8=======>

2022-03-12 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0693
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.3%
in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0141710.014208+0.26%0.015747+11.12%0.1221✓0.72143k2022-03-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013550.013575+0.19%0.01279-5.61%0.0219✗1.4112.7M2022-03-13
MOVRMoonriverBase48.553348.6226+0.14%45.1-7.11%0.0396✗1.34175k2022-03-13
TRXTRONTron0.0596310.059706+0.13%0.059286-0.58%0.0112✓0.69265k2022-03-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28750.287855+0.12%0.2898+0.80%0.0422✓1.33857k2022-03-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,000.0039,040.50+0.10%37,704.30-3.32%0.0089✗0.9742k2022-03-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3752.3769+0.08%2.25-5.26%0.0265✗1.06555k2022-03-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.7577.7887+0.05%75.36-3.07%0.0116✗0.75899k2022-03-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.763.7617+0.05%3.71-1.33%0.0247✓1.45341k2022-03-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,813.0238,824.27+0.03%37,793.01-2.63%0.0003✓1.00700.4M2022-03-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00350.003501+0.03%0.00336-4.00%0.0015✗1.495.3M2022-03-13
XEMNEMnative0.09330.093323+0.02%0.0913-2.14%0.0010✓0.8640k2022-03-13
NANOnanopayBase1.71811.7182+0.01%1.6373-4.70%0.0195✗1.08133k2022-03-13
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.377024+0.01%0.364-3.45%0.0052✗1.133.3M2022-03-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.1613.1608+0.01%12.71-3.42%0.0055✗1.1045.9M2022-03-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.114730.114737+0.01%0.111494-2.82%0.0054✗0.873.1M2022-03-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9781.978+0.00%1.919-2.98%0.0052✓1.339.5M2022-03-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.458.4496-0.00%8.2-2.96%0.0020✓1.056.3M2022-03-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.711.7098-0.01%1.63-4.68%0.0200✓1.05343k2022-03-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.8492-0.01%5.75-1.71%0.0029✗0.75931k2022-03-13
ADACardanoCardano0.78970.789568-0.02%0.7875-0.28%0.0250✗1.0470.9M2022-03-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.302,568.71-0.02%2,516.41-2.06%0.0074✗1.05511.3M2022-03-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0390.03899-0.03%0.03768-3.38%0.0107✓0.8826k2022-03-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022130.000022123-0.03%0.00002153-2.71%0.0048✗1.203.5M2022-03-13
XYMSymbolnative0.13530.135248-0.04%0.133-1.70%0.0052✗0.82292k2022-03-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70.699725-0.04%0.6804-2.80%0.0014✓1.007.6M2022-03-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41070.410527-0.04%0.4011-2.34%0.0133✗1.37407k2022-03-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6914.6889-0.04%4.629-1.32%0.0126✗0.9576k2022-03-13
SOLSolanaSolana81.4481.3985-0.05%78.75-3.30%0.0008✗1.27100.5M2022-03-13
DASHDashDash99.0999.0381-0.05%93.78-5.36%0.0277✓1.011.5M2022-03-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06790.067864-0.05%0.0674-0.74%0.0187✗0.96152k2022-03-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70510.704696-0.06%0.6813-3.38%0.0054✓1.0718.4M2022-03-13
HIVEHivenative0.86610.8656-0.06%0.829-4.28%0.0128✓1.141.8M2022-03-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.146420.14633-0.06%0.14262-2.60%0.0022✓0.8816k2022-03-13
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.9082-0.06%2.78-4.47%0.0158✓1.106.1M2022-03-13
GTGateEthereum6.45196.4476-0.07%6.2488-3.15%0.0136✓0.672.8M2022-03-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.315.3065-0.07%5.25-1.13%0.0254✗1.36583k2022-03-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1191.1182-0.07%1.073-4.11%0.0146✓1.003.0M2022-03-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.024663-0.07%0.02433-1.42%0.0063✗0.753.2M2022-03-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.9470.8898-0.07%67.97-4.19%0.0067✓1.33120.2M2022-03-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.6154.6117-0.07%4.381-5.07%0.0261✓0.95122k2022-03-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21920.219024-0.08%0.2266+3.38%0.0566✗0.851.9M2022-03-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02320.023181-0.08%0.02245-3.23%0.0029✓1.10384k2022-03-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6817.6655-0.08%17.25-2.43%0.0029✗1.006.7M2022-03-13
KSMKusamaHydration123.75123.6454-0.08%117.74-4.86%0.0188✓1.13664k2022-03-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3291.3278-0.09%1.312-1.28%0.0141✗0.98711k2022-03-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.6981-0.09%12.22-3.86%0.0095✓1.09331k2022-03-13
XTZTezosTezos3.01953.0164-0.10%2.9117-3.57%0.0048✓1.151.2M2022-03-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.2926.2628-0.10%25.38-3.46%0.0075✓1.004.7M2022-03-13
AAVEAaveEthereum120.43120.3006-0.11%115.63-3.99%0.0066✓1.247.0M2022-03-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.717.6808-0.11%17.54-0.90%0.0280✗1.35260k2022-03-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.58105.4643-0.11%101.69-3.68%0.0092✓1.0226.4M2022-03-13
XVSVenusEthereum8.578.5603-0.11%8.26-3.62%0.0070✓1.083.3M2022-03-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1811.1796-0.12%1.151-2.54%0.0087✗1.252.2M2022-03-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07880.078702-0.12%0.0962+22.08%0.2378✗1.39494k2022-03-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,392.2518,369.07-0.13%18,034.56-1.94%0.0071✗0.955.3M2022-03-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7770.776-0.13%0.745-4.12%0.0050✓1.342.0M2022-03-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.690.689095-0.13%0.6829-1.03%0.0274✗1.37112k2022-03-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.29950.299102-0.13%0.2937-1.94%0.0194✗1.4110.5M2022-03-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.1571-0.13%2.09-3.24%0.0056✓0.98151k2022-03-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001777-0.15%0.00000174-2.25%0.0049✓0.6213.3M2022-03-13
QTUMQtumQtum5.8175.8084-0.15%5.5491-4.60%0.0146✓1.16148k2022-03-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49390.493169-0.15%0.478-3.22%0.0099✓0.80456k2022-03-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0716.0458-0.15%15.75-1.99%0.0094✗1.0515.5M2022-03-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31850.31802-0.15%0.3341+4.90%0.0823✗1.247.6M2022-03-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.6227.5775-0.15%27.22-1.45%0.0112✗0.91925k2022-03-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.589069-0.16%0.58-1.69%0.0272✗1.60745k2022-03-13
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3445.3355-0.16%5.225-2.23%0.0146✗1.3425k2022-03-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3181.3159-0.16%1.3-1.37%0.0252✗1.40583k2022-03-13
COMPCompoundEthereum102.32102.1515-0.16%98.79-3.45%0.0038✓1.1143k2022-03-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9720.970355-0.17%0.926-4.73%0.0224✓0.921.0M2022-03-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.662870.661735-0.17%0.67151+1.30%0.0458✗1.17118k2022-03-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.071.0682-0.17%1.05-1.87%0.0118✗1.09573k2022-03-13
FTTFTXEthereum40.9340.8594-0.17%39.8-2.76%0.0018✗1.0516.3M2022-03-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06650.066384-0.17%0.0636-4.36%0.0114✓1.18574k2022-03-13
ORCAOrcaSolana2.062.0563-0.18%2.04-0.97%0.0105✗0.69213k2022-03-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.713.6755-0.18%13.44-1.90%0.0050✓0.473.2M2022-03-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.35481.3524-0.18%1.3-4.04%0.0045✓1.31289k2022-03-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6260.624873-0.18%0.605-3.35%0.0076✓0.932.4M2022-03-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.19340.193044-0.18%0.1939+0.26%0.0404✗1.352.1M2022-03-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.99531.9916-0.19%2.0246+1.47%0.0365✗0.7520k2022-03-13
SCSiacoinnative0.008750.008734-0.19%0.0083-5.14%0.0210✓1.12489k2022-03-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.011510.011488-0.19%0.011138-3.23%0.0048✓0.9811k2022-03-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048150.048055-0.20%0.04657-3.28%0.0018✓1.11481k2022-03-13
KCSKuCoinnative18.01517.9789-0.20%17.691-1.80%0.0093✗0.958.3M2022-03-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1824.1732-0.21%3.91-6.50%0.0312✓1.282.3M2022-03-13
XLMStellarStellar0.185150.184757-0.21%0.176342-4.76%0.0195✓1.0219.7M2022-03-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4671.4639-0.21%1.398-4.70%0.0187✓1.031.7M2022-03-13
XECeCashnative0.000073390.000073233-0.21%0.00007348+0.12%0.0300✗1.004.2M2022-03-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.5913.5604-0.22%12.73-6.33%0.0289✓1.292.2M2022-03-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2250.224499-0.22%0.221-1.78%0.0069✗0.8552k2022-03-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016790.016752-0.22%0.01603-4.53%0.0177✓0.991.4M2022-03-13
QNTQuantEthereum115.96115.692-0.23%111.99-3.42%0.0074✓0.945.2M2022-03-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.99463.9851-0.24%3.931-1.59%0.0121✗0.97204k2022-03-13
BANDBandEthereum3.3773.3689-0.24%3.308-2.04%0.0125✗1.15977k2022-03-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9722.9116-0.25%22.26-3.09%0.0058✗1.30875k2022-03-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1090.108722-0.25%0.106-2.75%0.0110✓0.5444k2022-03-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.31042.3045-0.26%2.256-2.36%0.0109✗1.212.4M2022-03-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011760.01173-0.26%0.01167-0.77%0.0152✗0.7611k2022-03-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.92290.1741-0.26%279.78-3.83%0.0113✓0.947.2M2022-03-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.02611.0235-0.26%0.99147-3.38%0.0008✓1.16112k2022-03-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.1262.1203-0.27%2.066-2.82%0.0043✓0.8118k2022-03-13
RADRadworksEthereum4.324.3085-0.27%4.43+2.55%0.0524✗0.92521k2022-03-13
PROPropyEthereum1.471.466-0.27%1.5+2.04%0.0528✗1.12307k2022-03-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.14841.1453-0.27%1.0999-4.22%0.0044✓1.352.6M2022-03-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14780.147397-0.27%0.1446-2.17%0.0084✗1.03253k2022-03-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.70950.707558-0.27%0.7095+0.00%0.0118✗0.34959k2022-03-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2630.262263-0.28%0.354+34.60%0.3314✗1.181.8M2022-03-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4949960.493589-0.28%0.47407-4.23%0.0122✓1.062.1M2022-03-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0396920.039576-0.29%0.039353-0.85%0.0207✗0.995.3M2022-03-13
API3Api3Ethereum5.014.9952-0.30%4.835-3.49%0.0157✓0.647.0M2022-03-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.2127.1287-0.30%26.25-3.53%0.0020✓1.1645.1M2022-03-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011450.011414-0.31%0.01121-2.10%0.0151✗1.243.1M2022-03-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11510.114718-0.33%0.1131-1.74%0.0177✗1.202.9M2022-03-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05390.05372-0.33%0.0539+0.00%0.0492✗1.7247.7M2022-03-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071340.071094-0.34%0.0675-5.38%0.0227✓1.1054k2022-03-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84895.8287-0.35%5.8335-0.26%0.0115✗0.40189k2022-03-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38970.38835-0.35%0.364-6.59%0.0133✓1.932.2M2022-03-13
ZENHorizenBase37.4837.3493-0.35%36.36-2.99%0.0080✗1.31261k2022-03-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.6146.447-0.35%45.18-3.07%0.0059✗1.265.4M2022-03-13
XVGVergenative0.009640.009606-0.35%0.00883-8.40%0.0535✓1.151.4M2022-03-13
FIDABonfidaSolana1.651.6442-0.35%1.578-4.36%0.0190✓0.8364k2022-03-13
AVTAventusEthereum2.182.172-0.37%2.14-1.83%0.0042✓0.40277k2022-03-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.631.6239-0.37%1.59-2.45%0.0129✗1.281.4M2022-03-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1318.0582-0.40%17.22-5.02%0.0180✓1.1125.2M2022-03-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8125.7877-0.42%5.491-5.52%0.0260✓1.00462k2022-03-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091080.090694-0.42%0.0888-2.50%0.0034✓0.9235k2022-03-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068460.068169-0.42%0.0678-0.96%0.0175✗0.8613k2022-03-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67240.669352-0.45%0.6265-6.83%0.0323✓1.273.1M2022-03-13
ZECZcashZcash151.6150.9052-0.46%155+2.24%0.0536✗1.017.6M2022-03-13
DIADIAEthereum0.90.895847-0.46%0.87-3.33%0.0201✓0.34274k2022-03-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.25760.256403-0.46%0.2459-4.54%0.0110✓1.16217k2022-03-13
XMRMoneroMonero184.77183.8681-0.49%176.15-4.67%0.0183✓0.921.5M2022-03-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.13182.1212-0.50%2.0346-4.56%0.0189✓0.86112k2022-03-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.454.4277-0.50%4.823+8.38%0.1050✗0.73509k2022-03-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.4790.476584-0.50%0.472-1.46%0.0170✗1.004,7232022-03-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.20060.199556-0.52%0.194-3.29%0.0037✓1.202.3M2022-03-13
LUNATerraTerra 286.0385.5727-0.53%87.46+1.66%0.0595✗1.417.6M2022-03-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.21390.212622-0.60%0.2172+1.54%0.0479✗1.00142k2022-03-13
STXStacksnative1.321.3119-0.62%1.22-7.58%0.0487✓0.90419k2022-03-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.695.6536-0.64%6.27+10.19%0.1236✗0.75604k2022-03-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.546.498-0.64%6.56+0.31%0.0302✗0.78625k2022-03-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.74652.7272-0.70%2.5839-5.92%0.0322✓0.824.1M2022-03-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9272.9051-0.75%3.576+22.17%0.2292✗0.80330k2022-03-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041020.040708-0.76%0.0383-6.63%0.0411✓0.751.1M2022-03-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.148.0687-0.88%8.22+0.98%0.0383✗0.74946k2022-03-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.053.0207-0.96%4.399+44.23%0.3959✗0.75427k2022-03-13
UMAUMAEthereum7.7687.6904-1.00%7.326-5.69%0.0134✓1.324.8M2022-03-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.652.6223-1.04%2.443-7.81%0.0442✓1.0053k2022-03-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8651.8411-1.28%1.693-9.22%0.0581✓0.973.3M2022-03-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010860.000001071-1.41%0.00000117+7.70%0.1150✗1.001.5M2022-03-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.9311.7383-1.61%11.77-1.34%0.0177✗0.561.2M2022-03-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.11354.036-1.89%3.9184-4.74%0.0113✓0.683.4M2022-03-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0324.8743-3.13%4.8654-3.31%0.0182✓0.752.4M2022-03-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.5976.383-3.24%5.547-15.92%0.1272✓0.491.6M2022-03-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.52899.0909-4.60%7.7392-18.78%0.1343✓1.0019.7M2022-03-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.