8=======>

2022-04-19 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2921
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.7%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L23.0992.6523-14.41%1.429-53.89%0.3011✓1.014.2M2022-05-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001230.000001054-14.35%7.44e-7-39.48%0.4202✓-0.23602k2022-05-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.8624.191-13.80%2.065-57.53%0.1671✓1.712.4M2022-05-19
SUSHISushiEthereum3.362.9235-12.99%1.36-59.52%0.3713✓1.256.4M2022-05-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.1675.3734-12.87%2.67-56.71%0.2821✓1.327.3M2022-05-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.777677-11.83%0.337-61.79%0.4065✓1.362.7M2022-05-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36280.323993-10.70%0.196-45.98%0.0902✓1.311.4M2022-05-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20150.180105-10.62%0.0844-58.11%0.3739✓1.229.4M2022-05-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36120.322865-10.61%0.1603-55.62%0.3281✓1.1810.3M2022-05-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2123.7666-10.58%1.208-71.32%0.6730✓1.47741k2022-05-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.25661.125-10.48%0.55387-55.92%0.3408✓1.17150k2022-05-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.524.0465-10.48%1.89-58.19%0.3167✓1.41642k2022-05-19
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.5635-10.06%1.769-55.35%0.3062✓1.25745k2022-05-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.442.6418-10.04%21.79-54.03%0.2686✓1.288.8M2022-05-19
PROPropyEthereum1.881.6936-9.91%1.14-39.36%0.1095✓0.91179k2022-05-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.20.180302-9.85%0.0857-57.15%0.3831✓1.14262k2022-05-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.0098-9.84%0.37965-66.10%0.6034✓1.19735k2022-05-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.220.198459-9.79%0.0603-72.59%0.9852✓0.65122k2022-05-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022730.020556-9.57%0.01252-44.92%0.0171✓1.5248.3M2022-05-19
XVSVenusEthereum10.769.733-9.54%6.03-43.96%0.1120✓1.164.6M2022-05-19
MINAMina Protocolnative2.452.2167-9.52%1.042-57.47%0.4083✓1.101.2M2022-05-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24350.22037-9.50%0.141-42.09%0.0171✓1.36351k2022-05-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7876.1472-9.43%3.041-55.19%0.3511✓1.12327k2022-05-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96040.870124-9.40%0.4864-49.35%0.1442✓1.39752k2022-05-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59990.543788-9.35%0.3229-46.17%0.1283✓1.25967k2022-05-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.775690.703406-9.32%0.39035-49.68%0.2582✓1.05201k2022-05-19
XVGVergenative0.010910.009902-9.24%0.00528-51.60%0.2643✓1.161.6M2022-05-19
DIADIAEthereum0.930.844659-9.18%0.57117-38.58%0.2399✓0.48154k2022-05-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6780.615823-9.17%0.2492-63.24%0.7719✓0.42814k2022-05-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75930.689995-9.13%0.4512-40.58%0.1269✓0.9418.3M2022-05-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.602093-9.05%0.259-60.88%0.4967✓1.105.9M2022-05-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0244.5726-8.98%1.958-61.03%0.5182✓1.05139k2022-05-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076640.069848-8.86%0.03787-50.59%0.2800✓1.05132k2022-05-19
SCSiacoinnative0.010870.009908-8.85%0.00527-51.52%0.2560✓1.19565k2022-05-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2651.1549-8.70%0.538-57.47%0.4405✓1.031.3M2022-05-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7510.685977-8.66%0.378-49.67%0.3191✓0.882.9M2022-05-19
AAVEAaveEthereum183167.3151-8.57%91.65-49.92%0.1908✓1.3012.5M2022-05-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004250.003886-8.56%0.00137-67.76%0.6561✓1.239.6M2022-05-19
LUNATerraTerra 295.5787.4965-8.45%0.00014-100.00%12.9322✓1.318.4M2022-05-19
SOLSolanaSolana108.5599.4053-8.42%52.13-51.98%0.2511✓1.25147.4M2022-05-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.3619.5764-8.35%11.24-47.38%0.1278✓1.35220k2022-05-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.16541.9848-8.34%1.1185-48.35%0.2160✓1.131.6M2022-05-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39790.364824-8.31%0.1238-68.89%0.5124✓1.802.3M2022-05-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.3273.6758-8.27%30.37-62.19%0.4880✓1.2692.9M2022-05-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.0691.8988-8.22%0.584-71.77%0.8724✓0.9794k2022-05-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5411.4147-8.20%0.93-39.65%0.0993✓1.01867k2022-05-19
ZENHorizenBase38.7735.5978-8.18%21-45.83%0.1025✓1.35383k2022-05-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7308760.67123-8.16%0.390003-46.64%0.1930✓1.113.2M2022-05-19
COMPCompoundEthereum142.4130.7905-8.15%67.51-52.59%0.2892✓1.1876k2022-05-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05480.050335-8.15%0.0182-66.79%0.4851✓1.6938.1M2022-05-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.43380.398461-8.15%0.2674-38.36%0.0528✓1.43373k2022-05-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.4316.0273-8.05%8.18-53.07%0.3489✓1.0318.4M2022-05-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35250.324266-8.01%0.1343-61.90%0.4214✓1.469.2M2022-05-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.819920.754346-8.00%0.36301-55.73%0.4159✓1.00155k2022-05-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.45675.0214-7.98%3.2829-39.84%0.0470✓1.2010.7M2022-05-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.25310.232984-7.95%0.1147-54.68%0.2851✓1.343.3M2022-05-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06950.063981-7.94%0.0343-50.65%0.2487✓1.19471k2022-05-19
QTUMQtumQtum6.82996.2888-7.92%3.9715-41.85%0.0934✓1.16206k2022-05-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.21471.1195-7.84%0.6916-43.06%0.0883✓1.2510.2M2022-05-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.6324.2705-7.81%1.875-59.52%0.6240✓0.633.3M2022-05-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017920.016527-7.77%0.00924-48.44%0.2674✓1.001.9M2022-05-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07680.070848-7.75%0.04528-41.04%0.1866✓0.8348k2022-05-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.071.9118-7.64%0.91-56.04%0.3228✓1.331.6M2022-05-19
APEApeCoinEthereum13.3912.3668-7.64%8.055-39.84%0.2517✗2.1645.4M2022-05-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.591312-7.61%0.20476-68.01%0.5910✓1.49435k2022-05-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.62314.723-7.60%196.24-42.39%0.1603✓0.997.4M2022-05-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11680.107937-7.59%0.0581-50.26%0.2898✓1.041.6M2022-05-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7525.3225-7.47%2.965-48.45%0.2711✓1.0072k2022-05-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.4118.8872-7.46%8.21-59.77%0.4826✓1.1110.8M2022-05-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.9113.8018-7.43%12.63-15.29%0.3241✗1.312.3M2022-05-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.8135.0067-7.41%20.9-44.72%0.1722✓1.0914.3M2022-05-19
XECeCashnative0.000092420.0000856-7.38%0.00004707-49.07%0.2828✓1.009.5M2022-05-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.122.3412-7.30%14.32-40.58%0.0316✓1.31685k2022-05-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010960.010165-7.26%0.00478-56.39%0.3845✓1.173.0M2022-05-19
KSMKusamaHydration176.41163.7634-7.17%80.45-54.40%0.3801✓1.051.1M2022-05-19
UNIUniswapEthereum9.548.8564-7.17%5.18-45.70%0.2033✓1.068.8M2022-05-19
ZECZcashZcash158.67147.3495-7.13%104.45-34.17%0.0145✓1.048.2M2022-05-19
RADRadworksEthereum4.764.4206-7.13%2.07-56.51%0.4575✓0.95785k2022-05-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3681.2708-7.11%0.709-48.17%0.1818✓1.273.1M2022-05-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.11650.108247-7.08%0.0626-46.27%0.1906✓1.13988k2022-05-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.32914.0248-7.03%2.6871-37.93%0.1637✓0.765.3M2022-05-19
MOVRMoonriverBase60.168856.008-6.92%23.0538-61.68%0.4246✓1.47220k2022-05-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.6722.9845-6.83%10.82-56.14%0.4053✓1.1031.7M2022-05-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0264670.024662-6.82%0.018136-31.48%0.0939✓0.68199k2022-05-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.0455.6356-6.77%5.251-13.13%0.1369✗0.662.0M2022-05-19
DASHDashDash109.73102.381-6.70%58.55-46.64%0.2321✓1.042.3M2022-05-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.22990.21461-6.65%0.1228-46.59%0.1852✓1.183.2M2022-05-19
KCSKuCoinnative20.95819.5646-6.65%15.307-26.96%0.0266✓0.865.6M2022-05-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8817.6259-6.64%10.02-46.93%0.2312✓1.0619.0M2022-05-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24380.227841-6.55%0.1345-44.83%0.2596✓0.851.6M2022-05-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.623.3837-6.53%1.913-47.15%0.3627✓0.662.1M2022-05-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52310.489005-6.52%0.2568-50.91%0.3946✓0.79461k2022-05-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,429.2918,170.73-6.48%9,486.67-51.17%0.2994✓1.115.0M2022-05-19
UMAUMAEthereum6.3975.9898-6.37%3.243-49.30%0.1512✓1.472.7M2022-05-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.23962.0988-6.29%1.1742-47.57%0.3051✓0.8799k2022-05-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.0610.994684-6.25%0.37441-64.71%0.5590✓1.331.6M2022-05-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89120.835509-6.25%0.3534-60.35%0.4198✓1.40231k2022-05-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.195.8039-6.24%2.65-57.19%0.3080✓1.51579k2022-05-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023440.021999-6.15%0.00939-59.94%0.4906✓1.14423k2022-05-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.9714.0528-6.13%7.17-52.10%0.5197✓0.492.9M2022-05-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.30140.282952-6.12%0.1765-41.44%0.1035✓1.17495k2022-05-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5181.4262-6.05%0.7-53.89%0.2949✓1.32555k2022-05-19
ADACardanoCardano0.95240.89547-5.98%0.5326-44.08%0.1945✓1.0368.9M2022-05-19
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4431.3567-5.98%0.59-59.11%0.5223✓0.9862k2022-05-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5833.3693-5.96%2.138-40.33%0.2211✓0.742.2M2022-05-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.532.3834-5.80%1.26-50.20%0.4829✓0.49491k2022-05-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20860.196645-5.73%0.0767-63.23%0.2293✓2.26569k2022-05-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.80964.5378-5.65%2.4917-48.19%0.2916✓0.98275k2022-05-19
QNTQuantEthereum114.35107.909-5.63%68.38-40.20%0.1669✓0.923.8M2022-05-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.254826-5.62%0.1374-49.11%0.3526✓0.8436k2022-05-19
STXStacksnative1.221.1526-5.52%0.53-56.56%0.4569✓1.01447k2022-05-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6654.409-5.49%3.704-20.60%0.0604✓0.363.3M2022-05-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0214.1996-5.46%8.41-44.01%0.3932✓0.412.0M2022-05-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034610.032729-5.43%0.03198-7.60%0.1782✗0.64865k2022-05-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.449-5.40%3.64-36.81%0.1781✓0.711.1M2022-05-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3112.1881-5.32%1.079-53.31%0.2859✓1.337.3M2022-05-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025430.000024082-5.30%0.00001183-53.48%0.3534✓1.132.6M2022-05-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.9751.8706-5.29%0.893-54.78%0.4011✓1.077.8M2022-05-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1427530.135312-5.21%0.086638-39.31%0.1755✓0.865.0M2022-05-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001930.00000183-5.21%0.00000112-41.97%0.2653✓0.7110.2M2022-05-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1781.7629-5.11%51.12-40.68%0.2163✓0.803.6M2022-05-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0349260.033145-5.10%0.016399-53.05%0.3548✓1.114.5M2022-05-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.335.0606-5.05%3.34-37.34%0.1801✓0.751.3M2022-05-19
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2195.9162-4.87%2.65-57.39%0.3310✓1.5018k2022-05-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.81108.2715-4.87%72.02-36.72%0.0825✓1.0321.0M2022-05-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68670.653744-4.80%0.3406-50.40%0.3218✓1.059.4M2022-05-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8425.5542-4.79%13.4-50.07%0.3624✓0.90578k2022-05-19
NANOnanopayBase2.15292.05-4.78%1.0996-48.92%0.2708✓1.12231k2022-05-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011530.010983-4.75%0.00469-59.32%0.6587✓0.6136k2022-05-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.49650.473111-4.71%0.2027-59.17%0.7757✓0.235,8622022-05-19
XTZTezosTezos3.23423.0829-4.68%1.754-45.77%0.2351✓1.04989k2022-05-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,102.262,959.84-4.59%2,017.57-34.96%0.0526✓1.05482.4M2022-05-19
XYMSymbolnative0.10980.104807-4.55%0.0669-39.07%0.2314✓0.69840k2022-05-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2881.2295-4.54%0.824-36.02%0.0975✓0.963.5M2022-05-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2039030.194729-4.50%0.130466-36.02%0.0851✓1.0019.5M2022-05-19
DODODODOEthereum0.4080.390323-4.33%0.15-63.24%0.5855✓1.187.7M2022-05-19
TRXTRONTron0.0632230.060512-4.29%0.073383+16.07%0.4050✗0.67254k2022-05-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.3792.2775-4.27%1.122-52.84%0.4540✓0.8127k2022-05-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13860.132797-4.19%0.0909-34.42%0.0584✓1.02224k2022-05-19
HIVEHivenative0.930.891437-4.15%0.4924-47.05%0.2561✓1.071.9M2022-05-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095880.091925-4.13%0.05067-47.15%0.3231✓0.8635k2022-05-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.02220.021337-3.89%0.01368-38.38%0.1949✓0.794.7M2022-05-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.31115.1046-3.89%2.0434-61.53%0.7576✓0.505.6M2022-05-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.915.6803-3.89%4.22-28.60%0.0692✓0.721.0M2022-05-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.98913.8354-3.85%2.2129-44.53%0.3414✓0.664.6M2022-05-19
FTTFTXEthereum43.4841.8279-3.80%30.91-28.91%0.0125✓1.0019.0M2022-05-19
XMRMoneroMonero254.39244.965-3.70%165.93-34.77%0.0948✓0.931.8M2022-05-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.2513.7226-3.70%7.21-49.40%0.2859✓1.1326.2M2022-05-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045120.043483-3.63%0.02676-40.69%0.2075✓0.8867k2022-05-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.2222-3.38%1.39-39.57%0.1504✓1.01163k2022-05-19
XEMNEMnative0.10130.097941-3.32%0.0563-44.42%0.2628✓0.9267k2022-05-19
ORCAOrcaSolana1.931.8662-3.30%0.91-52.85%0.4929✓0.71238k2022-05-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.7313.2864-3.23%6.53-52.44%0.3548✓1.131.4M2022-05-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.4972.4247-2.90%1.6711-33.08%0.1308✓0.7711k2022-05-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86275.6937-2.88%5.0075-14.59%0.0189✓0.47186k2022-05-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048930.047539-2.84%0.02719-44.43%0.2410✓1.01499k2022-05-19
GTGateEthereum6.52376.3878-2.08%5.6031-14.11%0.0542✗0.594.6M2022-05-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0145820.014307-1.89%0.00901-38.21%0.1752✓0.9147k2022-05-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,503.8540,892.25-1.47%30,274.59-27.06%0.0148✓1.00544.9M2022-05-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,490.5041,074.78-1.00%30,185.70-27.25%0.0095✓0.9526k2022-05-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.716.6925-0.26%4.06-39.49%0.2655✓0.741.7M2022-05-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.145320.145336+0.01%0.07546-48.07%0.4052✗0.7918k2022-05-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.