8=======>

2022-05-03 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4536
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+36.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.9%
in alpha space · 97.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-19.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMGolemEthereum0.34240.350793+2.45%0.3354-2.04%0.2347✓1.30190k2022-06-02
TRXTRONTron0.0726820.073035+0.49%0.084334+16.03%0.2759✓0.62296k2022-06-02
GTGateEthereum6.30426.3122+0.13%5.4504-13.54%0.0519✗0.444.5M2022-06-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.0661-0.08%4.37-13.81%0.0032✓0.671.1M2022-06-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0233050.023245-0.26%0.015515-33.43%0.1842✓1.034.3M2022-06-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,719.5937,534.71-0.49%30,433.75-19.32%0.0049✓1.00553.2M2022-06-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,647.2037,433.33-0.57%30,442.40-19.14%0.0058✓0.9425k2022-06-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.653.6154-0.95%4.509+23.53%0.2894✗0.322.5M2022-06-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.264.2026-1.35%3.79-11.03%0.0508✗0.72733k2022-06-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7994.7307-1.42%3.2135-33.04%0.1390✓1.158.6M2022-06-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96510.951075-1.45%0.6337-34.34%0.1380✓1.256.8M2022-06-02
AAVEAaveEthereum141.02138.8676-1.53%110.87-21.38%0.0420✗1.249.8M2022-06-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.1210.9348-1.67%7.191-35.33%0.1810✓1.1118.3M2022-06-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9250.908548-1.78%0.521-43.68%0.3106✓1.141.2M2022-06-02
STXStacksnative0.920.903048-1.84%0.567-38.37%0.2615✓0.95311k2022-06-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.5020.492557-1.88%0.3566-28.96%0.1058✓1.018.0M2022-06-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin99.3597.4804-1.88%64.38-35.20%0.1990✓1.0117.3M2022-06-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.73731.7045-1.89%1.3864-20.20%0.0174✓0.8889k2022-06-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.375.2587-2.07%3.14-41.53%0.3955✓0.56869k2022-06-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1719620.168218-2.18%0.142983-16.85%0.0450✗0.9713.8M2022-06-02
ZECZcashZcash119.63116.954-2.24%91.2-23.76%0.0128✓1.105.8M2022-06-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,780.342,712.51-2.44%1,832.45-34.09%0.1763✓1.01438.2M2022-06-02
UMAUMAEthereum5.3395.2075-2.46%3.173-40.57%0.1946✓1.401.8M2022-06-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4190.408647-2.47%0.3002-28.35%0.1200✓0.88311k2022-06-02
XMRMoneroMonero206.93201.6502-2.55%201.25-2.74%0.1943✗0.913.3M2022-06-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9422.8643-2.64%2.652-9.86%0.0517✗0.601.4M2022-06-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8042.7286-2.69%2.464-12.13%0.0482✗0.701.0M2022-06-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.168.9068-2.76%7.3-20.31%0.1091✓0.421.6M2022-06-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.60445.4424-2.89%4.9461-11.75%0.0055✓0.47249k2022-06-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash279.33271.1133-2.94%188.75-32.43%0.1521✓0.985.4M2022-06-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.856.6434-3.02%5.298-22.66%0.0022✓1.044.4M2022-06-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038460.037259-3.12%0.02786-27.56%0.1248✓0.77244k2022-06-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.121710.117861-3.16%0.07082-41.81%0.3593✓0.7017k2022-06-02
HIVEHivenative0.77430.749717-3.17%0.5785-25.29%0.0441✓1.001.5M2022-06-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.86450.836593-3.23%0.59472-31.21%0.0911✓1.1797k2022-06-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.69630.672956-3.35%0.3385-51.39%0.4230✓1.23117k2022-06-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017820.017217-3.38%0.01194-33.00%0.0572✓1.4447.4M2022-06-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6570.634633-3.40%0.723+10.05%0.4313✗1.401.7M2022-06-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.724.5582-3.43%4.05-14.19%0.0238✓0.66648k2022-06-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.3943.2771-3.44%1.841-45.76%0.2887✓1.3479k2022-06-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192290.01855-3.53%0.015545-19.16%0.0839✓0.43193k2022-06-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06560.063256-3.57%0.05171-21.17%0.0339✓0.7816k2022-06-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20020.193028-3.58%0.1728-13.69%0.1774✗1.34114k2022-06-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.821.7546-3.59%0.83-54.40%0.5967✓0.71164k2022-06-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03480.033542-3.61%0.02092-39.89%0.1339✓1.5823.0M2022-06-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14370.138491-3.62%0.0827-42.45%0.0553✓2.14272k2022-06-02
DASHDashDash88.0984.8963-3.63%59.83-32.08%0.1306✓1.021.2M2022-06-02
API3Api3Ethereum3.4013.2735-3.75%1.636-51.90%0.4828✓0.983.1M2022-06-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2250.216346-3.85%0.1413-37.20%0.1226✓1.417.0M2022-06-02
NANOnanopayBase1.68621.621-3.87%1.1682-30.72%0.1000✓1.06156k2022-06-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8220.9598-3.94%12.22-44.00%0.2671✓1.27586k2022-06-02
QNTQuantEthereum93.0389.2938-4.02%68.32-26.56%0.0826✓0.863.4M2022-06-02
SCSiacoinnative0.008220.007888-4.04%0.00573-30.29%0.0685✓1.17382k2022-06-02
QTUMQtumQtum5.39065.1701-4.09%3.9732-26.29%0.0162✓1.15103k2022-06-02
KCSKuCoinnative17.81217.0808-4.10%17.521-1.63%0.1923✗0.784.5M2022-06-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5781.5123-4.17%0.989-37.33%0.1944✓1.077.8M2022-06-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.3910.9106-4.21%6.53-42.67%0.2954✓1.02963k2022-06-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.971.8866-4.23%1.26-36.04%0.1907✓0.99135k2022-06-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.8261.748-4.27%1.338-26.72%0.1064✓0.7524k2022-06-02
XVSVenusEthereum7.787.4476-4.27%4.9-37.02%0.1943✓1.053.2M2022-06-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001710.000001636-4.30%0.00000109-36.26%0.2556✓0.707.6M2022-06-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12660.121073-4.37%0.0874-30.96%0.1289✓0.92156k2022-06-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5713.9234-4.44%10.8-25.88%0.0402✓1.37145k2022-06-02
XVGVergenative0.008120.007759-4.44%0.00499-38.55%0.2100✓1.08975k2022-06-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.5616.7764-4.46%9.629-45.17%0.3315✓1.0419.4M2022-06-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014360.013712-4.51%0.00947-34.05%0.1777✓0.901.2M2022-06-02
SOLSolanaSolana85.8581.9535-4.54%40.82-52.45%0.4403✓1.2085.8M2022-06-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0120730.011512-4.65%0.00999-17.25%0.0403✓0.8544k2022-06-02
DODODODOEthereum0.2850.271566-4.71%0.1698-40.42%0.2210✓1.165.6M2022-06-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37912.2667-4.72%1.5336-35.54%0.2498✓0.6615k2022-06-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.079510.075713-4.78%0.0617-22.40%0.0311✓0.8132k2022-06-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4410.419933-4.78%0.294-33.33%0.1370✓1.024.3M2022-06-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03160.030069-4.84%0.0209-33.86%0.2539✓0.51416k2022-06-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8225.4893-4.96%22.42-16.41%0.1131✗1.124.9M2022-06-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.061070.058033-4.97%0.0393-35.65%0.1635✓1.0593k2022-06-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.924.6751-4.98%2.887-41.32%0.2281✓1.18186k2022-06-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.6356.6452-5.01%24.63-58.70%0.5841✓1.1644.2M2022-06-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579930.550587-5.06%0.39885-31.22%0.0997✓1.04126k2022-06-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.6213.8742-5.10%7.73-47.13%0.3572✓1.067.8M2022-06-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0310.978015-5.14%0.802-22.21%0.0334✓1.083.6M2022-06-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.05510.052268-5.14%0.038-31.03%0.2223✓0.45138k2022-06-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.27160.257449-5.21%0.1981-27.06%0.0153✓1.29795k2022-06-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.7783.58-5.24%1.996-47.17%0.2106✓1.741.5M2022-06-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.5126-5.32%1.82-50.94%0.3622✓1.38385k2022-06-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.7313.9449-5.33%9.88-32.93%0.1245✓1.0311.7M2022-06-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.47561.3958-5.41%1.0375-29.69%0.0593✓1.11970k2022-06-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.821.5624-5.43%11.98-47.46%0.3975✓0.89458k2022-06-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3985.1044-5.44%3.493-35.29%0.2527✓0.591.5M2022-06-02
ADACardanoCardano0.77110.728777-5.49%0.587-23.87%0.0067✓1.0441.1M2022-06-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39250.370934-5.49%0.3181-18.96%0.0710✗1.05499k2022-06-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.812.0954-5.50%9.44-26.25%0.0021✓1.158.7M2022-06-02
XECeCashnative0.000071880.000067923-5.50%0.00004919-31.57%0.1127✓0.987.9M2022-06-02
FTTFTXEthereum37.7935.6804-5.58%27.15-28.16%0.0841✓0.8812.4M2022-06-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1542.0328-5.63%1.255-41.74%0.2095✓1.275.1M2022-06-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.08432.9094-5.67%2.4684-19.97%0.0317✓0.624.1M2022-06-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295030.122103-5.71%0.082709-36.13%0.1899✓0.937.1M2022-06-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.13590.128118-5.73%0.0763-43.86%0.2565✓1.22180k2022-06-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.10730.101064-5.81%0.0672-37.37%0.2188✓0.88425k2022-06-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,468.6016,448.38-5.84%7,580.11-56.61%0.5702✓0.952.7M2022-06-02
ZENHorizenBase30.2628.4903-5.85%20.76-31.39%0.0316✓1.33177k2022-06-02
KSMKusamaHydration127.65120.0671-5.94%73.57-42.37%0.2587✓1.08954k2022-06-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.018080.017006-5.94%0.01184-34.51%0.2079✓0.723.6M2022-06-02
XTZTezosTezos2.48722.3387-5.97%1.984-20.23%0.0599✓1.05855k2022-06-02
XYMSymbolnative0.09110.085604-6.03%0.058213-36.10%0.2431✓0.66735k2022-06-02
DIADIAEthereum0.760.713956-6.06%0.44237-41.79%0.3875✓0.4271k2022-06-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.6868.2634-6.08%53.909-25.83%0.0617✓0.812.1M2022-06-02
STEEMSteemnative0.35650.334813-6.08%0.2728-23.48%0.0098✓1.007.0M2022-06-02
BANDBandEthereum2.9752.7931-6.11%1.68-43.53%0.2414✓1.24572k2022-06-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.8911.1626-6.12%5.34-55.09%0.6379✓0.462.5M2022-06-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03810.035739-6.20%0.02896-23.99%0.0326✓0.8340k2022-06-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.3464.0742-6.25%2.861-34.17%0.1493✓0.9567k2022-06-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.20420.191396-6.27%0.1326-35.06%0.1904✓0.821.2M2022-06-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1721.0985-6.27%0.93-20.65%0.0549✓1.03501k2022-06-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0030.002808-6.40%0.001267-57.77%0.5699✓1.054.2M2022-06-02
MOVRMoonriverBase39.566637.0349-6.40%21.6397-45.31%0.2251✓1.45189k2022-06-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.73863.4973-6.46%2.5511-31.76%0.1057✓0.98177k2022-06-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020350.000019034-6.46%0.0000112-44.96%0.3023✓1.061.4M2022-06-02
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6984.394-6.47%2.771-41.02%0.1491✓1.4519k2022-06-02
AVTAventusEthereum21.8698-6.51%1.05-47.50%0.4547✓0.57272k2022-06-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007510.007013-6.61%0.0046-38.75%0.2876✓0.6327k2022-06-02
COMPCompoundEthereum102.695.7734-6.65%57.4-44.05%0.2670✓1.1433k2022-06-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008550.007979-6.67%0.00416-51.35%0.4064✓1.142.4M2022-06-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0360.966709-6.69%0.748-27.80%0.0107✓1.152.2M2022-06-02
XEMNEMnative0.08780.081825-6.80%0.051534-41.31%0.2619✓0.9352k2022-06-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.1780.165732-6.89%0.1247-29.94%0.0393✓1.141.6M2022-06-02
SUSHISushiEthereum2.322.1597-6.91%1.68-27.59%0.0168✓1.254.0M2022-06-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0570.053027-6.97%0.0353-38.07%0.1622✓1.14179k2022-06-02
LUNATerraTerra 282.5776.7252-7.08%0.00010121-100.00%13.2652✓1.277.5M2022-06-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.712980.662506-7.08%0.3741-47.53%0.3088✓1.221.4M2022-06-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.20922.9792-7.17%2.2603-29.57%0.1561✓0.565.8M2022-06-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2270.210649-7.20%0.1283-43.48%0.3476✓0.6925k2022-06-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31910.29598-7.25%0.1522-52.30%0.4120✓1.186.8M2022-06-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.3726-7.25%0.92-37.84%0.1174✓1.32989k2022-06-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5840.540697-7.41%0.374-35.96%0.2045✓0.761.5M2022-06-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.621720.575094-7.50%0.43487-30.05%0.0409✓1.1187k2022-06-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.921.775-7.55%1.407-26.72%0.0060✓1.0516.1M2022-06-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.378888-7.59%0.20953-48.90%0.2782✓1.46293k2022-06-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.25870.239034-7.60%0.1801-30.38%0.0477✓1.10391k2022-06-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.754.3848-7.69%2.77-41.68%0.1430✓1.47339k2022-06-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.19210.17733-7.69%0.124-35.45%0.0843✓1.272.2M2022-06-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21860.201742-7.71%0.0949-56.59%0.3936✓1.681.3M2022-06-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.33510.308238-8.02%0.1608-52.01%0.5569✓0.444,1372022-06-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.43e-78.67e-7-8.05%7.16e-7-24.07%0.2048✓-0.06596k2022-06-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.67070.615947-8.16%0.3947-41.15%0.2445✓0.9310.9M2022-06-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.750.68633-8.49%0.84683+12.91%0.4527✗1.13443k2022-06-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.48083.1836-8.54%2.0802-40.24%0.2580✓0.7810.0M2022-06-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6946830.634758-8.63%0.414517-40.33%0.2133✓0.995.3M2022-06-02
PROPropyEthereum1.571.4337-8.68%0.96-38.85%0.2789✓0.57459k2022-06-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.017080.015594-8.70%0.00848-50.35%0.3946✓1.00269k2022-06-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0630.970467-8.70%0.651-38.76%0.1351✓1.23357k2022-06-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72280.659688-8.73%0.5552-23.19%0.0968✗1.25328k2022-06-02
APEApeCoinEthereum14.15212.9136-8.75%6.396-54.80%0.2589✓2.0752.0M2022-06-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0560.963545-8.76%0.479-54.64%0.4878✓0.9852k2022-06-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum29.0826.4865-8.92%21.11-27.41%0.0416✓1.254.0M2022-06-02
MINAMina Protocolnative1.771.6082-9.14%0.874-50.62%0.3775✓1.081.1M2022-06-02
RADRadworksEthereum3.813.4616-9.14%2.08-45.41%0.3309✓0.83578k2022-06-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.9619.8833-9.46%11.3-48.54%0.2807✓1.332.2M2022-06-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.6424.1813-9.92%3.02-34.94%0.0185✓1.437.7M2022-06-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.3511.2064-10.70%0.64-52.63%0.4048✓1.0763k2022-06-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14060.125009-11.09%0.0687-51.14%0.3315✓1.245.6M2022-06-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40120.352313-12.19%0.1514-62.26%0.7798✓0.30580k2022-06-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1510.130848-13.35%0.0636-57.88%0.6391✓0.38132k2022-06-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09420.081338-13.65%0.0545-42.14%0.2205✓0.843.0M2022-06-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4492.0355-16.89%1.348-44.96%0.0754✓1.57719k2022-06-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.