8=======>

2022-05-14 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1241
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.6%
in alpha space · 18.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000073307-84.06%0.00006043-86.86%0.6578✓2.938.4M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.4397-6.09%0.591-61.45%0.5995✓1.008.1M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.0772-3.90%1.458+30.06%0.6975✗1.3614.9M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.244513-3.81%0.1835-27.81%0.0038✓1.002.1M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.071845-2.91%0.04897-33.82%0.0925✓1.003.8M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.111.0836-2.37%0.9-18.92%0.0134✓0.68470k2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.072360.070713-2.28%0.063701-11.97%0.1306✗0.811.1M2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.6991-1.95%1.2396-28.47%0.0422✗1.239.6M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3408-1.19%0.778-42.67%0.2535✓1.005.2M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.632023-0.47%0.392-38.27%0.0557✓1.4517k2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.397799-0.43%0.25719-35.63%0.0526✗1.6832k2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6719-0.15%1.0426-37.73%0.2875✓0.6416k2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3313-0.04%0.82849-37.79%0.0285✓1.531.1M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.831+0.22%1.255-31.31%0.1970✓1.98973k2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.121091+0.32%0.0833-30.99%0.1714✓1.88694k2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.6677+0.50%8.03-16.53%0.2662✓1.555.9M2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.047443+0.51%0.0358-24.15%0.0560✓1.161.5M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9754.3137+0.64%46.677-13.51%0.1293✓0.971.8M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.0702+0.72%0.0486-30.27%0.1532✗0.74568k2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7557+0.84%2.313-15.36%0.2966✓1.628.0M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.421478+0.95%0.252041-39.63%0.1257✗1.346.1M2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.109+0.97%5.3088+4.92%0.1167✓0.27285k2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.053955+1.10%0.04329-18.89%0.0685✓0.9925k2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash105.67106.8468+1.11%65.48-38.03%0.1215✗1.275.3M2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.64e-7+1.14%3.58e-7-35.81%0.3041✗0.521.4M2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.7459+1.16%3.485-59.69%0.1614✗2.6194.8M2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7829+1.39%3.092-17.13%0.1018✓1.041.5M2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum72.1173.1962+1.51%49.66-31.13%0.0870✗1.033.6M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.231632+1.59%0.189-17.11%0.2276✓1.484.0M2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.55515.6479+1.67%4.2445-23.59%0.1291✗0.544.9M2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.832065+1.72%0.776-5.13%0.2495✓1.103.3M2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47212.1045+1.74%126.93-39.11%0.1857✗1.135.3M2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009492+1.90%0.00763-18.09%0.0809✓1.0327k2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.07433+1.96%0.048-34.16%0.1348✗1.04115k2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero153.49156.5811+2.01%132.56-13.64%0.1334✓1.033.2M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026993+2.01%0.018258-31.00%0.0971✗1.0126k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.292526+2.14%0.1335-53.39%0.6450✗0.48458k2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative12.96813.2615+2.26%11.706-9.73%0.1466✓0.934.1M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1678+2.35%0.80971-29.04%0.0789✗0.9924k2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.474136+2.41%0.3039-34.36%0.0992✗1.1914.3M2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.877629+2.41%0.7-18.32%0.2179✓1.537.6M2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.5255+2.42%1.7211+15.55%0.4339✓1.084.3M2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.7254+2.43%14.12-33.43%0.0123✓1.52167k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.088714+2.44%0.0508-41.34%0.1132✗1.533.6M2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.7681+2.45%4.53-19.54%0.1590✓1.38572k2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.262885+2.49%0.1992-22.34%0.1296✓1.40180k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.120063+2.53%0.0945-19.30%0.1557✓1.361.2M2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.014108+2.53%0.00905-34.23%0.1352✗1.063.2M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9215.2981+2.53%8.36-43.97%0.2246✗1.31822k2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5526+2.55%3.286+117.04%1.0274✓0.95779k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.656953+2.63%0.5649-11.75%0.2524✓1.396.1M2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8170.6388+2.66%43.45-36.86%0.1526✗1.1518.2M2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,109.19+2.72%1,207.82-41.18%0.2581✗1.03494.1M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4573.4442+2.79%35.73-49.99%0.3231✗1.3730k2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.361602+2.84%0.45073+28.18%0.6945✓1.63331k2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009711+2.87%0.00632-33.05%0.1102✗1.101.1M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.632+2.89%2.75-22.10%0.0636✗0.74777k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.256928+2.89%0.195-21.91%0.0868✓1.25292k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.905586+2.91%0.68-22.73%0.1618✓1.54801k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.648346+2.91%0.493-21.75%0.1812✓1.571.7M2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.5332.4539+2.93%24.51-22.26%0.0019✓0.9615.2M2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.6645+2.94%1.8846-27.19%0.0126✓1.23173k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.231+2.94%0.939069-21.47%0.0355✓1.0598k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.142245+2.99%0.106761-22.70%0.0240✓1.0713.6M2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.640252+3.10%0.332-46.54%0.3083✗1.2040k2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025745+3.14%0.01883-24.56%0.0042✓1.06202k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.89.0773+3.15%5.329-39.44%0.1693✗1.257.4M2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001383+3.24%0.000828-38.21%0.0809✗1.493.8M2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.343866+3.26%0.256-23.12%0.0039✓1.001.1M2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.040255+3.27%0.02635-32.40%0.0273✓1.3694k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.19873+3.29%0.1066-44.59%0.1713✗1.558.6M2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004866+3.30%0.00285-39.49%0.1842✗1.211.8M2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.047624+3.30%0.03724-19.22%0.0348✓0.978,2452022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.9921+3.31%11.71+10.06%0.4970✓1.49136k2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.981513+3.32%1.61+69.47%0.7243✓0.79201k2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.065517+3.34%0.0519-18.14%0.0998✓1.14415k2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.0738+3.36%0.0561-21.43%0.2732✓1.88176k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.431649+3.37%0.28493-31.77%0.0458✗1.27199k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4686+3.42%0.88-38.03%0.1980✗1.08140k2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.092417+3.42%0.054172-39.38%0.2119✗1.116.3M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.189189+3.44%0.1272-30.45%0.0178✓1.43375k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.768803+3.47%0.447-39.84%0.1105✗1.48357k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.147893+3.49%0.149+4.27%0.4632✓1.576.2M2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.556064+3.53%0.4636-13.68%0.1906✓1.2846.3M2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.971179+3.54%0.599-36.14%0.1612✗1.11769k2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.8341+3.57%5.442-36.20%0.0787✗1.408.0M2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.207992+3.58%0.1611-19.77%0.1708✓1.47649k2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.3153+3.61%4.54-11.50%0.0952✓0.872.7M2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.378079+3.67%0.2205-39.54%0.1706✗1.2793k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.8279+3.70%14.4-31.59%0.0505✗1.264.2M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.091164+3.71%0.0654-25.60%0.0872✗0.84169k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.016244+3.73%0.01967+25.61%0.3913✓0.69400k2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.4657+3.73%0.718-49.19%0.2966✗1.436.6M2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.163902+3.74%0.136-13.92%0.2364✓1.454.4M2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.124296+3.75%0.0914-23.71%0.0187✓1.121.1M2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.103192+3.82%0.0599-39.74%0.0492✗1.70215k2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.8107+3.82%1.318-24.43%0.0993✓1.43500k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.8496+3.85%3.335+87.25%0.7965✓0.711.9M2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.7159+3.86%7.032-37.66%0.1334✗1.3012.2M2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.423.2708+3.89%13.49-39.78%0.1290✗1.433.5M2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9636+3.89%1.52-19.58%0.0412✓1.02381k2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.912+3.97%1.149-37.52%0.0917✗1.442.5M2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010546+4.11%0.00971-4.15%0.3978✓1.6543.3M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4993+4.14%3.52+46.67%0.6473✓1.05548k2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.144+4.14%2.414-20.04%0.0398✓1.0596k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.2915+4.16%6.79+33.66%0.4868✓0.821.3M2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.8679+4.17%1.912-30.55%0.0813✓1.677.4M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012493+4.18%0.012961+8.08%0.2523✓0.74198k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.9071+4.21%1.29-29.51%0.1035✓1.70418k2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.004117+4.22%0.00331-16.20%0.0585✓0.9519k2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.392+4.29%3.662-29.17%0.0385✓1.203.6M2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.497076+4.47%0.3765-20.87%0.1501✓1.47307k2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004770.004985+4.50%0.00303-36.48%0.1082✗1.34885k2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.115928+4.53%0.0926-16.50%0.2287✓1.561.7M2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.365139+4.53%0.2574-26.31%0.0147✓1.258.5M2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1415+4.54%0.662-39.38%0.1417✗1.39760k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010464+4.54%0.00733-26.77%0.1248✗0.80269k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.205702+4.54%0.13259-32.61%0.0301✓1.61262k2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.560.58546+4.55%0.347-38.04%0.2019✗1.10296k2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5031,335.41+4.56%22,471.70-25.02%0.0493✗0.9768k2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.6008+4.63%3.225+110.78%1.0023✓1.04683k2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.2978+4.63%2.7762-32.42%0.0859✗1.21135k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.573299+4.69%0.37168-32.13%0.0175✓1.4393k2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.00536+4.69%0.00359-29.88%0.0216✓1.45403k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.8663.7594+4.76%42.59-30.02%0.0594✗1.181.1M2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.122706+4.79%0.0991-15.37%0.0507✓0.9119k2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8831,484.43+4.80%22,460.97-25.23%0.0469✓1.00672.6M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000044634+4.85%0.00003827-10.10%0.2455✓1.376.5M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.943886+4.88%0.6-33.33%0.1823✗0.93137k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.144244+4.90%0.1013-26.33%0.1283✓1.66109k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7113.3432+4.98%8.14-35.96%0.2321✗0.90555k2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.035488+5.00%0.0291-13.91%0.1910✓1.34179k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.9222+5.01%1.4008-23.47%0.0509✓1.26878k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.50930.535017+5.05%0.3584-29.63%0.0378✓1.251.5M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017968+5.07%0.01829+6.96%0.6674✓2.2325.3M2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.3416+5.08%4.2+32.08%0.5016✓0.94798k2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,734.99+5.14%4,951.67-51.50%0.4357✗1.162.7M2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.1458+5.14%1.997-33.26%0.0299✓1.672.4M2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.05680.059742+5.18%0.039006-31.33%0.0690✗1.23164k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001168+5.24%8.10e-7-27.03%0.1370✗0.797.9M2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.7311+5.31%2.0689+25.86%0.4965✓1.092.5M2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.577+5.31%2.0821-14.91%0.2830✓1.7123k2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.397717+5.39%0.25822-31.57%0.0057✓1.501.4M2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration74.378.3207+5.41%46.08-37.98%0.1766✗1.221.2M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.381+5.42%0.97-25.95%0.0724✓1.463.6M2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.016123+5.47%0.01281-16.20%0.0920✓1.114.3M2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.1094+5.47%1.145-42.75%0.1294✗1.6687k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana52.3755.2772+5.55%28.58-45.43%0.2544✗1.3987.4M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.291791+5.76%0.1607-41.75%0.2293✗1.26463k2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.322667+5.79%0.941+208.52%1.5745✓1.731.8M2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493223.7971+5.80%14.6487-34.87%0.0643✗1.45195k2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.7298+5.80%2.19-15.12%0.2909✓1.76378k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.7515+5.91%2.042-21.40%0.1439✓1.52221k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4491.6716+6.05%59.74-30.89%0.0053✓1.497.8M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.231+6.16%0.845884-27.05%0.0097✓1.26161k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.7032+6.25%5.917-18.39%0.1170✓1.3118.3M2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.527602+6.37%0.301-39.31%0.1398✗1.45869k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.3087+6.40%0.858-30.24%0.0679✓1.69582k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.7368+6.49%4.17+62.26%0.7049✓0.98453k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.899+6.50%3.88-15.65%0.1872✓1.452.8M2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.214144+6.65%0.1305-35.01%0.1927✗1.042,6012022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7711.5016+6.79%6.495-39.69%0.1833✗1.3320.1M2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000013468+7.15%0.00000802-36.20%0.1368✗1.311.3M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8936.3627+7.30%16.09-52.52%0.3950✗1.4545.0M2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.073755+7.72%0.04562-33.37%0.1772✗1.0419k2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.406662+8.02%0.38009+0.96%0.1560✓0.7770k2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.