8=======>

2022-06-15 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1343
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.7%
in alpha space · 53.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.195796+5.55%0.1983+6.90%0.1308✓1.48196k2022-07-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3323,643.08+4.79%20,827.55-7.69%0.0468✗1.00602.3M2022-07-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.824937+4.69%0.577-26.78%0.2656✗1.151.0M2022-07-15
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5969.6398+4.58%90.41+35.77%0.3951✓1.687.7M2022-07-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.791988+4.21%0.4671-38.54%0.4409✗1.0971k2022-07-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,555.57+3.88%6,152.70+15.05%0.2059✓1.303.7M2022-07-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.797361+3.82%1.1067+44.10%0.4394✓1.395.0M2022-07-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.112509+3.69%0.1279+17.88%0.2459✓1.4749k2022-07-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.066549+3.66%0.0531-17.29%0.1636✗0.78313k2022-07-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4023,361.71+3.63%21,161.60-6.13%0.0199✓0.9929k2022-07-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.3113+3.61%4.601+10.57%0.2196✓1.9317.0M2022-07-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.051554+3.58%0.06029+21.14%0.2673✓1.3870k2022-07-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,279.93+3.52%1,231.10-0.43%0.0497✓1.11365.6M2022-07-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.000009122+3.42%0.00001084+22.90%0.2746✓1.28850k2022-07-15
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.065147+3.41%0.067024+6.39%0.1084✓1.00756k2022-07-15
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5236.731+3.41%55.29+55.66%0.5262✓1.4728k2022-07-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.413051+3.37%0.68346+71.05%0.6283✓1.5663k2022-07-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.5498+3.32%12.831-14.75%0.0844✗1.35222k2022-07-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.99e-7+3.31%3.58e-7-7.29%0.0418✗0.831.1M2022-07-15
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.909388+3.27%0.888214+0.86%0.0645✓1.10120k2022-07-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.64015+3.25%0.8394+35.39%0.3583✓1.0956k2022-07-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.95663.0499+3.16%2.7818-5.91%0.0042✓1.2041k2022-07-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.8512+3.07%19.35+5.80%0.1451✓1.4949.3M2022-07-15
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.55e-7+3.01%8.70e-7+4.82%0.0886✓0.895.5M2022-07-15
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.202355+2.98%0.2001+1.83%0.0932✓1.31629k2022-07-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.5379+2.98%9.058+23.74%0.2905✓1.3415.2M2022-07-15
XMRMoneroMonero118.21121.5799+2.85%138.94+17.54%0.2249✓1.141.7M2022-07-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.007077+2.84%0.005697-17.22%0.1310✗1.072,5562022-07-15
XVGVergenative0.003310.003403+2.79%0.00344+3.93%0.1290✓1.48648k2022-07-15
STXStacksnative0.36490.375086+2.79%0.3829+4.93%0.1286✓1.35165k2022-07-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.110363+2.76%0.0764-28.86%0.2630✗1.314,0262022-07-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.924648+2.74%0.613-31.89%0.2666✗1.81319k2022-07-15
DASHDashDash45.8647.1122+2.73%43.24-5.71%0.0062✓1.15837k2022-07-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.7009+2.73%14.72+73.79%0.6099✓1.05283k2022-07-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.646076+2.71%0.653+3.82%0.0953✓1.06372k2022-07-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8816.3014+2.65%15.06-5.16%0.0252✓1.302.6M2022-07-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.00721+2.54%0.006739-4.15%0.0031✓0.81167k2022-07-15
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.5652+2.51%1.5743+3.10%0.1125✓1.33914k2022-07-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003314+2.50%–pending––1.214,5492022-07-15
HIVEHivenative0.37880.388038+2.44%0.4326+14.20%0.2253✓1.461.2M2022-07-15
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.003891+2.41%0.0039+2.63%0.1279✓1.57228k2022-07-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.353744+2.24%0.396+14.45%0.2087✓1.2015k2022-07-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9130.6858+2.18%106.07-17.07%0.1134✗1.194.4M2022-07-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.258675+2.13%0.31136+22.93%0.2928✓1.34453k2022-07-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.247457+2.13%0.2403-0.83%0.0766✓1.3231k2022-07-15
SOLSolanaSolana34.7235.435+2.06%37.37+7.63%0.1661✓1.41107.4M2022-07-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.322469+2.05%0.3968+25.57%0.3384✓1.64407k2022-07-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003114+2.00%0.002797-8.39%0.0134✓1.172.1M2022-07-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.9929+1.99%2.545+30.25%0.3890✓1.812.9M2022-07-15
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.5003+1.93%6.781+53.59%0.5182✓1.353.2M2022-07-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.000893822+1.92%0.0009706+10.67%0.1950✓1.412.0M2022-07-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.279166+1.87%0.294158+7.34%0.1711✓1.482.4M2022-07-15
GTGateEthereum4.40014.4797+1.81%4.0067-8.94%0.0590✗0.662.1M2022-07-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.063839+1.79%0.06297+0.41%0.0877✓1.271.3M2022-07-15
FLOWFlownative1.6721.7007+1.71%1.546-7.54%0.0153✓1.00580k2022-07-15
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.042171+1.60%0.040445-2.56%0.0660✓1.3529k2022-07-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.136427+1.58%0.1399+4.17%0.1393✓1.43169k2022-07-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0179+1.56%1.0478+4.54%0.1288✓1.2549k2022-07-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.5867+1.50%8.56+1.18%0.0902✓1.17508k2022-07-15
KCSKuCoinnative11.83212.0019+1.44%9.19-22.33%0.1779✗1.115.3M2022-07-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9866.0705+1.41%6.813+13.82%0.2310✓1.4411.1M2022-07-15
FTTFTXEthereum25.5625.9193+1.41%26.78+4.77%0.1066✓0.929.4M2022-07-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.417485+1.36%0.3765-8.59%0.0203✓1.54160k2022-07-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.915+1.34%5.62+15.88%0.2494✓1.44405k2022-07-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.14377+1.28%0.12894-9.17%0.0232✓1.65260k2022-07-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.3007+1.22%2.036+58.44%0.5681✓1.5079k2022-07-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.698276+1.20%0.667-3.33%0.0643✓1.38578k2022-07-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.009885+1.18%0.00901-7.78%0.0083✓1.051.5M2022-07-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.059152+1.11%0.0735+25.64%0.3141✓1.21139k2022-07-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6351.1664+1.06%51.76+2.23%0.1078✓1.2017.5M2022-07-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.122277+1.04%0.107412-11.24%0.0419✗1.1010.7M2022-07-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.270727+1.02%0.285+6.34%0.1403✓1.11890k2022-07-15
XECeCashnative0.000040390.000040798+1.01%0.00003922-2.90%0.0703✓1.373.0M2022-07-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3935+1.00%6.321-13.65%0.0516✗1.3140.5M2022-07-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.01264+0.97%0.012236-2.26%0.0409✓0.922.0M2022-07-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.139282+0.93%0.1463+6.01%0.1655✓1.454.4M2022-07-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.054589+0.87%0.05059-6.52%0.0544✓1.632.0M2022-07-15
ZECZcashZcash68.5769.1168+0.80%58.37-14.88%0.0600✗1.363.6M2022-07-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.009934+0.75%0.00919-6.80%0.0081✓1.0712.1M2022-07-15
KSMKusamaHydration58.2658.6218+0.62%54.37-6.68%0.0237✓1.241.0M2022-07-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0379+0.56%1.7681-12.75%0.0327✗1.3768k2022-07-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.485633+0.55%0.501+3.73%0.1487✓1.47116k2022-07-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.166591+0.54%0.156-5.85%0.0516✓1.47917k2022-07-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.103145+0.43%0.1064+3.60%0.1262✓1.19733k2022-07-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.419614+0.39%0.635+51.91%0.5442✓1.624,1942022-07-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.5232+0.38%6.794-19.99%0.1214✗1.3213.5M2022-07-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.098871+0.38%0.1008+2.34%0.1416✓1.531.2M2022-07-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8476+0.37%1.9225+4.44%0.1138✓0.933.2M2022-07-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.1137+0.33%1.4+26.13%0.3567✓1.601.1M2022-07-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.049556+0.32%0.0409-17.21%0.0681✗1.5520k2022-07-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.038318+0.31%0.0481+25.92%0.3423✓1.44374k2022-07-15
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.419693+0.30%0.40645-2.87%0.0215✓0.67276k2022-07-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.179071+0.26%0.1771-0.84%0.0859✓1.213,0802022-07-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.112235+0.21%0.0986-11.96%0.0119✗1.475.4M2022-07-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.3133+0.18%1.451+10.68%0.2383✓1.73231k2022-07-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.550673+0.12%0.4954-9.93%0.0055✓1.39771k2022-07-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.028084+0.12%0.02728-2.75%0.0833✓1.4018k2022-07-15
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.0904+0.06%16.03-0.31%0.1127✓1.4665k2022-07-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.874+0.05%5.226-10.99%0.0082✗1.362.6M2022-07-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.286005+0.04%0.2706-5.35%0.0477✓1.296.1M2022-07-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.107887-0.01%0.1081+0.19%0.0924✗1.137,2892022-07-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.8692-0.03%2.734-4.74%0.0413✗1.12663k2022-07-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.02081-0.05%0.01939-6.87%0.0170✗1.10149k2022-07-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.030485-0.05%0.036+18.03%0.2747✗1.36247k2022-07-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0236-0.08%3.831+26.60%0.3063✗0.871.9M2022-07-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7915.7763-0.09%13.97-11.53%0.0049✓1.462.4M2022-07-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.102577-0.12%0.1058+3.02%0.1301✗1.24852k2022-07-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.0155-0.12%2.177+7.88%0.2035✗1.5897k2022-07-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.4269-0.13%2.33-4.12%0.1006✗1.77304k2022-07-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.213554-0.16%0.2302+7.62%0.1900✗1.44472k2022-07-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.339215-0.20%0.3275-3.65%0.0645✗1.2514.6M2022-07-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4663-0.25%1.43-2.72%0.1066✗1.65596k2022-07-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.006912-0.26%0.00642-7.36%0.0125✗1.08582k2022-07-15
QNTQuantEthereum50.850.631-0.33%104.42+105.55%0.8027✗0.992.0M2022-07-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.05958-0.37%0.0495-17.22%0.0667✓1.481.7M2022-07-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.065254-0.38%0.0495-24.43%0.1495✓1.59141k2022-07-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.216028-0.40%0.2376+9.54%0.1925✗1.22100k2022-07-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6222-0.48%1.7+4.29%0.1459✗1.24270k2022-07-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.019717-0.53%0.020825+5.05%0.1554✗1.269,2752022-07-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.779746-0.54%0.9011+14.94%0.2749✗1.633.2M2022-07-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.465-0.56%5.16+14.92%0.2825✗1.721.7M2022-07-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99474.9648-0.60%5.3034+6.18%0.0872✗0.26235k2022-07-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9610.954915-0.63%1.206+25.49%0.3134✗1.001.6M2022-07-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.530692-0.68%0.4419-17.29%0.0686✓1.4365.8M2022-07-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.040892-0.70%–pending––1.132,9602022-07-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.713802-0.86%0.8988+24.83%0.3469✗1.46195k2022-07-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.0407-0.96%4.37+7.11%0.1347✗0.701.7M2022-07-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.347-1.05%2.197-7.38%0.0538✗1.50104k2022-07-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5281-1.09%2.333-8.72%0.0009✓1.0163k2022-07-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.142493-1.32%0.0907-37.19%0.3728✓0.99256k2022-07-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.391-1.33%4.8+7.87%0.1463✗0.721.6M2022-07-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.1895-1.37%2.252+1.44%0.1025✗0.933.4M2022-07-15
PROPropyEthereum0.910.897086-1.42%0.81-10.99%0.0413✓0.76187k2022-07-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.044091-1.43%0.04524+1.14%0.1159✗1.1314k2022-07-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.050375-1.68%0.051924+1.35%0.0883✗0.7367k2022-07-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.51-1.71%1.4159-7.83%0.0391✗1.292.0M2022-07-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.1543-1.78%9.21-1.18%0.1414✗1.692.7M2022-07-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.126298-1.79%0.1194-7.15%0.0234✗0.993.3M2022-07-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.5871-1.83%2.4393-7.43%0.0302✗1.113.1M2022-07-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.7234-1.90%2.593-6.59%0.0556✗1.311.1M2022-07-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.4334-1.93%6.76+3.05%0.0889✗0.492.1M2022-07-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.863139-2.04%1.0188+15.62%0.2701✗1.305,7412022-07-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.307944-2.04%0.28896-8.08%0.0570✗1.5114k2022-07-15
BANDBandEthereum1.571.533-2.35%1.366-12.99%0.0105✓1.57374k2022-07-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.899021-2.39%0.84724-8.01%0.0524✗1.40789k2022-07-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.663785-2.53%0.92+35.10%0.4727✗1.831.8M2022-07-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47754.0693-2.54%52.433-5.49%0.0403✗0.891.2M2022-07-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0234-2.55%0.81221-22.66%0.1665✓0.816242022-07-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.015831-2.65%0.017093+5.11%0.1243✗0.60469k2022-07-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.3612-2.77%2.3013-5.24%0.1240✗1.8717k2022-07-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.061178-2.95%0.07463+18.39%0.2788✗1.001,7292022-07-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.087563-3.03%0.0863-4.43%0.1025✗1.46354k2022-07-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.018611-3.12%0.01809-5.83%0.0268✓0.69631k2022-07-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.788163-3.29%0.769-5.64%0.0555✗1.001.7M2022-07-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.311.8651-3.54%16.53+34.39%0.4686✗1.71333k2022-07-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.069413-3.59%0.0717-0.42%0.1496✗1.46410k2022-07-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.231267-3.64%0.208-13.33%0.0339✓1.751.3M2022-07-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.4561-4.14%1.836+20.87%0.3525✗1.51879k2022-07-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.638656-4.21%0.8014+20.20%0.3241✗1.212.8M2022-07-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.312-4.28%3.56+2.89%0.1340✗0.771.7M2022-07-15
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.566605-4.29%0.483-18.41%0.0796✓1.006.5M2022-07-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.34478-4.39%0.38883+7.83%0.2241✗1.30105k2022-07-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.000058824-5.03%0.00010743+73.44%0.7971✗2.431.7M2022-07-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.443648-5.13%0.46396-0.78%0.2039✗1.993.5M2022-07-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.7628-5.46%3.91-1.76%0.0836✗0.572.1M2022-07-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.4984-6.46%3.82+2.14%0.1439✗0.707.0M2022-07-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.3973-6.60%1.269-15.17%0.0248✓1.515.5M2022-07-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.023364-7.40%0.02347-6.98%0.1583✗1.9240.1M2022-07-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.4433-8.65%1.55-1.90%0.1255✗0.68166k2022-07-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2642.9365-10.03%3.256-0.25%0.1605✗0.724.4M2022-07-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2162.8634-10.96%3.61+12.25%0.2734✗0.524.5M2022-07-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.833672-13.34%0.779-19.02%0.0960✓2.0529.5M2022-07-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.