8=======>

2022-04-21 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1913
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
92.6%
in alpha space · 97.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.35%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.196.2093+0.31%4.11-33.60%0.2008✗0.661.6M2022-05-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.139210.139477+0.19%0.07213-48.19%0.4174✗0.7618k2022-05-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,499.2040,109.59-0.96%29,441.00-27.30%0.0124✓0.9325k2022-05-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,480.8139,885.72-1.47%29,408.26-27.35%0.0148✓1.00565.5M2022-05-21
GTGateEthereum6.45476.3102-2.24%5.7684-10.63%0.0793✗0.534.7M2022-05-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0154730.015079-2.54%0.00884-42.87%0.2587✓0.8653k2022-05-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.43992.3762-2.61%1.6831-31.02%0.1294✓0.6711k2022-05-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046260.044901-2.94%0.02825-38.93%0.1882✓0.86433k2022-05-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.44370.430355-3.01%0.199-55.15%0.6894✓0.266,4692022-05-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0065.808-3.30%4.9351-17.83%0.0138✓0.47192k2022-05-21
XEMNEMnative0.09860.095317-3.33%0.0532-46.04%0.2956✓0.9072k2022-05-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043930.042467-3.33%0.0269-38.77%0.1884✓0.8471k2022-05-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5813.1097-3.46%7.04-48.16%0.2679✓1.1126.2M2022-05-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.7513.2618-3.55%6.37-53.67%0.3882✓1.081.3M2022-05-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1412-3.55%1.36-38.74%0.1374✓0.99154k2022-05-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093450.089875-3.83%0.05145-44.94%0.3012✓0.8039k2022-05-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1531.1089-3.83%0.852-26.11%0.0656✗1.033.8M2022-05-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9983.8434-3.87%2.3895-40.23%0.2780✓0.624.6M2022-05-21
FTTFTXEthereum42.1340.4973-3.88%30.1-28.55%0.0041✓0.9420.1M2022-05-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.34245.1349-3.88%2.2912-57.11%0.6355✓0.545.6M2022-05-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4612.9359-3.89%9.15-32.02%0.2253✓0.381.9M2022-05-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0331020.031759-4.06%0.017217-47.99%0.2815✓1.044.7M2022-05-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.15.8513-4.08%3.54-41.97%0.3072✓0.611.0M2022-05-21
ORCAOrcaSolana2.021.9375-4.09%0.84-58.42%0.6109✓0.70261k2022-05-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.3112.2157-4.12%1.119-51.58%0.4471✓0.7427k2022-05-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1965190.188349-4.16%0.130524-33.58%0.0573✓0.9719.4M2022-05-21
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9775.7269-4.18%2.9-51.48%0.2116✓1.4718k2022-05-21
HIVEHivenative0.94340.903718-4.21%0.488-48.27%0.2976✓1.001.9M2022-05-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13720.131245-4.34%0.0881-35.79%0.0784✓1.00224k2022-05-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4080.390258-4.35%0.142-65.20%0.6554✓1.118.0M2022-05-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66320.634291-4.36%0.3296-50.30%0.3388✓0.999.4M2022-05-21
XMRMoneroMonero278.56266.3716-4.38%175.95-36.84%0.1209✓0.922.4M2022-05-21
XTZTezosTezos3.03322.9002-4.39%1.8207-39.97%0.1292✓1.05967k2022-05-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.69101.9594-4.43%69.78-34.60%0.0534✓1.0220.1M2022-05-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1920.183462-4.45%0.114-40.62%0.2425✗2.25500k2022-05-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,983.942,849.49-4.51%1,972.64-33.89%0.0467✓1.00482.4M2022-05-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8821.797-4.51%0.944-49.84%0.3327✓0.977.8M2022-05-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana54.7648-4.70%3.27-34.60%0.1383✓0.751.2M2022-05-21
NANOnanopayBase2.05161.954-4.76%1.1499-43.95%0.2003✓1.03231k2022-05-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.024450.023284-4.77%0.01331-45.56%0.3375✓0.694.7M2022-05-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4825.2023-4.83%12.87-51.40%0.3852✓0.90517k2022-05-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.59144.3685-4.85%2.5122-45.28%0.2390✓0.98287k2022-05-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1363480.129514-5.01%0.084297-38.17%0.1544✓0.865.1M2022-05-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024340.000023117-5.02%0.00001174-51.77%0.3329✓1.082.5M2022-05-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001890.000001795-5.03%0.00000111-41.27%0.2530✓0.719.8M2022-05-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1982.0872-5.04%1.211-44.90%0.1279✓1.306.2M2022-05-21
XYMSymbolnative0.11350.107681-5.13%0.0655-42.29%0.2747✓0.70864k2022-05-21
STXStacksnative1.151.0883-5.36%0.53-53.91%0.4060✓0.98431k2022-05-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.3738-5.39%3.68-35.21%0.1652✓0.671.1M2022-05-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022440.021209-5.49%0.00993-55.75%0.4272✓1.04423k2022-05-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.7577.2533-5.50%48.68-40.45%0.2041✓0.813.4M2022-05-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034020.032147-5.51%0.02974-12.58%0.0377✓0.36641k2022-05-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.835.5087-5.51%2.9-50.26%0.1619✓1.50550k2022-05-21
QNTQuantEthereum107.82101.8204-5.56%68.27-36.68%0.1210✓0.873.8M2022-05-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.3813.5623-5.69%7.56-47.43%0.4353✓0.472.7M2022-05-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4923.2929-5.70%1.867-46.53%0.3766✓0.602.0M2022-05-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.4763.2768-5.73%2.102-39.53%0.2211✓0.702.1M2022-05-21
ADACardanoCardano0.91020.857827-5.75%0.5279-42.00%0.1582✓1.0262.5M2022-05-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.1782.0521-5.78%1.1672-46.41%0.2982✓0.83100k2022-05-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0110.010362-5.80%0.00455-58.64%0.6399✓0.5736k2022-05-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4391.3555-5.80%0.688-52.19%0.2718✓1.27594k2022-05-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.472.3257-5.84%1.22-50.61%0.4889✓0.49363k2022-05-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.9934.6965-5.94%4.92-1.46%0.1317✗0.273.3M2022-05-21
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4131.3287-5.97%0.582-58.81%0.5106✓0.9962k2022-05-21
DASHDashDash102.1596.0273-5.99%57.01-44.19%0.1976✓1.011.8M2022-05-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.979070.919385-6.10%0.3706-62.15%0.5055✓1.261.7M2022-05-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.256346-6.10%0.1254-54.07%0.4824✓0.7336k2022-05-21
UMAUMAEthereum6.165.7769-6.22%3.442-44.12%0.0511✓1.462.6M2022-05-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.8945.5259-6.24%5.564-5.60%0.1929✗0.581.8M2022-05-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1817.0339-6.30%9.97-45.16%0.2108✓1.0218.4M2022-05-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.3030.283849-6.32%0.1819-39.97%0.0889✓1.11495k2022-05-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.21820.204245-6.40%0.1207-44.68%0.1627✓1.143.2M2022-05-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24190.226391-6.41%0.128-47.09%0.3084✓0.821.7M2022-05-21
TRXTRONTron0.07090.066283-6.51%0.074164+4.60%0.3070✗0.61262k2022-05-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,773.4017,549.64-6.52%9,260.50-50.67%0.3092✓1.034.6M2022-05-21
API3Api3Ethereum4.5164.2216-6.52%1.965-56.49%0.4962✓0.843.3M2022-05-21
MOVRMoonriverBase56.983853.2671-6.52%23.6852-58.44%0.3613✓1.41220k2022-05-21
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.2811-6.53%5.23-40.97%0.1272✓1.048.0M2022-05-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8517.6112-6.57%8.16-56.71%0.4323✓1.0510.8M2022-05-21
KSMKusamaHydration168.86157.7412-6.58%80-52.62%0.3389✓1.061.1M2022-05-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04930.046045-6.60%0.0319-35.29%0.1534✗1.6338.1M2022-05-21
KCSKuCoinnative20.61219.2377-6.67%15.94-22.67%0.0689✓0.805.8M2022-05-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9532.6085-6.70%20.32-41.86%0.1283✓1.0812.9M2022-05-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.3221.752-6.72%11.03-52.70%0.3164✓1.1429.5M2022-05-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0262670.0245-6.73%0.021582-17.84%0.0652✓0.60195k2022-05-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.62294.0327-6.84%192.09-39.14%0.1143✓0.976.6M2022-05-21
RADRadworksEthereum4.494.1828-6.84%2.06-54.12%0.4300✓0.87785k2022-05-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3451.253-6.84%0.722-46.32%0.1714✓1.192.9M2022-05-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.5344-6.85%12.78-12.04%0.3515✗1.282.3M2022-05-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5180.482185-6.91%0.2538-51.00%0.3845✓0.81490k2022-05-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3290.306222-6.92%0.1362-58.60%0.3493✓1.449.0M2022-05-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.11520.107176-6.96%0.063-45.31%0.1955✓1.05988k2022-05-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10820.100625-7.00%0.0557-48.52%0.2791✓0.982.0M2022-05-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010350.009622-7.04%0.00495-52.17%0.2855✓1.193.2M2022-05-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.54526.0844-7.04%3.9129-40.22%0.0765✓1.14206k2022-05-21
ZECZcashZcash159.6148.3478-7.05%104.31-34.64%0.0370✓0.998.5M2022-05-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.961.8199-7.15%0.89-54.59%0.2957✓1.311.6M2022-05-21
XECeCashnative0.000090250.000083785-7.16%0.00004593-49.11%0.2885✓0.989.8M2022-05-21
COMPCompoundEthereum135.61125.8803-7.17%68.4-49.56%0.2394✓1.1684k2022-05-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0660.061237-7.22%0.0336-49.09%0.2343✓1.15471k2022-05-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.66444.3272-7.23%2.7082-41.94%0.2369✓0.736.6M2022-05-21
LUNATerraTerra 290.8484.222-7.29%0.00013-100.00%12.9751✓1.279.0M2022-05-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.745.3195-7.33%2.903-49.43%0.3038✓0.9472k2022-05-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07590.070237-7.46%0.04565-39.86%0.1843✓0.7739k2022-05-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.610.564347-7.48%0.19935-67.32%0.5765✓1.45395k2022-05-21
AAVEAaveEthereum173.62160.5714-7.52%91.14-47.51%0.1506✓1.3012.5M2022-05-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.36530.337677-7.56%0.1437-60.66%0.3031✓1.722.3M2022-05-21
ZENHorizenBase36.233.4605-7.57%20.49-43.40%0.0773✓1.29366k2022-05-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4911.3781-7.57%0.962-35.48%0.0291✓1.03725k2022-05-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.96320.89-7.60%0.3653-62.07%0.4569✓1.36231k2022-05-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4715.2156-7.62%8-51.43%0.2870✓1.1117.9M2022-05-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5970.551207-7.67%0.241-59.63%0.5067✓1.005.9M2022-05-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.10331.0186-7.68%0.55586-49.62%0.2421✓1.14162k2022-05-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.23140.213626-7.68%0.1102-52.38%0.2564✓1.273.3M2022-05-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.0369.2235-7.74%29.86-60.20%0.4526✓1.2187.4M2022-05-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.8318.294-7.75%10.65-46.29%0.1044✓1.37218k2022-05-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5454.1916-7.78%2.204-51.51%0.2182✓1.33140k2022-05-21
SOLSolanaSolana101.7893.82-7.82%50.25-50.63%0.2220✓1.26147.6M2022-05-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018140.016721-7.82%0.00963-46.91%0.2546✓0.931.8M2022-05-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.43320.398993-7.90%0.2542-41.32%0.0013✓1.41357k2022-05-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.24451.1447-8.02%0.6627-46.75%0.1535✓1.2311.9M2022-05-21
APEApeCoinEthereum14.29513.1376-8.10%8.019-43.90%0.2285✗2.2645.4M2022-05-21
DIADIAEthereum0.870.79929-8.13%0.52041-40.18%0.2725✓0.49154k2022-05-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.7423.634-8.18%14.99-41.76%0.0659✓1.22669k2022-05-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2021.103-8.24%0.612-49.08%0.2621✓1.021.3M2022-05-21
SCSiacoinnative0.010510.009641-8.26%0.00506-51.86%0.2727✓1.16565k2022-05-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5285.9867-8.29%2.989-54.21%0.3353✓1.12306k2022-05-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.02581.8572-8.32%1.0948-45.96%0.1816✓1.091.5M2022-05-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075570.069184-8.45%0.03885-48.59%0.2459✓1.04132k2022-05-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56130.513759-8.47%0.3224-42.56%0.1062✓1.13875k2022-05-21
XVGVergenative0.010330.009454-8.48%0.00515-50.15%0.2649✓1.071.5M2022-05-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004020.003679-8.48%0.00144-64.18%0.5845✓1.117.4M2022-05-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7170.656153-8.49%0.38-47.00%0.3021✓0.762.9M2022-05-21
BANDBandEthereum3.6623.3489-8.55%1.753-52.13%0.2558✓1.23785k2022-05-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.806910.737828-8.56%0.41605-48.44%0.2534✓1.00150k2022-05-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9641.7952-8.60%0.901-54.12%0.3749✓0.9894k2022-05-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92240.842447-8.67%0.4904-46.83%0.1214✓1.31824k2022-05-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.023050.021036-8.74%0.01308-43.25%0.0006✓1.4948.3M2022-05-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71870.655502-8.79%0.4345-39.54%0.1173✓0.9214.6M2022-05-21
XVSVenusEthereum10.359.4391-8.80%4.79-53.72%0.3130✓1.144.7M2022-05-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.18930.172537-8.86%0.0856-54.78%0.3349✓1.15251k2022-05-21
PROPropyEthereum1.721.5665-8.92%1.04-39.53%0.2381✓0.54179k2022-05-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.060.963857-9.07%1.0801+1.89%0.4687✗1.11735k2022-05-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.75150.682055-9.24%0.38808-48.36%0.2302✓1.04201k2022-05-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.322.1053-9.26%1.008-56.55%0.3899✓1.081.3M2022-05-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.163.7674-9.44%2.27-45.43%0.0706✓1.36612k2022-05-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2110.190699-9.62%0.057-72.99%1.0772✓0.41148k2022-05-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18730.169274-9.62%0.0806-56.97%0.3765✓1.149.4M2022-05-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.67340.607438-9.80%0.239-64.51%0.8459✓0.27814k2022-05-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum44.9140.4417-9.95%21.03-53.17%0.2547✓1.258.8M2022-05-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.25240.226921-10.09%0.1439-42.99%0.0356✓1.31223k2022-05-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8823.4883-10.14%1.177-69.68%0.5983✓1.53741k2022-05-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34920.313615-10.19%0.1857-46.82%0.1089✓1.301.4M2022-05-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3540.317894-10.20%0.1577-55.45%0.3267✓1.1711.2M2022-05-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.9465330.846231-10.60%0.439813-53.53%0.3117✓1.073.7M2022-05-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8270.73701-10.88%0.363-56.11%0.2726✓1.362.4M2022-05-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.21876.4322-10.90%3.522-51.21%0.2478✓1.1110.7M2022-05-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.8685.2039-11.32%2.592-55.83%0.2662✓1.357.7M2022-05-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5392.2423-11.68%1.483-41.59%0.1003✓0.984.5M2022-05-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5453.9677-12.70%2.203-51.53%0.0366✓1.732.3M2022-05-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.453.0117-12.71%1.45-57.97%0.3393✓1.236.4M2022-05-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011099.54e-7-13.97%7.24e-7-34.70%0.3471✓-0.22602k2022-05-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.