8=======>

2022-07-14 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2993
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.8%
in alpha space · 24.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78890.68872-12.70%1.0121+28.29%0.1073✓1.61180k2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009210.000083191-9.67%0.00009674+5.04%0.1800✓1.92682k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.5489.4197-8.33%126.57+29.76%0.1717✗1.022.6M2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174850.160806-8.03%0.20197+15.51%0.2498✓2.778962022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9420.866354-8.03%0.974+3.40%0.1942✓1.80528k2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7810.724524-7.23%0.912+16.77%0.0903✓1.867.9M2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.1615.9542-7.03%40.15+133.97%0.6346✗1.67427k2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.602534-6.87%0.792+22.41%0.0140✓1.503,6872022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.650460.605973-6.84%0.72052+10.77%0.1092✓1.63130k2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4583.2342-6.47%6.38+84.50%0.5867✗0.542.1M2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8912.7071-6.36%4.099+41.78%0.3067✗0.632.1M2022-08-13
FISStafiEthereum0.37350.350945-6.04%0.3736+0.03%0.1102✓1.004752022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9321-6.02%3.03-2.88%0.0443✓0.4582k2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.176015-5.67%0.2265+21.38%0.0118✓1.392,2342022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7092.5665-5.26%3.972+46.62%0.1345✗1.753.5M2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.5913.8344-5.18%21.34+46.26%0.2633✗0.991.7M2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17490.165943-5.12%0.2195+25.50%0.0249✓1.482,7942022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.250.237419-5.03%0.3084+23.36%0.0889✗1.00503k2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.9342-5.00%2.328+14.34%0.0731✓1.50112k2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80490.764867-4.97%1.1627+44.45%0.2421✗1.024.5M2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8326.4932-4.96%8.197+19.98%0.0031✓1.335.5M2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.034412-4.94%0.0442+22.10%0.0329✓1.2699k2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93090.885363-4.89%1.419+52.43%0.2564✗1.25794k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450.428625-4.75%0.41477-7.83%0.2944✓1.511.0M2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism0.4910.468281-4.63%1.542+214.05%0.8976✗1.701.2M2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.407030.388321-4.60%0.53395+31.18%0.1875✗0.7654k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0136.6908-4.59%8.987+28.15%0.0546✗1.395.6M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4080.389852-4.45%0.558+36.76%0.1662✗1.119,6592022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023640.022599-4.40%0.03126+32.23%0.0400✓1.6517.7M2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.143.002-4.40%4.96+57.96%0.3789✗0.71572k2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4255-4.33%1.55+4.03%0.0405✓0.25512k2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8171.7386-4.32%2.408+32.53%0.1001✗1.31864k2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095360.091285-4.27%0.08755-8.19%0.2145✓1.00379k2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.145383-4.04%0.1908+25.94%0.0405✓1.34349k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.251436-3.89%0.261-0.23%0.1354✓1.0045k2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.20450.2134-3.81%63.346+21.34%0.0873✗0.84414k2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9752.9029-3.76%65.44+19.05%0.0258✓1.3828k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum22.3321.521-3.62%47.76+113.88%0.6244✗1.00126k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173790.016754-3.60%0.020481+17.85%0.1107✗0.52199k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074240.071602-3.55%0.08281+11.54%0.0021✓0.831,9362022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3407-3.54%1.54+10.79%0.1266✓1.54768k2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08620.083204-3.48%0.0916+6.26%0.1225✓1.27171k2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.970160.936461-3.47%1.2311+26.90%0.0770✗1.143,5002022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06610.063833-3.43%0.0784+18.61%0.0407✓1.43299k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46250.447103-3.33%0.5584+20.74%0.0319✓1.1053k2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.58e-7-3.32%3.22e-7-13.15%0.2955✓1.09441k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2051.1655-3.27%1.326+10.04%0.0740✓1.181.5M2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387560.375013-3.24%0.46097+18.94%0.0094✓1.25130k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91640.886867-3.22%1.138+24.18%0.0026✓1.461.5M2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38910.376733-3.18%0.5216+34.05%0.1526✗1.00180k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1681.1311-3.16%1.4348+22.84%0.0116✓1.444.3M2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40470.391999-3.14%0.462+14.16%0.1079✓1.58197k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26142.1918-3.08%3.2141+42.13%0.1032✗1.624,8022022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum91.2288.5922-2.88%110.5+21.14%0.0705✓1.6910.4M2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017368-2.87%0.01788+0.00%0.1043✓0.77381k2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0508990.049482-2.78%0.056988+11.96%0.0339✗0.6214k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1782.1214-2.60%2.867+31.63%0.0552✗1.4252k2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026010.025347-2.55%0.03326+27.87%0.0179✓1.471,9122022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.4222-2.45%2.107+44.51%0.2203✗1.00178k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.5514-2.43%5.4+48.35%0.3107✗0.63672k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.045375-2.42%0.0554+19.14%0.0150✓1.24257k2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum5.195.0649-2.41%6.65+28.13%0.0192✓1.471.3M2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6983.6097-2.39%4.814+30.18%0.1803✗0.621.6M2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.14780.144296-2.37%0.1759+19.01%0.0283✓1.312.8M2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.835040.815701-2.32%1.0614+27.10%0.0320✗1.34411k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6128-2.26%2.66+61.21%0.3082✗1.11117k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006609-2.19%0.006824+0.99%0.0669✓0.5784k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22860.223672-2.16%0.2745+20.08%0.0127✓1.26172k2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2322.1859-2.07%2.902+30.02%0.0101✓1.7084k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9613.6836-1.98%19.24+37.82%0.1057✗1.361.3M2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.206858-1.96%0.235+11.37%0.1441✓1.571.0M2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4024-1.93%1.85+29.37%0.0234✗1.47155k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3541.3283-1.90%1.823+34.64%0.0646✗1.46387k2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09610.094332-1.84%0.1441+49.95%0.1910✗1.352.5M2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.784305-1.84%0.991+24.03%0.0974✗0.791.3M2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.434.3486-1.84%6.06+36.79%0.2178✗0.66609k2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288030.282742-1.84%0.37115+28.86%0.0380✗1.353,2762022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration51.5150.5857-1.79%61.18+18.77%0.0128✓1.17235k2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.067777-1.77%0.0716+3.77%0.1186✓1.00145k2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4421.4166-1.76%1.994+38.28%0.0843✗1.49182k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.090299-1.74%0.1229+33.73%0.0733✗1.36547k2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2162.1778-1.72%4.135+86.60%0.4845✗0.9198k2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6680.656936-1.66%0.917+37.28%0.1144✗1.27127k2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.26.0986-1.64%8.81+42.10%0.2836✗0.49657k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2261.206-1.63%1.485+21.13%0.0184✓1.312.5M2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32970.324381-1.61%0.3686+11.80%0.0770✓1.198.5M2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7419.4259-1.59%29.19+47.87%0.1401✗1.5525.2M2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9818.8415-1.55%11.906+32.57%0.0635✗1.3612.7M2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7516-1.55%4.086+46.19%0.2649✗0.76488k2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0399020.039294-1.52%0.054466+36.50%0.1277✗1.1515k2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.189.0427-1.50%15.39+67.65%0.2796✗1.461.1M2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1050.103503-1.43%0.1616+53.90%0.2547✗1.10549k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2907120.286585-1.42%0.387693+33.36%0.0839✗1.261.7M2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.42440.418615-1.36%0.6334+49.25%0.1964✗1.261.2M2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.2350.231819-1.35%0.2886+22.81%0.0290✗1.1060k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78561.7616-1.35%3.4312+92.16%0.5178✗0.86845k2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.003490.003443-1.34%0.00389+11.46%0.1125✓1.36664k2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.280222-1.33%0.333+17.25%0.0061✓1.03575k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.820.809981-1.22%0.82+0.00%0.1164✓0.74114k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.1236.6733-1.20%46.63+25.62%0.0110✓1.3384.4M2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003833-1.20%0.00504+29.90%0.0399✗1.35141k2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39995.3381-1.15%4.8922-9.40%0.1195✓0.19335k2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6832.6529-1.12%4.065+51.51%0.2328✗1.12534k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044524-1.10%0.05467+21.43%0.0464✗0.925,7282022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13680.135344-1.06%0.1743+27.41%0.0364✗1.2593k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.5762.5495-1.03%3.746+45.42%0.1904✗1.13895k2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.993.9497-1.01%6.12+53.38%0.3292✗0.63555k2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.276.2103-0.95%9.149+45.92%0.1702✗1.2619.7M2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10770.106681-0.95%0.1341+24.51%0.0600✗0.986,6852022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.44140.437239-0.94%0.5598+26.82%0.0277✗1.2746.2M2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027090.026837-0.94%0.04514+66.63%0.2988✗1.2819k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1140.112962-0.91%0.1717+50.61%0.2446✗1.013.9M2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.496498-0.90%0.702+40.12%0.1056✗1.3985k2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2404-0.87%3.24+43.36%0.1003✗1.56216k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38370.380395-0.86%0.4939+28.72%0.0298✗1.3494k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205260.02036-0.81%0.025853+25.95%0.0652✗1.019372022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.338.265-0.78%12.18+46.22%0.1827✗1.19288k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10670.105888-0.76%0.1296+21.46%0.0119✗1.10388k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,010.905,966.85-0.73%11,424.48+90.06%0.4181✗1.344.4M2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.725.6801-0.70%10.46+82.87%0.3742✗1.37256k2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1252.1102-0.70%3.4228+61.07%0.3458✗0.80922k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120520.011972-0.67%0.01624+34.75%0.1638✗0.821.3M2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase15.4115.308-0.66%20.82+35.11%0.0632✗1.4177k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04960.049304-0.60%0.0672+35.48%0.0542✗1.48106k2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50710.504128-0.59%0.6271+23.66%0.0090✗1.21536k2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32011.313-0.54%1.7029+29.00%0.0149✗1.42651k2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12560.124927-0.54%0.1512+20.38%0.0402✓1.3435k2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3545.3277-0.49%8.374+56.41%0.2556✗1.141.9M2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3251.0693-0.49%63.86+24.43%0.0209✗1.1715.5M2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.289410.288025-0.48%0.3817+31.89%0.0650✗1.25421k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26880.267661-0.42%0.3595+33.74%0.0888✗1.193.0M2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095450.000950626-0.41%0.001473+54.30%0.2163✗1.281.9M2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001060.000010557-0.41%0.00001262+19.06%0.0364✓1.241.2M2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.792540.789448-0.39%1.243+56.84%0.3023✗0.883222022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006386-0.37%0.00886+38.22%0.1560✗0.99392k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.56011.5545-0.36%1.9104+22.45%0.0146✓1.28582k2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.02531.0217-0.35%1.2916+25.97%0.0463✗1.0952k2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04230.042181-0.28%0.0501+18.44%0.0625✓1.368,3162022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038905-0.22%0.0000474+21.57%0.0117✓1.211.9M2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04430.044248-0.12%0.0714+61.17%0.2460✗1.35837k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.8631-0.10%31.33+21.01%0.0300✗0.9411.0M2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027490.002747-0.08%0.004633+68.53%0.3431✗1.041.2M2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6854.6835-0.03%6.66+42.16%0.0489✗1.7613.1M2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019740.019758+0.09%0.02741+38.86%0.1443✓1.0699k2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77041.7728+0.14%2.4159+36.46%0.0947✓1.2436k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1071370.10729+0.14%0.126836+18.39%0.0068✗1.017.8M2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129640.129828+0.15%0.18116+39.74%0.0534✓1.62155k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009499+0.20%0.01031+8.76%0.0968✗1.035.1M2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056930.057136+0.36%0.09127+60.32%0.2298✓1.3824k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.33592.3445+0.37%2.999+28.39%0.0741✓1.001.1M2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.009027+0.41%0.00828-7.90%0.2455✗0.921.2M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6150.618412+0.55%0.872+41.79%0.1806✓0.94391k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7414.8392+0.67%43.58+195.66%0.8740✓1.181.3M2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08880.089405+0.68%0.1176+32.43%0.1339✓0.81145k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623920.062842+0.72%0.072906+16.85%0.0615✗1.222.0M2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7226.7781+0.83%9.31+38.50%0.1046✓1.239.7M2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25690.259417+0.98%0.4375+70.30%0.3237✓1.1533k2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.99104.0739+1.05%144.43+40.24%0.1345✓1.124.5M2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash57.5958.2279+1.11%76.21+32.33%0.0402✓1.331.6M2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.38020.384436+1.11%0.5095+34.01%0.0629✓1.27405k2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative1.5621.5795+1.12%2.923+87.13%0.4054✓1.22287k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero133.62135.1398+1.14%168.13+25.83%0.0230✓1.131.3M2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.2039+1.14%10.697+17.55%0.0419✗1.112.5M2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05190.052529+1.21%0.0823+58.57%0.3142✓0.78204k2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase0.885170.896033+1.23%1.0828+22.32%0.0131✓1.0274k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353412.5168+1.32%17.0389+37.93%0.1021✓1.19265k2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.617151+1.34%0.733+20.36%0.0923✗1.53118k2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.72e-7+1.35%0.00000102+18.60%0.0111✓0.855.8M2022-08-13
DASHDashDash43.6244.3112+1.58%57.07+30.83%0.0609✓1.11628k2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,192.701,215.96+1.95%1,984.75+66.41%0.2839✓1.19326.5M2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.00914.0903+2.03%5.1095+27.45%0.0988✓0.721.1M2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669340.068292+2.03%0.069903+4.44%0.1181✗0.82453k2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049560.050616+2.13%0.09698+95.68%0.3964✓1.47778k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18910.193187+2.16%0.2699+42.73%0.0820✓1.46127k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.20250.206942+2.19%0.2759+36.25%0.0800✓1.20705k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.7332.7937+2.22%4.2917+57.03%0.2396✓1.1027k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,493.5020,971.90+2.33%24,547.20+19.78%0.0130✓0.9945k2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6110.627771+2.74%1.038+69.89%0.2931✓1.21867k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,577.0221,393.03+3.97%24,456.49+18.85%0.0389✗1.00453.1M2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07690.079987+4.01%0.1028+33.68%0.0376✓1.246,9262022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056870.00593+4.28%0.006994+22.98%0.0059✓0.923,1492022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4670.493935+5.77%0.6153+31.76%0.0254✓1.13311k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.