8=======>

2022-07-18 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3344
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.5%
in alpha space · 52.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.8170.729224-10.74%1.321+61.69%0.5185✗1.891.1M2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93760.840675-10.34%0.9842+4.97%0.0946✓1.58214k2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000106260.00009623-9.44%0.0000951-10.50%0.0876✓1.90692k2022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.1291.0415-7.75%0.967-14.35%0.1481✓1.85574k2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188880.17522-7.23%0.1794-5.02%0.0773✓2.538962022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum103.9997.1172-6.61%109.91+5.69%0.0835✗1.012.7M2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.69860.652803-6.56%0.65284-6.55%0.0628✓1.57104k2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6910.649057-6.07%0.654-5.35%0.0519✓1.493,6872022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.767533-6.05%0.804-1.59%0.0250✓1.796.5M2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.29070.273176-6.03%0.294+1.14%0.0214✓1.30435k2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.499269-5.80%0.515-2.83%0.0167✓1.1911k2022-08-17
FISStafiEthereum0.44830.422631-5.73%0.4142-7.61%0.0601✓1.004752022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.853.634-5.61%2.92-24.16%0.2392✓0.5182k2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8523.6611-4.96%5.616+45.79%0.4053✗0.572.2M2022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09930.09464-4.69%0.0778-21.65%0.2394✓1.09209k2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8517.0318-4.58%40.09+124.59%0.7925✗1.59427k2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.037553-4.20%0.0439+11.99%0.1064✗1.2595k2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5337.2184-4.18%7.38-2.03%0.0295✓1.295.5M2022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.883.7195-4.14%4.94+27.32%0.2533✗0.76597k2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.20110.192906-4.07%0.1975-1.79%0.0324✓1.402,2022022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1893.0641-3.92%3.89+21.98%0.2134✗0.631.9M2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.448260.431304-3.78%0.46051+2.73%0.0359✓0.7453k2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7514.2102-3.66%19.42+31.66%0.2741✗0.961.8M2022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.82580.795764-3.64%1.092+32.24%0.2764✗1.003.5M2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17090.164731-3.61%0.1697-0.70%0.0217✓1.29349k2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026370.025443-3.51%0.02575-2.35%0.0536✓1.6414.6M2022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.324.4147-3.50%40.29+59.25%0.4493✗1.291.2M2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.34131.2951-3.44%1.1821-11.87%0.1516✓1.514.3M2022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration63.8261.6852-3.35%54.77-14.18%0.1679✓1.23235k2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9492.8531-3.25%3.505+18.85%0.1373✗1.723.8M2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3891.344-3.24%1.218-12.31%0.1478✓1.241.4M2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.98150.949836-3.23%1.4107+43.73%0.3472✗1.211.1M2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3277.0918-3.21%7.961+8.65%0.0608✗1.375.7M2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.477820.462805-3.14%0.38327-19.79%0.2479✓1.49808k2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.9491.888-3.13%2.266+16.26%0.1309✗1.29668k2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5529-2.94%1.4-12.50%0.1135✓0.25485k2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0942.0333-2.90%1.899-9.31%0.1263✓1.45123k2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68832.6114-2.86%2.9261+8.85%0.0506✗1.585,9882022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02870.999323-2.86%0.9651-6.18%0.0925✓1.441.4M2022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20550.199804-2.77%0.1954-4.91%0.0794✓1.432,7232022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.071301-2.73%0.0708-3.41%0.0632✓1.41312k2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum29.6828.9064-2.61%38.79+30.69%0.2542✗1.00128k2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52250.508947-2.59%0.4701-10.03%0.1231✓1.0949k2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.9723.3582-2.55%25.56+6.63%0.0272✗1.5725.2M2022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019480.018993-2.50%0.01808-7.19%0.0799✓0.77354k2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.3515.9682-2.34%16.88+3.24%0.0008✓1.371.3M2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.04631.0234-2.18%1.1115+6.23%0.0378✗1.124,7592022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.55356.328-2.13%59.922+4.12%0.0281✗0.84387k2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4270.417992-2.11%0.4188-1.92%0.0601✓1.55191k2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6612.605-2.11%2.476-6.95%0.1205✓1.7484k2022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum57.6656.4654-2.07%58.31+1.13%0.0226✓1.3732k2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.414240.40579-2.04%0.40986-1.06%0.0392✓1.23128k2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3271-2.02%2.525+6.32%0.0252✗1.4143k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088780.087044-1.96%0.0832-6.29%0.0851✓1.00456k2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076990.075484-1.96%0.07755+0.73%0.0029✓0.751,9712022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45060.441799-1.95%0.4371-3.00%0.0506✓1.00257k2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174120.01708-1.91%0.021964+26.14%0.2319✗0.49175k2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.256714-1.91%0.2613-0.15%0.0222✓1.0045k2022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4717-1.88%1.37-8.67%0.1320✓1.51856k2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.57e-7-1.86%6.87e-7+88.91%0.6150✗1.00316k2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum96.2394.469-1.83%100.14+4.06%0.0080✓1.6610.8M2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.220.216075-1.78%0.217-1.36%0.0579✓1.56881k2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.475.3729-1.78%6+9.69%0.0536✗1.421.2M2022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16280.159929-1.76%0.159-2.33%0.0577✓1.302.8M2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08820.086656-1.75%0.0793-10.09%0.1378✓1.23176k2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.904962-1.75%0.96777+5.07%0.0137✓1.34399k2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10740.105559-1.71%0.1091+1.58%0.0199✓1.33526k2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana43.5542.8218-1.67%40.55-6.89%0.1080✓1.3481.1M2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9925.8947-1.62%6.107+1.92%0.0353✓1.7711.7M2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.2173-1.61%3.413+4.37%0.0152✓1.10552k2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6571.6331-1.44%1.854+11.89%0.0684✗1.46194k2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.811.7846-1.40%2.37+30.94%0.2394✗1.11133k2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.5941.5724-1.36%1.991+24.91%0.1961✗1.00178k2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07560.074599-1.32%0.0662-12.43%0.1592✓1.00229k2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.974.905-1.31%6.22+25.15%0.2107✗0.67574k2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.5121.4935-1.22%1.563+3.37%0.0119✓1.44382k2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9513.903-1.21%5.966+51.00%0.3992✗0.631.5M2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3163.2764-1.19%4.144+24.97%0.2042✗0.77488k2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.134.0809-1.19%5.52+33.66%0.2766✗0.64694k2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05070.050101-1.18%0.0509+0.39%0.0324✓1.21276k2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.360130.355901-1.17%0.32972-8.44%0.1268✓1.26411k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.003830.003789-1.07%0.00378-1.31%0.0565✓1.36635k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007070.006995-1.07%0.00675-4.53%0.0585✓0.5765k2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11010.108947-1.05%0.1226+11.35%0.0636✗1.362.4M2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.30e-7-1.02%9.70e-7+3.19%0.0018✓1.0025k2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35980.356203-1.00%0.3408-5.28%0.0908✓1.178.2M2022-08-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.43595.3821-0.99%5.3011-2.48%0.0233✓0.20335k2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0449280.04449-0.97%0.050295+11.95%0.0762✗1.1616k2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.5799.4857-0.97%11.75+22.66%0.1607✗1.3412.5M2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0531780.052687-0.92%0.053519+0.64%0.0093✓0.6214k2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3911.2856-0.92%15.74+38.19%0.2727✗1.501.1M2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5362.5137-0.88%3.682+45.19%0.3455✗0.9188k2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.47060.466477-0.88%0.5961+26.67%0.1952✗1.251.2M2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6063-0.84%1.61-0.62%0.0558✓1.46142k2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana76.9414-0.84%8.75+25.00%0.2119✗0.49670k2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.490.485946-0.83%0.5386+9.92%0.0522✗1.2743.9M2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24760.24559-0.81%0.2535+2.38%0.0181✓1.25139k2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3209430.318381-0.80%0.348082+8.46%0.0389✗1.261.4M2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.14932.1327-0.77%3.8114+77.33%0.5444✗0.91857k2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.965290.958227-0.73%1.2042+24.75%0.1905✗0.954662022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6812-0.70%2.92+8.15%0.0242✗1.53205k2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0386.9903-0.68%8.061+14.54%0.0919✗1.2717.9M2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase17.7417.622-0.67%19.01+7.16%0.0199✗1.4081k2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.251149-0.57%0.2913+15.32%0.1047✗1.0960k2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,611.886,578.11-0.51%11,164.62+68.86%0.4756✗1.344.4M2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3351.3284-0.50%1.36+1.87%0.0287✓1.312.6M2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13220.131633-0.43%0.1453+9.91%0.0577✗1.033.3M2022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.830.826495-0.42%0.909+9.52%0.0639✗0.781.1M2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11460.114137-0.40%0.2222+93.89%0.6219✗1.11560k2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.5858.3519-0.39%60.52+3.31%0.0096✓1.1514.8M2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028960.028857-0.36%0.0299+3.25%0.0202✓1.401,4722022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.8629.767-0.31%30.11+0.84%0.0272✓0.9710.7M2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.619.5804-0.31%11.36+18.21%0.1239✗1.16288k2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.7372.7295-0.27%3.263+19.22%0.1345✗1.10704k2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.304870.304139-0.24%0.34491+13.13%0.0724✗1.343,2792022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054612-0.16%0.0599+9.51%0.0388✗1.34817k2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.71928-0.10%0.781+8.47%0.0323✗1.25127k2022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004276-0.08%0.00468+9.35%0.0367✗1.34127k2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.73361.7323-0.08%1.8847+8.72%0.0334✗1.27519k2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.571719-0.05%0.643+12.41%0.0612✗1.4184k2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,581.341,580.87-0.03%1,834.61+16.02%0.0989✗1.25326.5M2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010420.001042-0.01%0.001546+48.32%0.3436✗1.271.7M2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129810.012981-0.00%0.015184+16.97%0.1238✗0.831.2M2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3130.312999-0.00%0.303-3.19%0.0748✓1.06599k2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29630.296413+0.04%0.3198+7.93%0.0285✓1.192.9M2022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.434.4336+0.08%6.3+42.21%0.3258✓0.64579k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11740.117498+0.08%0.1214+3.41%0.0108✗1.09380k2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11310.113236+0.12%0.1209+6.90%0.0270✓0.966,1432022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047510.047594+0.18%0.05073+6.78%0.0274✓0.916,5622022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.236.2449+0.24%9.4+50.88%0.3556✓1.34263k2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.15120.151607+0.27%0.1769+17.00%0.1045✓1.2587k2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43320.434412+0.28%0.4206-2.91%0.0858✗1.3482k2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9395.9575+0.31%8.193+37.95%0.2745✓1.111.9M2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31152.3207+0.40%3.4712+50.17%0.3707✓0.80947k2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221540.022243+0.40%0.023935+8.04%0.0340✓0.991,5692022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.80.803577+0.45%0.78-2.50%0.0583✗0.71111k2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44671.4537+0.49%1.7066+17.97%0.1041✓1.41684k2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.146230.146978+0.51%0.15873+8.55%0.0124✓1.62176k2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05610.056387+0.51%0.063+12.30%0.0520✓1.48108k2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5530.55601+0.54%0.5653+2.22%0.0320✗1.22456k2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.11851.1251+0.59%1.2119+8.35%0.0314✓1.0848k2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006980.007022+0.60%0.00814+16.62%0.1076✓1.01390k2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.029436+0.60%0.04685+60.12%0.4144✓1.2623k2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.000012052+0.77%0.00001476+23.41%0.1524✓1.261.2M2022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.115112+0.81%0.121305+6.24%0.0124✓1.007.2M2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.063130.063676+0.86%0.0871+37.97%0.2600✓1.3325k2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92811.9461+0.94%2.2016+14.19%0.0745✓1.2227k2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13310.134379+0.96%0.1381+3.76%0.0253✗1.3234k2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6547.729+0.98%8.372+9.38%0.0304✓1.249.0M2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.003034+1.01%0.003936+31.03%0.2187✓1.041.2M2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000042160.000042605+1.06%0.00004333+2.78%0.0306✗1.191.9M2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59472.6222+1.06%3.0983+19.41%0.1273✓0.991.1M2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04410.044577+1.08%0.0427-3.17%0.0966✗1.347,2812022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.009260.009368+1.16%0.00794-14.25%0.2018✗0.911.2M2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.720.728521+1.18%0.773+7.36%0.0204✓0.97443k2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.335414.5063+1.19%14.8272+3.43%0.0262✗1.20238k2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067540.068438+1.33%0.080115+18.62%0.1092✓1.212.0M2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009540.009669+1.35%0.01086+13.84%0.0771✓0.984.9M2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021160.021448+1.36%0.02486+17.49%0.1052✓1.06123k2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.21122.9046+1.40%133.83+10.41%0.0401✓1.134.0M2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22550.229232+1.65%0.241+6.87%0.0093✓1.49117k2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash65.5766.7002+1.72%74.22+13.19%0.0543✓1.321.5M2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.09359+1.73%0.0997+8.37%0.0318✓0.79144k2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero147.68150.2703+1.75%168.3+13.96%0.0683✓1.131.3M2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative1.6881.7186+1.82%2.565+51.95%0.3523✓1.21287k2022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.85410.0373+1.86%10.256+4.08%0.0228✗1.112.2M2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.42560.433744+1.91%0.4567+7.31%0.0012✓1.26381k2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.056850.058009+2.04%0.08598+51.24%0.3351✓1.46773k2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,641.5022,085.85+2.05%23,298.30+7.66%0.0149✓0.9729k2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.51e-7+2.20%9.60e-7+3.23%0.0234✗0.845.8M2022-08-17
DASHDashDash48.8650.0153+2.36%52.87+8.21%0.0118✓1.10616k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.28544.3932+2.52%4.8449+13.06%0.0693✓0.72930k2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9790621.0042+2.57%0.97823-0.08%0.0672✗1.0363k2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26320.270854+2.91%0.3741+42.14%0.2775✓1.1442k2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.20123.2989+3.05%4.012+25.32%0.1520✓1.1026k2022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.690.711098+3.06%0.672-2.61%0.1168✗1.51108k2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.220.227293+3.31%0.2756+25.27%0.1455✓1.18705k2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0690930.071552+3.56%0.068126-1.40%0.0808✗0.79405k2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6570.685132+4.28%0.928+41.25%0.2553✓1.21858k2022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,427.5623,388.35+4.28%23,341.17+4.07%0.0419✗1.00398.7M2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08410.08845+5.17%0.1018+21.05%0.0917✓1.226,7832022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059220.006233+5.26%0.00652+10.09%0.0086✓0.912,9222022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52960.563718+6.44%0.5401+1.98%0.0886✗1.15311k2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.