8=======>

2022-04-30 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3156
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.0%
in alpha space · 93.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
APEApeCoinEthereum19.98718.1272-9.30%7.215-63.90%0.5253✓2.3145.8M2022-05-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.4518.5994-9.05%12.58-38.48%0.1725✓1.272.2M2022-05-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1231.9394-8.65%1.428-32.74%0.1319✓1.0215.2M2022-05-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.72e-78.90e-7-8.45%7.04e-7-27.54%0.2408✓-0.04580k2022-05-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1070.09834-8.09%0.0544-49.16%0.4458✓0.852.8M2022-05-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.39910.368558-7.65%0.1682-57.86%0.7442✓0.23638k2022-05-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7539570.697019-7.55%0.428413-43.18%0.3163✓0.995.0M2022-05-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14910.138922-6.83%0.0703-52.85%0.4677✓1.247.2M2022-05-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5840.544531-6.76%0.387-33.73%0.2101✓0.771.8M2022-05-30
PROPropyEthereum1.571.4671-6.56%1.02-35.03%0.2642✓0.58387k2022-05-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.126304-6.44%0.0659-51.19%0.5745✓0.44175k2022-05-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.87634.5629-6.43%2.3387-52.04%0.5363✓0.7710.0M2022-05-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.630490.590296-6.37%0.45944-27.13%0.0584✓1.12107k2022-05-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6723.4392-6.34%2.098-42.86%0.1962✓1.741.7M2022-05-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3822.2318-6.31%1.4-41.23%0.2021✓1.54816k2022-05-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2455.8682-6.03%3.404-45.49%0.4386✓0.621.6M2022-05-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.733.5174-5.70%2.03-45.58%0.3126✓1.38385k2022-05-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30670.289557-5.59%0.1566-48.94%0.4078✓1.219.0M2022-05-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3774.1438-5.33%3.353-23.40%0.0277✓1.408.3M2022-05-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.18010.170793-5.17%0.1229-31.76%0.1097✓1.282.2M2022-05-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum2220.884-5.07%13.53-38.50%0.2208✓1.24644k2022-05-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0670.063715-4.90%0.05182-22.66%0.0738✓0.7720k2022-05-30
SOLSolanaSolana84.6980.5839-4.85%47.2-44.27%0.3272✓1.21100.4M2022-05-30
BANDBandEthereum2.9652.8225-4.81%1.809-38.99%0.2344✓1.23588k2022-05-30
RADRadworksEthereum3.83.6181-4.79%2.31-39.21%0.3012✓0.86621k2022-05-30
LUNATerraTerra 278.1374.445-4.72%0.00012556-100.00%13.0698✓1.308.4M2022-05-30
DIADIAEthereum0.790.752989-4.68%0.48531-38.57%0.3585✓0.4775k2022-05-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.20150.192063-4.68%0.1132-43.82%0.2383✓1.691.8M2022-05-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003030.002888-4.67%0.00137-54.79%0.5624✓1.075.6M2022-05-30
MINAMina Protocolnative1.71.6206-4.67%0.986-42.00%0.3092✓1.091.3M2022-05-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.83265.9269-4.28%196.88-29.14%0.1345✓0.975.6M2022-05-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4520.43264-4.28%0.229-49.34%0.4608✓1.024.3M2022-05-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6250.598421-4.25%1.009+61.44%0.7612✗1.391.7M2022-05-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1320.126421-4.23%0.0905-31.44%0.1720✓0.95169k2022-05-30
XVGVergenative0.008230.007884-4.20%0.00544-33.90%0.1871✓1.071.1M2022-05-30
COMPCompoundEthereum104.6100.2287-4.18%62.98-39.79%0.2676✓1.1547k2022-05-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.09930.095171-4.16%0.0678-31.72%0.1855✓0.90527k2022-05-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008390.008043-4.13%0.00433-48.39%0.4238✓1.143.1M2022-05-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1274490.122234-4.09%0.08783-31.09%0.1718✓0.937.2M2022-05-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV71.3568.4422-4.08%55.674-21.97%0.0695✓0.802.2M2022-05-30
KCSKuCoinnative17.26216.5715-4.00%17.06-1.17%0.1629✗0.785.0M2022-05-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.17130.164503-3.97%0.1218-28.90%0.1056✓1.142.1M2022-05-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4751.4165-3.97%0.661-55.19%0.5778✓1.0875k2022-05-30
ZENHorizenBase29.0427.893-3.95%22.81-21.45%0.0229✓1.31224k2022-05-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,656.5816,011.32-3.87%8,376.52-49.71%0.4781✓0.993.1M2022-05-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018150.017457-3.82%0.01316-27.49%0.0377✓1.4347.4M2022-05-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26580.255684-3.81%0.2006-24.53%0.0188✓1.30836k2022-05-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90280.868895-3.76%0.6872-23.88%0.0196✓1.258.3M2022-05-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.471.4161-3.67%0.98-33.33%0.1431✓1.311.3M2022-05-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060.05781-3.65%0.03929-34.52%0.2068✓1.05114k2022-05-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128950.012426-3.64%0.00966-25.09%0.1037✓0.8651k2022-05-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.2313.7154-3.62%8.2-42.38%0.3331✓1.069.2M2022-05-30
SUSHISushiEthereum2.32.2176-3.58%1.69-26.52%0.0572✓1.254.2M2022-05-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.56760.547781-3.49%0.4199-26.02%0.1037✓0.9510.9M2022-05-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20040.193553-3.42%0.157-21.66%0.0215✓1.35125k2022-05-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014310.013822-3.41%0.00992-30.68%0.1803✓0.881.3M2022-05-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6590.636632-3.39%0.3897-40.86%0.2789✓1.24134k2022-05-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.4312.0096-3.38%8.11-34.75%0.2061✓1.099.4M2022-05-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.25930.25059-3.36%0.1766-31.89%0.1637✓1.09428k2022-05-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.7988-3.35%3.34-44.33%0.4560✓0.56982k2022-05-30
ORCAOrcaSolana1.841.7784-3.35%0.88-52.17%0.5801✓0.72181k2022-05-30
SCSiacoinnative0.008240.007965-3.34%0.00579-29.73%0.1204✓1.16425k2022-05-30
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0951.0588-3.30%0.52-52.51%0.5465✓0.9656k2022-05-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.570420.551835-3.26%0.40164-29.59%0.1415✓1.03145k2022-05-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2280.220587-3.25%0.1345-41.01%0.3779✓0.6827k2022-05-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4140.400552-3.25%0.2796-32.46%0.2096✓0.87343k2022-05-30
QNTQuantEthereum92.7589.8124-3.17%73.65-20.59%0.0600✓0.813.4M2022-05-30
KSMKusamaHydration131.55127.3873-3.16%77.84-40.83%0.3082✓1.081.1M2022-05-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02770.026827-3.15%0.02442-11.84%0.0056✓0.58458k2022-05-30
XECeCashnative0.000067750.000065624-3.14%0.00005117-24.47%0.0846✓0.968.7M2022-05-30
ETHEthereumEthereum2,726.592,641.29-3.13%1,998.30-26.71%0.1071✓1.00438.2M2022-05-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.022110.021427-3.09%0.014997-32.17%0.2676✓0.52195k2022-05-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.68010.659183-3.08%0.5697-16.23%0.0695✗1.26369k2022-05-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.847190.821154-3.07%0.59565-29.69%0.1250✓1.14118k2022-05-30
XVSVenusEthereum7.667.425-3.07%4.97-35.12%0.2232✓1.043.4M2022-05-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8792.7908-3.06%2.583-10.28%0.0281✓0.611.6M2022-05-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017452-3.05%0.00884-50.89%0.5070✓1.01328k2022-05-30
AAVEAaveEthereum142.59138.2803-3.02%117.41-17.66%0.0529✗1.2611.6M2022-05-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9961.9371-2.95%1.385-30.61%0.1121✓1.306.0M2022-05-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19460.188892-2.93%0.1374-29.39%0.1736✓0.841.3M2022-05-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin95.8993.1124-2.90%69.07-27.97%0.1253✓1.0117.8M2022-05-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.420.407841-2.90%0.21633-48.49%0.3810✓1.48311k2022-05-30
XMRMoneroMonero214.3208.1781-2.86%203.87-4.87%0.1358✗0.913.3M2022-05-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum29.0828.2602-2.82%23.98-17.54%0.0486✗1.244.4M2022-05-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4463.3501-2.78%1.978-42.60%0.3006✓1.3286k2022-05-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8184.6851-2.76%3.398-29.47%0.1232✓1.1510.2M2022-05-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.34410.334659-2.74%0.2807-18.42%0.0477✗1.30233k2022-05-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40.389139-2.72%0.326-18.50%0.0117✓1.10535k2022-05-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.21990.214008-2.68%0.1459-33.65%0.1391✓1.427.7M2022-05-30
ADACardanoCardano0.75580.735609-2.67%0.5697-24.62%0.0763✓1.0543.8M2022-05-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0581.0298-2.67%0.671-36.58%0.2149✓1.24394k2022-05-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.681352-2.66%0.77616+10.88%0.3165✗1.09512k2022-05-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche57.0155.4936-2.66%27.7-51.41%0.4936✓1.1745.0M2022-05-30
DASHDashDash84.682.3545-2.65%63.19-25.31%0.0909✓1.011.3M2022-05-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04050.03945-2.59%0.02923-27.83%0.1658✓0.78277k2022-05-30
ZECZcashZcash114111.056-2.58%98.78-13.35%0.0655✗1.076.3M2022-05-30
BTTCBTTC0.000001660.000001618-2.52%0.00000113-31.93%0.2381✓0.718.0M2022-05-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.74991.7058-2.52%1.3381-23.53%0.0952✓0.8696k2022-05-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05130.050023-2.49%0.0387-24.56%0.0605✓1.14231k2022-05-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.4622.8783-2.48%12.86-45.18%0.4222✓0.90478k2022-05-30
MANADecentralandEthereum1.43191.3967-2.46%1.0853-24.21%0.0621✓1.111.1M2022-05-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5114.1571-2.43%10.47-27.84%0.1261✓1.0211.8M2022-05-30
UMAUMAEthereum5.3485.2184-2.42%3.393-36.56%0.1874✓1.421.7M2022-05-30
TRXTRONTron0.062670.06118-2.38%0.083152+32.68%0.4102✗0.60273k2022-05-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.8925.2801-2.36%24.8-4.21%0.1704✗1.115.1M2022-05-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.9144.8011-2.30%3.239-34.09%0.1900✓1.19201k2022-05-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.766.6058-2.28%5.64-16.57%0.0216✓1.054.7M2022-05-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.019330.018896-2.25%0.01263-34.66%0.2801✓0.724.1M2022-05-30
MOVRMoonriverBase39.789738.9415-2.13%23.4037-41.18%0.2634✓1.43201k2022-05-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63033.5539-2.10%2.731-24.77%0.0966✓0.97238k2022-05-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.3614.0584-2.10%13.8-3.90%0.2139✗1.36158k2022-05-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077650.07603-2.09%0.06185-20.35%0.0707✓0.7930k2022-05-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7642.7067-2.07%2.419-12.48%0.0064✓0.691.1M2022-05-30
XEMNEMnative0.08850.086675-2.06%0.053343-39.73%0.3278✓0.9260k2022-05-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03730.036541-2.03%0.029139-21.88%0.0861✓0.8250k2022-05-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1221.0993-2.02%1.006-10.34%0.0877✗1.03501k2022-05-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.721.6866-1.94%1.17-31.98%0.2733✓0.54279k2022-05-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.6885.5781-1.93%5.2454-7.78%0.0223✗0.49245k2022-05-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.254.1685-1.92%3.78-11.06%0.0267✗0.731.1M2022-05-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.991.9522-1.90%1.37-31.16%0.1835✓1.00137k2022-05-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0070.98806-1.88%0.697-30.78%0.1536✓1.142.2M2022-05-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1690040.165831-1.88%0.143437-15.13%0.0206✗0.9715.1M2022-05-30
GTGateEthereum6.2976.1793-1.87%5.6995-9.49%0.0036✓0.454.6M2022-05-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.053.9759-1.83%2.87-29.14%0.1651✓0.9466k2022-05-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9850.967154-1.81%0.88-10.66%0.0853✗1.053.8M2022-05-30
FTTFTXEthereum37.9537.2759-1.78%29.16-23.16%0.0931✓0.8914.7M2022-05-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.008330.008184-1.76%0.0047-43.58%0.4461✓0.6328k2022-05-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.8141.7822-1.75%1.2478-31.21%0.2309✓0.7324k2022-05-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.4412-1.74%2.85-36.95%0.1897✓1.48339k2022-05-30
XYMSymbolnative0.08920.087667-1.72%0.0581-34.87%0.2983✓0.66806k2022-05-30
QTUMQtumQtum5.32125.2325-1.67%4.1804-21.44%0.0304✓1.13134k2022-05-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03580.035216-1.63%0.02403-32.88%0.1091✓1.5928.3M2022-05-30
API3Api3Ethereum3.1793.1302-1.54%1.79-43.69%0.3897✓0.992.8M2022-05-30
STXStacksnative0.910.896496-1.48%0.57-37.36%0.2901✓0.95344k2022-05-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.34580.340847-1.43%0.1926-44.30%0.5014✓0.404,4772022-05-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.3611.1985-1.42%5.45-52.02%0.6391✓0.472.9M2022-05-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.711560.701776-1.38%0.3827-46.22%0.3930✓1.241.4M2022-05-30
HIVEHivenative0.780.76964-1.33%0.5199-33.35%0.2239✓0.981.7M2022-05-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.3561.3383-1.31%1.152-15.04%0.0257✗1.027.5M2022-05-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.27882.2495-1.29%1.6463-27.76%0.2061✓0.6213k2022-05-30
NANOnanopayBase1.65571.6344-1.28%1.1952-27.81%0.1368✓1.03168k2022-05-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.554.4926-1.26%4.32-5.05%0.0753✗0.67685k2022-05-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8417.6181-1.24%10.51-41.09%0.3334✓1.0720.9M2022-05-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.52910.522543-1.24%0.3488-34.08%0.2361✓0.987.9M2022-05-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020160.000019913-1.23%0.00001218-39.58%0.3104✓1.061.5M2022-05-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.2311.0957-1.20%7.17-36.15%0.2611✓1.021.0M2022-05-30
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4864.4383-1.06%2.845-36.58%0.1950✓1.4619k2022-05-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.894657-1.03%0.554-38.72%0.2967✓1.061.3M2022-05-30
XTZTezosTezos2.53332.5087-0.97%2.1365-15.66%0.0172✗1.04873k2022-05-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.13120.13006-0.87%0.084-35.98%0.2297✓1.21204k2022-05-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14220.141119-0.76%0.0891-37.34%0.0898✓2.16278k2022-05-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5083.482-0.74%4.438+26.51%0.2978✗0.322.5M2022-05-30
DODODODOEthereum0.2830.281766-0.44%0.1844-34.84%0.2284✓1.146.7M2022-05-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.10563.0964-0.30%2.4274-21.84%0.1389✓0.614.6M2022-05-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9710.9382-0.29%7.45-32.09%0.1933✓1.1120.5M2022-05-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,644.1037,535.26-0.29%31,711.42-15.76%0.0029✓1.00542.5M2022-05-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,625.5037,664.02+0.10%31,731.20-15.67%0.0124✗0.9326k2022-05-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.419.4521+0.45%7.7-18.17%0.1336✗0.421.8M2022-05-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0247040.02489+0.75%0.018213-26.28%0.1357✗1.034.1M2022-05-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.12730.128492+0.94%0.07258-42.99%0.4449✗0.7416k2022-05-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.31633.376+1.80%2.3025-30.57%0.2870✗0.566.0M2022-05-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.965.0631+2.08%4.56-8.06%0.0105✓0.671.2M2022-05-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.