8=======>

2022-07-06 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1390
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.3%
in alpha space · 44.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00011220.000093781-16.42%0.00010097-10.01%0.1700✓1.92920k2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.240490.20445-14.99%0.19602-18.49%0.1689✓1.008412022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.79990.715382-10.57%0.9869+23.38%0.1126✗1.65101k2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8490.762646-10.17%0.875+3.06%0.1108✓1.9615.6M2022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4493.1299-9.25%5.341+54.86%0.4575✗0.612.6M2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9552.6906-8.95%3.911+32.35%0.2926✗0.643.6M2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6940.63674-8.25%0.824+18.73%0.0668✓1.512,9032022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9650.886624-8.12%0.939-2.69%0.1752✓1.83774k2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.7020.647448-7.77%0.69514-0.98%0.1371✓1.6499k2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2515.9487-7.54%21.35+23.77%0.1569✗1.06336k2022-08-05
FISStafiEthereum0.35930.335659-6.58%0.3903+8.63%0.0240✓1.006412022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.0020.939179-6.27%1.0748+7.27%0.0275✓1.28252k2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.0841.9585-6.02%2.195+5.33%0.0622✓1.391.1M2022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism0.5430.510899-5.91%1.946+258.38%1.1194✗1.721.6M2022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09490.089354-5.84%0.0689-27.40%0.4086✓1.1794k2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6122.4646-5.64%4.061+55.47%0.2705✗1.803.7M2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03710.035035-5.57%0.0451+21.56%0.0901✗1.28168k2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.398-5.54%1.58+6.76%0.0837✗0.30648k2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.042.8716-5.54%3.17+4.28%0.0280✓1.0082k2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.25040.23695-5.37%0.3054+21.96%0.1269✗1.00650k2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.394340.374071-5.14%0.47865+21.38%0.1564✗0.7157k2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75810.719442-5.10%1.1895+56.91%0.3678✗1.064.0M2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.193.0323-4.94%5.02+57.37%0.4153✗0.70846k2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025120.023887-4.91%0.03628+44.43%0.1976✗1.7421.5M2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09910.094284-4.86%0.0907-8.48%0.2094✓1.34171k2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44970.427903-4.85%0.4587+2.00%0.1451✓1.69205k2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.843.6573-4.76%5.69+48.18%0.3611✗0.641.0M2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.441920.420976-4.74%0.42795-3.16%0.1858✓1.591.8M2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02040.019466-4.58%0.01819-10.83%0.1655✓0.77417k2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4982.3846-4.54%3.1425+25.80%0.0620✗1.695,9182022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.441390.42189-4.42%0.42676-3.31%0.1506✓1.28155k2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.713.5468-4.40%4.72+27.22%0.2017✗0.662.2M2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18160.174583-3.86%0.2201+21.20%0.1048✗1.002,7282022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.01390.97479-3.86%1.1864+17.01%0.0041✓1.522.2M2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.271154-3.85%0.228-19.15%0.3801✓1.631.1M2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.251291-3.83%0.2615+0.08%0.0870✓1.0067k2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.179942-3.57%0.2306+23.58%0.0715✗1.393,3092022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2611.2168-3.50%1.35+7.06%0.0488✓1.201.7M2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.63652.8012-3.36%62.05+13.57%0.0535✗0.85756k2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.911.508-3.29%32.59+173.87%0.8362✗1.61463k2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50930.49351-3.10%0.5966+17.14%0.0629✗1.0093k2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15260.147974-3.03%0.1787+17.10%0.0153✓1.37437k2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum1.661.6099-3.02%2.51+51.20%0.2998✗1.14133k2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.94080.914255-2.82%1.1532+22.58%0.0829✗1.182,3312022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0160490.015614-2.71%0.020288+26.41%0.1891✗0.57357k2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.05170.050376-2.56%0.055256+6.88%0.0098✓0.6519k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.046364-2.39%0.0559+17.68%0.0275✗1.26255k2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8850.86408-2.36%1.159+30.96%0.1862✗0.851.6M2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8261.7837-2.32%2.333+27.77%0.0796✗1.49127k2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.298480.291598-2.31%0.3677+23.19%0.0553✗1.393,1392022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.059319-2.28%0.0624+2.80%0.1354✓1.47329k2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.4671.434-2.25%3.073+109.48%0.6353✗1.00167k2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.914590.894157-2.23%1.0756+17.60%0.0099✓1.38586k2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2972.2492-2.08%2.845+23.86%0.0541✗1.4367k2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum5.064.9548-2.08%6.65+31.42%0.1018✗1.521.5M2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070490.06912-1.94%0.07814+10.85%0.0177✓0.832,3812022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206570.020258-1.93%0.023038+11.53%0.0050✓1.059552022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80465.6931-1.92%4.9519-14.69%0.1668✓0.22291k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.2610.0661-1.89%17.22+67.84%0.3484✗1.491.2M2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.45550.447011-1.86%0.5908+29.70%0.1142✗1.301.1M2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.1366-1.81%8.9+42.40%0.3079✗0.50910k2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum61.9760.8696-1.78%107.26+73.08%0.4422✗0.982.2M2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028860.028375-1.68%0.03111+7.80%0.0348✓1.002,0362022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044410.043687-1.63%0.05101+14.86%0.0339✗0.957,5132022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3930.386821-1.57%0.57+45.04%0.2453✗1.1211k2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.850.838232-1.38%0.74-12.94%0.2181✓0.74152k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6245.5503-1.31%8.382+49.04%0.2440✗1.335.5M2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.79e-73.74e-7-1.31%3.48e-7-8.12%0.2104✓1.09590k2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.79611.7727-1.30%3.4602+92.65%0.5620✗0.841.1M2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.512.4774-1.30%3.17+26.29%0.0419✗1.61298k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2611.2447-1.30%1.432+13.56%0.0365✓1.393.3M2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2912.2614-1.29%2.752+20.12%0.0198✓1.7097k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.24290.239785-1.28%0.2713+11.69%0.0234✓1.1671k2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum4645.4147-1.27%61.31+33.28%0.1206✗1.4128k2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4418-1.25%1.77+21.23%0.0158✗1.49386k2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12142.0983-1.09%3.2379+52.63%0.3263✗0.851.5M2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.4145-1.04%2.47+1.23%0.0976✓0.95157k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40740.403423-0.98%0.438+7.51%0.0957✓1.4096k2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.7634-0.95%4.154+48.89%0.2644✗1.13577k2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0215-0.95%5.7+40.39%0.2658✗0.65916k2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.8868.8021-0.94%10.966+23.41%0.0482✗1.3516.6M2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22320.221195-0.90%0.2612+17.03%0.0005✓1.31233k2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.097716-0.90%0.131+32.86%0.1202✗1.362.9M2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.54.463-0.82%6.06+34.67%0.2220✗0.66914k2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.280862-0.76%0.337+19.08%0.0503✗1.04639k2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.540.536076-0.73%0.708+31.11%0.0986✗1.4299k2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.13350.132564-0.70%0.1844+38.13%0.1647✗1.302.9M2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028340.028144-0.69%0.03358+18.49%0.0089✗1.3224k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6720.667677-0.64%0.848+26.19%0.0716✗1.32169k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14280.141886-0.64%0.164+14.85%0.0212✓1.31112k2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069250.006883-0.61%0.006749-2.54%0.0985✓0.62114k2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3425.3098-0.60%8.972+67.95%0.3520✗1.365.5M2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.339-0.60%1.831+35.93%0.1264✗1.47471k2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3076780.305918-0.57%0.358859+16.63%0.0022✓1.282.2M2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7714.691-0.54%18.43+24.78%0.0516✗1.381.5M2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3771.3697-0.53%2.025+47.06%0.2021✗1.49169k2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.960.955028-0.52%1.4417+50.18%0.2351✗1.394.4M2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.6422.6285-0.51%3.047+15.33%0.0053✓1.211.0M2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.46190.459555-0.51%0.5176+12.06%0.0470✓1.3162.0M2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.0407620.04056-0.50%0.052815+29.57%0.1122✗1.2014k2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092342-0.49%0.1139+22.74%0.0310✗1.41762k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.832.8161-0.49%3.946+39.43%0.2369✗0.79742k2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10610.105583-0.49%0.1255+18.28%0.0310✗1.12437k2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10610.105609-0.46%0.1296+22.15%0.0768✗1.016,3732022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.645.6145-0.45%10.63+88.48%0.4686✗1.34323k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.116316-0.41%0.1507+29.02%0.1323✗1.004.0M2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.698.6552-0.40%12.03+38.43%0.1788✗1.19374k2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.09960.099264-0.34%0.1459+46.49%0.2396✗1.15560k2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,308.796,290.70-0.29%12,281.30+94.67%0.5004✗1.334.5M2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.2551.1185-0.26%63.5+23.90%0.0645✗1.20472k2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010250.010237-0.13%0.0103+0.49%0.1293✓1.075.9M2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006680.006674-0.09%0.00904+35.33%0.1750✗1.01417k2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040920.040897-0.06%0.04533+10.78%0.0243✓1.003,1732022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39261.3932+0.04%1.6+14.89%0.0274✗1.31750k2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana37.0137.0313+0.06%40.54+9.54%0.0792✗1.3492.9M2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042620.00004266+0.09%0.00004553+6.83%0.0954✗1.272.6M2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1519.1695+0.10%24.97+30.39%0.0707✓1.5330.2M2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.778160.779155+0.13%1.0569+35.82%0.2001✓0.832702022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3276.337+0.16%7.878+24.51%0.0535✓1.2926.6M2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27550.275996+0.18%0.3403+23.52%0.0552✓1.223.0M2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120590.012083+0.20%0.016324+35.37%0.1944✓0.841.5M2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12510.125413+0.25%0.1383+10.55%0.0769✗1.3832k2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.153+0.26%1.51+31.30%0.0739✓1.54749k2022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.54331.5475+0.27%1.8665+20.94%0.0230✓1.30654k2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.04313+0.30%0.0495+15.12%0.0398✗1.4011k2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0145.0341+0.40%7.573+51.04%0.1794✓1.8116.6M2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.0591.0632+0.40%1.196+12.94%0.0248✗1.1259k2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.003870.003886+0.41%0.0047+21.45%0.0133✓1.39167k2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83761.8453+0.42%2.3513+27.95%0.0814✓1.2760k2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010470.000010515+0.43%0.00001212+15.76%0.0177✗1.261.0M2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095920.000963404+0.44%0.001125+17.32%0.0136✗1.332.8M2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.31211+0.49%0.3589+15.55%0.0130✗1.209.6M2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.2950.5512+0.52%62.49+24.26%0.0615✓1.1918.8M2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.2826.423+0.54%30.76+17.05%0.0324✓0.9412.9M2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5595.5921+0.60%8.341+50.04%0.2506✓1.182.3M2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.009185+0.60%0.00843-7.67%0.2085✗0.971.2M2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019580.019703+0.63%0.02241+14.45%0.0022✓1.0094k2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.054557+0.66%0.061+12.55%0.0807✗1.52136k2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.3934+0.68%18.43+20.54%0.0002✓1.4267k2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50550.508923+0.68%0.6718+32.90%0.1189✓1.25634k2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.003114+0.76%0.00385+24.60%0.0382✓1.37664k2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.21510.217011+0.89%0.2623+21.94%0.0371✓1.20695k2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1092830.110295+0.93%0.118541+8.47%0.0576✗1.029.5M2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0685160.069173+0.96%0.069799+1.87%0.1468✗1.232.1M2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055720.056272+0.99%0.0866+55.42%0.2571✓1.3728k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative1.61.618+1.12%2.732+70.75%0.3707✓1.21304k2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.422.4475+1.14%3.0096+24.36%0.0710✓1.071.5M2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.281130.284684+1.26%0.32566+15.84%0.0290✗1.29467k2022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12610.127803+1.35%0.17777+40.98%0.1223✓1.64169k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.3980.403632+1.41%0.4918+23.57%0.0338✓1.29318k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0470.047679+1.44%0.0674+43.40%0.1717✓1.381.0M2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1815.4103+1.52%38.27+152.11%0.7583✓1.192.0M2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25980.264282+1.73%0.4379+68.55%0.3503✓1.2227k2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002720.002767+1.74%0.003213+18.12%0.0138✓1.071.4M2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.87e-7+1.94%9.80e-7+12.64%0.0076✓0.855.5M2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash58.1659.3464+2.04%69.15+18.90%0.0191✓1.361.9M2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6240.636995+2.08%0.833+33.49%0.1497✓0.93412k2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative8.9799.1889+2.34%10.44+16.27%0.0170✓1.143.1M2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9157.0798+2.38%8.81+27.40%0.0595✓1.2512.9M2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum62.9464.4484+2.40%103.27+64.08%0.2646✓1.637.6M2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09270.094938+2.41%0.0739-20.28%0.3512✗0.79183k2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero125.33128.4464+2.49%161.87+29.16%0.0827✓1.171.4M2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9111820.934083+2.51%1.0527+15.53%0.0157✓1.07100k2022-08-05
DASHDashDash44.245.3139+2.52%52.4+18.55%0.0047✓1.11739k2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.86108.5874+2.58%141.93+34.07%0.1233✓1.146.0M2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05110.052473+2.69%0.0745+45.79%0.2522✓0.77213k2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum2.87732.9609+2.91%4.0794+41.78%0.1775✓1.1332k2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.01424.1318+2.93%4.7375+18.02%0.0436✓0.731.2M2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19060.196533+3.11%0.2419+26.92%0.0214✓1.47155k2022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6770.698813+3.22%0.758+11.96%0.1246✗1.62242k2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051580.053278+3.29%0.08336+61.61%0.2562✓1.511.0M2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,413.5021,098.46+3.36%23,205.30+13.68%0.0298✓0.9943k2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,185.611,227.85+3.56%1,736.79+46.49%0.1979✓1.17339.3M2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0675040.070204+4.00%0.069837+3.46%0.1140✗0.86546k2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6370.664597+4.33%0.753+18.21%0.0295✓1.22952k2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.311112.858+4.44%15.3166+24.41%0.0197✓1.22316k2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060970.006396+4.90%0.006334+3.88%0.1393✗1.023,9102022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,542.6721,567.58+4.99%23,320.81+13.52%0.0487✗1.00493.8M2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07570.080157+5.89%0.1005+32.76%0.0669✓1.267,2862022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015880.001699+6.98%0.001677+5.60%0.1438✗1.0312k2022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4920.527376+7.19%0.5836+18.62%0.0430✓1.14208k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.