8=======>

2022-06-01 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.5226
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+56.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.6%
in alpha space · 11.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-35.37%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1047.8097+27.94%4.521-25.93%0.4422✓2.2733.7M2022-07-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09240.117247+26.89%0.0887-4.00%0.5107✓1.81468k2022-07-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34010.426606+25.44%0.2384-29.90%0.1128✓1.5940k2022-07-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14690.183551+24.95%0.0921-37.30%0.0268✓1.647.2M2022-07-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2730.340493+24.72%0.243-10.99%0.4708✓1.851.3M2022-07-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9621.1997+24.71%0.8969-6.77%0.4888✓1.794.2M2022-07-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199480.247854+24.25%0.12129-39.20%0.0726✓1.80298k2022-07-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05170.064056+23.90%0.0454-12.19%0.2709✓1.41789k2022-07-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.01522.4933+23.72%1.2358-38.68%0.1073✓1.364.8M2022-07-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019910.024629+23.70%0.0226+13.51%0.9296✓2.3336.6M2022-07-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.92.3497+23.67%1.241-34.68%0.1866✓1.89403k2022-07-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.891.0998+23.57%1.327+49.10%0.9164✓1.67297k2022-07-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03420.042027+22.88%0.0387+13.16%0.5870✓1.53301k2022-07-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5070.622915+22.86%0.3997-21.16%0.3449✓1.81739k2022-07-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5970.732807+22.75%0.744+24.62%0.7579✓1.709,4092022-07-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.371140.455446+22.72%0.25771-30.56%0.0620✓1.45712k2022-07-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.011.2377+22.55%1.45+43.56%0.4951✓0.77168k2022-07-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8523.4908+22.40%2.227-21.91%0.4171✓1.994.0M2022-07-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0610.074609+22.31%0.0421-30.98%0.1646✓1.6967k2022-07-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.21462.7083+22.29%1.6935-23.53%0.0608✓0.943.6M2022-07-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7073.3062+22.13%2.6694-1.39%0.6922✓2.0816k2022-07-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.07350.089424+21.67%0.0516-29.80%0.2634✓1.86159k2022-07-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6340.770948+21.60%0.478-24.61%0.2138✓1.59189k2022-07-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61020.738352+21.00%0.7298+19.60%0.6229✓1.453.9M2022-07-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12290.14864+20.94%0.1051-14.48%0.1979✓1.2513k2022-07-01
DODODODOEthereum0.17160.207469+20.90%0.1191-30.59%0.1573✓1.632.6M2022-07-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3992020.482475+20.86%0.305237-23.54%0.1725✓1.443.0M2022-07-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13580.164109+20.85%0.1095-19.37%0.3166✓1.654.3M2022-07-01
UMAUMAEthereum3.0813.7187+20.70%2.506-18.66%0.2044✓1.371.8M2022-07-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8063.3772+20.36%2.222-20.81%0.3034✓1.65271k2022-07-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.693.2344+20.24%2.61-2.97%0.6755✓2.04324k2022-07-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.286.3462+20.19%4.37-17.23%0.0560✓0.732.6M2022-07-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.635.5638+20.17%4.68+1.08%0.6270✓1.831.8M2022-07-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.995456+19.93%0.714-13.98%0.1513✓1.1191k2022-07-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.3411.1972+19.88%8.074-13.55%0.3258✓1.5017.9M2022-07-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004460.005344+19.83%0.001956-56.14%0.4753✗1.219,1402022-07-01
BANDBandEthereum1.6311.9516+19.66%1.272-22.01%0.2906✓1.65401k2022-07-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.367.6082+19.63%5.15-19.03%0.2513✓1.47459k2022-07-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5513.8138+19.60%20.56+78.01%0.8300✓0.99446k2022-07-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.772.1158+19.54%1.68-5.08%0.5855✓1.87602k2022-07-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2671.5125+19.38%0.7454-41.17%0.0983✓1.406.8M2022-07-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.639.1006+19.27%5.224-31.53%0.1529✓1.628.8M2022-07-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2371.4743+19.18%0.644-47.94%0.0021✓1.89467k2022-07-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8282.1745+18.95%1.344-26.48%0.2363✓1.64110k2022-07-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.631.9369+18.83%0.97-40.49%0.0395✓1.671.9M2022-07-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7250.861237+18.79%0.4913-32.23%0.1854✓1.711.7M2022-07-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.49722.9605+18.55%2.0691-17.14%0.0681✓0.982.8M2022-07-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.712.6802+18.51%10-6.54%0.6152✓1.95252k2022-07-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.123.6913+18.31%2.3996-23.09%0.2756✓1.626.1M2022-07-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06680.079011+18.28%0.0457-31.59%0.2021✓1.722.0M2022-07-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004090.004834+18.18%0.002578-36.97%0.1101✓1.192.2M2022-07-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08120.095954+18.17%0.0491-39.53%0.0010✓1.54166k2022-07-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.924.6544+17.96%14.02-32.92%0.1336✓1.603.1M2022-07-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.022.3809+17.87%1.61-20.30%0.1527✓1.25247k2022-07-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.6191.9035+17.57%1.857+14.70%0.7108✓1.691.2M2022-07-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001230.001446+17.57%0.000932-24.23%0.2794✓1.651.9M2022-07-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.438.7162+17.31%5.342-28.10%0.1573✓1.483.5M2022-07-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3631.5983+17.27%1.232-9.61%0.3973✓1.515.6M2022-07-01
STEEMSteemnative0.25940.303785+17.11%0.2149-17.15%0.3471✓1.59675k2022-07-01
HIVEHivenative0.52110.609924+17.05%0.4754-8.77%0.3421✓1.351.3M2022-07-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.16960.198332+16.94%0.1357-19.99%0.2553✓1.45242k2022-07-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.16340.191044+16.92%0.1616-1.10%0.4625✓1.441,8812022-07-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.982411.1472+16.78%0.83384-15.12%0.4270✓1.71958k2022-07-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6627.6278+16.77%16.09-31.99%0.1345✓1.5552.8M2022-07-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.871.0157+16.75%0.607-30.23%0.2032✓1.64717k2022-07-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06750.078689+16.58%0.04899-27.42%0.5040✓2.242.8M2022-07-01
DIADIAEthereum0.425880.495984+16.46%0.36885-13.39%0.0015✓0.68165k2022-07-01
SCSiacoinnative0.005370.006243+16.26%0.00367-31.66%0.1789✓1.63293k2022-07-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036950.042918+16.15%0.02703-26.85%0.1527✓1.4127k2022-07-01
XEMNEMnative0.0502550.058325+16.06%0.038066-24.25%0.2250✓1.4942k2022-07-01
AAVEAaveEthereum106.08123.091+16.04%56.18-47.04%0.0316✓1.729.0M2022-07-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.52390.606226+15.71%0.3786-27.73%0.2276✓1.60206k2022-07-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000012572+15.66%0.00001-8.00%0.3797✓1.391.0M2022-07-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4670.538794+15.37%0.389-16.70%0.2187✓1.2521k2022-07-01
ZENHorizenBase20.6223.7844+15.35%13.27-35.65%0.1367✓1.6591k2022-07-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157120.018122+15.34%0.012076-23.14%0.1099✓1.183.1M2022-07-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30890.355852+15.20%0.1856-39.92%0.0605✓1.35420k2022-07-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009220.010608+15.06%0.00657-28.74%0.0026✓1.10943k2022-07-01
XVGVergenative0.004720.005428+15.00%0.00278-41.10%0.0147✓1.57793k2022-07-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098450.000113075+14.85%0.00013124+33.31%1.4649✓3.014.2M2022-07-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.8865+14.75%4.855-5.36%0.4263✓1.422.6M2022-07-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.158.1787+14.39%5.97-16.50%0.1312✓0.421.3M2022-07-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.11780.134648+14.30%0.0949-19.44%0.2447✓1.361.1M2022-07-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06590.075316+14.29%0.0578-12.29%0.2617✓1.21410k2022-07-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.25261.4308+14.22%0.90067-28.10%0.0290✓1.137,1582022-07-01
XECeCashnative0.000047570.000054285+14.12%0.0000375-21.17%0.2407✓1.404.2M2022-07-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014550.01659+14.02%0.014373-1.22%0.1697✓0.72198k2022-07-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.370.420628+13.68%0.271-26.76%0.0813✓1.191.0M2022-07-01
NANOnanopayBase1.16861.3282+13.66%0.812926-30.43%0.0809✓1.31174k2022-07-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.566150.642884+13.55%0.65455+15.61%0.7010✓1.5665k2022-07-01
STXStacksnative0.530.601564+13.50%0.3884-26.72%0.0631✓1.15201k2022-07-01
SOLSolanaSolana40.145.4959+13.46%32.82-18.15%0.3355✓1.52114.5M2022-07-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6382.9916+13.40%3.173+20.28%0.3400✓0.641.4M2022-07-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6844.1753+13.34%2.806-23.83%0.0108✓0.891.6M2022-07-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2770.31388+13.31%0.2312-16.53%0.2661✓1.31311k2022-07-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,517.308,503.88+13.12%5,458.52-27.39%0.1266✓1.313.9M2022-07-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.937.836+13.07%6.069-12.42%0.3790✓1.4525.2M2022-07-01
PROPropyEthereum0.961.0844+12.96%0.83-13.54%0.1171✓0.88195k2022-07-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.679060.766945+12.94%0.45108-33.57%0.3618✓2.04399k2022-07-01
MOVRMoonriverBase21.354624.0728+12.73%11.9157-44.20%0.0194✓1.57239k2022-07-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.12230.137833+12.70%0.0926-24.28%0.3436✓1.701.3M2022-07-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19070.214659+12.56%0.1481-22.34%0.3063✓1.55493k2022-07-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011690.013145+12.44%0.00916-21.64%0.3411✓1.6120.9M2022-07-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48082.7885+12.40%1.8073-27.15%0.1535✓1.3581k2022-07-01
GMTGMTEthereum1.0161.1419+12.39%0.827-18.60%0.6981✓2.343.3M2022-07-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6532.9807+12.35%2.29-13.68%0.2135✓1.0972k2022-07-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.012020.013501+12.32%0.00943-21.55%0.1144✓1.081.9M2022-07-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33040.370589+12.16%0.2636-20.22%0.2512✓1.367.5M2022-07-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.421790.472974+12.13%0.30204-28.39%0.2538✓1.6118k2022-07-01
ADACardanoCardano0.55150.617982+12.05%0.4479-18.79%0.3471✓1.5346.8M2022-07-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.6511.9326+12.04%8.4-21.13%0.4102✓1.745.6M2022-07-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382930.428868+12.00%0.39987+4.42%0.5208✓1.35147k2022-07-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008280.009271+11.97%0.00653-21.14%0.0040✓0.81180k2022-07-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.9724.5841+11.90%14.61-33.50%0.0545✓1.323.4M2022-07-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001216+11.60%8.10e-7-25.69%0.0269✓0.877.6M2022-07-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12820.142997+11.54%0.1011-21.14%0.2059✓1.271.0M2022-07-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066440.073823+11.11%0.05579-16.03%0.2435✓1.2017k2022-07-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.063.3963+10.99%2.54-16.99%0.1699✓1.05642k2022-07-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.27220.302018+10.95%0.2313-15.03%0.3044✓1.31105k2022-07-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0809940.089701+10.75%0.066339-18.09%0.2239✓1.202.1M2022-07-01
SGBSongbirdnative0.03650.040351+10.55%0.029-20.55%0.1817✗0.34132k2022-07-01
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0263.9961+10.30%47.39-18.32%0.3621✓1.5232k2022-07-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15810.17415+10.15%0.105-33.59%0.0813✓0.97311k2022-07-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0913.2641+9.71%8.39-30.60%0.0972✓1.27584k2022-07-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.29381.4194+9.71%1.0163-21.45%0.1801✓1.1850k2022-07-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38450.421577+9.64%0.3061-20.39%0.2609✓1.3318.8M2022-07-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.6468.628+9.56%51.13-18.37%0.2708✓1.2919.8M2022-07-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5462.7868+9.46%2.958+16.18%0.4467✓0.89897k2022-07-01
KSMKusamaHydration72.8879.7122+9.37%48.36-33.64%0.0766✓1.321.7M2022-07-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028030.030566+9.05%0.01951-30.40%0.0080✓1.01188k2022-07-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.74.0334+9.01%3.02-18.38%0.0879✓0.86980k2022-07-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062380.067982+8.98%0.04378-29.82%0.0533✓1.1315k2022-07-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4510.2855+8.84%6.743-28.65%0.2159✓1.4614.6M2022-07-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.85824.1926+8.67%2.7326-29.17%0.1107✓1.2358k2022-07-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15810.171724+8.62%0.1119-29.22%0.2461✓1.5489k2022-07-01
QNTQuantEthereum66.9372.6013+8.47%52.59-21.43%0.1869✓1.172.5M2022-07-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021080.02279+8.11%0.01895-10.10%0.0810✓0.61582k2022-07-01
DASHDashDash59.1363.8821+8.04%41.74-29.41%0.1161✓1.241.0M2022-07-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.414.7581+7.89%3.79-14.06%0.0767✓0.70835k2022-07-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027760.029873+7.61%0.020523-26.07%0.1143✓1.1213k2022-07-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,816.051,954.21+7.61%1,057.57-41.77%0.1398✗1.09407.6M2022-07-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9511.0222+7.48%0.649-31.76%0.0469✓1.15487k2022-07-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash185.81199.6771+7.46%101.28-45.49%0.1318✗1.254.7M2022-07-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2171.3053+7.25%0.562-53.82%0.3715✗1.081.4M2022-07-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0574920.061521+7.01%0.0515-10.42%0.1688✓0.79110k2022-07-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049760.053148+6.81%0.0395-20.62%0.1586✓1.044,6802022-07-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.024.2834+6.55%3.56-11.44%0.1291✓0.721.1M2022-07-01
XTZTezosTezos1.94292.0679+6.43%1.3775-29.10%0.1729✓1.331.0M2022-07-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.093009+6.42%0.0494-43.48%0.3081✗0.74281k2022-07-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.009940.010574+6.38%0.00559-43.76%0.1626✗1.093,3452022-07-01
ZECZcashZcash89.7495.321+6.22%53.47-40.42%0.0017✓1.334.6M2022-07-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1368790.145225+6.10%0.109884-19.72%0.2436✓1.2011.2M2022-07-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79454.9433+6.08%51.952+0.31%0.3956✓1.031.2M2022-07-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.8928.4946+5.97%24.59-8.55%0.2924✓1.0110.2M2022-07-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.251.3176+5.41%0.4743-62.06%0.5309✗1.1299k2022-07-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.95e-77.24e-7+4.21%3.27e-7-52.95%0.4122✗0.881.2M2022-07-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7950.82819+4.17%0.796+0.13%0.4831✓1.202.4M2022-07-01
XMRMoneroMonero198.6206.494+3.97%115.07-42.06%0.1080✗1.092.5M2022-07-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,788.7930,848.96+3.56%19,252.76-35.37%0.0350✓1.00749.9M2022-07-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7350.758775+3.23%0.843+14.69%1.0436✓2.152.1M2022-07-01
GTGateEthereum5.41415.5662+2.81%4.0293-25.58%0.0805✗0.564.1M2022-07-01
KCSKuCoinnative16.66117.0638+2.42%8.797-47.20%0.2108✗1.036.9M2022-07-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15370.157107+2.22%0.0761-50.49%0.2884✗1.003,4222022-07-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.284.3515+1.67%3.475-18.81%0.0000✓0.524.1M2022-07-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,914.5030,397.61+1.61%19,383.00-35.21%0.0264✗0.9778k2022-07-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6872.719+1.19%1.802-32.94%0.0251✓1.00133k2022-07-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.90384.9024-0.03%5.7902+18.08%0.3089✗0.33289k2022-07-01
TRXTRONTron0.083260.083158-0.12%0.064879-22.08%0.1190✗0.841.5M2022-07-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53871.5265-0.79%0.76202-50.48%0.3249✓0.854,8222022-07-01
FLOWFlownative2.4822.386-3.87%1.453-41.46%0.0595✓1.00876k2022-07-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.