8=======>

2022-06-18 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 177 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2471
175 of 177 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.6%
in alpha space · 73.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (177 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum2.061.7905-13.08%1.6-22.33%0.1986✓0.51166k2022-07-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7880.697402-11.50%0.817+3.68%0.1823✓2.0229.5M2022-07-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6182.3787-9.14%3.852+47.14%0.3823✗0.594.3M2022-07-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9362.6766-8.83%3.189+8.62%0.0527✓0.734.9M2022-07-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.140690.131101-6.82%0.18888+34.25%0.1966✗1.001,4082022-07-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024070.022501-6.52%0.02637+9.56%0.1474✓1.8240.8M2022-07-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71550.677287-5.34%0.8258+15.42%0.0028✓1.162.8M2022-07-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4233.2428-5.26%3.951+15.43%0.0805✗0.695.5M2022-07-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.508030.481764-5.17%0.47782-5.95%0.3078✓1.783.6M2022-07-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.443.3024-4.00%3.85+11.92%0.0151✓1.00347k2022-07-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.393.258-3.90%4.13+21.83%0.1326✗0.621.9M2022-07-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46170.444765-3.67%0.5225+13.17%0.0075✓1.00139k2022-07-18
OPTIMOptimism0.4510.434739-3.61%0.817+81.15%0.4623✗1.006.3M2022-07-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15030.145244-3.36%0.2055+36.73%0.1785✗1.002,0582022-07-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29853.5717-3.12%57.553+4.08%0.0713✓0.851.3M2022-07-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.6010.582239-3.12%1.129+87.85%0.3741✗1.711.5M2022-07-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7950.771913-2.90%0.83+4.40%0.0760✓0.881.7M2022-07-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.021410.020793-2.88%0.02896+35.26%0.1628✗1.002,6172022-07-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.972.8869-2.80%3.88+30.64%0.1621✗0.791.4M2022-07-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00005540.000053868-2.77%0.00010626+91.81%0.3326✗2.061.6M2022-07-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2181.1862-2.61%1.335+9.61%0.1341✓1.504.3M2022-07-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2330.22732-2.44%0.22-5.58%0.3029✓1.601.2M2022-07-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.4251.3926-2.27%1.949+36.77%0.1010✗1.39891k2022-07-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.020490.020127-1.77%0.022154+8.12%0.0965✓1.149,2332022-07-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1442.1112-1.53%2.6883+25.39%0.0545✓1.7617k2022-07-18
XYMSymbolnative0.04930.048581-1.46%0.053178+7.87%0.0224✓0.6764k2022-07-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.898.7624-1.44%11.39+28.12%0.0041✓1.582.4M2022-07-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.16.0124-1.44%7+14.75%0.0672✗0.501.9M2022-07-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0142030.014001-1.42%0.017412+22.59%0.1097✗0.64469k2022-07-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.311160.30677-1.41%0.41424+33.13%0.0825✗1.29105k2022-07-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044830.044231-1.34%0.04751+5.98%0.0987✓1.0114k2022-07-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.048110.047573-1.12%0.07699+60.03%0.3129✗1.001,5612022-07-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.799.6885-1.04%17.85+82.33%0.3280✗1.68322k2022-07-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08422.0666-0.84%2.3115+10.91%0.0375✓0.892.9M2022-07-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.808680.802682-0.74%1.0463+29.38%0.0572✗1.236,0082022-07-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.863.8362-0.62%4.43+14.77%0.0286✗0.681.5M2022-07-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0319-0.56%5.4359+7.43%0.0377✗0.23226k2022-07-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015350.015276-0.48%0.01948+26.91%0.1123✗0.78518k2022-07-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019340.019268-0.37%0.02116+9.41%0.0863✓1.07137k2022-07-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.184.1668-0.32%4.97+18.90%0.0593✗0.691.4M2022-07-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.326-0.30%1.62+21.80%0.0612✓1.55596k2022-07-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.05720.057047-0.27%0.0733+28.15%0.0097✓1.54426k2022-07-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.3762.3704-0.23%2.737+15.19%0.0689✓1.261.1M2022-07-18
BANDBandEthereum1.2871.2841-0.23%1.512+17.48%0.0951✓1.53407k2022-07-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11020.109955-0.22%0.1322+19.96%0.0141✗1.013.5M2022-07-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.777540.777112-0.05%0.92106+18.46%0.0620✓1.38713k2022-07-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.280730.280667-0.02%0.30487+8.60%0.1633✓1.4610k2022-07-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.461.4597-0.02%1.81+23.97%0.0158✗1.18270k2022-07-18
PROPropyEthereum0.850.849915-0.01%0.8-5.88%0.1889✓0.76188k2022-07-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006240.006241+0.01%0.00698+11.86%0.0603✗1.02512k2022-07-18
QNTQuantEthereum48.7748.7902+0.04%103.99+113.23%0.5972✓0.951.9M2022-07-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.025140.025223+0.33%0.02926+16.39%0.0800✗1.3618k2022-07-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35442.3649+0.45%2.5947+10.21%0.0880✗1.072.8M2022-07-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.25221.2579+0.45%1.4467+15.53%0.0755✗1.281.4M2022-07-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3772.3883+0.48%2.536+6.69%0.1046✗0.9896k2022-07-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.069446+0.50%0.0882+27.64%0.0010✓1.42309k2022-07-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12280.123454+0.53%0.092-25.08%0.4633✗1.00252k2022-07-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0493+0.56%2.375+16.54%0.0989✗1.4688k2022-07-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02670.02685+0.56%0.0392+46.82%0.1581✓1.31206k2022-07-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.755230.759894+0.62%0.96529+27.81%0.0958✓0.859712022-07-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19780.19903+0.62%0.2476+25.18%0.0163✗1.39446k2022-07-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.822.8397+0.70%3.316+17.59%0.0124✓0.851.6M2022-07-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7120.716997+0.70%1.0287+44.48%0.0973✓1.563.3M2022-07-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5030.506576+0.71%0.553+9.94%0.1273✗1.28762k2022-07-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.08680.087484+0.79%0.1146+32.03%0.0628✓1.23738k2022-07-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2590.261102+0.81%0.313+20.85%0.0046✓1.05847k2022-07-18
ADACardanoCardano0.45440.458146+0.82%0.49+7.83%0.1677✗1.3973.7M2022-07-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09990.100745+0.85%0.1131+13.21%0.0649✗1.075,8092022-07-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3380.340907+0.86%0.691+104.44%0.4429✓1.563,1952022-07-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09870.099558+0.87%0.1101+11.55%0.1363✗1.415.0M2022-07-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.20390.205719+0.89%0.2526+23.88%0.0077✓1.1791k2022-07-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038190.038564+0.98%–pending––1.092,9602022-07-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.074.1101+0.99%5.47+34.40%0.0111✓1.631.5M2022-07-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.172.192+1.01%2.7+24.42%0.0668✗1.63309k2022-07-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04550.045967+1.03%0.0441-3.08%0.2942✗1.5015k2022-07-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.67281.6903+1.04%2.1493+28.49%0.0897✓0.892.6M2022-07-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.462.4864+1.07%3.27+32.93%0.0826✓1.14636k2022-07-18
DIADIAEthereum0.357010.360873+1.08%0.44826+25.56%0.0988✓0.70249k2022-07-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.1035.1592+1.10%5.939+16.38%0.0782✗1.302.5M2022-07-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.7980.807382+1.18%1.389+74.06%0.3740✓1.001.5M2022-07-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25120.254183+1.19%0.2963+17.95%0.0589✗1.265.1M2022-07-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29550.299033+1.20%0.3598+21.76%0.0205✗1.2213.8M2022-07-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.1347.7563+1.33%58.58+24.29%0.0079✓1.1717.5M2022-07-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009090.009211+1.33%0.00954+4.95%0.1212✗0.9310.7M2022-07-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04850.049162+1.36%0.0547+12.78%0.1356✗1.441.7M2022-07-18
XEMNEMnative0.0379890.038513+1.38%0.044928+18.27%0.0637✗1.2926k2022-07-18
ZECZcashZcash59.2660.1404+1.49%65.57+10.65%0.1374✗1.333.1M2022-07-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.1681.1856+1.50%1.657+41.87%0.0774✓1.53223k2022-07-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03330.033807+1.52%0.0507+52.25%0.1709✓1.39354k2022-07-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0116170.011796+1.54%0.012981+11.74%0.0479✗0.852.0M2022-07-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05340.05424+1.57%0.0561+5.06%0.2277✗1.55141k2022-07-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14050.142721+1.58%0.1709+21.64%0.0596✗1.42917k2022-07-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4120.419033+1.71%0.572+38.83%0.0707✓1.4399k2022-07-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05170.052619+1.78%0.0756+46.23%0.1556✓1.23165k2022-07-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.9313.1692+1.85%16.35+26.45%0.0256✗1.442.0M2022-07-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.610.621333+1.86%0.9815+60.90%0.2172✓1.42182k2022-07-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.120890.123174+1.89%0.14623+20.96%0.0933✗1.57240k2022-07-18
SOLSolanaSolana32.0132.6155+1.89%43.55+36.05%0.0643✓1.33103.2M2022-07-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.087.2163+1.93%9.61+35.73%0.0865✓1.19434k2022-07-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.08690.088599+1.95%0.1174+35.10%0.0863✓1.16647k2022-07-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.430060.438498+1.96%0.6986+62.44%0.2296✓1.4063k2022-07-18
LSKLiskEthereum0.931230.949586+1.97%1.1185+20.11%0.0351✗1.1851k2022-07-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.7281.7622+1.98%1.9281+11.58%0.1353✗1.3457k2022-07-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.561.5909+1.98%2.661+70.58%0.2503✓1.5792k2022-07-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.1335.2365+2.02%7.533+46.76%0.1286✓1.3911.1M2022-07-18
SUSHISushiEthereum0.930.948766+2.02%1.5+61.29%0.1939✓1.571.1M2022-07-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008470.008644+2.06%0.00926+9.33%0.1052✗1.031.4M2022-07-18
XECeCashnative0.000035660.000036395+2.06%0.00004216+18.23%0.0744✗1.312.8M2022-07-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.44.4918+2.09%6.23+41.59%0.1058✓1.31400k2022-07-18
ZENHorizenBase13.1713.4469+2.10%17.74+34.70%0.0327✓1.4555k2022-07-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.08320.085015+2.18%0.1074+29.09%0.0171✓1.491.1M2022-07-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.2970.303508+2.19%0.53+78.45%0.3580✓1.1815k2022-07-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.4249.5061+2.24%63.82+31.81%0.0491✓1.22940k2022-07-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0447.2053+2.29%7.654+8.66%0.1611✗1.3113.9M2022-07-18
FTTFTXEthereum22.7923.3128+2.29%29.86+31.02%0.0920✓0.929.8M2022-07-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5780.591293+2.30%0.72+24.57%0.0323✗1.36518k2022-07-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.12310.12606+2.40%0.1512+22.83%0.0481✗1.36166k2022-07-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1075340.110136+2.42%0.114184+6.18%0.1446✗1.0711.6M2022-07-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22270.228198+2.47%0.2632+18.19%0.0662✗1.2431k2022-07-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9186.0682+2.54%7.038+18.93%0.0717✗1.3141.5M2022-07-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062810.006452+2.72%0.00707+12.56%0.0386✗0.77152k2022-07-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.0631.0919+2.72%2.094+96.99%0.4027✓1.4773k2022-07-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.22118.3586+2.72%121.21+5.20%0.1777✗1.204.5M2022-07-18
DODODODOEthereum0.11230.11536+2.72%0.1628+44.97%0.1049✓1.424.4M2022-07-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2710.278422+2.74%0.427+57.56%0.1702✓1.53341k2022-07-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.2350.241493+2.76%0.36013+53.25%0.1827✓1.29453k2022-07-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.5541.5988+2.88%2.949+89.77%0.3220✓1.722.2M2022-07-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.5719.8543+2.96%9.854+2.96%0.1882✗1.125.0M2022-07-18
STXStacksnative0.33710.34728+3.02%0.4256+26.25%0.0230✓1.34202k2022-07-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34170.352189+3.07%0.4332+26.78%0.0422✗1.48144k2022-07-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003390.003494+3.08%0.00428+26.25%0.0482✗1.49239k2022-07-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026120.002694+3.12%0.003004+15.01%0.0781✗1.112.1M2022-07-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.818.0565+3.16%14.75+88.86%0.4375✓0.99252k2022-07-18
COMPCompoundEthereum28.9829.9387+3.31%57.66+98.96%0.4059✓1.4826k2022-07-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5520.570316+3.32%0.72+30.43%0.0606✓1.02359k2022-07-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00070.000723372+3.34%0.001042+48.89%0.1325✓1.382.0M2022-07-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2475650.255954+3.39%0.320943+29.64%0.0100✓1.402.4M2022-07-18
HIVEHivenative0.35050.362541+3.44%0.4706+34.27%0.0266✓1.391.1M2022-07-18
DASHDashDash41.5542.9808+3.44%48.86+17.59%0.0611✗1.12810k2022-07-18
FLOWFlownative1.2641.308+3.48%1.688+33.54%0.0608✓1.15504k2022-07-18
XMRMoneroMonero104.18107.8323+3.51%147.68+41.75%0.1216✓1.141.8M2022-07-18
GTGateEthereum3.60593.7335+3.54%4.2854+18.84%0.0173✓0.721.7M2022-07-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.044720.046358+3.66%0.05685+27.12%0.0592✗1.561.5M2022-07-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.6814.1844+3.69%25.3+84.94%0.3632✓1.282.3M2022-07-18
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6373.7731+3.74%7.327+101.46%0.4374✓1.343.5M2022-07-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10420.108102+3.75%0.1331+27.74%0.0294✓1.4149k2022-07-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche14.815.3594+3.78%23.97+61.96%0.2020✓1.4445.0M2022-07-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058760.0061+3.81%0.005922+0.78%0.2073✗1.052,7662022-07-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.041480.043061+3.81%0.06313+52.19%0.1561✓1.3470k2022-07-18
XTZTezosTezos1.28891.3386+3.86%1.7336+34.50%0.0369✓1.32914k2022-07-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.0696.3066+3.91%9.579+57.83%0.1970✓1.3114.5M2022-07-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.13780.14326+3.96%0.2011+45.94%0.1337✓1.223,2772022-07-18
BTTCBTTC7.40e-77.70e-7+4.00%9.30e-7+25.68%0.0440✓0.865.3M2022-07-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000007710.000008029+4.14%0.00001196+55.12%0.1913✓1.23813k2022-07-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0527850.05501+4.21%0.06754+27.95%0.0065✓1.261.3M2022-07-18
TRXTRONTron0.0608550.063438+4.24%0.069093+13.54%0.0733✗0.941.0M2022-07-18
XVGVergenative0.002730.002847+4.29%0.00383+40.29%0.0529✓1.45645k2022-07-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum2.94e-73.07e-7+4.30%3.64e-7+23.69%0.0177✓0.91841k2022-07-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,369.274,557.51+4.31%6,611.88+51.33%0.1536✓1.303.6M2022-07-18
NANOnanopayBase0.7588970.791838+4.34%0.979062+29.01%0.0255✓1.11120k2022-07-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0026410.002759+4.47%–pending––1.114,6932022-07-18
MOVRMoonriverBase10.612211.0917+4.52%14.3354+35.08%0.0331✓1.33194k2022-07-18
STEEMSteemnative0.18260.190932+4.56%0.22+20.48%0.0690✗1.25669k2022-07-18
ETHEthereumEthereum993.641,039.13+4.58%1,581.34+59.15%0.2297✓1.13386.3M2022-07-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.58382.7022+4.58%3.2012+23.90%0.0310✓1.1939k2022-07-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05280.05531+4.75%0.0993+88.07%0.4488✓0.81316k2022-07-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07520.078801+4.79%0.0841+11.84%0.1631✗1.355,2002022-07-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.5830.610945+4.79%1.3413+130.07%0.5517✓1.394.4M2022-07-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.480.503486+4.89%0.9376+95.33%0.4271✓1.1560k2022-07-18
APEApeCoinEthereum3.6153.7985+5.08%5.992+65.75%0.1489✓1.8215.8M2022-07-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,116.8020,119.86+5.25%21,641.50+13.21%0.0936✗0.9936k2022-07-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.644601+5.50%0.69+12.93%0.2222✗1.72303k2022-07-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,948.8920,105.88+6.11%22,427.56+18.36%0.0593✗1.00582.4M2022-07-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.490.520582+6.24%0.5296+8.08%0.1828✗1.1971k2022-07-18
AAVEAaveEthereum49.5252.6711+6.36%96.23+94.33%0.3178✓1.697.6M2022-07-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6120.651276+6.42%0.657+7.35%0.1852✗1.15977k2022-07-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.15310.164023+7.13%0.2255+47.29%0.0727✓1.46191k2022-07-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.