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2022-06-05 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0118
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-10.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.3%
in alpha space · 51.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06660.070876+6.42%0.05704-14.35%0.2677✓1.2323k2022-07-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.16010.170268+6.35%0.1853+15.74%0.6773✓1.502,3482022-07-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.4940.7235+5.80%35.37-8.11%0.4707✓1.55112.7M2022-07-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1525.4655+5.45%18.03-25.34%0.2986✓1.6352.5M2022-07-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010780.000011345+5.24%0.00001032-4.27%0.4692✓1.43957k2022-07-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,431.127,786.17+4.78%6,140.60-17.37%0.2770✓1.303.9M2022-07-05
MOVRMoonriverBase20.915321.6746+3.63%12.0365-42.45%0.0352✓1.58239k2022-07-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.647.8997+3.40%6.305-17.47%0.3622✓1.4927.1M2022-07-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1669.4725+3.34%8.91-2.79%0.5327✓1.5116.5M2022-07-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.00431+2.86%0.002587-38.26%0.0352✗1.202.2M2022-07-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.3399.5784+2.56%6.845-26.71%0.2581✓1.5113.7M2022-07-05
KSMKusamaHydration67.6969.3222+2.41%50.3-25.69%0.2094✓1.341.4M2022-07-05
DIADIAEthereum0.443670.453793+2.28%0.38098-14.13%0.0786✓0.64190k2022-07-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,901.5430,568.36+2.23%20,153.51-32.60%0.0221✗1.00638.2M2022-07-05
DASHDashDash58.5359.7632+2.11%43.13-26.31%0.1685✓1.25948k2022-07-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7548+2.02%1.43-16.86%0.5510✓1.92580k2022-07-05
NANOnanopayBase1.16471.1881+2.01%0.836041-28.22%0.1721✓1.33170k2022-07-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0925.1867+1.86%5.295+3.99%0.5889✓1.442.6M2022-07-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009020.009186+1.84%0.006866-23.88%0.0393✓0.84184k2022-07-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.347.4731+1.81%5.504-25.01%0.3626✓1.6910.1M2022-07-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.1326.5936+1.77%25.16-3.71%0.3364✓0.999.5M2022-07-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.534.609+1.74%4.93+8.83%0.8131✓1.891.6M2022-07-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001109+1.74%8.70e-7-20.18%0.1075✓0.897.0M2022-07-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8370.851285+1.71%0.65-22.34%0.4129✓1.73622k2022-07-05
XEMNEMnative0.0510070.051851+1.65%0.040319-20.95%0.3543✓1.5445k2022-07-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,804.701,833.24+1.58%1,131.26-37.32%0.0534✗1.09344.3M2022-07-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.7211.9053+1.58%17.9+52.73%0.8117✓1.02396k2022-07-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0880.089222+1.39%0.0507-42.39%0.2699✗0.75299k2022-07-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.261.2768+1.33%0.4872-61.33%0.5128✗1.1477k2022-07-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.068893+1.31%0.0466-31.47%0.3153✓1.791.8M2022-07-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03410.034531+1.26%0.0364+6.74%0.6815✓1.59224k2022-07-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.07460.075515+1.23%0.0532-28.69%0.4016✓1.91142k2022-07-05
HIVEHivenative0.5510.557473+1.17%0.4418-19.82%0.3193✓1.401.6M2022-07-05
STXStacksnative0.53290.539037+1.15%0.4007-24.81%0.1621✓1.16165k2022-07-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202060.204351+1.13%0.12055-40.34%0.2040✓1.85298k2022-07-05
COMPCompoundEthereum58.4559.0561+1.04%46.7-20.10%0.3700✓1.5331k2022-07-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2091.2211+1.00%0.9543-21.07%0.3013✓1.396.2M2022-07-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12740.128671+1.00%0.1037-18.60%0.2715✓1.2313k2022-07-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3312.4508+0.98%8.35-32.28%0.1020✓1.27546k2022-07-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.163.7053+0.96%49.65-21.32%0.2615✓1.2918.2M2022-07-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14030.141568+0.90%0.0973-30.65%0.0146✓0.99285k2022-07-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3711.3834+0.90%0.674-50.84%0.0783✓2.02399k2022-07-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7222.7465+0.90%2.326-14.55%0.2805✓1.1363k2022-07-05
XTZTezosTezos1.95031.9677+0.89%1.4657-24.85%0.2302✓1.33928k2022-07-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.383.4099+0.88%2.6-23.08%0.1589✓1.09663k2022-07-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.508369+0.87%0.3805-24.50%0.4273✓1.82683k2022-07-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.011460.011557+0.85%0.00911-20.51%0.2032✓1.121.7M2022-07-05
BANDBandEthereum1.6291.6418+0.79%1.325-18.66%0.4567✓1.70342k2022-07-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39140.394375+0.76%0.3075-21.44%0.2953✓1.3815.6M2022-07-05
SCSiacoinnative0.005590.005627+0.66%0.00379-32.20%0.2737✓1.70259k2022-07-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8580.863316+0.62%0.621-27.62%0.1291✓1.16487k2022-07-05
AAVEAaveEthereum103.57104.1659+0.58%60.57-41.52%0.1626✓1.798.9M2022-07-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34870.350639+0.56%0.2713-22.20%0.2939✓1.406.7M2022-07-05
XECeCashnative0.000048170.00004842+0.52%0.00004156-13.72%0.4153✓1.443.4M2022-07-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.854393+0.52%0.02292-97.30%3.1720✗1.1381k2022-07-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.732.7437+0.50%2.48-9.16%0.7206✓2.08271k2022-07-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.310.3481+0.47%11.11+7.86%0.8570✓1.99197k2022-07-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0773.0908+0.45%2.633-14.43%0.3974✓1.411.4M2022-07-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028410.028535+0.44%0.01956-31.15%0.0194✓1.01184k2022-07-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,859.6029,989.79+0.44%20,328.40-31.92%0.0043✓0.9775k2022-07-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash179.67180.4268+0.42%103.95-42.14%0.0534✗1.264.6M2022-07-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014820.014879+0.40%0.015798+6.60%0.3333✓0.69212k2022-07-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008950.008984+0.38%0.00659-26.37%0.1256✓1.10917k2022-07-05
XVGVergenative0.004930.004946+0.33%0.00303-38.54%0.1540✓1.63753k2022-07-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1560.156422+0.27%0.0965-38.14%0.1855✓1.696.4M2022-07-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11880.119082+0.24%0.093-21.72%0.4309✓1.721.2M2022-07-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12940.129642+0.19%0.1039-19.71%0.2917✓1.30951k2022-07-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.630.631074+0.17%0.536-14.92%0.4757✓1.62163k2022-07-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3587.3702+0.17%5.479-25.54%0.3071✓1.532.9M2022-07-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.12620.126325+0.10%0.0986-21.87%0.3083✓1.41996k2022-07-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152520.015264+0.08%0.011942-21.70%0.2253✓1.192.6M2022-07-05
ADACardanoCardano0.56690.567307+0.07%0.4567-19.44%0.4066✓1.5844.7M2022-07-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7421.7431+0.06%1.85+6.20%0.7132✓1.6679k2022-07-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.821.8135+0.06%14.91-31.61%0.1405✓1.323.1M2022-07-05
ZECZcashZcash90.3690.3706+0.01%57.05-36.86%0.0603✓1.324.3M2022-07-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0491-0.08%1.51+43.81%0.7265✗0.92152k2022-07-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8132.8086-0.16%2.221-21.05%0.4327✗1.69271k2022-07-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.0820.0337-0.23%14.47-27.94%0.3206✗1.643.0M2022-07-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.367170.366265-0.25%0.25813-29.70%0.2192✗1.44546k2022-07-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14080.140449-0.25%0.1149-18.39%0.4672✗1.693.6M2022-07-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0810390.080823-0.27%0.06703-17.29%0.2987✗1.231.6M2022-07-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7960.79372-0.29%0.781-1.88%0.4632✗1.212.3M2022-07-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06460.064409-0.30%0.0598-7.43%0.3957✗1.19386k2022-07-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1433260.142888-0.31%0.107769-24.81%0.1937✗1.2111.2M2022-07-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21920.218467-0.33%0.1479-32.53%0.2194✗1.54572k2022-07-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3870.385543-0.38%0.279-27.91%0.1661✗1.241.0M2022-07-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019830.019749-0.41%0.02445+23.30%1.1532✗2.3837.4M2022-07-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012620.001256-0.48%0.000955-24.33%0.3739✗1.641.8M2022-07-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976430.971471-0.51%0.87377-10.51%0.5938✗1.77855k2022-07-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16550.164619-0.53%0.1261-23.81%0.3494✗1.5676k2022-07-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.18220.181205-0.55%0.1431-21.46%0.3525✗1.49199k2022-07-05
XMRMoneroMonero187.77186.7098-0.56%122.3-34.87%0.0061✗1.092.4M2022-07-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.86883.8431-0.67%2.8613-26.04%0.1983✗1.2553k2022-07-05
GTGateEthereum5.4015.359-0.78%4.0529-24.96%0.0509✓0.583.9M2022-07-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.577980.572715-0.91%0.63801+10.39%0.7342✗1.5965k2022-07-05
QNTQuantEthereum64.7664.1543-0.94%59.71-7.80%0.3924✗1.182.3M2022-07-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.472247-1.00%0.394-17.40%0.3112✗1.2519k2022-07-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038550.038163-1.00%0.0276-28.40%0.2493✗1.4520k2022-07-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34230.338645-1.07%0.2658-22.35%0.3804✗1.5835k2022-07-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.38491.369-1.15%1.0387-25.00%0.1993✗1.2054k2022-07-05
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0926.0214-1.16%4.911-19.39%0.6873✗2.2627.5M2022-07-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50590.499992-1.17%0.4041-20.12%0.4378✗1.65159k2022-07-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3820.377523-1.17%0.44014+15.22%0.6959✗1.37141k2022-07-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.44355.7149-1.29%54.116-4.12%0.3850✗1.051.1M2022-07-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53792.505-1.30%2.0787-18.09%0.2244✗1.043.1M2022-07-05
ZENHorizenBase19.7219.4567-1.34%14.6-25.96%0.3635✗1.6579k2022-07-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48972.456-1.36%1.8084-27.36%0.2349✗1.3759k2022-07-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.476.3816-1.37%5.31-17.93%0.4082✗1.50414k2022-07-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2940.28988-1.40%0.2231-24.12%0.2823✗1.38330k2022-07-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0096850.009545-1.45%0.006187-36.12%0.0060✓1.112,4432022-07-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60640.59761-1.45%0.7492+23.55%0.8028✗1.463.6M2022-07-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08690.085621-1.47%0.0817-5.98%0.5573✗1.53172k2022-07-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0288590.02842-1.52%0.020598-28.63%0.1364✗1.1612k2022-07-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004870.004793-1.58%0.00161-66.94%0.5874✓1.287,3792022-07-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.33116.0714-1.59%8.821-45.99%0.1873✓1.056.9M2022-07-05
XYMSymbolnative0.056810.055883-1.63%0.051-10.23%0.2303✗0.8292k2022-07-05
TRXTRONTron0.0813680.080036-1.64%0.068129-16.27%0.1789✗0.861.2M2022-07-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.514.4355-1.65%4.06-9.98%0.2347✗0.82830k2022-07-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6092.5643-1.71%2.649+1.53%0.8478✗2.073.3M2022-07-05
DODODODOEthereum0.16520.16234-1.73%0.1219-26.21%0.3647✗1.652.6M2022-07-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.730.71705-1.77%0.4874-33.23%0.2874✗1.711.1M2022-07-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.533.4665-1.80%2.828-19.89%0.1602✗0.921.6M2022-07-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012110.011889-1.83%0.00988-18.41%0.4560✗1.6317.8M2022-07-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052120.051163-1.84%0.04112-21.11%0.2003✗1.064,6802022-07-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10915.015-1.84%5.7325+12.20%0.2695✗0.34270k2022-07-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18783.1269-1.91%2.415-24.24%0.3739✗1.605.2M2022-07-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.5083-2.06%1.08-29.87%0.3456✗1.721.5M2022-07-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14830.145206-2.09%0.0744-49.83%0.0532✗1.832,8332022-07-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32970.321656-2.44%0.1943-41.07%0.0276✗1.35311k2022-07-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.49e-76.32e-7-2.54%3.46e-7-46.72%0.2005✓1.02961k2022-07-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.5081.4651-2.84%2.125+40.92%1.0268✗1.66900k2022-07-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11290.109678-2.85%0.0904-19.93%0.5407✗1.86451k2022-07-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4074480.394299-3.23%0.301121-26.10%0.3125✗1.482.5M2022-07-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.051627-3.32%0.0461-13.67%0.4539✗1.44556k2022-07-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06070.058675-3.34%0.0425-29.98%0.3541✗1.7244k2022-07-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.112.0384-3.39%1.59-24.64%0.2477✗1.26233k2022-07-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.411620.397585-3.41%0.29801-27.60%0.3464✗1.6118k2022-07-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.35232.2716-3.43%1.7642-25.00%0.1469✗1.013.7M2022-07-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.289634-3.49%0.2401-19.99%0.3445✗1.35107k2022-07-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7312.6356-3.49%2.5475-6.72%0.8057✗2.1313k2022-07-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.0510.6608-3.52%9.3-15.84%0.6136✗1.904.3M2022-07-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.229-3.52%4.44-18.08%0.1508✗0.801.9M2022-07-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5960.574613-3.59%0.675+13.26%0.8504✗1.755,9962022-07-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.31041.2627-3.64%0.91331-30.31%0.1425✗1.186,7502022-07-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066660.064169-3.74%0.04963-25.55%0.6210✗2.232.5M2022-07-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2071.1586-4.01%0.602-50.12%0.2210✓1.101.2M2022-07-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9461.8642-4.20%1.291-33.66%0.3823✗1.90303k2022-07-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9770.935466-4.25%0.9895+1.28%0.7764✗1.833.0M2022-07-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.123.9375-4.43%3.7-10.19%0.2355✗0.751.3M2022-07-05
FLOWFlownative2.4372.3273-4.50%1.602-34.26%0.0211✓1.00721k2022-07-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.437.0942-4.52%6.12-17.63%0.0529✗0.511.4M2022-07-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.825676-5.09%1.0407+19.62%0.9061✗1.71237k2022-07-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48741.4116-5.10%0.78762-47.05%0.2867✓0.754,7612022-07-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.073.862-5.11%3.11-23.59%0.1414✗0.911.2M2022-07-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2991.2214-5.98%1.184-8.85%0.3634✗1.001.0M2022-07-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064240.060201-6.29%0.04396-31.57%0.1343✗1.1415k2022-07-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9360.875749-6.44%0.903-3.53%0.9457✗2.322.6M2022-07-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95831.8302-6.54%1.3742-29.83%0.2560✗1.382.8M2022-07-05
STEEMSteemnative0.30160.280252-7.08%0.2136-29.18%0.3651✗1.61585k2022-07-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02550.023649-7.26%0.02034-20.24%0.0993✗0.63516k2022-07-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9232.7079-7.36%2.936+0.44%0.4370✗0.901.7M2022-07-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7542.5441-7.62%3.307+20.08%0.5176✗0.652.3M2022-07-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2730.25165-7.82%0.286+4.76%0.8796✗1.911.2M2022-07-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4241.3046-8.39%1.252-12.08%0.5670✗1.545.0M2022-07-05
PROPropyEthereum1.231.1168-9.20%0.83-32.52%0.0482✓0.87187k2022-07-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.824310.746322-9.46%0.43936-46.70%0.3210✗2.161.9M2022-07-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5374.1073-9.47%3.68-18.89%0.1488✗0.665.1M2022-07-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8252.5098-11.16%2.104-25.52%0.5536✗1.85124k2022-07-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.712295-11.41%0.839+4.35%0.9800✗2.072.8M2022-07-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000790.000068556-13.22%0.00011635+47.28%1.8171✗3.262.7M2022-07-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.