929✓1.11617k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum30.2430.2841+0.15%25.8-14.68%0.0059✓0.9510.8M2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5926+0.16%1.29-18.87%0.0305✓1.38114k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.314166+0.18%0.2796-10.84%0.0913✓1.192.7M2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3367+0.26%5.1648-2.97%0.0034✓0.21214k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.331833+0.26%0.296889-10.30%0.1133✓1.291.0M2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.065691+0.29%0.0569-13.13%0.0234✓0.96183k2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2451+0.35%6.531-9.54%0.1171✓1.2716.2M2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.245242+0.43%0.2067-15.36%0.0446✓1.24110k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.578909+0.44%0.5753-0.19%0.1976✓1.17624k2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.887922+0.44%0.84-4.98%0.0689✓0.711.2M2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8836+0.47%2.11-26.48%0.0444✗1.54192k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054962+0.48%0.0474-13.35%0.0804✓1.31765k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.136558+0.48%0.1236-9.05%0.0761✓1.013.2M2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6472+0.50%4.134+56.95%0.6070✓0.93105k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.160887+0.55%0.1322-17.38%0.0731✓1.55205k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.615371+0.55%0.51-16.67%0.0582✓1.4184k2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004447+0.60%0.00389-11.99%0.0970✓1.32106k2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.777915+0.64%0.652-15.65%0.0025✓1.00360k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006948+0.68%0.00674-2.33%0.0632✓0.5440k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.256523+0.72%0.2424-4.83%0.1326✓1.0963k2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.338779+0.74%0.2889-14.09%0.0406✓1.157.7M2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.04783+0.82%0.04518-4.76%0.1011✓0.9115k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.759201+0.82%0.663-11.95%0.0816✓1.25178k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7313+0.86%1.4676-14.51%0.0540✓1.26492k2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.122664+0.87%0.1035-14.88%0.0038✓1.005,8712022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.8132+0.91%6.22+30.40%0.3645✓0.62587k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.69e-7+0.97%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0777✓1.0024k2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.2646+0.99%0.2612-0.31%0.0110✗0.0131k2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.055605+1.03%0.0454-17.52%0.0959✗0.6120k2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.3338+1.03%1.7879-22.60%0.0493✗1.2524k2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.095326+1.05%0.08547-9.40%0.0635✗0.26859k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.118239+1.06%0.1015-13.25%0.0343✓1.07357k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.307258+1.07%0.28-7.89%0.0886✓1.04681k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.221769+1.17%0.1693-22.76%0.0274✗1.391,1792022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero162.51164.4938+1.22%145.16-10.68%0.0662✓1.101.3M2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003147+1.30%0.003041-2.12%0.1398✓1.001.0M2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000044280.00004486+1.31%0.00003688-16.71%0.0090✓1.181.7M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.462+1.34%5.0801+109.10%0.8606✓0.78884k2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.5202+1.35%1.7824+18.83%0.4086✓1.43561k2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.936.0109+1.36%5.829-1.70%0.1615✓1.102.0M2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.330168+1.37%0.34004+4.41%0.2343✓1.18407k2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.9699+1.45%7.044-10.34%0.0956✓1.269.4M2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8761.9045+1.52%1.823-2.83%0.1783✓1.27413k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.504+1.56%9.134-11.69%0.0507✓1.092.4M2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.118546+1.59%0.105594-9.51%0.0584✓1.006.8M2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.155+1.71%1.0488-7.64%0.0907✓1.0743k2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3024,316.53+1.85%19,933.00-16.51%0.0282✗0.9819k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.245119+1.88%0.2201-8.52%0.1521✓1.4999k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.133069+1.89%0.1186-9.19%0.1107✓1.3049k2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.03115+1.90%0.02469-19.23%0.0045✓1.311,3002022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.022295+1.92%0.020673-5.50%0.0960✓0.988,3682022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.439272+1.92%0.3569-17.19%0.0280✓1.35104k2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.00001208+1.94%0.00001216+2.62%0.2236✓1.25986k2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.80.816113+2.01%0.75-6.25%0.0225✓0.6179k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.070541+2.08%0.063422-8.22%0.0944✓1.151.7M2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.324188+2.10%0.28228-11.10%0.0906✓1.3111k2022-08-27
DASHDashDash52.4853.6223+2.18%45.13-14.01%0.0230✓1.12594k2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009435+2.22%0.0087-5.74%0.0876✓0.974.7M2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.009153+2.26%0.0066-26.26%0.1671✗0.921.6M2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.153239+2.30%0.1419-5.27%0.1405✓1.2587k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.6244+2.37%12.5391-12.23%0.0541✓1.1970k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.045394+2.47%0.0366-17.38%0.0183✓1.347,1312022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.021525+2.55%0.02261+7.72%0.2288✓1.03136k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.3091+2.55%0.3144+4.31%0.2166✓1.1575k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.5673+2.61%3.7353+49.29%0.5465✓0.98863k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.75e-7+2.61%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0321✓0.845.9M2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.257189+2.67%0.2211-11.74%0.0509✓1.16643k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash63.6465.4953+2.92%61.36-3.58%0.1569✓1.271.5M2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.771131+2.95%0.55-26.57%0.0756✗1.5180k2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.054813+3.03%0.0509-4.32%0.1799✓1.46109k2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.072317+3.16%0.0608-13.27%0.0123✓1.07299k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.29644.4428+3.41%4.376+1.85%0.1109✓0.72968k2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.43440.4492+3.41%0.3638-16.25%0.0083✓1.26606k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.044663+3.41%0.03828-11.37%0.0146✓0.971,9372022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.9965431.0324+3.60%0.882839-11.41%0.0138✓0.9857k2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.749891+3.72%0.936+29.46%0.4318✓1.21806k2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7024,797.05+3.96%20,036.69-15.99%0.0389✗1.00429.5M2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.08696+4.02%0.1016+21.53%0.2994✓0.83155k2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.072878+4.47%0.062935-9.79%0.0095✓0.79376k2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001616+6.04%0.001454-4.59%0.0712✓1.0120k2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.582698+6.60%0.4567-16.45%0.0454✓1.14350k2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.090808+6.96%0.0845-0.47%0.1394✓1.216,3652022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006751+9.26%0.005618-9.08%0.0293✓0.894,8812022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.