8=======>

2022-05-26 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1396
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.2%
in alpha space · 38.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000132020.000107269-18.75%0.00005884-55.43%0.2843✗2.895.5M2022-06-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0963.6585-10.68%3.844-6.15%0.1660✗0.384.0M2022-06-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6372.407-8.72%2.433-7.74%0.3167✗1.00144k2022-06-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.67720.623559-7.92%0.58082-14.23%0.4232✗1.62349k2022-06-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.3442.1994-6.17%3.365+43.56%0.6500✗0.731.2M2022-06-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.865671-5.91%0.987+7.28%0.4371✗1.004.0M2022-06-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.058780.055771-5.12%0.04914-16.40%0.2000✗1.0717k2022-06-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.208-5.03%1.457+14.54%0.6200✗1.418.1M2022-06-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.9451.8541-4.67%1.5242-21.63%0.2151✗1.345.8M2022-06-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023880.022854-4.29%0.01728-27.64%0.0940✓0.61564k2022-06-25
STEEMSteemnative0.24460.234228-4.24%0.228-6.79%0.4950✗1.71955k2022-06-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.47241.4105-4.21%0.85095-42.21%0.3102✓0.647,4652022-06-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.30232.2132-3.87%1.8844-18.15%0.1200✗0.924.7M2022-06-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.246.9743-3.67%6.78-6.35%0.1121✗0.461.2M2022-06-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1442.0688-3.51%3.241+51.17%0.7680✗1.04763k2022-06-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.441280.426954-3.25%0.34046-22.85%0.2949✗1.7025k2022-06-25
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2241.1893-2.84%0.73-40.36%0.1821✓1.002.2M2022-06-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.2854-2.75%1.7-27.66%0.0623✗1.17219k2022-06-25
PROPropyEthereum1.010.982986-2.67%0.87-13.86%0.0937✗0.71319k2022-06-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.4721-2.47%3.38-5.06%0.2846✗1.02661k2022-06-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5870.572938-2.40%0.689+17.38%0.6437✗1.5016k2022-06-25
CBKCobakEthereum1.2041.1805-1.95%0.98131-18.50%0.1270✗1.029,1282022-06-25
TRXTRONTron0.0822620.080731-1.86%0.064834-21.19%0.0292✗0.811.5M2022-06-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16580.163029-1.67%0.0889-46.38%0.3004✓1.003,4222022-06-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06350.062516-1.55%0.05499-13.40%0.5725✗2.293.0M2022-06-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.40012.3663-1.41%2.2207-7.47%0.2357✗0.983.0M2022-06-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9521.9252-1.37%1.415-27.51%0.2814✗1.93649k2022-06-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06010.059279-1.37%0.0489-18.64%0.2040✗1.3083k2022-06-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.6299-1.36%4+8.70%0.3522✗0.83749k2022-06-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12423.0848-1.26%2.6212-16.10%0.3235✗1.597.0M2022-06-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3866890.38184-1.25%0.310488-19.71%0.2044✗1.345.0M2022-06-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.375.3079-1.16%4.78-10.99%0.1229✗0.743.1M2022-06-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8350.826771-0.99%0.887+6.23%0.5548✗1.585.0M2022-06-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2010.199226-0.88%0.268+33.33%0.7860✗1.601.7M2022-06-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04830.048005-0.61%0.0452-6.42%0.3275✗1.271.2M2022-06-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.77e-7-0.47%3.83e-7-34.05%0.1015✓1.011.5M2022-06-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08550.085187-0.37%0.059-30.99%0.1246✗1.61162k2022-06-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3910.3592-0.30%9.85-5.20%0.4310✗1.576.9M2022-06-25
KCSKuCoinnative15.51415.4875-0.17%10.919-29.62%0.0511✓0.986.6M2022-06-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0090610.009047-0.15%0.006231-31.24%0.0529✓1.056,7672022-06-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.916.9089-0.02%5.62-18.67%0.2244✗1.41553k2022-06-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.144.1455+0.13%4.17+0.72%0.2605✓0.83829k2022-06-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026670.026742+0.27%0.021994-17.53%0.1191✓1.0316k2022-06-25
XYMSymbolnative0.05710.05726+0.28%0.05666-0.77%0.2230✓0.76153k2022-06-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02140.021467+0.31%0.02649+23.79%0.8787✓2.1826.5M2022-06-25
XMRMoneroMonero188.99189.6671+0.36%127.43-32.57%0.0638✗1.092.5M2022-06-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164560.016515+0.36%0.015598-5.21%0.1427✓0.65192k2022-06-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.793189+0.40%0.77-2.53%0.4471✓1.56454k2022-06-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91674.9403+0.48%5.898+19.96%0.2533✓0.25294k2022-06-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04870.049005+0.63%0.04356-10.55%0.1838✓0.994,9292022-06-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34530.347971+0.77%0.2614-24.30%0.1264✓1.3562k2022-06-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.5231.535+0.79%1.748+14.77%0.6110✓1.571.7M2022-06-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2933.3202+0.83%3.086-6.29%0.2269✓0.982.0M2022-06-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.98749.4446+0.93%63.914+30.47%0.5538✓0.971.4M2022-06-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24740.249818+0.98%0.2513+1.58%0.4280✓1.38148k2022-06-25
DODODODOEthereum0.1540.155706+1.11%0.129-16.23%0.2893✓1.562.9M2022-06-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011160.011299+1.24%0.01038-6.99%0.3728✓1.5028.1M2022-06-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.794783+1.25%0.862+9.81%0.4197✓1.112.8M2022-06-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3542.3872+1.41%3.0247+28.49%0.7981✓1.8317k2022-06-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10670.108206+1.41%0.091-14.71%0.3753✓1.79561k2022-06-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001268+1.44%0.000843-32.56%0.0642✓1.542.7M2022-06-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.480.487006+1.46%0.37-22.92%0.0909✓1.2028k2022-06-25
QNTQuantEthereum63.4664.4692+1.59%63.54+0.13%0.3085✓1.063.3M2022-06-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.121.1383+1.64%1.61+43.75%0.5950✓0.81177k2022-06-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.57670.586181+1.64%0.9003+56.11%0.8727✓1.454.8M2022-06-25
ZENHorizenBase19.619.9226+1.65%16.23-17.19%0.2707✓1.55155k2022-06-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6160.626297+1.67%0.553-10.23%0.3428✓1.531.7M2022-06-25
GTGateEthereum5.465.5553+1.75%4.3384-20.54%0.0920✗0.514.8M2022-06-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0174640.01777+1.75%0.012554-28.11%0.0215✗1.073.6M2022-06-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.5068+1.81%1.25-15.54%0.2762✓1.512.6M2022-06-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0780180.079521+1.93%0.068546-12.14%0.1992✓1.143.8M2022-06-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.16290.166161+2.00%0.1507-7.49%0.3232✓1.38359k2022-06-25
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3716.5001+2.03%4.554-28.52%0.3611✓2.3454.9M2022-06-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00420.004286+2.05%0.00305-27.38%0.0019✓1.129,8712022-06-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13780.140638+2.06%0.1038-24.67%0.0392✓1.12905k2022-06-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035790.036534+2.08%0.03138-12.32%0.2712✓1.3841k2022-06-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.18011.2052+2.13%1.1047-6.38%0.2690✓1.1659k2022-06-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027290.027905+2.25%0.02033-25.50%0.0144✓0.99180k2022-06-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.012280.012564+2.32%0.00936-23.78%0.0188✓1.022.5M2022-06-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25250.258374+2.33%0.2296-9.07%0.2663✓1.26311k2022-06-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.8722.383+2.35%16.52-24.46%0.0802✓1.253.9M2022-06-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.06030.061778+2.45%0.0642+6.47%0.4083✓1.21404k2022-06-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash179.2183.5941+2.45%115.44-35.58%0.1077✗1.164.7M2022-06-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3460.354545+2.47%0.3-13.29%0.1708✓1.101.0M2022-06-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9130.935556+2.47%0.729-20.15%0.0832✓1.09658k2022-06-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3912.4505+2.49%2.855+19.41%0.6814✓1.734.4M2022-06-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35322.4124+2.52%2.0297-13.75%0.2107✓1.2590k2022-06-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.627.8135+2.54%6.067-20.38%0.1420✓1.294.6M2022-06-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50630.519392+2.59%0.4386-13.37%0.2824✓1.48230k2022-06-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.988181.014+2.61%1.0241+3.64%0.4874✓1.561.2M2022-06-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009180.009422+2.63%0.00691-24.73%0.0239✓1.091.1M2022-06-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.20650.211978+2.65%0.1242-39.85%0.3190✗0.70335k2022-06-25
ZECZcashZcash87.5189.8581+2.68%68.24-22.02%0.1219✓1.305.1M2022-06-25
XVGVergenative0.004790.004923+2.78%0.00332-30.69%0.0493✓1.45837k2022-06-25
SCSiacoinnative0.005620.00578+2.84%0.00415-26.16%0.1447✓1.56359k2022-06-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12570.1293+2.86%0.1127-10.34%0.2186✓1.1617k2022-06-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4265.2512+2.89%58.8-7.28%0.2598✓1.1919.8M2022-06-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6280.646469+2.94%0.586-6.69%0.3590✓1.49238k2022-06-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.11250.115865+2.99%0.1049-6.76%0.3077✓1.331.0M2022-06-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12850.132368+3.01%0.1453+13.07%0.5900✓1.625.4M2022-06-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.860.885982+3.02%0.69-19.77%0.0768✓1.0795k2022-06-25
AAVEAaveEthereum100.94104.074+3.10%69.86-30.79%0.0662✓1.529.0M2022-06-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06680.068883+3.12%0.0587-12.13%0.3463✓1.652.3M2022-06-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.365940.377362+3.12%0.29417-19.61%0.1776✓1.39896k2022-06-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.79363.9122+3.13%3.1526-16.90%0.1387✓1.1678k2022-06-25
XLMStellarStellar0.124160.128071+3.15%0.12672+2.06%0.3216✓1.0911.0M2022-06-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.013.1058+3.18%2.91-3.32%0.2377✓0.99736k2022-06-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.1120.115625+3.24%0.1022-8.75%0.3737✓1.621.4M2022-06-25
XECeCashnative0.000046480.000048001+3.27%0.00004277-7.98%0.2836✓1.305.6M2022-06-25
STXStacksnative0.530.547545+3.31%0.408-23.02%0.0417✓1.10240k2022-06-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.271.3138+3.45%0.55-56.69%0.5379✗1.09113k2022-06-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08660.089603+3.47%0.0554-36.03%0.2422✗0.78235k2022-06-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0812.5001+3.48%9.62-20.36%0.1089✓1.21674k2022-06-25
UMAUMAEthereum3.0743.1812+3.49%2.826-8.07%0.4010✓1.702.0M2022-06-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.527030.545488+3.50%0.91054+72.77%0.9662✓1.4868k2022-06-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3390.350902+3.51%0.917+170.50%1.5130✓1.811.9M2022-06-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.28490.294929+3.52%0.2057-27.80%0.0217✓1.25434k2022-06-25
ADACardanoCardano0.47850.495724+3.60%0.4982+4.12%0.4185✓1.3544.7M2022-06-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7022.7995+3.61%2.647-2.04%0.2882✓1.1290k2022-06-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14090.145998+3.62%0.1233-12.49%0.3399✓1.6697k2022-06-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.4820.2003+3.70%17.8-8.62%0.2976✓1.393.1M2022-06-25
XTZTezosTezos1.86421.9332+3.70%1.5416-17.31%0.1645✓1.281.3M2022-06-25
BANDBandEthereum1.5371.5943+3.73%1.547+0.65%0.4300✓1.50413k2022-06-25
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2561.4783+3.76%54.84-7.44%0.3161✓1.4130k2022-06-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.37.5753+3.77%6.315-13.49%0.2772✓1.507.5M2022-06-25
FTTFTXEthereum27.5428.5871+3.80%27.9+1.31%0.2693✓0.9610.2M2022-06-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.8312.2823+3.82%9.46-20.03%0.0118✓0.89547k2022-06-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18170.18865+3.83%0.1673-7.93%0.3453✓1.52501k2022-06-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,790.651,859.40+3.84%1,241.33-30.68%0.0876✗1.03407.6M2022-06-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372190.386541+3.86%0.43096+15.79%0.5023✓1.29200k2022-06-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6042.7048+3.87%2.775+6.57%0.4930✓1.53284k2022-06-25
UNIUniswapEthereum4.945.1313+3.87%5.612+13.60%0.4582✓1.213.1M2022-06-25
XEMNEMnative0.04830.050177+3.89%0.0432-10.56%0.2682✓1.3731k2022-06-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2051.2519+3.89%0.819-32.03%0.0219✓1.326.8M2022-06-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13780.143181+3.90%0.1165-15.46%0.2548✓1.518.6M2022-06-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,530.7030,684.77+3.91%21,474.60-27.28%0.0585✗0.9880k2022-06-25
HIVEHivenative0.46220.480536+3.97%0.4156-10.08%0.2454✓1.281.4M2022-06-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.188250.195776+4.00%0.15325-18.59%0.2632✓1.66298k2022-06-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.759.109+4.10%11.96+36.69%0.7657✓1.61183k2022-06-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.37890.394783+4.19%0.3516-7.21%0.2563✓1.2217.0M2022-06-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30910.322334+4.28%0.3045-1.49%0.3402✓1.308.2M2022-06-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008670.009045+4.32%0.00693-20.07%0.0308✓0.77176k2022-06-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.7639+4.37%1.54-8.88%0.3932✓1.73634k2022-06-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004060.004247+4.61%0.00284-30.05%0.0416✓1.181.9M2022-06-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.32.4078+4.69%3+30.43%0.7681✓1.79354k2022-06-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.07280.076232+4.71%0.0688-5.49%0.4228✓1.72188k2022-06-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,166.0630,541.64+4.72%21,478.04-26.36%0.0461✗1.00708.0M2022-06-25
DASHDashDash58.1160.9538+4.89%52.31-9.98%0.2073✓1.181.2M2022-06-25
XVSVenusEthereum4.384.5945+4.90%5+14.16%0.6059✓1.702.2M2022-06-25
KSMKusamaHydration69.6573.0695+4.91%57.3-17.73%0.1356✓1.241.4M2022-06-25
DIADIAEthereum0.424390.445439+4.96%0.41227-2.86%0.1137✓0.62105k2022-06-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03120.032774+5.05%0.0411+31.73%0.6644✓1.43224k2022-06-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.860.90398+5.11%0.745-13.37%0.2667✓1.50760k2022-06-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001060.000001114+5.12%8.70e-7-17.92%0.0014✓0.817.7M2022-06-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.129.5904+5.16%8.126-10.90%0.2449✓1.3413.2M2022-06-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5110.538107+5.30%0.452-11.55%0.3007✓1.55819k2022-06-25
MOVRMoonriverBase21.838623.069+5.63%12.7319-41.70%0.1481✗1.46239k2022-06-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066740.070601+5.78%0.06229-6.67%0.2062✓1.0816k2022-06-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1631.231+5.85%0.71-38.95%0.0264✓1.71503k2022-06-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.576.9587+5.92%7.258+10.47%0.4514✓1.3418.8M2022-06-25
NANOnanopayBase1.04541.108+5.98%0.869723-16.81%0.1448✓1.26164k2022-06-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.741.8441+5.98%1.515-12.93%0.2750✓1.54110k2022-06-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.610.1789+6.03%8.656-9.83%0.2763✓1.4320.1M2022-06-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,746.418,258.54+6.61%7,054.71-8.93%0.2154✓1.223.4M2022-06-25
SOLSolanaSolana43.4246.4311+6.93%42.2-2.81%0.3492✓1.4599.6M2022-06-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.17390.186948+7.50%0.2199+26.45%0.4782✓1.031,8912022-06-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010640.000011482+7.91%0.00001181+11.00%0.4320✓1.321.1M2022-06-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.425.2767+8.02%21.34-8.80%0.2807✓1.4752.0M2022-06-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.