8=======>

2022-06-13 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2212
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.1%
in alpha space · 60.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.815177-13.37%0.765-18.70%0.1499✗2.0312.5M2022-07-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2862.9007-11.72%3.371+2.59%0.2087✗0.564.5M2022-07-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2252.884-10.57%2.862-11.26%0.0708✓0.753.9M2022-07-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.4547-9.64%1.55-3.73%0.1337✗0.67166k2022-07-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.173.8627-7.37%3.55-14.87%0.0287✓0.531.9M2022-07-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.3553-7.04%1.197-17.90%0.0325✓1.495.1M2022-07-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.1244-6.31%3.661+9.78%0.2387✗0.766.4M2022-07-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.425752-5.54%0.44497-1.28%0.2526✗1.983.5M2022-07-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000057198-5.35%0.00009497+57.16%0.7636✗2.441.8M2022-07-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.141135-5.28%0.1121-24.77%0.1287✓0.973.2M2022-07-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.3503-4.82%3.11-11.65%0.0066✓0.771.7M2022-07-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.018848-4.18%0.01775-9.76%0.0123✓0.69646k2022-07-13
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.522467-4.13%0.475-12.84%0.0098✓1.006.8M2022-07-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.062329-3.66%0.06699+3.54%0.1772✗1.001,7292022-07-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.3185-3.34%16.45+40.48%0.5525✗1.70284k2022-07-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.5669-3.29%6.14-9.57%0.0153✓0.492.0M2022-07-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.750738-3.26%0.781+0.64%0.1456✗1.011.7M2022-07-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.017762-2.89%0.02366+29.36%0.4873✗1.9137.4M2022-07-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04261.0179-2.37%0.72057-30.89%0.2618✓0.809702022-07-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.4412-2.18%4.44-2.20%0.0762✗0.731.6M2022-07-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.081512-2.15%0.0863+3.60%0.2107✗1.46402k2022-07-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.553207-2.07%0.8034+42.22%0.4984✗1.192.8M2022-07-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.1998-2.05%5.28-0.54%0.0457✗0.29235k2022-07-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.042407-2.04%0.04367+0.88%0.1475✗1.1214k2022-07-13
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.047633-1.99%0.050805+4.54%0.1411✗0.7357k2022-07-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.1217-1.86%3.94-6.19%0.0309✗0.721.7M2022-07-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08212.0485-1.62%2.1876+5.07%0.2619✗1.8715k2022-07-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.581611-1.59%0.885+49.75%0.6105✗1.811.8M2022-07-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.815933-1.52%0.81417-1.73%0.1441✗1.39789k2022-07-13
PROPropyEthereum0.90.887368-1.40%0.82-8.89%0.0018✓0.77186k2022-07-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06892.0417-1.31%2.0881+0.93%0.1241✗0.973.1M2022-07-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.2839-1.26%2.2724-1.76%0.1149✗1.143.0M2022-07-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.186994-1.06%0.209+10.58%0.2894✗1.701.1M2022-07-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.7898-1.00%2.1+16.15%0.3248✗1.5797k2022-07-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.037.9495-1.00%8.87+10.46%0.2857✗1.682.7M2022-07-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.3053-0.96%1.285-2.50%0.1487✗1.56342k2022-07-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.3922-0.91%2.185-9.49%0.0143✗1.0063k2022-07-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.802432-0.90%0.94752+17.02%0.3003✗1.285,7412022-07-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.674071-0.87%0.8573+26.07%0.3930✗1.45198k2022-07-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0654-0.86%2.799-9.48%0.0010✓0.881.8M2022-07-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.6649.2508-0.82%84.78+70.72%0.6464✗0.982.0M2022-07-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67746.2961-0.82%51.858+11.10%0.2072✗0.891.2M2022-07-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.012856-0.81%0.017797+37.31%0.3794✗0.52375k2022-07-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.132496-0.75%0.0903-32.36%0.2811✓0.97258k2022-07-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2307-0.72%1.2847+3.64%0.1748✗1.251.7M2022-07-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.283008-0.67%0.38474+35.03%0.4393✗1.26105k2022-07-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026236-0.43%0.02673+1.44%0.1635✗1.3817k2022-07-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.849994-0.35%1.169+37.05%0.4238✗1.001.5M2022-07-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2507-0.34%1.417+12.91%0.3050✗1.71236k2022-07-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.006302-0.29%0.00629-0.47%0.1113✗1.08607k2022-07-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5169-0.20%1.62+6.58%0.1956✗1.24270k2022-07-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.106414-0.17%0.0938-12.01%0.0273✗1.465.4M2022-07-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009695-0.16%0.00939-3.30%0.0860✗1.1213.3M2022-07-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.699141-0.12%0.8829+26.13%0.4037✗1.622.7M2022-07-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012797-0.10%0.011938-6.81%0.0270✗0.922.0M2022-07-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.05989-0.02%0.0488-18.53%0.0372✓1.59141k2022-07-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.048008+0.02%0.0426-11.25%0.0418✓1.5323k2022-07-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.094527+0.03%0.1019+7.83%0.2045✓1.23795k2022-07-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.195062+0.03%0.2274+16.62%0.3013✓1.41432k2022-07-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2911+0.09%1.38+6.98%0.2389✓1.64574k2022-07-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.7526+0.09%2.789+1.42%0.1300✓1.11686k2022-07-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.018849+0.10%0.01912+1.54%0.1318✓1.12151k2022-07-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.051955+0.11%0.0614+18.30%0.3155✓1.41405k2022-07-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.199488+0.14%0.2356+18.27%0.2922✓1.2087k2022-07-13
ZECZcashZcash65.4865.5905+0.17%54.92-16.13%0.0326✗1.383.6M2022-07-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1938+0.17%2.2+0.46%0.1883✓1.76294k2022-07-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.464442+0.18%0.4382-5.48%0.0902✓1.4152.0M2022-07-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.035869+0.19%0.0457+27.65%0.3924✓1.43383k2022-07-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029176+0.26%0.036+23.71%0.3528✓1.36247k2022-07-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.3431+0.27%5.295-0.64%0.1320✓1.342.5M2022-07-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.0476+0.27%2.139+4.75%0.1988✓1.48126k2022-07-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.7262+0.30%1.7477+1.55%0.1136✓0.963.2M2022-07-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.037372+0.35%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.304982+0.36%0.3097+1.91%0.1437✓1.2214.4M2022-07-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.1534+0.39%1.75+52.31%0.5683✓1.44826k2022-07-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.099498+0.40%0.1028+3.73%0.1493✓1.117,2892022-07-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.494989+0.40%0.4944+0.28%0.1462✓1.40886k2022-07-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.16178+0.42%0.1458-9.50%0.0479✓1.45805k2022-07-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.448894+0.42%0.484+8.28%0.2297✓1.47116k2022-07-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.136594+0.44%0.1331-2.13%0.1268✓1.453.8M2022-07-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.093065+0.50%0.0868-6.26%0.0911✓1.531.2M2022-07-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.051057+0.51%0.0428-15.75%0.0195✗1.491.6M2022-07-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007673+0.57%0.005549-27.28%0.2142✗1.052,4432022-07-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.258683+0.58%0.28736+11.73%0.2612✓1.4811k2022-07-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.258956+0.60%0.2657+3.22%0.1592✓1.276.2M2022-07-13
XECeCashnative0.000038270.000038505+0.61%0.00003864+0.97%0.1447✓1.343.0M2022-07-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.01837+0.62%0.020208+10.68%0.2246✓1.239,7572022-07-13
ZENHorizenBase14.1214.2085+0.63%15.29+8.29%0.2257✓1.4565k2022-07-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.8981+0.72%1.7394-7.71%0.0548✓1.3558k2022-07-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.092069+0.73%0.1027+12.36%0.2338✓1.18733k2022-07-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.260115+0.73%0.29183+13.02%0.2554✓1.34453k2022-07-13
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.977661+0.79%1.24+27.84%0.4043✓1.591.1M2022-07-13
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.7987+0.79%8.937-23.65%0.1617✗1.105.3M2022-07-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.049378+0.83%0.04954+1.16%0.1736✓1.621.9M2022-07-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.258158+0.84%0.282+10.16%0.2048✓1.11847k2022-07-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.667816+0.88%0.655-1.06%0.1279✓1.40578k2022-07-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.917+0.95%5.07+30.67%0.4358✓1.691.5M2022-07-13
XMRMoneroMonero132.56133.9908+1.08%124.11-6.37%0.0423✓1.131.7M2022-07-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.9334+1.12%2.515+31.54%0.4517✓1.803.0M2022-07-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.455+1.14%8.12-2.87%0.0816✓1.16502k2022-07-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.6434+1.14%13.37-0.89%0.1320✓1.452.3M2022-07-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009155+1.16%0.00888-1.88%0.0806✓1.061.5M2022-07-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.134126+1.16%0.12248-7.63%0.0822✓1.65260k2022-07-13
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.384581+1.18%0.39062+2.77%0.0857✓0.67271k2022-07-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.950284+1.19%1.014+7.98%0.1948✓1.2448k2022-07-13
FTTFTXEthereum24.5124.8067+1.21%25+2.00%0.1037✓0.919.1M2022-07-13
GTGateEthereum4.24454.2963+1.22%3.9594-6.72%0.0116✓0.672.1M2022-07-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.128812+1.27%0.1355+6.53%0.2003✓1.42169k2022-07-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.003353+1.31%–pending––1.194,6932022-07-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.397196+1.33%0.647+65.05%0.6574✓1.614,2732022-07-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.5906+1.34%5.49+21.19%0.3303✓1.44411k2022-07-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93128.6496+1.35%102.54-19.22%0.1023✗1.194.4M2022-07-13
UMAUMAEthereum1.9972.0245+1.38%2.535+26.94%0.3645✓1.331.1M2022-07-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.000839605+1.40%0.0009324+12.61%0.2499✓1.381.8M2022-07-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4544.088+1.47%49.5+13.92%0.2407✓1.1917.5M2022-07-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1621+1.50%1.798+57.03%0.5926✓1.4973k2022-07-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.056951+1.52%0.0719+28.16%0.3662✓1.27153k2022-07-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.305569+1.52%0.3891+29.27%0.4209✓1.71496k2022-07-13
FLOWFlownative1.5861.6104+1.54%1.511-4.73%0.0414✓1.00608k2022-07-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.007454+1.69%0.006749-7.93%0.0152✓0.80153k2022-07-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.108831+1.71%0.0741-30.75%0.2445✗1.334,0262022-07-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.5381+1.77%6.493+19.31%0.3092✓1.4310.6M2022-07-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.256734+1.86%0.283091+12.32%0.2514✓1.462.3M2022-07-13
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.039736+1.87%0.038841-0.42%0.1183✓1.3431k2022-07-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0327.1654+1.90%6.464-8.08%0.0335✓1.3013.5M2022-07-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.002905+1.94%0.002746-3.65%0.0648✓1.152.1M2022-07-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.384015+2.00%0.3692-1.94%0.1214✓1.53160k2022-07-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.1089+2.00%0.105275-1.39%0.0802✓1.0810.3M2022-07-13
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.065001+2.04%0.066231+3.97%0.1187✓0.95715k2022-07-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.225063+2.07%0.2391+8.44%0.1986✓1.3131k2022-07-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.898838+2.14%0.4603-47.69%0.5525✗1.1168k2022-07-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.876429+2.15%0.603-29.72%0.1815✗1.83319k2022-07-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.33921+2.17%0.376+13.25%0.2276✓1.1915k2022-07-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.612049+2.18%0.594-0.83%0.0832✓1.08365k2022-07-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.0847.0965+2.21%49.06+6.47%0.1689✓1.221.0M2022-07-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9176.048+2.21%6.172+4.31%0.1585✓1.3237.2M2022-07-13
STXStacksnative0.3470.35472+2.22%0.3774+8.76%0.2030✓1.34165k2022-07-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003673+2.32%0.0039+8.64%0.2228✓1.55213k2022-07-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.3311+2.35%14.62+79.61%0.6729✓1.05283k2022-07-13
HIVEHivenative0.35840.366827+2.35%0.4221+17.77%0.2922✓1.451.1M2022-07-13
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.30e-7+2.47%8.40e-7+3.70%0.1059✓0.895.5M2022-07-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,238.07+2.50%1,114.26-7.75%0.0115✓1.11344.3M2022-07-13
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648715.0299+2.60%11.9814-18.21%0.0843✗1.35222k2022-07-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.06712+2.63%0.0503-23.09%0.2059✗0.79299k2022-07-13
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.4383+2.68%1.5191+8.45%0.1939✓1.33914k2022-07-13
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.188416+2.68%0.2049+11.66%0.2214✓1.31585k2022-07-13
DASHDashDash42.5943.7356+2.69%42.39-0.47%0.0884✓1.14837k2022-07-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.7984+2.77%14.41+0.07%0.1093✓1.292.6M2022-07-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.055674+2.77%0.061838+14.15%0.2355✓1.241.3M2022-07-13
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7336.7215+2.78%48.39+35.43%0.4292✓1.4630k2022-07-13
SOLSolanaSolana28.5829.3907+2.84%34.94+22.25%0.3186✓1.39104.0M2022-07-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.8566+2.90%2.7241-1.88%0.0779✓1.1933k2022-07-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.870961+2.96%0.863212+2.05%0.1171✓1.20120k2022-07-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7023,145.72+3.00%20,219.90-10.02%0.0314✗0.9929k2022-07-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.576+3.02%18.81+16.90%0.2815✓1.4849.3M2022-07-13
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.7737+3.05%6.118+67.07%0.6227✓1.332.7M2022-07-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.618372+3.06%0.7812+30.20%0.3492✓1.1060k2022-07-13
XVGVergenative0.003030.003124+3.11%0.0034+12.21%0.2371✓1.45628k2022-07-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.7109+3.32%8.218+26.53%0.3411✓1.3215.2M2022-07-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.047138+3.33%0.05517+20.93%0.3011✓1.3760k2022-07-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.000008287+3.33%0.00001053+31.30%0.3725✓1.26850k2022-07-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.384126+3.35%0.63818+71.70%0.6700✓1.5461k2022-07-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.675,129.16+3.58%5,907.64+19.31%0.2756✓1.283.6M2022-07-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.743893+3.61%1.0482+45.99%0.4896✓1.405.1M2022-07-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.71e-7+3.61%3.58e-7+0.16%0.0582✓0.881.1M2022-07-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9723,310.20+3.78%20,220.23-9.98%0.0371✗1.00582.4M2022-07-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.807577+3.80%0.606-22.11%0.1679✗1.131.0M2022-07-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.10526+3.91%0.127+25.37%0.3400✓1.4549k2022-07-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.6266+4.06%4.58+31.42%0.4346✓1.9117.0M2022-07-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.136184+4.36%0.1644+25.98%0.3133✓1.192,3482022-07-13
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7462.484+4.59%79.78+33.55%0.4235✓1.707.6M2022-07-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.169711+5.61%0.1823+13.44%0.2291✓1.50196k2022-07-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.