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2022-05-13 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0892
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.0%
in alpha space · 23.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064240.069388+8.01%0.05792-9.84%0.0816✗1.0319k2022-06-12
DIADIAEthereum0.376820.404788+7.42%0.42327+12.33%0.1189✓0.7770k2022-06-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18970.203624+7.34%0.1183-37.64%0.4442✗1.032,9402022-06-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.1734.5037+7.25%17.27-46.32%0.5537✗1.4445.0M2022-06-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.311.0205+7.00%7.06-31.46%0.3175✗1.3320.9M2022-06-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.244.5358+6.98%4.29+1.18%0.0820✓1.432.9M2022-06-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.392.5515+6.76%3.83+60.25%0.4986✓0.96470k2022-06-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25190.268253+6.49%0.2037-19.13%0.1556✗1.25480k2022-06-12
NANOnanopayBase1.07641.1449+6.37%0.911103-15.35%0.1087✗1.25161k2022-06-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.5757+6.25%6.26-12.20%0.0646✗1.3119.6M2022-06-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012810.000013608+6.23%0.00000859-32.94%0.3328✗1.331.3M2022-06-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2887.3793+6.20%70.3-14.56%0.0746✗1.498.6M2022-06-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1941.2665+6.07%0.979-18.01%0.0954✗1.69582k2022-06-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.6454+5.99%2.189-12.30%0.0435✓1.52216k2022-06-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.4472+5.94%2.42+4.76%0.1560✓1.74378k2022-06-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2830.299286+5.75%1.13+299.29%1.4943✓1.731.8M2022-06-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.129741+5.74%0.1199-2.28%0.0773✓1.63109k2022-06-12
HIVEHivenative0.45490.480923+5.72%0.4325-4.92%0.0116✓1.231.5M2022-06-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32.4316+5.72%2.4285+5.59%0.1621✓1.7023k2022-06-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145860.015417+5.69%0.012288-15.75%0.1211✗1.104.4M2022-06-12
SOLSolanaSolana48.8951.6612+5.67%30.56-37.49%0.3920✗1.3987.4M2022-06-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9482.055+5.49%1.246-36.04%0.3410✗1.6699k2022-06-12
MOVRMoonriverBase22.637623.8531+5.37%15.5809-31.17%0.2859✗1.46195k2022-06-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.86814.0741+5.32%3.0871-20.19%0.1622✗1.20135k2022-06-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.499640.526224+5.32%0.42173-15.59%0.0854✗1.4291k2022-06-12
XTZTezosTezos1.76611.86+5.32%1.6356-7.39%0.0074✓1.26878k2022-06-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.350770.36932+5.29%0.28555-18.59%0.1137✗1.491.4M2022-06-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4990.525254+5.26%0.34-31.86%0.2947✗1.46869k2022-06-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.093.2508+5.20%4.2+35.92%0.3461✓0.94817k2022-06-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.034611+5.20%0.03-8.81%0.0143✓1.34189k2022-06-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,926.0510,437.32+5.15%6,006.74-39.49%0.4409✗1.162.6M2022-06-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004660.0049+5.15%0.00405-13.09%0.0524✗1.44403k2022-06-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31590.332028+5.11%0.2816-10.86%0.0462✓1.238.5M2022-06-12
KSMKusamaHydration73.8477.5912+5.08%50.78-31.23%0.3065✗1.221.2M2022-06-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,232.1830,716.00+5.08%26,555.20-9.16%0.0495✓1.00672.6M2022-06-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7113.3542+5.07%9.32-26.67%0.2726✗0.91555k2022-06-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.9133.059+5.01%2.296-21.18%0.1265✗1.672.4M2022-06-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.61191.6917+4.95%2.083+29.23%0.3133✓1.102.5M2022-06-12
DASHDashDash57.9860.819+4.90%46.05-20.58%0.1650✗1.181.1M2022-06-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46310.485513+4.84%0.4054-12.46%0.0387✓1.47307k2022-06-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.792.925+4.84%2.7-3.23%0.0190✓1.0390k2022-06-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001174+4.81%9.30e-7-16.96%0.1565✗0.797.9M2022-06-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.156262+4.80%0.1443-3.22%0.0532✓1.38372k2022-06-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.4461.5152+4.79%3.294+127.80%0.8754✓1.03714k2022-06-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.4521.4229+4.76%14.43-29.44%0.2591✗1.423.8M2022-06-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.890.932137+4.73%0.66-25.84%0.2557✗0.93137k2022-06-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01640.017174+4.72%0.01815+10.67%0.2701✓2.2426.5M2022-06-12
STXStacksnative0.520.544321+4.68%0.4189-19.44%0.1571✗1.09274k2022-06-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.875.0973+4.67%6.62+35.93%0.3390✓0.811.3M2022-06-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.621.695+4.63%1.185-26.85%0.2224✗1.412.5M2022-06-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18070.189061+4.63%0.1887+4.43%0.1371✓1.45640k2022-06-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009850.010304+4.61%0.00818-16.95%0.1546✗0.79246k2022-06-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,332.5030,677.07+4.58%26,697.30-8.98%0.0453✗0.9858k2022-06-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.4532+4.55%1.13-18.71%0.1086✗1.494.1M2022-06-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.322.4248+4.52%3.55+53.02%0.4816✓1.05553k2022-06-12
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0411.0876+4.48%0.63-39.48%0.4132✗1.38755k2022-06-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6072.7237+4.48%2.216-15.00%0.0458✗1.677.7M2022-06-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.115126+4.47%0.1-9.26%0.0097✓1.571.8M2022-06-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12230.127729+4.44%0.1072-12.35%0.0864✗0.9319k2022-06-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.4410.8975+4.38%7.393-29.19%0.2645✗1.2911.9M2022-06-12
XVGVergenative0.004720.004926+4.36%0.00342-27.54%0.2356✗1.35885k2022-06-12
XEMNEMnative0.0580.060516+4.34%0.041719-28.07%0.2526✗1.24127k2022-06-12
XECeCashnative0.000042120.000043945+4.33%0.00004105-2.54%0.0644✓1.386.7M2022-06-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1520.158562+4.32%0.1504-1.05%0.0867✓1.454.5M2022-06-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003770.003931+4.26%0.00368-2.39%0.0247✓0.9420k2022-06-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6090.63486+4.25%0.373-38.75%0.4167✗1.2042k2022-06-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14830.154556+4.22%0.1114-24.88%0.1839✗1.498.1M2022-06-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.399.7842+4.20%12.2+29.93%0.3617✓1.47134k2022-06-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3121.367+4.19%0.864-34.15%0.3220✗1.425.8M2022-06-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.09170.095546+4.19%0.0573-37.51%0.3491✗1.69215k2022-06-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05730.059694+4.18%0.063+9.95%0.1620✓1.13415k2022-06-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.0103+4.15%0.00946-4.35%0.0739✓1.6644.1M2022-06-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.8524+4.07%1.72-3.37%0.0230✓1.01381k2022-06-12
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.337+4.04%4.054-20.97%0.1594✗1.203.9M2022-06-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.699043+4.02%0.49-27.08%0.2143✗1.47344k2022-06-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.195840.203688+4.01%0.15043-23.19%0.1474✗1.62250k2022-06-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1120.116483+4.00%0.0974-13.04%0.0723✗1.111.1M2022-06-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.383220.398513+3.99%0.30712-19.86%0.1398✗1.26188k2022-06-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08720.090641+3.95%0.0788-9.63%0.0588✗0.85169k2022-06-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.865.0512+3.93%4.64-4.53%0.0023✓0.862.7M2022-06-12
AVTAventusEthereum0.830.862395+3.90%1.69+103.61%0.7454✓0.76204k2022-06-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.7244+3.88%1.34-19.28%0.0904✗1.69399k2022-06-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042970.044623+3.85%0.0437+1.70%0.0707✓0.958,5302022-06-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.036523+3.82%0.02929-16.74%0.0915✗1.3594k2022-06-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.4721.244+3.78%16.59-18.95%0.1264✗1.264.4M2022-06-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.074044+3.70%0.0657-7.98%0.0630✓1.90177k2022-06-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.849788+3.63%0.71-13.41%0.0325✓1.53815k2022-06-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015980.016558+3.62%0.02308+44.43%0.3989✓0.70400k2022-06-12
ADACardanoCardano0.52810.547104+3.60%0.4899-7.23%0.0130✓1.2843.7M2022-06-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004444+3.60%0.00318-25.87%0.2206✗1.191.7M2022-06-12
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7818+3.59%1.417-17.62%0.0909✗1.44537k2022-06-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4870.504447+3.58%0.489+0.41%0.1136✓1.511.7M2022-06-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0882440.091358+3.53%0.063482-28.06%0.2572✗1.117.1M2022-06-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1320630.136613+3.45%0.118556-10.23%0.0395✗1.0713.8M2022-06-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23340.241413+3.43%0.2316-0.77%0.0901✓1.37180k2022-06-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3750.387822+3.42%0.25-33.33%0.3160✗1.2893k2022-06-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.4375+3.41%1.01-27.34%0.2491✗1.08140k2022-06-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.831.8924+3.41%3.675+100.82%0.7332✓0.721.8M2022-06-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.3813+3.40%3.21-1.83%0.0173✓0.72770k2022-06-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.228306+3.40%0.2317+4.94%0.1321✓1.22292k2022-06-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9140.944223+3.31%0.65-28.88%0.2670✗1.11729k2022-06-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13990.144457+3.26%0.1095-21.73%0.1262✗1.576.2M2022-06-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.47832.5581+3.22%2.1474-13.35%0.0567✗1.23177k2022-06-12
FTTFTXEthereum30.8331.8134+3.19%27.9-9.50%0.0391✗0.9615.2M2022-06-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.13791.1738+3.16%1.0921-4.02%0.0284✓1.0598k2022-06-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0221.0536+3.09%0.78892-22.80%0.1478✗1.47970k2022-06-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001320.001361+3.09%0.000825-37.50%0.3573✗1.493.8M2022-06-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0561.0883+3.06%0.998-5.49%0.0069✓0.9725k2022-06-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.013310.013714+3.03%0.012724-4.40%0.0007✓0.77200k2022-06-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.9887+2.96%5.672-35.03%0.3399✗1.257.5M2022-06-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.340.349997+2.94%0.51439+51.29%0.5416✓1.63351k2022-06-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.3241.3629+2.93%3.026+128.55%0.8865✓0.92826k2022-06-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023990.02468+2.88%0.02308-3.79%0.0345✓1.06214k2022-06-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,005.482,061.88+2.81%1,433.19-28.54%0.2647✗1.03494.1M2022-06-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.764.8925+2.78%5.1+7.14%0.1704✓1.34629k2022-06-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.023790.024422+2.66%0.0224-5.84%0.0086✓0.9927k2022-06-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.46751.5064+2.65%1.7899+21.97%0.2761✓1.084.3M2022-06-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8320.853785+2.62%0.733-11.90%0.0057✓1.537.9M2022-06-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.44260.454111+2.60%0.3246-26.66%0.2220✗1.1812.8M2022-06-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1110.113882+2.60%0.0972-12.43%0.0283✗1.351.2M2022-06-12
ZENHorizenBase20.2420.7651+2.59%15.15-25.15%0.1691✗1.52173k2022-06-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.7869.4974+2.53%47.86-29.39%0.2626✗1.1517.8M2022-06-12
COMPCompoundEthereum68.4570.1818+2.53%41.2-39.81%0.4016✗1.3630k2022-06-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.01350.013841+2.53%0.01007-25.41%0.2160✗1.063.4M2022-06-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.7315.0969+2.49%9.36-36.46%0.3521✗1.31822k2022-06-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3440.352472+2.46%0.277-19.48%0.1434✗1.021.1M2022-06-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2060.211007+2.43%0.203-1.46%0.1021✓1.474.1M2022-06-12
KCSKuCoinnative12.51112.8134+2.42%14.122+12.88%0.1866✓0.934.1M2022-06-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.279.4922+2.40%5.636-39.20%0.3843✗1.438.0M2022-06-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08210.08401+2.33%0.0518-36.91%0.3371✗1.523.6M2022-06-12
XMRMoneroMonero143.73146.9526+2.24%159.28+10.82%0.1787✓1.023.2M2022-06-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009530.009741+2.21%0.00687-27.91%0.2428✗1.111.0M2022-06-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3664160.374333+2.16%0.297576-18.79%0.1036✗1.316.1M2022-06-12
ZECZcashZcash93.8195.8037+2.13%79.32-15.45%0.0693✗1.245.1M2022-06-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4873.5559+1.98%3.11-10.81%0.0347✗1.031.5M2022-06-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10180.103757+1.92%0.083-18.47%0.0463✗1.84734k2022-06-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28280.288209+1.91%0.1563-44.73%0.5662✗0.48458k2022-06-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.677498+1.83%0.5869-11.78%0.0082✓1.416.1M2022-06-12
QNTQuantEthereum68.5869.8162+1.80%49.57-27.72%0.2437✗1.033.5M2022-06-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash201.94205.488+1.76%145.97-27.72%0.2338✗1.135.3M2022-06-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050050.050925+1.75%0.05067+1.24%0.0893✓0.9825k2022-06-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0710.072208+1.70%0.0502-29.30%0.2636✗1.04115k2022-06-12
GTGateEthereum5.55845.6385+1.44%4.8594-12.58%0.0966✗0.544.9M2022-06-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8140.825666+1.43%0.849+4.30%0.1339✓1.103.3M2022-06-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0094570.009587+1.37%0.00867-8.32%0.0006✓1.0428k2022-06-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.344170.348388+1.23%0.31445-8.64%0.0521✓1.6135k2022-06-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08995.1395+0.97%5.5114+8.28%0.0961✓0.27284k2022-06-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.8952.3811+0.95%48.273-6.97%0.0107✓0.961.9M2022-06-12
APEApeCoinEthereum8.538.6098+0.94%3.885-54.45%0.5413✗2.6594.8M2022-06-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04630.046716+0.90%0.0423-8.64%0.0124✓1.161.6M2022-06-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.72541.7365+0.64%1.2017-30.35%0.3061✗0.6516k2022-06-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06990.070258+0.51%0.0525-24.89%0.2201✗0.74568k2022-06-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7581.7651+0.41%1.484-15.59%0.0168✓1.981.0M2022-06-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.769.7763+0.17%8.45-13.42%0.0049✓1.575.9M2022-06-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88482.889+0.15%2.3596-18.21%0.0441✗1.657.0M2022-06-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.670.669796-0.03%0.45-32.84%0.2561✓1.4720k2022-06-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.19e-76.18e-7-0.11%4.01e-7-35.17%0.3792✓0.551.4M2022-06-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3031.2974-0.43%0.953-26.86%0.2125✓1.005.3M2022-06-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55161.5422-0.61%1.439-7.26%0.0470✗1.219.8M2022-06-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0040.983863-2.01%1.723+71.61%0.6889✗1.3414.9M2022-06-12
STEEMSteemnative0.21850.213838-2.13%0.208-4.81%0.0684✗1.002.1M2022-06-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07040.068562-2.61%0.05315-24.50%0.1586✓1.003.9M2022-06-12
TRXTRONTron0.07420.072095-2.84%0.076131+2.60%0.1334✗0.821.1M2022-06-12
PROPropyEthereum1.191.1549-2.95%1.05-11.76%0.0274✓0.71495k2022-06-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.4931.4025-6.06%0.664-55.53%0.6517✓1.008.8M2022-06-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000120.000016786-86.01%0.00006946-42.12%1.6663✓2.567.8M2022-06-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.