8=======>

2022-07-17 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3165
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.0%
in alpha space · 21.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47870.503363+5.15%0.5677+18.59%0.0355✓1.13311k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,791.7421,481.77+3.32%23,857.93+14.75%0.0326✗1.00398.7M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056480.005823+3.11%0.006767+19.81%0.0238✓0.922,9622022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07960.081947+2.95%0.1069+34.30%0.0946✓1.246,7832022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.619464+2.90%0.959+59.30%0.2714✓1.20858k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0674370.068821+2.05%0.069764+3.45%0.0990✗0.82405k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.21230.216585+2.02%0.27+27.18%0.0537✓1.21705k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95052.9954+1.52%4.0127+36.00%0.1417✓1.1026k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.09154.1526+1.49%4.8932+19.59%0.0656✓0.72930k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25370.256765+1.21%0.3985+57.08%0.2824✓1.1440k2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase0.903560.913354+1.08%1.0226+13.18%0.0274✗1.0263k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.079.1619+1.01%10.39+14.55%0.0275✗1.112.2M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051940.052451+0.98%0.08996+73.20%0.3372✓1.47773k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash45.9246.3564+0.95%52.46+14.24%0.0284✗1.11616k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative1.5641.5781+0.90%2.685+71.68%0.3642✓1.22287k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,043.2021,224.42+0.86%23,861.50+13.39%0.0192✗0.9935k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.00e-79.07e-7+0.75%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0497✗0.855.8M2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.38590.388668+0.72%0.4762+23.40%0.0301✓1.26381k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero135.99136.9444+0.70%169.61+24.72%0.0599✓1.121.3M2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6210.62535+0.70%0.7+12.72%0.0945✗1.51108k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0540.054303+0.56%0.0784+45.19%0.2593✓0.78209k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash59.4359.7317+0.51%75.95+27.80%0.0594✓1.311.5M2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009136+0.39%0.01154+26.81%0.0923✓1.034.9M2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20710.207803+0.34%0.2556+23.42%0.0010✓1.51117k2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,338.201,340.98+0.21%1,876.57+40.23%0.1696✓1.21326.5M2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0629840.063103+0.19%0.087041+38.20%0.1536✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.99110.1401+0.14%136.34+23.96%0.0596✓1.124.0M2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6440.644859+0.13%0.818+27.02%0.1068✓0.95425k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008931+0.12%0.00828-7.17%0.2037✗0.931.2M2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9196.9267+0.11%8.839+27.75%0.0733✓1.249.0M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020090.020081-0.04%0.02539+26.38%0.0866✗1.08112k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase13.242813.2318-0.08%15.0779+13.86%0.0360✓1.21242k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1066250.106495-0.12%0.12178+14.21%0.0038✓1.007.2M2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132790.13246-0.25%0.16955+27.68%0.0235✗1.62176k2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006450.006421-0.45%0.00854+32.40%0.1467✗1.01390k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000040040.000039834-0.52%0.00004498+12.34%0.0452✓1.211.9M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027910.002777-0.52%0.004101+46.94%0.2477✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786310.782115-0.53%1.1875+51.02%0.2981✗0.874662022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80141.7915-0.55%2.2701+26.02%0.0665✗1.2427k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.125301-0.55%0.1437+14.05%0.0483✓1.3534k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50422.4902-0.56%3.1212+24.64%0.0867✗1.011.1M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9149-0.59%10.19+71.26%0.3556✗1.37263k2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09430.093725-0.61%0.1024+8.59%0.0251✓0.83144k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.57311.5622-0.69%1.8887+20.06%0.0144✗1.27519k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062690.062255-0.69%0.09121+45.49%0.1908✗1.3924k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2730.270991-0.74%0.3392+24.25%0.0604✗1.192.9M2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.05111.0433-0.74%1.2535+19.26%0.0331✗1.0948k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001070.00001062-0.74%0.00001581+47.76%0.2263✗1.251.1M2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50720.503405-0.75%0.5897+16.27%0.0098✓1.22456k2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04160.041273-0.79%0.0445+6.97%0.1108✓1.357,2812022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027360.02712-0.88%0.05113+86.88%0.4586✗1.2821k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35481.3425-0.91%1.635+20.68%0.0005✓1.43684k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9694.9219-0.95%6.197+24.71%0.0113✓1.7611.7M2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050211-0.97%0.0696+37.28%0.1230✗1.48106k2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37740.373607-1.01%0.4559+20.80%0.0174✗1.3282k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.6127.3291-1.02%30.67+11.08%0.0174✓0.9610.6M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000979792-1.04%0.001587+60.24%0.3034✗1.301.8M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23752.2142-1.04%3.514+57.05%0.3500✗0.81947k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124040.012269-1.09%0.015966+28.72%0.1487✗0.831.2M2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044524-1.10%0.05205+15.62%0.0294✗0.926,5622022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4970.491442-1.12%0.672+35.21%0.1209✗1.4084k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6895.6214-1.19%8.426+48.11%0.2493✗1.131.9M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.810.800294-1.20%0.81+0.00%0.0910✓0.75111k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212770.02102-1.21%0.024604+15.64%0.0193✗1.001,5692022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.10823-1.25%0.123+12.23%0.0080✓0.996,1432022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13860.136807-1.29%0.1861+34.27%0.1353✗1.2587k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.115268-1.31%0.1546+32.36%0.1553✗1.013.3M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,069.875,987.11-1.36%11,010.19+81.39%0.4243✗1.344.2M2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.278085-1.39%0.316+12.06%0.0159✓1.04599k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.44770.441353-1.42%0.5571+24.44%0.0579✗1.2743.9M2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase16.5516.3144-1.42%20.12+21.57%0.0142✓1.4289k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3456.2545-1.43%8.453+33.22%0.1275✗1.2617.9M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.2577-1.44%6.29+45.60%0.3005✗0.65579k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23075.155-1.45%5.2507+0.38%0.0074✓0.19358k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003940.003883-1.45%0.00476+20.81%0.0178✗1.35127k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.288740.284433-1.49%0.35527+23.04%0.0354✗1.363,2792022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7770.765364-1.50%0.967+24.45%0.1267✗0.781.1M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7454.9014-1.50%61.33+10.03%0.0511✓1.1814.8M2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.379.2289-1.51%15+60.09%0.2847✗1.461.1M2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10550.103871-1.54%0.2097+98.77%0.5502✗1.11560k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.656441-1.58%0.84+25.94%0.0731✗1.26127k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2441.2243-1.58%1.425+14.55%0.0308✓1.332.6M2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11050.108667-1.66%0.1265+14.48%0.0005✓1.10380k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.058.8986-1.67%12.36+36.57%0.1661✗1.18272k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0405550.039874-1.68%0.051969+28.14%0.1056✗1.1616k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.23710.233102-1.69%0.3001+26.57%0.1005✗1.1160k2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.6242.5786-1.73%3.334+27.06%0.1021✗1.13729k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.049604-1.77%0.0642+27.13%0.0707✗1.36817k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.4751-1.78%3.26+29.37%0.0608✗1.56205k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.44040.432485-1.80%0.6115+38.85%0.1714✗1.271.2M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.0432.0055-1.83%3.7239+82.28%0.4937✗0.91857k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07060.069239-1.93%0.0688-2.55%0.1441✓1.00253k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003530.003461-1.95%0.00401+13.60%0.0413✓1.37635k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.198963-1.99%0.244+20.20%0.0119✓1.57881k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23160.226949-2.01%0.2645+14.21%0.0213✓1.27160k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.321850.315384-2.01%0.35342+9.81%0.0571✓1.24411k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana38.6337.8538-2.01%43.09+11.55%0.0542✓1.3481.1M2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9158.7339-2.03%11.396+27.83%0.0799✗1.3512.5M2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.2218.8266-2.05%39.88+107.49%0.5867✗1.191.2M2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3552.3068-2.05%3.876+64.59%0.3923✗0.9288k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2945960.288403-2.10%0.362039+22.89%0.0531✗1.271.4M2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33650.329394-2.11%0.3526+4.78%0.0945✓1.188.2M2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.826.6718-2.17%8.89+30.35%0.2181✗0.50670k2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8723.7861-2.22%5.889+52.09%0.3529✗0.651.5M2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1642.1158-2.23%2.651+22.50%0.0077✓1.7084k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.427-2.26%1.75+19.86%0.0027✓1.46142k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.095662-2.29%0.1301+32.89%0.1219✗1.352.4M2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3821.3499-2.32%1.675+21.20%0.0160✓1.45380k2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.5291.4921-2.41%2.061+34.79%0.1854✗1.00180k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2786.1068-2.45%109.79+24.38%0.0101✓1.6910.8M2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068380.00667-2.46%0.006937+1.45%0.0407✓0.5869k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8136-2.47%5.44+39.13%0.2678✗0.64694k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.0229-2.47%5.96+15.73%0.0292✓1.461.2M2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5371.4979-2.54%1.924+25.18%0.0461✗1.48182k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07861.0508-2.58%1.2853+19.16%0.0012✓1.464.2M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6220.0875-2.58%27.11+31.47%0.0858✗1.5625.2M2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.837550.815784-2.60%1.0299+22.96%0.0483✗1.34399k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6655-2.60%2.36+38.01%0.1937✗1.13127k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.15320.149175-2.63%0.1676+9.40%0.0658✓1.322.8M2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02730.026567-2.68%0.03136+14.87%0.0342✓1.451,4722022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.6517-2.68%6.14+28.45%0.1846✗0.68574k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1112-2.75%2.752+26.76%0.0690✗1.4343k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2233.1331-2.79%4.19+30.00%0.1831✗0.78488k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.048195-2.83%0.0539+8.67%0.0592✓1.24276k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0514280.049962-2.85%0.054802+6.56%0.0060✓0.6314k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5114.0947-2.86%17.95+23.71%0.0546✗1.361.3M2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39460.383268-2.87%0.4464+13.13%0.0647✓1.58191k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1821.1474-2.93%1.271+7.53%0.0600✓1.181.4M2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.4352.7803-3.03%56.07+3.01%0.1036✓1.19235k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38730.375425-3.07%0.4749+22.62%0.0975✗1.00241k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2683.1673-3.08%3.62+10.77%0.0241✓1.15544k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.099358-3.25%0.1138+10.81%0.0516✓1.36526k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.71e-7-3.26%0.000001+11.11%0.0009✓1.0025k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382620.37012-3.27%0.42922+12.18%0.0224✓1.24128k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91240.882574-3.27%1.0221+12.02%0.0535✓1.461.4M2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018570.017957-3.30%0.01753-5.60%0.1297✓0.77381k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48170.465437-3.38%0.5047+4.77%0.0702✓1.1052k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.082791-3.39%0.0811-5.37%0.1944✓1.26167k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.98940.955034-3.47%1.1561+16.85%0.0336✓1.144,6812022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07720.074476-3.53%0.08258+6.97%0.0087✓0.811,9712022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8652.922-3.53%61.09+11.36%0.0494✓1.4032k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3499-3.58%1.41+0.71%0.1680✓1.54809k2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum23.7722.896-3.68%38.9+63.65%0.3925✗1.00127k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444410.427854-3.73%0.40858-8.06%0.2543✓1.51862k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022990.022132-3.73%0.02789+21.31%0.0049✓1.6514.6M2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.44e-7-3.78%7.44e-7+108.16%0.6297✗1.03344k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.251608-3.82%0.2612-0.15%0.1001✓1.0045k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179150.017217-3.89%0.025638+43.11%0.3254✗0.53176k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.7781.7087-3.90%2.409+35.49%0.1639✗1.31668k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.66251.543-3.95%61.168+13.99%0.0553✗0.84387k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0710.068159-4.00%0.0734+3.38%0.1251✓1.45312k2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090820.087102-4.09%0.08578-5.55%0.1529✓1.00432k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17840.170859-4.23%0.207+16.03%0.0003✓1.392,2022022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54742.4381-4.29%3.3012+29.59%0.0797✗1.625,9882022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9436.6396-4.37%8.346+20.21%0.0358✓1.405.7M2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0181.9296-4.38%2.016-0.10%0.1631✓1.50116k2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93770.895436-4.51%1.4706+56.83%0.3254✗1.241.0M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.473.3023-4.83%4.95+42.65%0.3036✗0.74597k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03630.034531-4.87%0.0426+17.36%0.0366✓1.2695k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.641.56-4.88%1.47-10.37%0.0965✓0.27485k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6532.522-4.94%3.68+38.71%0.1364✗1.763.7M2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.4813.7647-4.94%20.32+40.33%0.2532✗0.991.7M2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1870.177655-5.00%0.2113+12.99%0.0266✓1.452,5392022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80240.761815-5.06%1.1489+43.18%0.2695✗1.033.5M2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.437090.414088-5.26%0.47192+7.97%0.0251✓0.7753k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16630.15742-5.34%0.1798+8.12%0.0501✓1.33349k2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2256.8135-5.70%7.773+7.58%0.0506✓1.335.5M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0872.9059-5.87%4.038+30.81%0.2403✗0.641.9M2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.3757-6.15%6.018+67.31%0.5020✗0.552.2M2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.28650.268174-6.40%0.3019+5.38%0.0751✓1.41435k2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.40.374253-6.44%0.4514+12.85%0.0499✓1.003902022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.3916.2501-6.55%40.61+133.53%0.6886✗1.65421k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.723113-6.82%0.87+12.11%0.0686✓1.847.0M2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.543.2972-6.86%2.94-16.95%0.1770✓0.4578k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.596101-6.86%0.71+10.94%0.0323✓1.513,6872022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5820.541007-7.04%1.454+149.83%0.7561✗1.691.1M2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5110.474994-7.05%0.545+6.65%0.0302✓1.2211k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.61496-7.29%0.69252+4.40%0.1068✓1.64104k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.8960.828133-7.57%1.072+19.64%0.0114✓1.79528k2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum98.8691.0395-7.91%116.11+17.45%0.1021✗1.032.7M2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.184760.17009-7.94%0.1883+1.92%0.2749✓2.747222022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010150.000091352-10.00%0.0000971-4.33%0.2005✓1.90692k2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87550.772374-11.78%0.967+10.45%0.0032✓1.61209k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.