8=======>

2022-06-25 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 179 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1692
179 of 179 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.3%
in alpha space · 49.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (179 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.796908-13.10%0.693-24.43%0.1242✓2.0233.4M2022-07-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3652.946-12.45%3.705+10.10%0.2338✗0.593.8M2022-07-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1620.143309-11.54%0.1699+4.88%0.1779✗1.008392022-07-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.910540.809846-11.06%0.59797-34.33%0.2905✓1.6689k2022-07-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6890.625005-9.29%0.789+14.51%0.2452✗1.583,0312022-07-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.9870.896902-9.13%0.915-7.29%0.0340✓1.831.3M2022-07-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2412.963-8.58%3.091-4.63%0.0475✓0.675.2M2022-07-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8552.6261-8.02%2.968+3.96%0.1366✗1.843.0M2022-07-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90030.832885-7.49%0.9017+0.16%0.0875✗1.053.3M2022-07-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.4939-7.21%1.41-12.42%0.0548✓0.39614k2022-07-25
OPTIMOptimism0.580.538416-7.17%0.794+36.90%0.3961✗1.003.7M2022-07-25
FISStafiEthereum0.32560.305828-6.07%0.3702+13.70%0.1987✗1.002,2102022-07-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04110.038608-6.06%0.0337-18.00%0.1257✓1.34192k2022-07-25
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02472.8422-6.03%2.2645-25.13%0.2137✓1.7615k2022-07-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8443.6284-5.61%3.781-1.64%0.0465✓0.694.0M2022-07-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.733.5293-5.38%3.21-13.94%0.0871✓1.00191k2022-07-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.580820.550443-5.23%0.40671-29.98%0.2900✓1.642.5M2022-07-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026490.025167-4.99%0.02448-7.59%0.0140✓1.7736.8M2022-07-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430960.410158-4.83%0.359-16.70%0.1231✓1.32134k2022-07-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080620.076921-4.59%0.071-11.93%0.0724✓1.001,5342022-07-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana43.8178-4.55%4.33+8.25%0.1309✗0.651.9M2022-07-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.383.2296-4.45%4.08+20.71%0.2395✗0.741.3M2022-07-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058840.000056344-4.24%0.00009221+56.71%0.5082✗2.031.1M2022-07-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.7481.6761-4.11%1.596-8.70%0.0384✓1.38953k2022-07-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.28480.273414-4.00%0.2741-3.76%0.0102✓1.001.1M2022-07-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54120.52032-3.86%0.4354-19.55%0.1705✓1.00117k2022-07-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2680.258876-3.40%0.193-27.99%0.2808✓1.681.2M2022-07-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2781.2348-3.38%1.201-6.03%0.0192✓1.111.5M2022-07-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4520.436806-3.36%0.4288-5.13%0.0056✓1.67212k2022-07-25
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8453.0455-3.27%50.24-8.39%0.0426✓1.5228k2022-07-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049140.047559-3.22%0.04403-10.40%0.0696✓0.9711k2022-07-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4571.4111-3.15%1.248-14.34%0.1119✓1.424.3M2022-07-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.91461.9088-3.14%54.13-15.31%0.1278✓0.851.3M2022-07-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0910.088358-2.90%0.0816-10.33%0.0686✓1.43179k2022-07-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.340460.330743-2.85%0.29306-13.92%0.1100✓1.437,9102022-07-25
XYMSymbolnative0.056660.055109-2.74%0.053405-5.74%0.0263✓0.6632k2022-07-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.981310.955006-2.68%0.98539+0.42%0.0406✗1.205,5992022-07-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7752.7017-2.64%2.177-21.55%0.2047✓1.4686k2022-07-25
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02410.998611-2.49%0.87347-14.71%0.1234✓1.36713k2022-07-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.21990.214512-2.45%0.174-20.87%0.1988✓1.374,0222022-07-25
DIADIAEthereum0.412270.403692-2.08%0.40407-1.99%0.0063✓0.70157k2022-07-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22330.21874-2.04%0.1842-17.51%0.1642✓1.003,9762022-07-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0219940.021545-2.04%0.020479-6.89%0.0423✓1.095,4422022-07-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.8985.7805-1.99%5.0862-13.76%0.1263✓0.22221k2022-07-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.9611.7218-1.99%20.55+71.82%0.5737✗1.60441k2022-07-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.142544-1.90%0.1232-15.21%0.1380✓1.014.0M2022-07-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.786.6538-1.86%6.94+2.36%0.0460✗0.511.4M2022-07-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8620.846341-1.82%0.798-7.42%0.0522✓0.861.7M2022-07-25
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6706-1.73%1.88+10.59%0.1271✗1.18235k2022-07-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.817.4934-1.72%15.35-13.76%0.1200✓1.391.9M2022-07-25
XVSVenusEthereum54.9214-1.57%5.08+1.60%0.0437✗1.561.4M2022-07-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum32.955-1.50%2.25-25.00%0.2598✓1.66301k2022-07-25
QNTQuantEthereum63.5462.6111-1.46%87.87+38.29%0.3464✗0.972.1M2022-07-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017280.017041-1.38%0.01792+3.70%0.0565✗0.81354k2022-07-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8870.87562-1.28%0.8249-7.00%0.0476✓1.572.9M2022-07-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.04465-1.22%0.0481+6.42%0.0853✗1.42274k2022-07-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.06420.063457-1.16%0.059-8.10%0.0613✓1.49409k2022-07-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.25130.248927-0.94%0.2321-7.64%0.0608✓1.1987k2022-07-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4332.4105-0.93%2.366-2.75%0.0058✓1.6797k2022-07-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.859.7612-0.90%12.51+27.01%0.2597✗1.511.5M2022-07-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.7371-0.90%4.76-0.42%0.0102✗0.701.4M2022-07-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16730.165907-0.83%0.1472-12.01%0.1089✓1.39730k2022-07-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0155980.015476-0.78%0.018726+20.05%0.1947✗0.53501k2022-07-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026960.026752-0.77%0.02571-4.64%0.0320✓1.003,2752022-07-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.88441.8703-0.75%2.131+13.09%0.1373✗0.882.1M2022-07-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031380.031163-0.69%0.02675-14.75%0.1424✓1.3422k2022-07-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.770.764899-0.66%0.8396+9.04%0.1044✗1.46190k2022-07-25
BANDBandEthereum1.5471.5371-0.64%1.4-9.50%0.0820✓1.49516k2022-07-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850950.845538-0.64%0.95357+12.06%0.1267✗0.859712022-07-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.8262.8081-0.63%2.629-6.97%0.0563✓1.25969k2022-07-25
UNIUniswapEthereum5.6125.5804-0.56%7.047+25.57%0.2439✗1.374.7M2022-07-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5860.583763-0.38%0.53-9.56%0.0858✓1.41117k2022-07-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11650.116123-0.32%0.0957-17.85%0.1827✓1.393.9M2022-07-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6472.6392-0.30%2.417-8.69%0.0806✓0.95142k2022-07-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.22072.2142-0.29%2.2439+1.04%0.0200✗0.872.1M2022-07-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.912.9025-0.26%5.015+72.34%0.5555✗1.13636k2022-07-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011810.000011786-0.20%0.00001069-9.48%0.0878✓1.27928k2022-07-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.629.6057-0.15%8.44-12.27%0.1201✓1.21398k2022-07-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.174.1692-0.02%4.26+2.16%0.0266✗0.661.2M2022-07-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30450.304659+0.05%0.2748-9.75%0.0936✗1.244.3M2022-07-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35160.351832+0.07%0.3116-11.38%0.1121✗1.2112.4M2022-07-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.06880.068881+0.12%0.0476-30.81%0.3577✗1.54139k2022-07-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.858.8775+0.13%54.02-8.13%0.0768✗1.2118.3M2022-07-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7450.746346+0.18%0.674-9.53%0.0917✗1.34322k2022-07-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.251.2524+0.19%1.36+8.80%0.0944✓1.55929k2022-07-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22960.230077+0.21%0.2221-3.27%0.0248✗1.36233k2022-07-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.541.5437+0.24%1.37-11.04%0.1076✗1.54468k2022-07-25
XEMNEMnative0.04320.043307+0.25%0.044703+3.48%0.0414✓1.2526k2022-07-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.10220.102485+0.28%0.0928-9.20%0.0879✗1.48816k2022-07-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3156.3335+0.29%6.203-1.77%0.0105✗1.3511.0M2022-07-25
SOLSolanaSolana42.242.3432+0.34%36.64-13.18%0.1344✗1.34103.2M2022-07-25
ADACardanoCardano0.49820.499916+0.34%0.4749-4.68%0.0410✗1.3576.9M2022-07-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43860.440214+0.37%0.3624-17.37%0.1833✗1.46117k2022-07-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5151.5206+0.37%1.934+27.66%0.2518✓1.4879k2022-07-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043560.043737+0.41%0.04-8.17%0.0812✗1.053,1732022-07-25
PROPropyEthereum0.870.873555+0.41%0.79-9.20%0.0949✗0.74161k2022-07-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.30.301334+0.44%0.281-6.33%0.0619✗1.03768k2022-07-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5530.555701+0.49%0.5256-4.95%0.0458✗1.29611k2022-07-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.370.371835+0.50%0.504+36.22%0.3133✓1.2014k2022-07-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0676.0988+0.52%5.238-13.66%0.1427✗1.232.6M2022-07-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3421.4599+0.56%20.91-2.01%0.0144✗1.5038.5M2022-07-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.15070.151618+0.61%0.1316-12.67%0.1312✗1.36153k2022-07-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11270.113394+0.62%0.1145+1.60%0.0177✓1.046,3732022-07-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52421.5339+0.64%1.3096-14.08%0.1481✗1.291.1M2022-07-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,054.717,099.74+0.64%6,273.72-11.07%0.1134✗1.343.9M2022-07-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.6561+0.64%5.96+6.05%0.0626✓1.34392k2022-07-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.10490.105578+0.65%0.1014-3.34%0.0312✗1.19583k2022-07-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.153250.154271+0.67%0.14017-8.54%0.0830✗1.67217k2022-07-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.6568.7168+0.70%8.973+3.66%0.0395✓1.3714.5M2022-07-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04890.049279+0.77%0.0414-15.34%0.1630✗1.4612k2022-07-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006910.006969+0.85%0.00655-5.21%0.0541✗1.02424k2022-07-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.125263+0.86%0.0855-31.16%0.3750✗0.90228k2022-07-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.62122.6438+0.86%2.298-12.33%0.1317✗1.102.3M2022-07-25
FTTFTXEthereum27.928.1419+0.87%27.01-3.19%0.0337✗0.9510.7M2022-07-25
XLMStellarStellar0.126720.127822+0.87%0.105988-16.36%0.1792✗1.0511.7M2022-07-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0863.1131+0.88%3.228+4.60%0.0424✓0.801.2M2022-07-25
FLOWFlownative1.7971.8143+0.96%1.627-9.46%0.0996✗1.22375k2022-07-25
XECeCashnative0.000042770.00004321+1.03%0.00003829-10.47%0.1112✗1.262.6M2022-07-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020330.020545+1.06%0.01937-4.72%0.0510✗1.02123k2022-07-25
KSMKusamaHydration57.357.9225+1.09%58.49+2.08%0.0189✓1.19861k2022-07-25
ZENHorizenBase16.2316.4067+1.09%15.25-6.04%0.0622✗1.4265k2022-07-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0590.05965+1.10%0.0605+2.54%0.0234✓1.21121k2022-07-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010380.010508+1.23%0.00843-18.79%0.2129✗0.977.3M2022-07-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2587.3483+1.24%6.421-11.53%0.1248✗1.3141.5M2022-07-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125540.012715+1.28%0.01345+7.14%0.0628✓0.861.7M2022-07-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10380.10516+1.31%0.1078+3.85%0.0339✓1.19559k2022-07-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.10471.1192+1.31%1.0526-4.72%0.0525✗1.1651k2022-07-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3104880.314761+1.38%0.281447-9.35%0.1015✗1.352.3M2022-07-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062290.063162+1.40%0.06782+8.88%0.0820✓1.4170k2022-07-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02972.0581+1.40%1.8387-9.41%0.1027✗1.3169k2022-07-25
DODODODOEthereum0.1290.13085+1.43%0.1417+9.84%0.0902✓1.374.1M2022-07-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.059547+1.44%0.0476-18.91%0.2128✗1.441.3M2022-07-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.690.700646+1.54%0.8258+19.68%0.1727✓1.0862k2022-07-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.83e-73.89e-7+1.57%3.57e-7-6.58%0.0760✗1.01716k2022-07-25
HIVEHivenative0.41560.4223+1.61%0.519+24.88%0.2166✓1.351.1M2022-07-25
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004218+1.63%0.00397-4.34%0.0494✗1.44239k2022-07-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.294170.299159+1.70%0.34443+17.09%0.1509✓1.30464k2022-07-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.007051+1.74%0.006689-3.48%0.0474✗0.69131k2022-07-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.009360.009526+1.77%0.00845-9.72%0.1123✗0.971.3M2022-07-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.469.6363+1.86%17.78+87.95%0.6204✓1.02234k2022-07-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26140.266392+1.91%0.2757+5.47%0.0438✓1.2330k2022-07-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0685460.069889+1.96%0.06193-9.65%0.1111✗1.271.8M2022-07-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7290.743728+2.02%0.623-14.54%0.1695✗0.99419k2022-07-25
XVGVergenative0.003320.003387+2.03%0.00345+3.92%0.0290✓1.38705k2022-07-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8190.835661+2.03%1.1763+43.63%0.3529✓1.433.7M2022-07-25
STEEMSteemnative0.2280.232685+2.05%0.2309+1.27%0.0017✓1.22701k2022-07-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1268.2976+2.11%6.757-16.85%0.1956✗1.2713.9M2022-07-25
DASHDashDash52.3153.4345+2.15%44.88-14.20%0.1657✗1.14752k2022-07-25
ZECZcashZcash68.2469.762+2.23%54.2-20.57%0.2420✗1.352.4M2022-07-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12330.126067+2.24%0.1194-3.16%0.0436✗1.3940k2022-07-25
STXStacksnative0.4080.417323+2.29%0.4007-1.79%0.0304✗1.33257k2022-07-25
KCSKuCoinnative10.91911.1742+2.34%9.46-13.36%0.1578✗1.143.5M2022-07-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.4489+2.39%1.545+9.19%0.0761✓1.54170k2022-07-25
XTZTezosTezos1.54161.5795+2.46%1.5084-2.15%0.0360✗1.31672k2022-07-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.5544.6684+2.51%5.996+31.66%0.2643✓1.8214.7M2022-07-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5216.9361+2.52%23.25+40.74%0.3264✓1.242.0M2022-07-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008430.000868214+2.99%0.0009901+17.45%0.1421✓1.402.3M2022-07-25
GTGateEthereum4.33844.4687+3.00%3.9696-8.50%0.1125✗0.771.3M2022-07-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.15263.2536+3.21%3.2836+4.16%0.0181✓1.1641k2022-07-25
XMRMoneroMonero127.43131.5712+3.25%144.12+13.10%0.1002✓1.181.6M2022-07-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.99e-7+3.30%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0145✓0.855.3M2022-07-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.44119.4125+3.44%118.03+2.24%0.0028✓1.155.9M2022-07-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002840.002938+3.46%0.003099+9.12%0.0616✓1.082.1M2022-07-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054990.05697+3.60%0.04794-12.82%0.1608✗1.521.3M2022-07-25
AAVEAaveEthereum69.8672.4758+3.74%81.4+16.52%0.1293✓1.718.7M2022-07-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003050.003184+4.38%0.001479-51.51%0.7582✗1.096,8092022-07-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,241.331,296.07+4.41%1,440.75+16.07%0.1149✓1.18352.7M2022-07-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20570.214961+4.50%0.2157+4.86%0.0146✓1.46184k2022-07-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062310.006514+4.55%0.005629-9.66%0.1382✗1.033,8152022-07-25
NANOnanopayBase0.8697230.910232+4.66%0.913715+5.06%0.0122✓1.09115k2022-07-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,474.6022,484.41+4.70%21,619.20+0.67%0.0317✓0.9843k2022-07-25
TRXTRONTron0.0648340.067973+4.84%0.063663-1.81%0.0587✗0.89864k2022-07-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05540.058099+4.87%0.0642+15.88%0.1060✓0.80241k2022-07-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.731913.4206+5.41%12.6773-0.43%0.0470✓1.30222k2022-07-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.730.770192+5.51%0.681-6.71%0.1139✗1.201.0M2022-07-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08890.09392+5.65%0.0785-11.70%0.1694✗1.296,7422022-07-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.710.751326+5.82%0.663-6.62%0.1118✗1.73305k2022-07-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,478.0422,742.78+5.89%21,313.41-0.77%0.0572✓1.00526.3M2022-07-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.550.590287+7.32%0.4888-11.13%0.1798✗1.15105k2022-07-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.