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2022-07-25 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2003
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.0%
in alpha space · 35.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.709501-10.64%1.226+54.41%0.5425✗1.781.1M2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.744923-9.79%0.8151-1.30%0.0860✓1.61214k2022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.5766-8.74%3-40.18%0.4248✓0.96584k2022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000084689-8.16%0.00009991+8.35%0.1605✗1.90735k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.845241-7.62%0.7861-14.09%0.0770✓1.79591k2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.730208-7.45%0.588-25.48%0.2205✓1.544,1662022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.467882-7.17%0.452-10.32%0.0375✓1.1811k2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.556894-6.87%0.58763-1.73%0.0498✓1.5686k2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum87.8781.9244-6.77%108+22.91%0.2738✗1.023.2M2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.8176-6.43%5.19+27.21%0.3052✗0.75597k2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5519.2441-6.35%37.33+81.65%0.6588✗1.53440k2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7816.6978-6.09%18.34+3.15%0.0916✗0.882.1M2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.0183-5.97%2.77-13.71%0.0872✓0.5382k2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.348502-5.86%–pending––1.273902022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.7957-5.80%3.034+2.22%0.0775✗1.693.7M2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.85042-5.69%1.0301+14.24%0.1893✗0.943.5M2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.4958-5.65%6.816+83.97%0.6663✗0.552.1M2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.016939-5.47%0.01734-3.24%0.0214✓0.77354k2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.259248-5.42%0.27-1.50%0.0376✓1.21335k2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.38231-5.39%0.40312-0.24%0.0511✓0.7551k2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.160849-5.33%0.16688-1.78%0.0306✓2.451,1272022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0912.9317-5.15%4.9+58.52%0.5121✗0.631.5M2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum27.3725.9677-5.12%35.76+30.65%0.3175✗1.00151k2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.658041-5.04%0.727+4.91%0.0952✗1.765.3M2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.023293-4.85%0.02382-2.70%0.0184✓1.6013.4M2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2035.9036-4.83%6.406+3.27%0.0785✗1.285.3M2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.7899-4.79%2.34+24.47%0.2653✗1.08157k2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.140245-4.72%0.1509+2.51%0.0700✗1.28379k2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2522.1555-4.71%35.45+52.47%0.4668✗1.291.3M2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration58.4955.7653-4.66%48.99-16.24%0.1326✓1.20227k2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.017855-4.65%0.023439+25.17%0.2709✗0.48163k2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.8466-4.52%1.766-8.69%0.0483✓1.45132k2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3514.6587-4.50%14.55-5.21%0.0109✓1.381.3M2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.7393-4.37%7.045-0.03%0.0410✓1.355.6M2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5111.968-4.33%13.83+10.55%0.1409✗1.461.2M2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.17637-4.25%0.171-7.17%0.0345✓1.411,0652022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.1468-4.23%6.1+40.88%0.3844✗0.60694k2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.2663-4.21%2.176-8.03%0.0451✓1.7587k2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.42e-7-4.20%8.05e-7+125.15%0.8520✗0.99234k2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.0339-4.19%23.01+10.04%0.1345✗1.6027.0M2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.304-4.11%1.1971-11.98%0.0892✓1.45856k2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.078275-4.08%0.0676-17.16%0.1497✓1.22172k2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2448.2011-4.06%51.17+1.85%0.0563✗1.3832k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.250445-4.04%0.2599-0.42%0.0370✓0.0135k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.403133-4.02%0.4098-2.43%0.0139✓1.00234k2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.0898-4.00%2.264+4.00%0.0765✗1.4237k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.39052-3.98%0.36571-10.08%0.0693✓1.47602k2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.33073-3.98%0.34078-1.06%0.0269✓1.20400k2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.411776-3.97%0.3738-12.83%0.1005✓1.50208k2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.089591-3.97%0.08425-9.69%0.0640✓1.00706k2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1352.038-3.86%55.495+2.52%0.0622✗0.84369k2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.167402-3.79%0.1725-0.86%0.0264✓1.431,7562022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.808482-3.71%1.5383+83.22%0.6402✗1.211.2M2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1329-3.69%1.1766+0.03%0.0342✓1.484.9M2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.1122-3.59%4.876+51.05%0.4470✗0.77488k2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.34619-3.57%0.36794+2.49%0.0578✗1.23113k2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.5907-3.56%6.94+45.80%0.4116✗0.66514k2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.032506-3.54%0.0377+11.87%0.1451✗1.2472k2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3602-3.53%1.38-2.13%0.0139✓0.23319k2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.7852-3.52%5.312-11.41%0.0897✓1.7211.9M2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.68e-7-3.51%9.20e-7+2.22%0.0552✗1.0025k2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.5190.500837-3.50%0.5577+7.46%0.1045✗1.191.4M2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.051565-3.45%0.048259-9.64%0.0678✓0.6218k2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.4924-3.40%1.548+0.19%0.0329✓1.45212k2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.3359-3.35%4.724+95.45%0.7019✗0.92105k2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.043215-3.33%0.046228+3.41%0.0644✗1.2021k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana36.6435.4246-3.32%34.88-4.80%0.0189✓1.3680.3M2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.844515-3.31%0.8327-4.67%0.0175✓1.36423k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1612-3.31%1.0444-13.04%0.1092✓1.241.3M2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.6559-3.31%14.339+279.24%1.3651✗0.621.2M2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.092566-3.27%0.1146+19.75%0.2101✗1.372.4M2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2072-3.27%1.24-0.64%0.0235✓1.322.4M2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5441-3.25%1.936+21.30%0.2230✗1.29606k2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006474-3.21%0.00668-0.13%0.0299✓0.5546k2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.717-3.21%9.29+33.86%0.3231✗0.48670k2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013019-3.20%0.014302+6.33%0.0917✗0.911.2M2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.1923-3.19%2.4403+7.76%0.1032✗1.579,0562022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.954538-3.13%0.94669-3.93%0.0111✓1.138,4242022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003003-3.10%0.003426+10.55%0.1293✗1.011.0M2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.089932-3.09%0.099+6.68%0.0927✗1.34502k2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3569-3.08%1.364-2.57%0.0016✓1.45317k2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.025933-3.05%0.04016+50.13%0.4341✗1.2718k2022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.068885-2.98%0.07009-1.28%0.0155✓0.731,6422022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.046214-2.91%0.0518+8.82%0.1107✗1.34787k2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.046711-2.89%0.0464-3.53%0.0097✓1.22263k2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.084.9347-2.86%5.72+12.60%0.1441✗1.43947k2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.273221-2.77%0.285+1.42%0.0396✗1.05673k2022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.423391-2.76%0.4107-5.67%0.0333✓1.1241k2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.802179-2.75%0.8581+4.02%0.0638✗1.441.4M2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.0729-2.73%5.8769+175.78%1.0398✗0.90971k2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.645333-2.66%0.6-9.50%0.0766✓1.5179k2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.462252-2.66%0.4577-3.62%0.0131✓1.2741.4M2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000964037-2.63%0.001535+55.01%0.4617✗1.311.7M2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5167-2.59%1.827+17.34%0.1845✗0.64223k2022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.929095-2.57%0.06201-93.50%2.7094✓0.998,9622022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.105075-2.53%0.1104+2.41%0.0467✗1.09380k2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003450.003363-2.53%0.00321-6.96%0.0499✓1.34566k2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.7471-2.52%13.019+45.09%0.3942✗1.3713.0M2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.057552-2.45%0.0641+8.64%0.1042✗1.43328k2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.2366-2.41%11.09+31.40%0.2945✗1.16243k2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.30412-2.40%0.3023-2.98%0.0090✓1.187.5M2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003875-2.40%0.00409+3.02%0.0506✗1.34106k2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,406.56-2.37%1,656.74+14.99%0.1606✗1.24344.6M2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3376-2.36%1.42+3.65%0.0562✗1.44127k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.188444-2.36%0.186-3.63%0.0170✓1.55881k2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.120297-2.36%0.1328+7.79%0.0963✗1.013.1M2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.5671-2.35%2.932+11.53%0.1301✗1.12619k2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.138437-2.30%0.1408-0.64%0.0137✓1.292.8M2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.517812-2.30%0.562+6.04%0.0783✗1.4384k2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.2753-2.27%7.122+10.92%0.1233✗1.2816.7M2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,133.45-2.24%9,349.19+49.02%0.4181✗1.354.0M2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.111947-2.23%0.1118-2.36%0.0039✓1.015,8712022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.51396-2.21%0.5089-3.18%0.0129✓1.20642k2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.217261-2.18%0.2197-1.08%0.0080✓1.26119k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025151-2.17%0.02692+4.71%0.0646✗1.351,3002022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.78081-2.15%0.886+11.03%0.1245✗0.751.1M2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.275386-2.15%0.308844+9.73%0.1114✗1.301.1M2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.659496-2.15%0.727+7.86%0.0943✗1.25149k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum81.479.6488-2.15%88.41+8.61%0.1002✗1.668.1M2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.211064-2.15%0.2239+3.80%0.0553✗1.4999k2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.8319-2.15%8.04+34.90%0.3178✗1.31248k2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.099229-2.14%0.2424+139.05%0.8904✗1.11617k2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.790.77309-2.14%0.74-6.33%0.0455✓0.6983k2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0252.8745-2.12%56.46+4.52%0.0627✗1.1513.6M2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.1723-2.06%6.85+60.80%0.4942✗0.62504k2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.1983-2.03%5.6172+150.33%0.9362✗0.79895k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.046666-1.96%0.0549+15.34%0.1588✗1.48119k2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.059316-1.96%0.0606+0.17%0.0189✓0.98156k2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03115.7595-1.92%130.34+10.43%0.1157✗1.164.2M2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006424-1.92%0.0082+25.19%0.2415✗1.01355k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.062981-1.90%0.0669+4.21%0.0576✗1.08239k2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.227761-1.87%0.2557+10.17%0.1129✗1.1161k2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.287611-1.86%0.2979+1.65%0.0318✗1.349,2162022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.137648-1.80%0.14186+1.21%0.0262✗1.58176k2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.040675-1.75%0.0402-2.90%0.0152✓1.357,5232022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2123-1.68%2.41+7.11%0.0818✗1.52205k2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.2891-1.57%1.8503+41.29%0.3578✗1.46561k2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010523-1.57%0.00001305+22.08%0.2121✗1.261.1M2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0071-1.56%5.386+5.89%0.0725✗0.19214k2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.066779-1.53%0.07428+9.53%0.1032✗1.2928k2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.0162-1.53%17.01+11.54%0.1212✗1.3997k2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.1595-1.50%6.274+19.78%0.1928✗1.111.9M2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.084244-1.47%0.1052+23.04%0.2200✗0.84148k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.270867-1.43%0.2983+8.55%0.0934✗1.202.7M2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.6327-1.40%27.55+2.00%0.0315✗0.9510.6M2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.6641-1.37%7.565+11.96%0.1237✗1.248.6M2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.816-1.23%1.9654+6.89%0.0760✗1.2324k2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0398-1.22%1.1172+6.14%0.0691✗1.1045k2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043495-1.22%0.04656+5.75%0.0658✗0.9315k2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.358001-1.21%0.3871+6.82%0.0747✗1.3670k2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2701-1.21%4.3422+88.96%0.6460✗1.00863k2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.020235-1.19%0.022261+8.70%0.0929✗1.006,1832022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.3634-1.02%9.631+1.81%0.0254✗1.112.1M2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.130269-1.01%0.1481+12.54%0.1251✗1.2681k2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.104927-1.00%0.109482+3.30%0.0400✗1.016.7M2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.61726-0.92%0.721+15.73%0.1529✗0.97387k2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000037941-0.91%0.00003875+1.20%0.0181✗1.191.9M2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.5643-0.89%13.8671+9.39%0.0956✗1.2078k2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039649-0.88%0.04014+0.35%0.0098✗0.992,0302022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,434.61-0.85%21,418.40-0.93%0.0032✓0.9820k2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6142-0.79%2.147+31.96%0.2820✗1.26332k2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.4974-0.73%1.6006+6.11%0.0634✗1.28492k2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero144.12143.3045-0.57%150.55+4.46%0.0465✗1.111.1M2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.118795-0.51%0.1249+4.61%0.0468✗1.3447k2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019274-0.49%0.02359+21.79%0.1994✗1.06129k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash54.253.9873-0.39%67.69+24.89%0.2230✗1.281.4M2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2714-0.37%3.4798+5.98%0.0591✗1.0725k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008427-0.27%0.00698-17.40%0.1907✓0.931.3M2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.911369-0.26%0.935146+2.35%0.0233✗0.9851k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.061818-0.18%0.067837+9.54%0.0900✗1.151.8M2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.275226-0.17%0.3737+35.55%0.3030✗1.1465k2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.40070.400357-0.09%0.3867-3.49%0.0379✓1.28606k2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.680694-0.04%0.956+40.38%0.3366✗1.21758k2022-08-24
DASHDashDash44.8844.8778-0.00%49.13+9.47%0.0877✗1.11498k2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.82e-7+0.19%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0295✓0.845.9M2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008447+0.20%0.0091+7.95%0.0720✓0.994.5M2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.048119+0.37%0.07101+48.12%0.3855✓1.46712k2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.231947+0.45%0.2353+1.91%0.0113✓1.21701k2022-08-24
GTGateEthereum3.96964.0034+0.85%4.4922+13.17%0.1134✓0.72919k2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,719.84+1.91%21,367.12+0.25%0.0189✓1.00374.5M2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.064883+1.92%0.06482+1.82%0.0030✓0.80373k2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.080224+2.20%0.091+15.92%0.1229✓1.236,7862022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005773+2.56%0.005761+2.36%0.0042✓0.912,9222022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001524+3.06%0.0016+8.18%0.0458✓1.0620k2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.506929+3.71%0.4861-0.55%0.0448✗1.15350k2022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.