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2022-07-10 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3393
182 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.1%
in alpha space · 79.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.695896+11.88%0.81+30.23%0.0236✓1.22952k2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.726086+11.88%0.716+10.32%0.1786✗1.57214k2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.087687+11.42%0.0977+24.14%0.0239✓1.267,1372022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.593032+11.05%1.618+203.00%0.8249✓1.701.5M2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.109518+9.63%0.1396+39.74%0.1016✓1.342.8M2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-74.16e-7+9.41%3.29e-7-13.34%0.3495✗1.11543k2022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.859374+9.33%1.1451+45.68%0.1984✓0.842472022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95221.0369+8.90%1.2926+35.75%0.0751✓1.384.5M2022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.215613+8.57%0.2261+13.85%0.1067✗1.47146k2022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,263.95+8.24%1,703.35+45.87%0.1755✓1.17339.3M2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.4215+8.10%1.5258+16.03%0.0728✓1.37685k2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.2710.0161+8.05%10.536+13.66%0.0670✓1.123.1M2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.055783+7.69%0.0811+56.56%0.2930✓0.77209k2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7383.6557+7.62%97.96+26.03%0.0147✓1.648.9M2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.133934+7.55%0.17382+39.58%0.0904✓1.62198k2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum3.91894.2067+7.34%4.7738+21.81%0.0515✓0.711.2M2022-08-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.517224+7.20%0.5918+22.65%0.0171✓1.12252k2022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7835.1172+6.99%7.024+46.85%0.1295✓1.7816.6M2022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero129.44138.1708+6.75%158.78+22.67%0.0183✓1.151.3M2022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.8538+6.74%17.0389+41.49%0.1568✓1.19316k2022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1316.083+6.30%36.4+140.58%0.6932✓1.181.7M2022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.049418+6.05%0.0642+37.77%0.1188✓1.36897k2022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6522,099.19+5.99%23,158.27+11.07%0.0582✗1.00472.7M2022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005992+5.82%0.006485+14.53%0.0214✓0.963,1492022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1620.2363+5.62%27.43+43.16%0.1445✓1.5227.8M2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.161791+5.54%0.1697+10.70%0.0922✗1.33353k2022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash59.6362.91+5.50%79.81+33.84%0.0993✓1.321.8M2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.412982+5.46%0.4317+10.24%0.1247✗1.61208k2022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77112.578+5.44%134.7+26.16%0.0601✓1.145.7M2022-08-09
FLOWFlownative1.6411.7296+5.40%2.997+82.63%0.4243✓1.19297k2022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.053809+5.32%0.10285+101.31%0.4919✓1.49847k2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.7208+5.26%7.825+22.55%0.0101✓1.355.5M2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.4282+5.09%2.032+49.52%0.1978✓1.47170k2022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.141047+5.02%0.1714+27.62%0.0602✓1.282.8M2022-08-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.103791+4.94%0.1336+35.09%0.1672✓0.81157k2022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002979+4.92%0.003356+18.21%0.0108✓1.031.3M2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.070931+4.92%0.068465+1.27%0.1226✗0.83611k2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.9121+4.77%3.2816+79.80%0.4508✓0.85954k2022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.921685+4.73%1.0376+17.91%0.0105✓1.0393k2022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003380.003534+4.55%0.00368+8.88%0.1017✗1.35664k2022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.700353+4.53%0.954+42.39%0.1737✓1.29157k2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.04217+4.34%0.049307+22.00%0.0337✓1.1714k2022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5615.1677+4.17%39.35+170.26%0.7776✓1.67463k2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.4195+3.74%2.87-32.63%0.4614✗0.2882k2022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.074375+3.73%0.0712-0.70%0.1536✗1.05108k2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.095718+3.70%0.0881-4.55%0.2181✗1.29179k2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.93.0053+3.63%3.927+35.41%0.1878✓0.76583k2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4981+3.62%2.8368+17.67%0.0206✓1.021.3M2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004227+3.60%0.00451+10.54%0.0776✗1.36169k2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.9268+3.59%17.58+22.00%0.0203✓1.371.5M2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,246.88+3.54%11,188.01+85.45%0.4434✓1.334.5M2022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.4737+3.54%11.36+24.15%0.0589✓1.17307k2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.2575+3.53%3.0659+40.61%0.2229✓0.791.1M2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC8.90e-79.21e-7+3.53%9.70e-7+8.99%0.0367✗0.845.7M2022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.040893+3.53%0.0428+8.35%0.0874✗1.27112k2022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.054837+3.47%0.0599+13.02%0.0682✗1.49118k2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020817+3.47%0.02632+30.82%0.1225✓1.0798k2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7684+3.41%2.63+53.80%0.2773✓1.14114k2022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.8335+3.41%4.387+60.11%0.3205✓1.11552k2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6812+3.41%1.8057+11.07%0.0626✗1.28555k2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.3293+3.40%4.82+49.69%0.2968✓0.70765k2022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.007057+3.33%0.00871+27.53%0.1050✓1.00407k2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9021,456.33+3.31%23,209.60+11.75%0.0252✓0.9946k2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.108633+3.26%0.1457+38.50%0.1762✓1.12551k2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.044601+3.24%0.0475+9.95%0.0801✗1.369,9202022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.020565+3.24%0.0175-12.15%0.2422✗0.77414k2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.3745+3.19%2.702+17.43%0.0481✗1.6990k2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009446+3.13%0.00825-9.93%0.2339✗0.941.2M2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.291342+3.11%0.3489+23.48%0.0471✓1.27464k2022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.16178+3.11%0.1365-13.00%0.3096✗1.3334k2022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.322057+3.03%0.344184+10.11%0.0663✗1.262.3M2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.6794+2.97%15.57+65.64%0.3232✓1.451.1M2022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.048074+2.94%0.0538+15.20%0.0178✓1.24264k2022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.5515+2.85%6.461+87.11%0.5387✓0.572.2M2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.6056+2.80%5.85+30.58%0.1701✓0.66795k2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0953.532+2.77%59.18+13.61%0.0234✓1.1818.8M2022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.26599+2.74%0.4453+72.00%0.3950✓1.1531k2022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.427922+2.72%0.48156+15.60%0.0414✓0.7355k2022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.059223+2.62%0.08598+48.99%0.2265✓1.3927k2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.111101+2.59%0.1232+13.76%0.0121✓1.10401k2022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011488+2.57%0.00001205+7.59%0.0840✗1.261.3M2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.96096+2.54%1.0382+10.78%0.0546✗1.26284k2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.9915+2.51%11.389+29.85%0.0963✓1.3313.1M2022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.539006+2.47%0.67+27.38%0.0718✓1.3999k2022-08-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.153396+2.47%0.1548+3.41%0.1243✗1.27102k2022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.6192+2.46%8.044+46.68%0.2384✓1.152.2M2022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.5011+2.38%3.812+56.04%0.2369✓1.763.4M2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.40560.415091+2.34%0.4778+17.80%0.0077✓1.27354k2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum2.94283.0107+2.31%4.0145+36.42%0.1723✓1.1030k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.652608+2.29%0.808+26.65%0.1168✓0.92419k2022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase17.0217.4052+2.26%19.92+17.04%0.0126✓1.4176k2022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.069961+2.25%0.0825+20.58%0.0796✓0.812,3072022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.58+2.20%10.31+88.83%0.4733✓1.34264k2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.109736+2.20%0.122043+13.66%0.0001✓1.019.2M2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.068676+2.18%0.069028+2.71%0.1216✗1.212.3M2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration49.9451.0136+2.15%60.26+20.66%0.0431✓1.18333k2022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012779+2.12%0.015341+22.60%0.0953✓0.831.4M2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.399414+2.05%0.4499+14.95%0.0237✗1.3694k2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana36.6937.4181+1.98%40.35+9.98%0.0620✗1.3190.8M2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000041138+1.95%0.0000434+7.56%0.0751✗1.232.4M2022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.46440.473451+1.95%0.6067+30.64%0.1137✓1.281.2M2022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.279073+1.85%0.328+19.71%0.0545✓1.02600k2022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.3028+1.81%8.75+41.33%0.1939✓1.2820.5M2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.501635+1.69%0.6234+26.37%0.0901✓1.21634k2022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.021648+1.58%0.022829+7.13%0.0537✗1.028952022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.1782+1.53%6.51+27.65%0.0745✓1.471.3M2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.965744+1.44%0.949-0.32%0.2077✗1.81620k2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3254.0863+1.44%59.24+11.10%0.0566✗1.4127k2022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2899+1.41%1.365+7.31%0.0870✗1.372.9M2022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3369+1.28%1.43+8.33%0.0897✗1.50784k2022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.314301+1.19%0.3452+11.14%0.0306✗1.199.4M2022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001021+1.12%0.001479+46.46%0.2356✓1.292.7M2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1735+1.07%1.294+11.46%0.0249✗1.171.7M2022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.30756+1.04%0.35509+16.66%0.0006✓1.372,9402022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.046124+1.02%0.05077+11.19%0.0016✓0.935,7282022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.3233+1.01%8.51+35.94%0.2459✓0.49815k2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.098175+1.00%0.1129+16.15%0.0005✓1.34696k2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.421057+0.97%0.519+24.46%0.0924✓1.1111k2022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.2946+0.97%8.439+35.37%0.1514✓1.355.4M2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.9145+0.96%8.902+29.98%0.1226✓1.2411.3M2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.466611+0.95%0.513+10.99%0.0392✗1.2846.7M2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8783+0.84%2.2956+23.24%0.0703✓1.2437k2022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.105548+0.81%0.127+21.30%0.0811✓0.997,0862022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.8057+0.79%4.564+20.87%0.1163✓0.621.8M2022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.237947+0.78%0.2508+6.23%0.0734✗1.20695k2022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum25.8826.0755+0.76%29.88+15.46%0.0384✓0.9311.6M2022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.120211+0.68%0.1765+47.82%0.2795✓1.004.0M2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum81.4381.924+0.61%125.81+54.50%0.3247✓0.992.5M2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.7578+0.48%5.26+40.64%0.2715✓0.62755k2022-08-09
DASHDashDash45.1645.3506+0.42%52.97+17.29%0.0407✓1.09739k2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4401+0.29%1.767+23.05%0.0523✓1.45428k2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.0414+0.28%5.51+36.72%0.2424✓0.64689k2022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.255713+0.28%0.2601+2.00%0.1004✗1.1262k2022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum22.0422.0996+0.27%42.65+93.51%0.5525✓1.00126k2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.6475+0.17%5.0218-10.92%0.1371✗0.19291k2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.02751.0283+0.08%1.1054+7.58%0.0483✗1.151,9162022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2407+0.08%2.744+22.55%0.0535✓1.4266k2022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.0268+0.07%0.03179+18.71%0.0010✗1.642,0362022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.869074+0.03%1.0198+17.37%0.0185✓1.35547k2022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5203+0.02%1.71+12.50%0.0364✗1.47284k2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028521+0.00%0.03156+10.66%0.0352✗1.3024k2022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4375-0.06%2.539+4.10%0.0560✓0.92148k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.296895-0.07%0.3286+10.60%0.0226✓1.183.0M2022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7115.6982-0.07%20.57+30.94%0.1625✗1.03501k2022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.911612-0.12%1.1074+21.33%0.0422✗1.452.0M2022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5274-0.17%2.101+37.32%0.2139✗1.00178k2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.850.848475-0.18%0.78-8.24%0.1594✓0.72129k2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.262453-0.21%0.2512-4.49%0.1771✓1.27220k2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010591-0.37%0.00987-7.15%0.1787✓1.035.5M2022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.6047-0.39%2.945+12.62%0.0011✓1.16969k2022-08-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.02890.028744-0.54%0.0249-13.84%0.1923✓0.4664k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006687-0.61%0.006181-8.13%0.1398✓0.5897k2022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.352818-0.61%–pending––1.005252022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.100974-0.74%0.08946-12.06%0.2260✓1.00347k2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.399078-0.75%0.5163+28.40%0.1526✗1.00179k2022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.777992-0.79%1.1027+40.61%0.2405✗1.034.0M2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.065-0.80%1.1689+8.87%0.0226✓1.1065k2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017254-0.87%0.020161+15.83%0.0972✗0.56291k2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.062451-1.03%0.0589-6.66%0.2105✓1.45322k2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.189942-1.07%0.2183+13.70%0.0205✓1.522,7942022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.796577-1.17%1.018+26.30%0.1604✗0.811.6M2022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.246736-1.38%0.3038+21.42%0.1031✗1.00436k2022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.170127-1.67%0.19092+10.35%0.1965✓2.978572022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.256919-1.71%0.2613-0.04%0.0881✓1.0046k2022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3677-1.76%2.89+19.92%0.0338✗1.58236k2022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.482579-1.91%0.5171+5.10%0.0471✓1.1167k2022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3405-2.05%2.8956+21.19%0.0396✗1.654,8022022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.050762-2.19%0.055293+6.54%0.0179✓0.6415k2022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.9205-2.49%4.013+33.99%0.2515✗0.632.4M2022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.170113-2.51%0.236+35.24%0.1807✗1.403,2022022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.686452-2.77%0.763+8.07%0.0515✓1.503,2002022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.051.9889-2.98%2.337+14.00%0.0068✓1.47114k2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.779882-2.99%0.9531+18.56%0.0289✓1.64160k2022-08-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.465618-3.01%0.40504-15.63%0.3029✓1.561.4M2022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24752.5365-3.15%59.719+10.09%0.0401✗0.84488k2022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.395061-3.19%0.43525+6.66%0.0345✓1.25155k2022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.257259-3.29%0.219-17.67%0.3204✓1.521.1M2022-08-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000106855-3.66%0.00009678-12.74%0.3062✓1.97766k2022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.796695-4.24%0.856+2.88%0.1278✓1.9010.2M2022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.024909-4.49%0.03215+23.27%0.0813✗1.6621.5M2022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8024-5.19%1.96+3.10%0.0558✓1.33953k2022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4567-6.62%1.53-1.92%0.0252✓0.23575k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.632662-7.19%0.66521-2.41%0.1237✓1.66120k2022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.