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2022-07-04 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2956
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.00%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.0%
in alpha space · 68.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+12.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07750.085065+9.76%0.0972+25.42%0.0195✓1.267,1822022-08-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.86530.943946+9.09%1.334+54.17%0.1747✓1.414.0M2022-08-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6120.666617+8.92%0.744+21.57%0.0371✓1.21952k2022-08-03
AAVEAaveEthereum63.0667.5491+7.12%94.97+50.60%0.1395✓1.657.7M2022-08-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6990.747977+7.01%0.686-1.86%0.2877✗1.65242k2022-08-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29451.3799+6.60%1.4589+12.70%0.1006✗1.29767k2022-08-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,149.981,225.33+6.55%1,618.82+40.77%0.1358✓1.17342.2M2022-08-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49890.530965+6.43%0.5453+9.30%0.1123✗1.14188k2022-08-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19680.209295+6.35%0.2311+17.43%0.0793✗1.47155k2022-08-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016870.001786+5.86%0.001704+1.01%0.1735✗1.0411k2022-08-03
XMRMoneroMonero123.81130.8758+5.71%157.11+26.90%0.0401✓1.171.3M2022-08-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.75e-7+5.69%3.49e-7-1.63%0.1960✗1.02603k2022-08-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.0139.5253+5.68%10.028+11.26%0.0879✗1.153.1M2022-08-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.103239+5.45%0.118+20.53%0.0339✓1.383.2M2022-08-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.052982+5.33%0.0773+53.68%0.2825✓0.78222k2022-08-03
GTGateEthereum4.07964.2964+5.31%4.5094+10.54%0.0425✓0.751.2M2022-08-03
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353912.9301+4.66%14.6221+18.36%0.0290✓1.25316k2022-08-03
OPTIMOptimism0.560.585953+4.63%1.993+255.89%1.0147✓1.721.7M2022-08-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.823840.861128+4.53%1.0372+25.90%0.0814✓0.862912022-08-03
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9155.132+4.42%7.168+45.84%0.1137✓1.8116.0M2022-08-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124470.129936+4.39%0.16304+30.99%0.0280✓1.64181k2022-08-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05040.052595+4.36%0.0682+35.32%0.1216✓1.1494k2022-08-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,211.3521,074.83+4.27%22,825.00+12.93%0.0418✓1.00500.8M2022-08-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39280.409498+4.25%0.4399+11.99%0.1349✗1.70202k2022-08-03
TRXTRONTron0.0672290.069883+3.95%0.067799+0.85%0.1375✗0.88627k2022-08-03
XVGVergenative0.003170.003292+3.86%0.00373+17.67%0.0439✗1.39708k2022-08-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.8918.5786+3.85%23.04+28.79%0.0296✓1.5329.4M2022-08-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash107.98112.0369+3.76%133.7+23.82%0.0366✓1.156.0M2022-08-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.3915.9535+3.66%36.06+134.31%0.6657✓1.232.0M2022-08-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3091.3563+3.61%2.024+54.62%0.2168✓1.51169k2022-08-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051110.052927+3.56%0.08121+58.89%0.2449✓1.511.1M2022-08-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002650.002744+3.54%0.003141+18.53%0.0056✓1.071.4M2022-08-03
ZECZcashZcash58.0760.1246+3.54%61.85+6.51%0.1360✗1.351.9M2022-08-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.476,571.38+3.43%10,725.04+68.81%0.3282✓1.334.4M2022-08-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08680.089776+3.43%0.0861-0.81%0.2085✗1.37171k2022-08-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1682.2415+3.39%2.672+23.25%0.0301✓1.69101k2022-08-03
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.97e-7+3.14%9.60e-7+10.34%0.0371✗0.865.5M2022-08-03
FLOWFlownative1.6051.6538+3.04%1.84+14.64%0.0410✗1.21312k2022-08-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3002110.309284+3.02%0.335893+11.89%0.0760✗1.302.5M2022-08-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00681.0367+2.97%1.0178+1.09%0.1791✗1.32229k2022-08-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059960.006174+2.96%0.006208+3.54%0.1200✗1.033,8612022-08-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.58.7493+2.93%10.82+27.29%0.0657✓1.21374k2022-08-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,210.1020,764.45+2.74%22,844.10+13.03%0.0246✓0.9943k2022-08-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87420.897899+2.71%1.0027+14.70%0.0241✓1.1189k2022-08-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.79751.845+2.64%3.3577+86.80%0.4946✓0.861.3M2022-08-03
NANOnanopayBase0.8406230.862615+2.62%1.0243+21.85%0.0424✓1.0697k2022-08-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.257720.26427+2.54%0.30931+20.02%0.0019✓1.28480k2022-08-03
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.00399+2.32%0.00456+16.92%0.0392✗1.42176k2022-08-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.04869+2.29%0.0585+22.90%0.0121✓1.411.1M2022-08-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0470.048072+2.28%0.0546+16.17%0.0310✗1.30253k2022-08-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15080.154093+2.18%0.1588+5.31%0.1401✗1.40541k2022-08-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.524.6176+2.16%5.99+32.52%0.1783✓0.67939k2022-08-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.632.6865+2.15%3.905+48.48%0.2356✓1.14584k2022-08-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.253.3167+2.14%57.78+10.69%0.0659✗1.2018.7M2022-08-03
XEMNEMnative0.0417250.042616+2.14%0.049291+18.13%0.0023✓1.2115k2022-08-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010480.000010691+2.01%0.00001183+12.88%0.0535✗1.27952k2022-08-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021060.021483+2.01%0.01768-16.05%0.2892✗0.78417k2022-08-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0693040.070664+1.96%0.0662-4.48%0.2196✗1.272.1M2022-08-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5855.694+1.95%7.861+40.75%0.1591✓1.346.0M2022-08-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.530122+1.95%0.633+21.73%0.0026✓1.4499k2022-08-03
XTZTezosTezos1.53471.5646+1.95%1.7204+12.10%0.0641✗1.31654k2022-08-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7448.91+1.90%10.165+16.25%0.0340✗1.3615.0M2022-08-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006850.00698+1.89%0.00868+26.72%0.0948✓1.01417k2022-08-03
STXStacksnative0.39390.401349+1.89%0.4663+18.38%0.0088✓1.31318k2022-08-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8392.8925+1.89%3.71+30.68%0.0258✓1.833.5M2022-08-03
DODODODOEthereum0.12870.131123+1.88%0.1708+32.71%0.1024✓1.332.9M2022-08-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.789.9617+1.86%16.44+68.10%0.3184✓1.501.2M2022-08-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066540.067761+1.84%0.07828+17.64%0.0456✓0.812,1062022-08-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03810.038774+1.77%0.0413+8.40%0.0951✗1.30168k2022-08-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.091.1086+1.71%1.43+31.19%0.0654✓1.56749k2022-08-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1020.103708+1.67%0.1338+31.18%0.1116✓1.18566k2022-08-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.47912.5173+1.54%2.8485+14.90%0.0117✓1.111.6M2022-08-03
ZENHorizenBase15.0215.2445+1.49%17.15+14.18%0.0560✗1.4365k2022-08-03
XVSVenusEthereum55.074+1.48%6.43+28.60%0.0507✓1.531.5M2022-08-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.0212.1968+1.47%27.64+129.95%0.6187✓1.64463k2022-08-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.009370.009508+1.47%0.00819-12.59%0.2686✗0.981.2M2022-08-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26670.270469+1.41%0.3182+19.31%0.0159✓1.2127k2022-08-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6510.659928+1.37%0.79+21.35%0.0183✓1.33169k2022-08-03
QNTQuantEthereum60.5361.3566+1.37%105.18+73.77%0.4190✓0.992.2M2022-08-03
QTUMQtumQtum2.90942.9491+1.36%3.8986+34.00%0.1388✓1.1532k2022-08-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.335.398+1.28%10.73+101.31%0.5262✓1.32278k2022-08-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.14995+1.25%0.1552+4.79%0.1292✗1.35124k2022-08-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3123.3526+1.23%4.981+50.39%0.3210✓0.622.8M2022-08-03
XECeCashnative0.000039710.000040183+1.19%0.00004244+6.87%0.1019✗1.292.5M2022-08-03
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3455.4072+1.16%8.907+66.64%0.3310✓1.385.5M2022-08-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12420.125642+1.16%0.1349+8.62%0.0993✗1.4032k2022-08-03
COMPCompoundEthereum49.1949.7422+1.12%55.76+13.36%0.0616✗1.4528k2022-08-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8582.8894+1.10%3.978+39.19%0.2220✓0.80914k2022-08-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5455.6053+1.09%8.087+45.84%0.2205✓1.202.3M2022-08-03
HIVEHivenative0.45480.459618+1.06%0.596+31.05%0.0993✓1.321.2M2022-08-03
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6669+1.02%2.47+49.70%0.2521✓1.16152k2022-08-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.642291+0.99%0.767+20.60%0.0598✓0.97412k2022-08-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05560.05614+0.97%0.0583+4.86%0.1487✗1.53136k2022-08-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.8870.895585+0.97%0.905+2.03%0.2114✗1.82813k2022-08-03
SOLSolanaSolana36.6937.0437+0.96%38.55+5.07%0.1247✗1.3592.9M2022-08-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.173.2001+0.95%5.08+60.25%0.3757✓0.71971k2022-08-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122710.012386+0.94%0.015785+28.64%0.1391✓0.851.6M2022-08-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.15452.1746+0.93%3.2654+51.56%0.3029✓0.851.7M2022-08-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1111160.112108+0.89%0.114184+2.76%0.1087✗1.049.7M2022-08-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09830.099148+0.86%0.062-36.93%0.5725✗0.85188k2022-08-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10520.106066+0.82%0.116+10.27%0.0490✗1.14478k2022-08-03
STEEMSteemnative0.2190.220767+0.81%0.2495+13.93%0.0243✗1.21731k2022-08-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.24110.242971+0.78%0.2598+7.76%0.0770✗1.1880k2022-08-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.107123+0.68%0.1288+21.05%0.0589✓1.036,7622022-08-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.291.2982+0.64%1.359+5.35%0.1273✗1.423.8M2022-08-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.8714.94+0.47%17.17+15.47%0.0317✗1.401.5M2022-08-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056240.056488+0.44%0.08771+55.96%0.2734✓1.3729k2022-08-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.1931+0.41%3.17-0.31%0.1289✗1.0087k2022-08-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019950.020006+0.28%0.0213+6.77%0.0601✗1.0196k2022-08-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04420.044321+0.27%0.0458+3.62%0.1374✗1.4012k2022-08-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009910.000993477+0.25%0.001087+9.65%0.0730✗1.343.0M2022-08-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.28457+0.20%0.332+16.90%0.0268✓1.05713k2022-08-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4276.4383+0.18%7.285+13.35%0.0352✗1.3128.0M2022-08-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2021.2038+0.15%1.259+4.74%0.1003✗1.191.7M2022-08-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.396503+0.13%0.517+30.56%0.1249✓1.1511k2022-08-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.72955.7353+0.10%5.0151-12.47%0.1594✗0.21285k2022-08-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50520.505585+0.08%0.6036+19.48%0.0218✓1.28656k2022-08-03
FTTFTXEthereum25.9125.9224+0.05%29.1+12.31%0.0003✓0.9512.2M2022-08-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.753.7518+0.05%4.478+19.41%0.0945✓0.682.2M2022-08-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044920.044918-0.01%0.04834+7.61%0.0462✓0.988,2962022-08-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22880.228487-0.14%0.2461+7.56%0.0878✓1.33236k2022-08-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11860.118429-0.14%0.1448+22.09%0.0772✗1.024.0M2022-08-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.7323-0.32%2.964+8.14%0.0694✓1.24969k2022-08-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.09470.094387-0.33%0.1109+17.11%0.0141✓1.44762k2022-08-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9550.951373-0.38%1.0834+13.45%0.0575✓1.542.5M2022-08-03
KSMKusamaHydration51.6451.3936-0.48%61.31+18.73%0.0311✗1.19505k2022-08-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40150.399317-0.54%0.4022+0.17%0.1666✓1.4395k2022-08-03
DASHDashDash44.1943.9443-0.56%48.77+10.36%0.0328✓1.13739k2022-08-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.977-0.58%5.82+45.50%0.3000✗0.66943k2022-08-03
CBKCobakEthereum0.930410.924341-0.65%1.1056+18.83%0.0341✗1.192,5102022-08-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.3921.3825-0.68%1.799+29.24%0.1417✗1.00167k2022-08-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.87881.8652-0.72%2.1759+15.81%0.0034✓1.3062k2022-08-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.136.0851-0.73%9.55+55.79%0.3889✗0.51960k2022-08-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.304450.302123-0.76%0.34922+14.71%0.0274✓1.423,4742022-08-03
PROPropyEthereum0.880.872747-0.82%0.74-15.91%0.2551✓0.74159k2022-08-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.653.6199-0.83%6.43+76.16%0.4965✗0.641.0M2022-08-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.051.0413-0.83%1.1385+8.43%0.0494✓1.1459k2022-08-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210460.020864-0.86%0.023056+9.55%0.0317✓1.081,4232022-08-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041970.041586-0.91%0.04345+3.53%0.0824✓1.043,1732022-08-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010169-0.99%0.00976-4.97%0.1642✓1.016.2M2022-08-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18890.187028-0.99%0.1999+5.82%0.0551✓1.002,9732022-08-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78190.774112-1.00%1.0343+32.28%0.1575✗1.094.0M2022-08-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4242.3994-1.01%2.475+2.10%0.0884✓0.98157k2022-08-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27930.27637-1.05%0.32+14.57%0.0038✓1.243.1M2022-08-03
ADACardanoCardano0.4690.463992-1.07%0.5009+6.80%0.0848✓1.3363.0M2022-08-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31930.315818-1.09%0.3267+2.32%0.1143✓1.2210.0M2022-08-03
BANDBandEthereum1.3561.3407-1.13%1.689+24.56%0.0487✗1.50453k2022-08-03
SGBSongbirdnative0.02940.02905-1.19%0.025-14.97%0.2063✓0.46121k2022-08-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.905150.89417-1.21%0.96+6.06%0.0974✓1.39611k2022-08-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5011-1.25%1.6+5.26%0.1212✓1.52386k2022-08-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0163870.016166-1.35%0.019949+21.74%0.1395✗0.58372k2022-08-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.167.0628-1.36%8.003+11.77%0.0293✓1.2713.1M2022-08-03
DIADIAEthereum0.391450.386093-1.37%0.46564+18.95%0.0999✗0.7271k2022-08-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3392.3066-1.38%2.695+15.22%0.0201✓1.4468k2022-08-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06060.059698-1.49%0.0587-3.14%0.1965✓1.48367k2022-08-03
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8070.794662-1.53%1.125+39.41%0.2418✗0.871.6M2022-08-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028290.027836-1.61%0.03127+10.53%0.0485✓1.3626k2022-08-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025180.024732-1.78%0.0308+22.32%0.0978✗1.002,0362022-08-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8931.8542-2.05%2.246+18.65%0.0065✓1.5299k2022-08-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155970.152471-2.24%0.18804+20.56%0.0881✗1.008412022-08-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26240.256242-2.35%0.2612-0.46%0.1024✓1.0068k2022-08-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006523-2.63%0.006698-0.03%0.0535✓0.66123k2022-08-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6560.638519-2.66%0.78+18.90%0.0156✓1.522,8402022-08-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.40740.39645-2.69%0.39422-3.24%0.1634✓1.30150k2022-08-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9932.911-2.74%3.826+27.83%0.1929✗0.664.3M2022-08-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.642.5581-3.10%2.81+6.44%0.1054✓1.64301k2022-08-03
FISStafiEthereum0.2980.288601-3.15%–pending––1.009832022-08-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49330.477647-3.17%0.4744-3.83%0.1284✓1.0093k2022-08-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.25810.24979-3.22%0.3183+23.32%0.1208✗1.00695k2022-08-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.63353.7019-3.47%60.311+8.41%0.0113✓0.86928k2022-08-03
XYMSymbolnative0.053320.051411-3.58%0.055731+4.52%0.0009✓0.6723k2022-08-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3130.301701-3.61%0.213-31.95%0.5507✓1.671.1M2022-08-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.5418.8178-3.70%21.98+12.49%0.0235✓1.08247k2022-08-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8620.826314-4.14%0.816-5.34%0.2559✓2.0016.4M2022-08-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.0741.9851-4.28%1.997-3.71%0.1604✓1.371.1M2022-08-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.60322.4914-4.29%2.7381+5.18%0.1148✓1.728,9122022-08-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.18310.175204-4.31%0.207+13.05%0.0011✓1.383,4882022-08-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4134-5.14%1.52+2.01%0.0340✓0.32648k2022-08-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444070.421065-5.18%0.40592-8.59%0.2328✓1.612.0M2022-08-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025010.023612-5.59%0.03749+49.90%0.2500✗1.7524.4M2022-08-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.671710.632295-5.87%0.64899-3.38%0.1749✓1.6599k2022-08-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000128140.000118527-7.50%0.00009997-21.98%0.3973✓1.87951k2022-08-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.