2022-03-01 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1579

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.42%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

47.7%

in alpha space · 29.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.19%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.447	9.2062	-2.55%	8.421	-10.86%	0.0722	✓	1.42	1.9M	2022-03-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	8.094	8.0161	-0.96%	7.3	-9.81%	0.0877	✓	0.49	2.9M	2022-03-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.27	8.2151	-0.66%	7.94	-3.99%	0.0231	✓	0.92	461k	2022-03-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.069874	-0.61%	0.0655	-6.83%	0.0436	✓	1.76	76.7M	2022-03-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7582	0.754236	-0.52%	0.7291	-3.84%	0.0172	✓	1.39	2.5M	2022-03-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7018	1.6941	-0.45%	1.6226	-4.65%	0.0280	✓	1.27	278k	2022-03-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	89.72	89.3307	-0.43%	92.43	+3.02%	0.0512	✗	1.43	4.8M	2022-03-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.5724	2.5643	-0.31%	2.7751	+7.88%	0.0896	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.193	3.1871	-0.19%	2.99	-6.36%	0.0525	✓	0.95	741k	2022-03-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1048	0.104618	-0.17%	0.0991	-5.44%	0.0363	✓	1.50	613k	2022-03-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5394	0.538627	-0.14%	0.5029	-6.77%	0.0446	✓	2.01	2.1M	2022-03-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3652	1.3635	-0.12%	1.389	+1.75%	0.0348	✗	1.36	2.8M	2022-03-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4218	0.421348	-0.11%	0.4033	-4.39%	0.0241	✓	1.64	14.7M	2022-03-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9861	1.9843	-0.09%	1.9592	-1.36%	0.0003	✓	1.04	75k	2022-03-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049485	0.04944	-0.09%	0.04679	-5.45%	0.0423	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.245	1.244	-0.08%	1.164	-6.51%	0.0538	✓	1.06	1.3M	2022-03-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07633	0.076274	-0.07%	0.07258	-4.91%	0.0347	✓	1.25	69k	2022-03-02
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.81	1.8088	-0.07%	2.237	+23.59%	0.2227	✗	0.86	76k	2022-03-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.14	31.1254	-0.05%	32.25	+3.56%	0.0492	✗	1.14	50.3M	2022-03-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	57.19	57.1703	-0.03%	55.59	-2.80%	0.0125	✓	1.30	6.7M	2022-03-02
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0598	-0.02%	1.02	-3.77%	0.0351	✓	0.27	286k	2022-03-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.7888	-0.01%	16.15	+2.28%	0.0311	✗	0.71	2.2M	2022-03-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.46	+0.00%	2.43	-1.22%	0.0003	✗	1.00	263k	2022-03-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.96	86.961	+0.00%	83.42	-4.07%	0.0245	✗	1.43	118.3M	2022-03-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.9	18.9008	+0.00%	18.61	-1.53%	0.0010	✗	1.21	29.4M	2022-03-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01146	0.011462	+0.02%	0.01231	+7.42%	0.0880	✓	1.39	2.8M	2022-03-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01249	0.012494	+0.03%	0.012216	-2.19%	0.0101	✗	1.03	15k	2022-03-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.51	6.5121	+0.03%	6.43	-1.23%	0.0022	✗	0.88	452k	2022-03-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.227	4.2284	+0.03%	4.016	-4.99%	0.0360	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-03-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1523	0.15235	+0.03%	0.149	-2.17%	0.0125	✗	0.81	294k	2022-03-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.99	1.9907	+0.04%	1.93	-3.02%	0.0151	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.26	27.2698	+0.04%	26.56	-2.57%	0.0099	✗	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.071	3.0724	+0.05%	2.98	-2.96%	0.0199	✗	0.89	218k	2022-03-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.01	100.0565	+0.05%	100.9	+0.89%	0.0219	✓	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0729	0.07294	+0.05%	0.0714	-2.06%	0.0093	✗	1.01	12k	2022-03-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,756.24	21,771.03	+0.07%	22,346.94	+2.72%	0.0378	✓	0.98	5.9M	2022-03-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0282	0.028221	+0.07%	0.0268	-4.96%	0.0358	✗	1.33	500k	2022-03-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2579	2.2596	+0.08%	2.2311	-1.19%	0.0042	✗	0.71	26k	2022-03-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9499	5.9544	+0.08%	5.9424	-0.13%	0.0016	✓	0.31	433k	2022-03-02
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.11e-7	6.11e-7	+0.08%	6.29e-7	+3.00%	0.0407	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.98	20.9991	+0.09%	20.73	-1.19%	0.0004	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1615	0.161652	+0.09%	0.1595	-1.24%	0.0012	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-02
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.33	2.3323	+0.10%	2.35	+0.86%	0.0195	✓	1.00	443k	2022-03-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5765	0.577108	+0.11%	0.5665	-1.73%	0.0077	✗	0.91	642k	2022-03-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2576	0.257872	+0.11%	0.2571	-0.19%	0.0079	✓	0.91	2.0M	2022-03-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.89	0.891012	+0.11%	0.917	+3.03%	0.0441	✓	1.28	2.3M	2022-03-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4918	3.4958	+0.11%	3.494	+0.06%	0.0148	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.224	1.2254	+0.12%	1.202	-1.80%	0.0050	✗	1.20	2.9M	2022-03-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.14	10.1521	+0.12%	10.14	+0.00%	0.0067	✓	0.66	928k	2022-03-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,439.95	44,493.75	+0.12%	43,912.34	-1.19%	0.0012	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,139.10	44,193.93	+0.12%	44,262.00	+0.28%	0.0132	✓	0.97	52k	2022-03-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8	0.801032	+0.13%	0.7872	-1.60%	0.0044	✗	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8371	2.8408	+0.13%	2.7532	-2.96%	0.0170	✗	1.20	3.3M	2022-03-02
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.5834	+0.13%	2.52	-2.33%	0.0129	✗	1.00	488k	2022-03-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.68	87.7967	+0.13%	86.11	-1.79%	0.0094	✗	0.84	905k	2022-03-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.502	4.5081	+0.13%	4.505	+0.07%	0.0094	✓	0.84	435k	2022-03-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198927	0.199195	+0.13%	0.193624	-2.67%	0.0156	✗	1.07	20.5M	2022-03-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.29	1.2918	+0.14%	1.25	-3.10%	0.0185	✗	1.20	596k	2022-03-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	119.02	119.1829	+0.14%	125.91	+5.79%	0.0684	✓	1.13	7.2M	2022-03-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0352	1.0366	+0.14%	0.9988	-3.52%	0.0229	✗	1.19	2.1M	2022-03-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002713	0.000027167	+0.14%	0.00002591	-4.50%	0.0324	✗	1.25	3.9M	2022-03-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.746	20.7747	+0.14%	20.355	-1.88%	0.0085	✗	0.99	9.5M	2022-03-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16553	0.165762	+0.14%	0.16542	-0.07%	0.0122	✓	1.19	24k	2022-03-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.52	5.5278	+0.14%	5.57	+0.91%	0.0178	✓	0.86	510k	2022-03-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.82	6.8297	+0.14%	6.64	-2.64%	0.0113	✗	1.41	942k	2022-03-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.86	30.9049	+0.15%	30.37	-1.59%	0.0064	✗	0.93	1.5M	2022-03-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	98.7	98.844	+0.15%	100.73	+2.06%	0.0339	✓	1.26	131.2M	2022-03-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01656	0.016585	+0.15%	0.01634	-1.33%	0.0032	✓	1.52	12.5M	2022-03-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.34	10.3559	+0.15%	10.05	-2.80%	0.0159	✗	1.18	10.8M	2022-03-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.36	15.3836	+0.15%	15.29	-0.46%	0.0080	✓	1.18	52.2M	2022-03-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	4.8675	+0.15%	4.65	-4.32%	0.0277	✗	1.51	456k	2022-03-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.34	39.4029	+0.16%	38.92	-1.07%	0.0050	✓	1.45	280k	2022-03-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.1282	+0.16%	5.59	+9.18%	0.0983	✓	1.01	828k	2022-03-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04187	0.041937	+0.16%	0.04078	-2.60%	0.0161	✗	0.99	29k	2022-03-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00471	0.004718	+0.17%	0.00469	-0.42%	0.0136	✓	1.64	9.6M	2022-03-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.94	126.1514	+0.17%	122.45	-2.77%	0.0152	✗	1.22	58k	2022-03-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.09	14.114	+0.17%	13.69	-2.84%	0.0174	✗	1.09	331k	2022-03-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.396	2.4002	+0.18%	2.298	-4.09%	0.0326	✗	0.91	23k	2022-03-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.8432	+0.18%	1.82	-1.09%	0.0018	✓	1.21	452k	2022-03-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.617	1.6199	+0.18%	1.59	-1.67%	0.0049	✗	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.823	6.8352	+0.18%	6.7	-1.80%	0.0033	✗	1.39	27k	2022-03-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8569	0.858441	+0.18%	0.8204	-4.26%	0.0318	✗	1.13	20.7M	2022-03-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9643	0.966043	+0.18%	0.9394	-2.58%	0.0147	✗	1.11	97.3M	2022-03-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02045	0.020487	+0.18%	0.01892	-7.48%	0.0666	✗	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.522	1.5249	+0.19%	1.496	-1.71%	0.0058	✗	1.12	939k	2022-03-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2318	0.232242	+0.19%	0.2308	-0.43%	0.0113	✓	1.47	2.6M	2022-03-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007896	0.000079111	+0.19%	0.00007594	-3.82%	0.0278	✗	1.10	4.5M	2022-03-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	177.8	178.1463	+0.19%	177.46	-0.19%	0.0081	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0786	0.078755	+0.20%	0.0775	-1.40%	0.0005	✓	1.31	1.0M	2022-03-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.55	138.8233	+0.20%	138.31	-0.17%	0.0101	✓	1.15	973k	2022-03-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.203	3.2093	+0.20%	3.114	-2.78%	0.0200	✗	0.85	477k	2022-03-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1954	0.195788	+0.20%	0.197	+0.82%	0.0225	✓	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.35	9.3687	+0.20%	9.78	+4.60%	0.0575	✓	1.21	3.4M	2022-03-02
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.000001994	+0.20%	0.00000196	-1.51%	0.0093	✗	0.66	14.0M	2022-03-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.35	30.4118	+0.20%	29.52	-2.73%	0.0169	✗	1.08	5.2M	2022-03-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.479	0.479984	+0.21%	0.468	-2.30%	0.0099	✗	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.062179	0.062308	+0.21%	0.061505	-1.08%	0.0038	✗	0.77	299k	2022-03-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7053	6.7193	+0.21%	6.4867	-3.26%	0.0192	✗	1.34	226k	2022-03-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01044	0.010462	+0.21%	0.01037	-0.67%	0.0060	✓	1.24	1.3M	2022-03-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7553	6.7695	+0.21%	6.803	+0.71%	0.0133	✓	0.70	2.8M	2022-03-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0869	+0.21%	1.0742	-0.96%	0.0042	✓	1.33	175k	2022-03-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,977.72	2,984.17	+0.22%	2,948.56	-0.98%	0.0005	✓	1.04	561.7M	2022-03-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1217	3.1285	+0.22%	3.0322	-2.87%	0.0208	✗	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.34	19.3837	+0.23%	19.31	-0.16%	0.0100	✓	1.16	20.6M	2022-03-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.123285	+0.23%	0.116	-5.69%	0.0544	✗	0.54	44k	2022-03-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09224	0.092454	+0.23%	0.091	-1.34%	0.0032	✗	1.06	43k	2022-03-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.698625	+0.23%	0.703	+0.86%	0.0190	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-03-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1362	0.136518	+0.23%	0.1299	-4.63%	0.0343	✗	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3996	0.400536	+0.23%	0.397	-0.65%	0.0082	✓	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2804	4.2905	+0.24%	4.413	+3.10%	0.0418	✓	1.14	244k	2022-03-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3058	0.30654	+0.24%	0.2945	-3.70%	0.0243	✗	1.32	328k	2022-03-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	143.34	143.6954	+0.25%	137.7	-3.93%	0.0266	✗	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133991	0.134336	+0.26%	0.133081	-0.68%	0.0018	✓	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00979	0.009816	+0.26%	0.00957	-2.25%	0.0103	✗	1.25	563k	2022-03-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.02	22.0778	+0.26%	20.76	-5.72%	0.0444	✗	1.44	328k	2022-03-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	328.78	329.6572	+0.27%	320.43	-2.54%	0.0168	✗	0.97	7.6M	2022-03-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.29	1.2935	+0.27%	1.27	-1.55%	0.0058	✗	1.04	885k	2022-03-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.1097	0.109996	+0.27%	0.1064	-3.01%	0.0216	✗	0.97	41k	2022-03-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	112.65	112.9597	+0.27%	110.35	-2.04%	0.0100	✗	1.12	29.5M	2022-03-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012264	+0.28%	0.01235	+0.98%	0.0158	✓	0.74	13k	2022-03-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02885	0.028931	+0.28%	0.02832	-1.84%	0.0121	✗	0.77	4.1M	2022-03-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.573577	0.575191	+0.28%	0.570611	-0.52%	0.0055	✓	1.13	2.8M	2022-03-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.782204	+0.28%	0.75	-3.85%	0.0216	✗	1.71	1.0M	2022-03-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75556	0.757739	+0.29%	0.73047	-3.32%	0.0203	✗	1.37	206k	2022-03-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.25	46.3838	+0.29%	46.16	-0.19%	0.0079	✓	1.07	22.8M	2022-03-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.771	5.788	+0.30%	6.038	+4.63%	0.0548	✓	1.05	181k	2022-03-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.626	2.6338	+0.30%	2.895	+10.24%	0.1104	✓	1.33	584k	2022-03-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.74	+0.30%	6.71	-0.15%	0.0017	✓	0.51	1.2M	2022-03-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.18	2.1865	+0.30%	2.13	-2.29%	0.0123	✗	1.17	354k	2022-03-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.47	3.4804	+0.30%	3.41	-1.73%	0.0054	✗	1.26	6.8M	2022-03-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022682	0.022751	+0.31%	0.021073	-7.09%	0.0663	✗	0.86	124k	2022-03-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04868	0.048831	+0.31%	0.04875	+0.14%	0.0127	✓	1.20	681k	2022-03-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.318	0.319003	+0.32%	0.308	-3.14%	0.0195	✗	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.445	5.4625	+0.32%	5.551	+1.95%	0.0270	✓	0.91	71k	2022-03-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0922	3.1022	+0.32%	3.0297	-2.02%	0.0131	✗	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.607	1.6123	+0.33%	1.548	-3.67%	0.0235	✗	1.45	863k	2022-03-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03426	0.034378	+0.34%	0.03397	-0.85%	0.0012	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5253	0.527108	+0.34%	0.5144	-2.08%	0.0080	✗	1.37	484k	2022-03-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.546	2.5548	+0.34%	2.647	+3.97%	0.0529	✓	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.328	1.3327	+0.35%	1.359	+2.33%	0.0352	✓	1.31	2.0M	2022-03-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9211	1.9283	+0.38%	1.8782	-2.23%	0.0123	✗	1.18	179k	2022-03-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	66.4156	66.667	+0.38%	71.55	+7.73%	0.0872	✓	1.38	223k	2022-03-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	119.35	119.8115	+0.39%	117.95	-1.17%	0.0039	✓	0.99	6.4M	2022-03-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8359	0.839137	+0.39%	0.8082	-3.31%	0.0203	✗	1.45	270k	2022-03-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3753	0.376815	+0.40%	0.3742	-0.29%	0.0093	✓	1.36	8.7M	2022-03-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0743	0.074616	+0.43%	0.0754	+1.48%	0.0222	✓	0.99	155k	2022-03-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7268	0.7301	+0.45%	0.7242	-0.36%	0.0040	✓	0.35	1.2M	2022-03-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.582	1.5895	+0.47%	1.464	-7.46%	0.0697	✗	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.177	4.197	+0.48%	3.976	-4.81%	0.0394	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.26	15.3366	+0.50%	15.16	-0.66%	0.0061	✓	1.48	2.4M	2022-03-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.242	0.243274	+0.53%	0.247	+2.07%	0.0254	✓	0.86	59k	2022-03-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.