2022-03-01 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2093

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+24.40%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.8%

in alpha space · 86.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.45%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	8.094	7.4325	-8.17%	5.195	-35.82%	0.3700	✓	0.49	2.9M	2022-03-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7018	1.5768	-7.34%	1.3868	-18.51%	0.1591	✓	1.27	278k	2022-03-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.447	8.9336	-5.43%	7.803	-17.40%	0.1696	✓	1.42	1.9M	2022-03-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	89.72	85.3684	-4.85%	102.96	+14.76%	0.1527	✗	1.43	4.8M	2022-03-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.27	8.0352	-2.84%	9.25	+11.85%	0.1186	✗	0.92	461k	2022-03-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3652	1.3281	-2.71%	1.2649	-7.34%	0.0817	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-03-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.5724	2.5056	-2.60%	3.2595	+26.71%	0.2416	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-31
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.81	1.7725	-2.07%	1.839	+1.60%	0.0161	✓	0.86	76k	2022-03-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.06949	-1.15%	0.0684	-2.70%	0.0585	✓	1.76	76.7M	2022-03-31
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0519	-0.77%	1.1	+3.77%	0.0383	✗	0.27	286k	2022-03-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.193	3.1779	-0.47%	6.061	+89.82%	0.6226	✗	0.95	741k	2022-03-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049485	0.049293	-0.39%	0.041867	-15.39%	0.1891	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1523	0.151855	-0.29%	0.1461	-4.07%	0.0583	✓	0.81	294k	2022-03-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.7575	-0.21%	13.89	-12.03%	0.1433	✓	0.71	2.2M	2022-03-31
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.11e-7	6.10e-7	-0.10%	8.72e-7	+42.71%	0.3324	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9861	1.9854	-0.04%	2.5204	+26.90%	0.2134	✗	1.04	75k	2022-03-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0729	0.072918	+0.02%	0.09183	+25.97%	0.2062	✓	1.01	12k	2022-03-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.96	87.0082	+0.06%	97.42	+12.03%	0.0784	✓	1.43	118.3M	2022-03-31
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.123125	+0.10%	0.174	+41.46%	0.3327	✓	0.54	44k	2022-03-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04187	0.041923	+0.13%	0.05271	+25.89%	0.2050	✓	0.99	29k	2022-03-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9499	5.9578	+0.13%	5.834	-1.95%	0.0284	✗	0.31	433k	2022-03-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.502	4.5105	+0.19%	8.197	+82.07%	0.5770	✓	0.84	435k	2022-03-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.4656	+0.23%	2.68	+8.94%	0.0592	✓	1.00	263k	2022-03-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07633	0.076576	+0.32%	0.09501	+24.47%	0.1855	✓	1.25	69k	2022-03-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.01	100.3829	+0.37%	127.13	+27.12%	0.2089	✓	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8371	2.85	+0.45%	2.6098	-8.01%	0.1171	✗	1.20	3.3M	2022-03-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.9	18.9988	+0.52%	21.35	+12.96%	0.0873	✓	1.21	29.4M	2022-03-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5765	0.579682	+0.55%	0.5966	+3.49%	0.0067	✓	0.91	642k	2022-03-31
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.33	2.3445	+0.62%	2.68	+15.02%	0.1096	✓	1.00	443k	2022-03-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.51	6.5514	+0.64%	6.53	+0.31%	0.0246	✗	0.88	452k	2022-03-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.14	31.3727	+0.75%	28.9	-7.19%	0.1098	✗	1.14	50.3M	2022-03-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.245	1.2546	+0.77%	2.101	+68.76%	0.4899	✓	1.06	1.3M	2022-03-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.68	88.3678	+0.78%	94.5	+7.78%	0.0468	✓	0.84	905k	2022-03-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16553	0.166863	+0.81%	0.16325	-1.38%	0.0507	✗	1.19	24k	2022-03-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.746	20.9249	+0.86%	20.465	-1.35%	0.0463	✗	0.99	9.5M	2022-03-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.227	4.2654	+0.91%	4.893	+15.76%	0.1057	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-03-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2579	2.284	+1.16%	2.8148	+24.66%	0.1917	✓	0.71	26k	2022-03-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012374	+1.18%	0.01312	+7.28%	0.0406	✓	0.74	13k	2022-03-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2576	0.260675	+1.19%	0.2695	+4.62%	0.0112	✓	0.91	2.0M	2022-03-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	119.02	120.5373	+1.27%	178.39	+49.88%	0.3647	✓	1.13	7.2M	2022-03-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.14	10.27	+1.28%	16.52	+62.92%	0.4593	✓	0.66	928k	2022-03-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7053	6.8055	+1.49%	8.2842	+23.55%	0.1641	✓	1.34	226k	2022-03-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.396	2.433	+1.55%	2.756	+15.03%	0.1026	✓	0.91	23k	2022-03-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1615	0.164124	+1.62%	0.1579	-2.23%	0.0635	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	57.19	58.1507	+1.68%	63.53	+11.09%	0.0571	✓	1.30	6.7M	2022-03-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.86	31.3889	+1.71%	31.27	+1.33%	0.0263	✗	0.93	1.5M	2022-03-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.224	1.2453	+1.74%	1.51	+23.37%	0.1638	✓	1.20	2.9M	2022-03-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.98	21.3548	+1.79%	24.45	+16.54%	0.1083	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.25	47.1307	+1.90%	48.83	+5.58%	0.0095	✓	1.07	22.8M	2022-03-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.52	5.6279	+1.95%	7.78	+40.94%	0.3031	✓	0.86	510k	2022-03-31
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.00000203	+2.02%	0.00000214	+7.54%	0.0366	✓	0.66	14.0M	2022-03-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01146	0.011708	+2.16%	0.01361	+18.76%	0.1168	✓	1.39	2.8M	2022-03-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,439.95	45,407.78	+2.18%	45,528.45	+2.45%	0.0215	✓	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,139.10	45,107.11	+2.19%	45,846.40	+3.87%	0.0073	✓	0.97	52k	2022-03-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.89	0.910391	+2.29%	1.212	+36.18%	0.2551	✓	1.28	2.3M	2022-03-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.26	27.9081	+2.38%	27.75	+1.80%	0.0390	✗	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.94	128.9701	+2.41%	149.85	+18.99%	0.1206	✓	1.22	58k	2022-03-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3058	0.313164	+2.41%	0.3602	+17.79%	0.1080	✓	1.32	328k	2022-03-31
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.6461	+2.56%	2.3	-10.85%	0.1644	✗	1.00	488k	2022-03-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0282	0.028929	+2.59%	0.03408	+20.85%	0.1318	✓	1.33	500k	2022-03-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09224	0.094639	+2.60%	0.12603	+36.63%	0.2608	✓	1.06	43k	2022-03-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	328.78	337.331	+2.60%	384.15	+16.84%	0.1065	✓	0.97	7.6M	2022-03-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.35	31.1473	+2.63%	47.48	+56.44%	0.3955	✓	1.08	5.2M	2022-03-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.071	3.1524	+2.65%	3.891	+26.70%	0.1890	✓	0.89	218k	2022-03-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8	0.821319	+2.66%	0.8523	+6.54%	0.0106	✓	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7582	0.778408	+2.67%	1.1908	+57.06%	0.3914	✓	1.39	2.5M	2022-03-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,977.72	3,057.14	+2.67%	3,283.08	+10.25%	0.0460	✓	1.04	561.7M	2022-03-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1362	0.139979	+2.77%	0.2417	+77.46%	0.5150	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1217	3.2087	+2.79%	4.4084	+41.22%	0.2965	✓	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.1097	0.112774	+2.80%	0.1183	+7.84%	0.0243	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	177.8	182.8171	+2.82%	212.94	+19.76%	0.1283	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.01044	0.010748	+2.95%	0.01339	+28.26%	0.1897	✓	1.24	1.3M	2022-03-31
STX	Stacks	native	1.29	1.328	+2.95%	1.44	+11.63%	0.0519	✓	1.20	596k	2022-03-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002713	0.000027933	+2.96%	0.00002586	-4.68%	0.1074	✗	1.25	3.9M	2022-03-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2804	4.4079	+2.98%	5.4868	+28.18%	0.1913	✓	1.14	244k	2022-03-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01249	0.012862	+2.98%	0.016106	+28.95%	0.1999	✓	1.03	15k	2022-03-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007896	0.000081316	+2.98%	0.00009285	+17.59%	0.1061	✓	1.10	4.5M	2022-03-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9643	0.993497	+3.03%	1.1417	+18.40%	0.1121	✓	1.11	97.3M	2022-03-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.7184	+3.07%	0.915	+31.28%	0.2160	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-03-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4918	3.6022	+3.16%	3.7255	+6.69%	0.0026	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-31
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0352	1.0683	+3.20%	1.2151	+17.38%	0.0999	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-03-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1048	0.108343	+3.38%	0.1229	+17.27%	0.0899	✓	1.50	613k	2022-03-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7553	6.9886	+3.45%	6.6752	-1.19%	0.0629	✗	0.70	2.8M	2022-03-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.062179	0.06439	+3.56%	0.073796	+18.68%	0.1178	✓	0.77	299k	2022-03-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.617	1.6748	+3.58%	2.033	+25.73%	0.1660	✓	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133991	0.138832	+3.61%	0.138112	+3.08%	0.0280	✓	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.573577	0.594487	+3.65%	0.773803	+34.91%	0.2362	✓	1.13	2.8M	2022-03-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198927	0.206258	+3.69%	0.228422	+14.83%	0.0762	✓	1.07	20.5M	2022-03-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	112.65	116.9035	+3.78%	123.87	+9.96%	0.0308	✓	1.12	29.5M	2022-03-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.522	1.5826	+3.98%	1.775	+16.62%	0.0878	✓	1.12	939k	2022-03-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	98.7	102.6275	+3.98%	122.86	+24.48%	0.1495	✓	1.26	131.2M	2022-03-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,756.24	22,635.88	+4.04%	22,229.80	+2.18%	0.0418	✗	0.98	5.9M	2022-03-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1954	0.203302	+4.04%	0.2832	+44.93%	0.2984	✓	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8569	0.891861	+4.08%	0.9295	+8.47%	0.0140	✓	1.13	20.7M	2022-03-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.9964	+4.11%	6.73	+0.15%	0.0513	✗	0.51	1.2M	2022-03-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0786	0.081834	+4.11%	0.0852	+8.40%	0.0087	✓	1.31	1.0M	2022-03-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02885	0.030047	+4.15%	0.02695	-6.59%	0.1275	✗	0.77	4.1M	2022-03-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.55	144.3207	+4.17%	188.49	+36.04%	0.2391	✓	1.15	973k	2022-03-31
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5394	0.56247	+4.28%	0.5827	+8.03%	0.0133	✓	2.01	2.1M	2022-03-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.339	+4.28%	5.41	+5.66%	0.0112	✓	1.01	828k	2022-03-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.771	6.0199	+4.31%	6.001	+3.99%	0.0285	✓	1.05	181k	2022-03-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.823	7.1214	+4.37%	7.189	+5.36%	0.0243	✓	1.39	27k	2022-03-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.36	16.0359	+4.40%	16.93	+10.22%	0.0257	✓	1.18	52.2M	2022-03-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.479	0.500332	+4.45%	0.518	+8.14%	0.0035	✓	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.35	9.7746	+4.54%	11.81	+26.31%	0.1598	✓	1.21	3.4M	2022-03-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00979	0.010235	+4.55%	0.01207	+23.29%	0.1345	✓	1.25	563k	2022-03-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.34	41.1635	+4.64%	48.75	+23.92%	0.1341	✓	1.45	280k	2022-03-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0846	1.1352	+4.66%	1.3386	+23.42%	0.1326	✓	1.33	175k	2022-03-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2318	0.242624	+4.67%	0.2732	+17.86%	0.0831	✓	1.47	2.6M	2022-03-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.99	2.0862	+4.84%	2.24	+12.56%	0.0390	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.09	14.7915	+4.98%	15.65	+11.07%	0.0299	✓	1.09	331k	2022-03-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02045	0.021481	+5.04%	0.02088	+2.10%	0.0547	✗	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.9341	+5.11%	1.57	-14.67%	0.2378	✗	1.21	452k	2022-03-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04868	0.051256	+5.29%	0.05488	+12.74%	0.0392	✓	1.20	681k	2022-03-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.445	5.7337	+5.30%	6.029	+10.73%	0.0282	✓	0.91	71k	2022-03-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.02	23.2145	+5.42%	25.7	+16.71%	0.0669	✓	1.44	328k	2022-03-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.34	10.9072	+5.49%	11.29	+9.19%	0.0060	✓	1.18	10.8M	2022-03-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	119.35	125.947	+5.53%	137.61	+15.30%	0.0646	✓	0.99	6.4M	2022-03-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75556	0.797606	+5.56%	0.86577	+14.59%	0.0488	✓	1.37	206k	2022-03-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.34	20.4368	+5.67%	21	+8.58%	0.0008	✓	1.16	20.6M	2022-03-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.203	3.3859	+5.71%	4.122	+28.69%	0.1761	✓	0.85	477k	2022-03-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01656	0.017511	+5.74%	0.03531	+113.22%	0.6647	✓	1.52	12.5M	2022-03-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.824799	+5.74%	0.82	+5.13%	0.0473	✓	1.71	1.0M	2022-03-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9211	2.0331	+5.83%	2.4796	+29.07%	0.1701	✓	1.18	179k	2022-03-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00471	0.004985	+5.84%	0.00431	-8.49%	0.1852	✗	1.64	9.6M	2022-03-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.82	7.2236	+5.92%	7.31	+7.18%	0.0223	✓	1.41	942k	2022-03-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.18	2.3091	+5.92%	2.65	+21.56%	0.1095	✓	1.17	354k	2022-03-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3996	0.423773	+6.05%	0.4674	+16.97%	0.0634	✓	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.607	1.7099	+6.40%	1.795	+11.70%	0.0136	✓	1.45	863k	2022-03-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	5.1777	+6.54%	6	+23.46%	0.1108	✓	1.51	456k	2022-03-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.47	3.697	+6.54%	4.41	+27.09%	0.1458	✓	1.26	6.8M	2022-03-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7268	0.775909	+6.76%	1.071	+47.36%	0.3140	✓	0.35	1.2M	2022-03-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	66.4156	71.214	+7.22%	66.8749	+0.69%	0.0963	✗	1.38	223k	2022-03-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.242	0.2598	+7.36%	0.283	+16.94%	0.0648	✓	0.86	59k	2022-03-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4218	0.452996	+7.40%	0.4968	+17.78%	0.0525	✓	1.64	14.7M	2022-03-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0922	3.3214	+7.41%	4.2237	+36.59%	0.2190	✓	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8359	0.901549	+7.85%	1.1619	+39.00%	0.2186	✓	1.45	270k	2022-03-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.318	0.34389	+8.14%	0.609	+91.51%	0.5399	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.177	4.5175	+8.15%	6.818	+63.23%	0.3817	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03426	0.037075	+8.22%	0.0405	+18.21%	0.0666	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0743	0.080469	+8.30%	0.0836	+12.52%	0.0143	✓	0.99	155k	2022-03-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	143.34	155.6327	+8.58%	207	+44.41%	0.2528	✓	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3753	0.40758	+8.60%	0.4698	+25.18%	0.1092	✓	1.36	8.7M	2022-03-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5253	0.57258	+9.00%	0.6676	+27.09%	0.1203	✓	1.37	484k	2022-03-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.29	1.4105	+9.34%	1.41	+9.30%	0.0256	✓	1.04	885k	2022-03-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.546	2.7901	+9.59%	2.638	+3.61%	0.0914	✓	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.26	16.7745	+9.92%	18.07	+18.41%	0.0386	✓	1.48	2.4M	2022-03-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.582	1.7439	+10.23%	2.352	+48.67%	0.2737	✓	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.328	1.4672	+10.48%	1.594	+20.03%	0.0512	✓	1.31	2.0M	2022-03-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022682	0.025104	+10.68%	0.03269	+44.12%	0.2432	✓	0.86	124k	2022-03-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.626	2.9554	+12.54%	3.115	+18.62%	0.0204	✓	1.33	584k	2022-03-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.