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2022-06-06 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0358
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.2%
in alpha space · 45.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-34.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000080590.000067779-15.90%0.0001122+39.22%1.8702✗3.232.6M2022-07-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0530.903001-14.24%0.849-19.37%0.8448✗2.153.0M2022-07-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9852.6015-12.85%2.291-23.25%0.6473✗1.83113k2022-07-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6124.1947-9.05%3.71-19.56%0.1516✗0.655.1M2022-07-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5591.4202-8.90%1.261-19.11%0.5325✗1.545.0M2022-07-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.843580.768561-8.89%0.44192-47.61%0.3426✗2.122.4M2022-07-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1622.9009-8.26%3.449+9.08%0.4704✗0.702.4M2022-07-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.259662-7.59%0.282+0.36%0.8774✗1.881.3M2022-07-06
GMTGMTEthereum1.0050.931807-7.28%0.965-3.98%1.0083✗2.302.4M2022-07-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0172.8145-6.71%2.955-2.06%0.4305✗0.901.9M2022-07-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98141.8493-6.66%1.3926-29.72%0.2701✗1.312.7M2022-07-06
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.265477-6.52%0.2151-24.26%0.4279✗1.51585k2022-07-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.025920.024238-6.49%0.0204-21.30%0.0845✗0.61582k2022-07-06
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0049-6.08%0.85-20.56%0.1705✗0.80187k2022-07-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064630.060968-5.67%0.04441-31.29%0.1544✗1.1215k2022-07-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.2787-5.35%1.261-6.66%0.4085✗1.001.1M2022-07-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.52771.4494-5.13%0.77816-49.06%0.3110✓0.744,7612022-07-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.838194-4.75%1.002+13.86%0.8911✗1.69232k2022-07-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.093.8987-4.68%3.19-22.00%0.1747✗0.891.2M2022-07-06
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2441.187-4.58%0.637-48.79%0.1620✓1.091.2M2022-07-06
FLOWFlownative2.52.3898-4.41%1.6-36.00%0.0213✓1.00718k2022-07-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.537.2077-4.28%6.25-17.00%0.0771✗0.521.6M2022-07-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.040.997119-4.12%1.0139-2.51%0.7904✗1.833.0M2022-07-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6020.577192-4.12%0.694+15.28%0.9120✗1.725,9962022-07-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.981.9023-3.92%1.377-30.45%0.4656✗1.87303k2022-07-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.214.0482-3.84%3.84-8.79%0.2650✗0.751.4M2022-07-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32932.2491-3.44%1.7961-22.89%0.1914✗0.993.6M2022-07-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.36421.3177-3.41%0.9408-31.04%0.1592✗1.176,7502022-07-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068210.065893-3.40%0.05158-24.38%0.6727✗2.172.4M2022-07-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.585.392-3.37%4.5-19.35%0.1568✗0.801.8M2022-07-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1711.7649-3.33%10.26-15.69%0.6699✗1.914.2M2022-07-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06340.061343-3.24%0.043-32.18%0.3650✗1.7040k2022-07-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.422350.409089-3.14%0.29848-29.33%0.3523✗1.5818k2022-07-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4280690.414675-3.13%0.307678-28.12%0.3186✗1.462.5M2022-07-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.3060.296666-3.05%0.2429-20.62%0.3604✗1.33105k2022-07-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8042.7193-3.02%2.498-10.91%0.8028✗2.1015k2022-07-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.5621.5165-2.91%2.084+33.42%1.0157✗1.65847k2022-07-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05360.05204-2.91%0.0475-11.38%0.5020✗1.40524k2022-07-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.222.1602-2.70%1.66-25.23%0.2703✗1.26247k2022-07-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11060.108503-1.90%0.0991-10.40%0.6789✗1.82455k2022-07-06
DODODODOEthereum0.17150.168307-1.86%0.1335-22.16%0.4588✗1.632.6M2022-07-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.8813-1.78%4.06-18.31%0.1740✗0.85845k2022-07-06
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3826.269-1.77%5.014-21.44%0.7155✗2.2226.5M2022-07-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6113.5483-1.74%2.83-21.63%0.1612✗0.921.6M2022-07-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052850.051943-1.72%0.04092-22.57%0.2001✗1.044,6802022-07-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.616.5024-1.63%5.64-14.67%0.4830✗1.48414k2022-07-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.31e-76.21e-7-1.62%3.79e-7-40.00%0.0746✓0.99961k2022-07-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7762.7317-1.60%2.612-5.91%0.8179✗2.043.1M2022-07-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.32280.317768-1.56%0.2232-30.86%0.2343✗1.39384k2022-07-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024030.023659-1.55%0.02512+4.54%1.0833✗2.4238.7M2022-07-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15050.148176-1.54%0.0757-49.70%0.0748✗1.772,8332022-07-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.621.5953-1.52%1.15-29.01%0.3971✗1.711.4M2022-07-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.22493.1777-1.46%2.42-24.96%0.3610✗1.504.8M2022-07-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.58632.549-1.44%2.1214-17.98%0.2498✗1.033.1M2022-07-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012140.011967-1.43%0.01025-15.57%0.5240✗1.6117.8M2022-07-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55430.546808-1.35%0.4074-26.50%0.4046✗1.65177k2022-07-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08720.086031-1.34%0.0949+8.83%0.7323✗1.50165k2022-07-06
KCSKuCoinnative16.55916.3451-1.29%8.979-45.78%0.1640✓1.036.9M2022-07-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00510.005035-1.28%0.001588-68.86%0.6158✓1.277,4632022-07-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13345.0687-1.26%5.8046+13.08%0.2751✗0.33279k2022-07-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4850.478955-1.25%0.393-18.97%0.3195✗1.2217k2022-07-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0593090.058654-1.11%0.0517-12.83%0.2219✗0.8292k2022-07-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0295710.029255-1.07%0.020657-30.14%0.1372✗1.1512k2022-07-06
ZENHorizenBase20.9520.737-1.02%15.29-27.02%0.3769✗1.6179k2022-07-06
TRXTRONTron0.0814640.080636-1.02%0.067504-17.14%0.1763✗0.841.1M2022-07-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61220.60647-0.94%0.7581+23.83%0.8304✗1.443.3M2022-07-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.65457.1842-0.81%54.636-5.23%0.3915✗1.031.2M2022-07-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.431.419-0.77%1.059-25.95%0.2138✗1.2054k2022-07-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7190.713522-0.76%0.5055-29.69%0.3585✗1.661.2M2022-07-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32250.320122-0.74%0.1906-40.90%0.0350✗1.31296k2022-07-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.5652.5466-0.72%1.8376-28.36%0.2449✗1.3568k2022-07-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33920.336796-0.71%0.2598-23.41%0.3928✗1.5433k2022-07-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.60760.604416-0.52%0.702+15.54%0.8139✗1.5768k2022-07-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.009580.009543-0.38%0.006097-36.36%0.0106✗1.092,4432022-07-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.403560.402072-0.37%0.44139+9.37%0.6714✗1.37125k2022-07-06
QNTQuantEthereum67.7667.5183-0.36%61.97-8.54%0.4113✗1.182.2M2022-07-06
GTGateEthereum5.48415.4656-0.34%4.0142-26.80%0.0625✓0.583.8M2022-07-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.19420.193658-0.28%0.1428-26.47%0.3245✗1.49199k2022-07-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.03494.0271-0.20%2.8773-28.69%0.1907✗1.2548k2022-07-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8130.811499-0.18%0.885+8.86%0.5912✗1.192.1M2022-07-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012750.001273-0.16%0.0009592-24.77%0.4049✗1.631.8M2022-07-06
XMRMoneroMonero189.44189.202-0.13%125.33-33.84%0.0182✗1.022.4M2022-07-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14760.147484-0.08%0.1168-20.87%0.4726✗1.673.6M2022-07-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06840.068368-0.05%0.0607-11.26%0.3828✗1.19396k2022-07-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039820.039832+0.03%0.02834-28.83%0.2579✓1.4220k2022-07-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01541.0159+0.04%0.91459-9.93%0.6381✓1.76865k2022-07-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0824850.082596+0.14%0.068516-16.93%0.3275✓1.221.5M2022-07-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.5122.5456+0.16%15.18-32.56%0.1564✓1.313.1M2022-07-06
ADACardanoCardano0.60870.609713+0.17%0.4619-24.12%0.3911✓1.5846.8M2022-07-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1448140.14507+0.18%0.109283-24.54%0.2172✓1.1811.2M2022-07-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17090.171238+0.20%0.1251-26.80%0.3375✓1.5480k2022-07-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.061.0622+0.21%1.48+39.62%0.7138✓0.90138k2022-07-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.6920.7673+0.37%14.77-28.61%0.3445✓1.623.0M2022-07-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8662.8784+0.43%2.297-19.85%0.4817✓1.67271k2022-07-06
ZECZcashZcash94.3894.8217+0.47%58.16-38.38%0.0458✓1.274.3M2022-07-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015210.015293+0.54%0.012059-20.72%0.2603✓1.182.6M2022-07-06
XECeCashnative0.000052960.000053274+0.59%0.00004262-19.52%0.3928✓1.463.4M2022-07-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.5637.6084+0.60%5.559-26.50%0.3260✓1.512.8M2022-07-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.08790.088437+0.61%0.0542-38.34%0.3328✓1.95146k2022-07-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14420.145169+0.67%0.0927-35.71%0.0326✗0.98285k2022-07-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.123236+0.68%0.0928-24.18%0.4348✓1.701.2M2022-07-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,441.5031,689.65+0.79%20,413.50-35.07%0.0285✗0.9771k2022-07-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.12960.130637+0.80%0.0996-23.15%0.3186✓1.40996k2022-07-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.9611.0495+0.82%11.9+8.58%0.9123✓1.98226k2022-07-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.847054+0.84%0.7999-4.77%0.4142✓1.1281k2022-07-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009323+0.89%0.00668-27.71%0.1315✓1.10917k2022-07-06
XTZTezosTezos2.0612.0795+0.90%1.5433-25.12%0.2622✓1.33928k2022-07-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash185.41187.1064+0.91%105.86-42.90%0.0428✗1.254.6M2022-07-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152860.015428+0.93%0.016049+4.99%0.3358✓0.70240k2022-07-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6520.658072+0.93%0.54-17.18%0.4793✓1.60161k2022-07-06
AAVEAaveEthereum105.84106.8631+0.97%62.94-40.53%0.2121✓1.758.9M2022-07-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2861.2986+0.98%0.96-25.35%0.2839✓1.395.9M2022-07-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36390.367538+1.00%0.2755-24.29%0.2981✓1.396.7M2022-07-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.367960.371644+1.00%0.28113-23.60%0.3205✓1.42606k2022-07-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3690.372745+1.01%0.283-23.31%0.2312✓1.201.0M2022-07-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41260.416797+1.02%0.3106-24.72%0.2875✓1.3815.2M2022-07-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7941.8125+1.03%1.826+1.78%0.7018✓1.6479k2022-07-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21460.216821+1.04%0.1526-28.89%0.2894✓1.52647k2022-07-06
SCSiacoinnative0.005810.005872+1.07%0.00387-33.39%0.2918✓1.68259k2022-07-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.842.8703+1.07%2.51-11.62%0.7366✓2.06282k2022-07-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15850.160243+1.10%0.0986-37.79%0.2196✓1.676.4M2022-07-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.011860.011991+1.10%0.00913-23.02%0.1988✓1.121.7M2022-07-06
BANDBandEthereum1.721.739+1.11%1.347-21.69%0.4621✓1.70329k2022-07-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.1033.1388+1.15%2.642-14.86%0.4162✓1.391.4M2022-07-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8740.884561+1.21%0.624-28.60%0.1354✓1.15423k2022-07-06
XVGVergenative0.004840.004899+1.23%0.00309-36.16%0.1991✓1.56753k2022-07-06
HIVEHivenative0.56920.576242+1.24%0.4555-19.98%0.3494✓1.381.6M2022-07-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028490.028856+1.29%0.01958-31.27%0.0319✓0.99175k2022-07-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8332.872+1.38%2.44-13.87%0.3131✓1.1372k2022-07-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.511004+1.39%0.4497-10.77%0.6238✓1.78683k2022-07-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13230.134145+1.39%0.1061-19.80%0.3077✓1.28951k2022-07-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.3865.3097+1.44%50.29-21.89%0.2778✓1.2818.2M2022-07-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12750.129523+1.59%0.1061-16.78%0.3122✓1.2112k2022-07-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5612.7698+1.67%8.69-30.81%0.1428✓1.25541k2022-07-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202360.205792+1.70%0.1261-37.69%0.2808✓1.82298k2022-07-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.035617+1.76%0.0371+6.00%0.7044✓1.57224k2022-07-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09250.094134+1.77%0.0511-44.76%0.2939✗0.75313k2022-07-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2673+1.78%2.79-13.08%0.2845✓1.05663k2022-07-06
COMPCompoundEthereum59.3860.4449+1.79%46-22.53%0.3622✓1.5031k2022-07-06
FTTFTXEthereum27.3727.8867+1.89%26.28-3.98%0.3603✓0.999.5M2022-07-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.0912.3219+1.92%17.25+42.68%0.7683✓1.02369k2022-07-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.291.3148+1.92%0.492-61.86%0.5062✗1.1377k2022-07-06
STXStacksnative0.55870.569539+1.94%0.398-28.76%0.1321✓1.16180k2022-07-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3695.4734+1.94%5.342-0.50%0.5786✓1.432.6M2022-07-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0690.07038+2.00%0.047-31.88%0.3393✓1.761.8M2022-07-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3491.3765+2.04%0.677-49.81%0.1291✓1.99399k2022-07-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5767.7387+2.15%5.624-25.77%0.3882✓1.6710.6M2022-07-06
DIADIAEthereum0.452390.462425+2.22%0.39434-12.83%0.1128✓0.64190k2022-07-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,858.211,900.58+2.28%1,185.61-36.20%0.0174✓1.08344.3M2022-07-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.574.6772+2.35%5.06+10.72%0.8623✓1.851.6M2022-07-06
XEMNEMnative0.0530950.054344+2.35%0.040762-23.23%0.3561✓1.5250k2022-07-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8730.893755+2.38%0.672-23.02%0.4425✓1.72622k2022-07-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,343.6132,142.16+2.55%20,542.67-34.46%0.0252✗1.00656.1M2022-07-06
DASHDashDash60.0161.5466+2.56%44.2-26.35%0.1839✓1.22948k2022-07-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001119+2.62%8.70e-7-20.18%0.1153✓0.876.9M2022-07-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7972+2.70%1.46-16.57%0.5903✓1.89580k2022-07-06
KSMKusamaHydration70.2672.2122+2.78%51.25-27.06%0.2209✓1.331.4M2022-07-06
NANOnanopayBase1.18161.2144+2.78%0.911182-22.88%0.2630✓1.30160k2022-07-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008590.008833+2.83%0.006925-19.38%0.0960✓0.80214k2022-07-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004310.004452+3.29%0.00272-36.89%0.0134✓1.202.2M2022-07-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4929.8172+3.43%6.915-27.15%0.2747✓1.4813.7M2022-07-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9718.2716+3.77%6.327-20.62%0.3559✓1.4829.2M2022-07-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.4579.8318+3.96%8.886-6.04%0.5319✓1.5015.2M2022-07-06
MOVRMoonriverBase20.558421.4761+4.46%12.3111-40.12%0.0978✓1.55239k2022-07-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.19410.203926+5.06%0.1866-3.86%0.5739✓1.572,3482022-07-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,455.257,854.71+5.36%6,308.79-15.38%0.3185✓1.273.9M2022-07-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.9827.5606+6.08%19.15-26.29%0.3269✓1.6453.9M2022-07-06
SOLSolanaSolana42.3544.9732+6.19%37.01-12.61%0.4671✓1.57114.5M2022-07-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011060.000011774+6.45%0.00001047-5.33%0.4808✓1.42957k2022-07-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070630.075607+7.05%0.05572-21.11%0.2178✓1.2427k2022-07-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.