8=======>

2022-04-17 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2425
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+39.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.7%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMGolemEthereum0.41940.420645+0.30%0.2705-35.50%0.0530✗1.46422k2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.37775.3698-0.15%2.9271-45.57%0.2843✓1.2112.0M2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0601490.059796-0.59%0.072142+19.94%0.3643✗0.66252k2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero242240.3639-0.68%172.72-28.63%0.0841✓0.931.7M2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,677.8040,395.04-0.70%30,409.80-25.24%0.0304✓0.9526k2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7934.7573-0.75%3.148-34.32%0.3121✓0.384.1M2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum6.41686.345-1.12%5.7521-10.36%0.0576✗0.594.4M2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,683.5439,109.29-1.45%30,412.12-23.36%0.0146✓1.00529.9M2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89595.8033-1.57%4.98-15.53%0.0273✓0.47177k2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.28384.1969-2.03%2.18-49.11%0.4523✓0.763.9M2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.016.8495-2.29%3.61-48.50%0.4380✓0.761.7M2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.166.0019-2.57%3.314-46.20%0.2054✓1.462.8M2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017990.017495-2.75%0.01468-18.40%0.2155✗1.4749.4M2022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.55352.4658-3.44%1.6818-34.14%0.1767✓0.7711k2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash137.47132.4963-3.62%114.63-16.61%0.1275✗1.029.2M2022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143170.137932-3.66%0.07213-49.62%0.4371✓0.7918k2022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.78104.6484-3.80%73.04-32.86%0.0852✓1.0323.4M2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,988.402,872.68-3.87%2,088.96-30.10%0.0391✓1.05448.2M2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.0741.9922-3.95%1.2954-37.54%0.1989✓0.8795k2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5613.9735-4.03%5.86-59.75%0.7596✓0.412.0M2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.4342-4.53%1.674-53.46%0.5410✓0.672.5M2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.355.1025-4.63%2.74-48.79%0.4210✓0.751.6M2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1966170.187111-4.84%0.141543-28.01%0.0128✓1.0018.8M2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum11.69511.1287-4.84%8.877-24.10%0.3533✗2.1846.3M2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.402-4.89%2.85-49.82%0.4481✓0.721.4M2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6693.4834-5.06%1.748-52.36%0.4881✓0.762.2M2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0351820.033372-5.15%0.016233-53.86%0.4237✓1.124.5M2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.18311.2715-5.15%206.73-37.01%0.1455✓0.998.6M2022-05-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-79.09e-7-5.16%7.15e-7-25.41%0.3235✓-0.31596k2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.47370.448355-5.35%0.2109-55.48%0.6972✓0.216,4692022-05-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.06250.059152-5.36%0.0343-45.12%0.3999✓0.55152k2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.2243.9962-5.39%1.905-54.90%0.5719✓0.633.4M2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.7552-5.63%0.97-47.85%0.4039✓0.71238k2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07460.070385-5.65%0.04738-36.49%0.1742✓0.8350k2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23510.221794-5.66%0.1525-35.13%0.0069✓1.38368k2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.242.1123-5.70%1.47-34.38%0.0925✓1.01163k2022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.745.4077-5.79%3.76-34.49%0.1705✓0.721.1M2022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049780.046892-5.80%0.02971-40.32%0.1847✓1.02561k2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001787-5.94%0.00000113-40.53%0.2673✓0.729.8M2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7212.8942-6.02%7.71-43.80%0.2112✓1.1426.0M2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034210.032126-6.09%0.0187-45.34%0.3677✓0.65942k2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum167.03156.8387-6.10%92.53-44.60%0.1787✓1.3113.5M2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092370.086686-6.15%0.05523-40.21%0.2196✓0.8735k2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.2320.8538-6.19%15.21-31.58%0.0320✓1.31752k2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49690.46561-6.30%0.2589-47.90%0.3757✓0.79490k2022-05-17
STXStacksnative1.131.0588-6.30%0.58-48.67%0.3349✓1.00440k2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19570.183285-6.34%0.0803-58.97%0.2171✓2.29592k2022-05-17
DASHDashDash104.497.7285-6.39%60.11-42.42%0.2111✓1.032.4M2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.1952.0539-6.43%1.231-43.92%0.2994✓0.8025k2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.00293.745-6.44%1.9688-50.82%0.4644✓0.674.8M2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5674.2725-6.45%2.115-53.69%0.2427✓1.732.6M2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.931.8049-6.48%1.21-37.31%0.1492✓0.94179k2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative19.93218.6206-6.58%14.916-25.17%0.0074✓0.865.4M2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5834.152-6.64%21.76-40.51%0.1580✓1.1016.0M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1971.1174-6.65%0.593-50.46%0.3585✓1.031.4M2022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2391.1562-6.68%0.817-34.06%0.0911✓0.963.5M2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77835.3878-6.76%1.6841-70.85%1.0221✓0.535.6M2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4576.0143-6.86%3.13-51.53%0.3551✓1.12340k2022-05-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1261.9799-6.87%0.64-69.90%0.8650✓0.9994k2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.809550.753873-6.88%0.39337-51.41%0.3844✓1.00182k2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19491.1114-6.98%0.7365-38.36%0.0780✓1.2511.9M2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum110.99103.2189-7.00%74.46-32.91%0.0805✓0.924.0M2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9420.875823-7.03%0.3614-61.63%0.5099✓1.41231k2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8060.74915-7.05%0.342-57.57%0.4230✓1.362.7M2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7754.4316-7.19%3.057-35.98%0.1139✓0.9772k2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.2321.5502-7.23%11.46-50.67%0.3388✓1.1031.7M2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4324.489-7.34%13.66-48.32%0.3433✓0.90636k2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8713.7375-7.62%5.35-64.02%0.8120✓0.492.9M2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7112.6628-7.64%12.44-9.26%0.3296✗1.312.5M2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23850.220118-7.71%0.1493-37.40%0.1606✓0.861.7M2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum148.41136.916-7.74%74.69-49.67%0.2857✓1.2076k2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.53246.0217-7.82%4.2187-35.42%0.0450✓1.17216k2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.03590.954587-7.85%0.61254-40.87%0.1382✓1.15143k2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000088780.000081787-7.88%0.00004936-44.40%0.2384✓1.009.5M2022-05-17
LUNATerraTerra 277.2871.1846-7.89%0.00019-100.00%12.4954✓1.277.7M2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393710.128337-7.92%0.090151-35.32%0.1244✓0.865.0M2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.3780.347732-8.01%0.168-55.56%0.4156✓1.177.4M2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04920.045219-8.09%0.0167-66.06%0.5462✓1.6938.1M2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.010360.009521-8.10%0.00546-47.30%0.2472✓1.161.7M2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.62.3889-8.12%1.16-55.38%0.5889✓0.50546k2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11170.102618-8.13%0.0697-37.60%0.2003✓0.70820k2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13640.12514-8.26%0.0907-33.50%0.0498✓1.02224k2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3350.306984-8.36%0.2022-39.64%0.0705✓1.301.6M2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.19250.176353-8.39%0.0892-53.66%0.3768✓1.15251k2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64490.590597-8.42%0.3906-39.43%0.1357✓1.049.8M2022-05-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7032.4741-8.47%1.413-47.72%0.2962✓0.993.8M2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.009516-8.50%0.00512-50.77%0.3088✓1.173.4M2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2812.1451-8.55%6.53-50.83%0.3195✓1.131.5M2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.88580.808864-8.69%0.5411-38.91%0.1157✓1.082.0M2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1155.5792-8.76%4.126-32.53%0.1236✓0.671.8M2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7291.5773-8.78%0.913-47.19%0.2645✓1.067.8M2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.9180.837302-8.79%0.38048-58.55%0.4419✓1.301.5M2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos3.092.8182-8.80%1.8568-39.91%0.1384✓1.051.0M2022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.6276.2611-8.80%55.75-33.33%0.1004✓0.803.5M2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.258.4275-8.89%5.47-40.86%0.1500✓1.068.8M2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.4568.7347-8.90%34.38-54.43%0.3565✓1.2694.4M2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043620.039682-9.03%0.02904-33.43%0.0774✓0.8867k2022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase36.4733.1737-9.04%22.14-39.29%0.0454✓1.35431k2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.743-9.15%1.83-55.58%0.3422✓1.40713k2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,713.4916,994.31-9.19%9,984.13-46.65%0.2362✓1.115.0M2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.09710.088082-9.29%0.0614-36.77%0.1154✓0.9261k2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2220.201337-9.31%0.12-45.95%0.2010✓1.193.2M2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140590.012749-9.32%0.008963-36.25%0.1105✓0.9147k2022-05-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.620.562185-9.32%0.253-59.19%0.5060✓1.105.9M2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017490.015858-9.33%0.0104-40.54%0.1559✓1.002.1M2022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.676938-9.38%0.384-48.59%0.3302✓0.892.9M2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.2419-9.40%0.1311-50.90%0.3845✓0.8636k2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9215.3563-9.54%2.75-53.56%0.2657✓1.5118k2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06640.060049-9.56%0.0353-46.84%0.2139✓1.19555k2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.7416.0432-9.56%11.02-37.88%0.0943✓1.0619.0M2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana100.1890.5861-9.58%57.02-43.08%0.1303✓1.25147.4M2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1941.9835-9.59%1.389-36.69%0.0012✓1.347.7M2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0272570.024633-9.63%0.015368-43.62%0.2898✓0.68195k2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010130.009154-9.64%0.00561-44.62%0.1731✓1.19565k2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.880.794927-9.67%0.39763-54.81%0.5661✓0.48169k2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration168.62152.3169-9.67%82.04-51.35%0.3387✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4631.3195-9.81%0.958-34.52%0.0498✓1.021.1M2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5134.0675-9.87%2.034-54.93%0.4186✓1.03119k2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024680.000022231-9.92%0.00001255-49.15%0.2692✓1.142.8M2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6417.6872-9.94%10.34-47.35%0.1768✓1.35226k2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.022240.019984-10.14%0.01407-36.74%0.1375✓0.804.9M2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.51924.0589-10.18%2.5786-42.94%0.1933✓0.98280k2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.91480.820447-10.31%0.577-36.93%0.0763✓1.0468.9M2022-05-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71080.637442-10.32%0.4947-30.40%0.0035✓0.9418.3M2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.28320.253896-10.35%0.1804-36.30%0.0305✓1.17524k2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072350.064808-10.42%0.04094-43.41%0.1792✓1.05121k2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34860.312225-10.43%0.1798-48.42%0.2386✓1.1810.5M2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.22.8654-10.45%1.43-55.31%0.3633✓1.256.7M2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004060.003635-10.46%0.00144-64.53%0.5985✓1.239.6M2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.840.094-10.50%32.03-28.50%0.0438✓1.0115.1M2022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.724790.647561-10.66%0.4149-42.76%0.1670✓1.05180k2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.370.33027-10.74%0.1418-61.68%0.3626✓1.812.3M2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32340.288604-10.76%0.1452-55.10%0.2995✓1.469.4M2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase2.0741.844-11.09%1.1607-44.04%0.1687✓1.11243k2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum9.768.6729-11.14%4.73-51.54%0.2989✓1.154.7M2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.05321.8245-11.14%1.2159-40.78%0.1037✓1.141.6M2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.11680.103782-11.15%0.0711-39.13%0.0718✓1.15952k2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4114.5779-11.16%8.62-47.47%0.2507✓1.0318.5M2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57310.508667-11.24%0.346-39.63%0.0523✓1.25967k2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11340.100309-11.54%0.0562-50.44%0.3000✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum3.5543.1434-11.55%1.765-50.34%0.2482✓1.24749k2022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.1742-11.58%0.623-53.09%0.2925✓1.283.4M2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011680.010321-11.63%0.00443-62.07%0.6797✓0.6235k2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.7028-11.77%0.91-52.85%0.2731✓1.331.6M2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6876660.606126-11.86%0.424817-38.22%0.0597✓1.113.2M2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.717.3139-12.11%8.56-56.55%0.4074✓1.1210.9M2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8540.749699-12.21%0.5004-41.41%0.0413✓1.36870k2022-05-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.1224-12.44%2.58-55.90%0.2819✓1.52665k2022-05-17
MOVRMoonriverBase57.227649.9324-12.75%24.7107-56.82%0.3126✓1.47223k2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.23330.203266-12.87%0.121-48.14%0.1591✓1.353.5M2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.895388-13.07%0.38508-62.61%0.5297✓1.18798k2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.180.156388-13.12%0.0913-49.28%0.2167✓1.219.4M2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0044.3444-13.18%2.883-42.39%0.0637✓1.307.3M2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.4739.2188-13.75%22.4-50.74%0.2200✓1.288.8M2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.63.9526-14.07%2.04-55.65%0.4060✓0.96785k2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.532328-14.14%0.20963-66.19%0.5341✓1.49478k2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2210.189162-14.41%0.0712-67.78%0.7989✓0.67100k2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022830.019418-14.95%0.00905-60.36%0.4585✓1.15374k2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.431.213-15.17%0.629-56.01%0.3934✓0.9963k2022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4221.2041-15.32%0.74-47.96%0.1357✓1.32555k2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.281.925-15.57%1.1-51.75%0.2691✓1.091.2M2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8453.2048-16.65%1.399-63.62%0.4464✓1.44720k2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.69390.558989-19.44%0.2547-63.29%0.6683✓0.44814k2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.