2022-02-28 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2759

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+19.12%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

75.5%

in alpha space · 90.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.529	6.9802	-7.29%	5.642	-25.06%	0.2535	✓	0.47	2.3M	2022-03-30
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6754	1.5559	-7.13%	1.47	-12.26%	0.1665	✓	1.27	272k	2022-03-30
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.38	85.9999	-5.89%	105.96	+15.96%	0.0833	✗	1.46	4.5M	2022-03-30
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.4391	2.3838	-2.27%	3.4679	+42.18%	0.2992	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-30
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3278	1.3091	-1.41%	1.3034	-1.84%	0.1216	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-30
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.55	7.4713	-1.04%	9.04	+19.74%	0.1133	✗	0.90	461k	2022-03-30
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.132	0.130715	-0.97%	0.151	+14.39%	0.0947	✗	0.58	44k	2022-03-30
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049264	0.048981	-0.57%	0.043539	-11.62%	0.2101	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-30
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.228	7.1902	-0.52%	8.072	+11.68%	0.0007	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-03-30
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1531	0.152311	-0.52%	0.1493	-2.48%	0.0905	✓	0.82	295k	2022-03-30
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0649	-0.47%	1.07	+0.00%	0.0188	✓	0.27	286k	2022-03-30
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.317	3.3029	-0.42%	6.347	+91.35%	0.5698	✗	0.97	741k	2022-03-30
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04194	0.041868	-0.17%	0.05135	+22.44%	0.1182	✗	1.00	29k	2022-03-30
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.51	100.3484	-0.16%	132.65	+31.98%	0.1810	✗	1.14	1.5M	2022-03-30
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4413	+0.05%	2.77	+13.52%	0.0396	✓	1.01	254k	2022-03-30
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.836	1.8392	+0.18%	1.937	+5.50%	0.0235	✗	0.87	76k	2022-03-30
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.070463	+0.23%	0.0808	+14.94%	0.0165	✗	1.78	76.7M	2022-03-30
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.565	4.5762	+0.24%	7.08	+55.09%	0.3629	✓	0.85	435k	2022-03-30
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.52	2.5273	+0.29%	2.73	+8.33%	0.0090	✗	1.00	486k	2022-03-30
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		88.67	88.9375	+0.30%	97.98	+10.50%	0.0239	✓	0.85	905k	2022-03-30
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.38	31.4904	+0.35%	30.02	-4.33%	0.1472	✗	1.15	50.3M	2022-03-30
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8507	2.8645	+0.49%	2.7035	-5.16%	0.1622	✗	1.21	3.2M	2022-03-30
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.40e-7	6.44e-7	+0.50%	9.33e-7	+45.74%	0.2855	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-30
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.677	20.7861	+0.53%	21.318	+3.10%	0.0611	✗	1.00	9.3M	2022-03-30
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.95	19.0527	+0.54%	22.46	+18.52%	0.0593	✓	1.22	27.9M	2022-03-30
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5607	0.563935	+0.58%	0.5854	+4.41%	0.0409	✗	0.91	641k	2022-03-30
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0695	0.06992	+0.60%	0.08935	+28.56%	0.1589	✓	1.00	12k	2022-03-30
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.18	16.2903	+0.68%	13.77	-14.89%	0.2301	✗	0.72	2.2M	2022-03-30
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.6	6.6463	+0.70%	6.66	+0.91%	0.0746	✗	0.89	452k	2022-03-30
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.59	85.2443	+0.77%	95.57	+12.98%	0.0093	✗	1.44	116.5M	2022-03-30
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.477	2.4975	+0.83%	2.741	+10.66%	0.0129	✓	0.93	21k	2022-03-30
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9258	5.9797	+0.91%	6.0877	+2.73%	0.0087	✓	0.31	385k	2022-03-30
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16639	0.167983	+0.96%	0.16978	+2.04%	0.0938	✗	1.21	27k	2022-03-30
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.934	3.9807	+1.19%	4.904	+24.66%	0.0972	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-03-30
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01231	0.012459	+1.21%	0.01346	+9.34%	0.0131	✓	0.75	12k	2022-03-30
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07201	0.07292	+1.26%	0.09268	+28.70%	0.1331	✓	1.24	69k	2022-03-30
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.72	22.0084	+1.33%	25.9	+19.24%	0.0650	✓	1.14	8.6M	2022-03-30
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.68	120.3084	+1.37%	192.01	+61.79%	0.3696	✓	1.14	7.2M	2022-03-30
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.95	46.6318	+1.48%	51.17	+11.36%	0.0001	✓	1.08	20.8M	2022-03-30
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.236	1.2565	+1.66%	2.11	+70.71%	0.4260	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-30
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7163	1.7451	+1.68%	2.6562	+54.77%	0.3331	✓	1.01	72k	2022-03-30
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.4925	6.6066	+1.76%	8.8728	+36.66%	0.1796	✓	1.34	184k	2022-03-30
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1612	0.164152	+1.83%	0.1668	+3.47%	0.0729	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-30
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.9	31.4729	+1.85%	31.8	+2.91%	0.0702	✗	0.94	1.5M	2022-03-30
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.15	10.3401	+1.87%	15.89	+56.55%	0.3722	✓	0.67	928k	2022-03-30
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,192.66	44,055.26	+2.00%	47,078.03	+9.00%	0.0198	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-30
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,136.20	44,002.57	+2.01%	47,057.40	+9.09%	0.0169	✓	0.98	46k	2022-03-30
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.51	5.622	+2.03%	8.17	+48.28%	0.2996	✓	0.86	510k	2022-03-30
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.00000203	+2.03%	0.00000212	+6.53%	0.0145	✓	0.67	14.0M	2022-03-30
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	339.27	346.2507	+2.06%	380.29	+12.09%	0.0088	✓	0.99	7.3M	2022-03-30
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.029	0.029625	+2.15%	0.03322	+14.55%	0.0007	✓	1.34	494k	2022-03-30
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.64	2.6984	+2.21%	2.38	-9.85%	0.2117	✗	1.00	490k	2022-03-30
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2454	0.251002	+2.28%	0.293	+19.40%	0.0768	✓	0.91	1.9M	2022-03-30
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1929	2.2437	+2.31%	2.6933	+22.82%	0.1218	✓	0.71	26k	2022-03-30
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7967	0.815828	+2.40%	0.892	+11.96%	0.0051	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-30
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09213	0.094404	+2.47%	0.11481	+24.62%	0.1039	✓	1.07	45k	2022-03-30
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.115	3.195	+2.57%	3.964	+27.26%	0.1382	✓	0.90	218k	2022-03-30
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.964	0.989698	+2.67%	1.1906	+23.51%	0.0883	✓	1.12	96.0M	2022-03-30
STX	Stacks	native	1.25	1.284	+2.72%	1.54	+23.20%	0.0790	✓	1.19	610k	2022-03-30
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2345	4.3526	+2.79%	5.69	+34.37%	0.1694	✓	1.14	244k	2022-03-30
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.5483	3.6474	+2.79%	3.8297	+7.93%	0.0626	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-03-30
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,923.08	3,004.74	+2.79%	3,386.68	+15.86%	0.0296	✓	1.05	540.3M	2022-03-30
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.877	0.901641	+2.81%	1.12	+27.71%	0.1061	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-03-30
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.53	31.393	+2.83%	49.64	+62.59%	0.3646	✓	1.09	5.1M	2022-03-30
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.42	55.9685	+2.85%	64.42	+18.38%	0.0295	✓	1.29	6.7M	2022-03-30
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.36	27.1125	+2.85%	30.69	+16.43%	0.0048	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-30
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.164	1.1973	+2.86%	1.385	+18.99%	0.0413	✓	1.21	2.9M	2022-03-30
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2945	0.302975	+2.88%	0.3732	+26.72%	0.0946	✓	1.32	367k	2022-03-30
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007869	0.000080963	+2.89%	0.00009555	+21.43%	0.0706	✓	1.10	4.4M	2022-03-30
XEM	NEM	native	0.1081	0.111256	+2.92%	0.1223	+13.14%	0.0108	✓	0.97	40k	2022-03-30
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.71	6.9062	+2.92%	6.7657	+0.83%	0.0818	✗	0.71	2.8M	2022-03-30
XMR	Monero	Monero	170.31	175.507	+3.05%	221.39	+29.99%	0.1467	✓	0.99	1.0M	2022-03-30
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.75	124.4867	+3.09%	156.18	+29.34%	0.1224	✓	1.21	64k	2022-03-30
XVG	Verge	native	0.01037	0.010693	+3.12%	0.01212	+16.88%	0.0177	✓	1.25	1.2M	2022-03-30
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061786	0.063729	+3.14%	0.073058	+18.24%	0.0702	✓	0.77	286k	2022-03-30
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01099	0.011343	+3.21%	0.01386	+26.11%	0.0807	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-03-30
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133451	0.137754	+3.22%	0.142853	+7.05%	0.0450	✗	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-30
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.719619	+3.25%	0.818	+17.36%	0.0354	✓	1.08	2.4M	2022-03-30
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.575051	0.593985	+3.29%	0.818426	+42.32%	0.2223	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-03-30
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.197675	0.204273	+3.34%	0.234742	+18.75%	0.0467	✓	1.07	19.8M	2022-03-30
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.875	6.0713	+3.34%	6.28	+6.89%	0.0576	✗	1.06	189k	2022-03-30
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.505	1.5574	+3.48%	1.838	+22.13%	0.0691	✓	1.12	931k	2022-03-30
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8684	0.89868	+3.49%	0.9268	+6.73%	0.0679	✗	1.15	20.7M	2022-03-30
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	113.82	117.7977	+3.49%	131.12	+15.20%	0.0098	✓	1.13	29.3M	2022-03-30
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1196	3.2294	+3.52%	4.3201	+38.48%	0.2150	✓	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-30
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02937	0.03044	+3.64%	0.02759	-6.06%	0.1657	✗	0.78	4.1M	2022-03-30
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012148	0.012607	+3.77%	0.015574	+28.20%	0.1225	✓	1.03	16k	2022-03-30
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,589.29	22,408.83	+3.80%	24,045.64	+11.38%	0.0142	✓	0.98	5.7M	2022-03-30
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0214	0.022244	+3.94%	0.02037	-4.81%	0.1832	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-30
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1303	0.13545	+3.95%	0.2226	+70.84%	0.3863	✓	1.28	2.9M	2022-03-30
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2321	0.241301	+3.96%	0.2868	+23.57%	0.0449	✓	1.48	2.6M	2022-03-30
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1925	0.20015	+3.97%	0.3009	+56.31%	0.2895	✓	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-30
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.74	103.7275	+4.00%	120.79	+21.10%	0.0423	✓	1.28	127.4M	2022-03-30
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.9155	+4.10%	1.69	-8.15%	0.2303	✗	1.22	483k	2022-03-30
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	130.28	135.6451	+4.12%	188.4	+44.61%	0.2300	✓	1.14	930k	2022-03-30
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002579	0.000026864	+4.17%	0.00002736	+6.09%	0.0887	✗	1.24	3.8M	2022-03-30
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.13	20.9783	+4.21%	21.81	+8.35%	0.0624	✗	1.18	21.3M	2022-03-30
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.571	1.6372	+4.22%	2.108	+34.18%	0.1538	✓	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-30
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.6	6.8807	+4.25%	6.85	+3.79%	0.0485	✗	0.51	1.1M	2022-03-30
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.14	15.7909	+4.30%	17.23	+13.80%	0.0148	✓	1.18	53.4M	2022-03-30
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9803	1.0227	+4.32%	1.1817	+20.54%	0.0429	✓	1.18	2.0M	2022-03-30
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00968	0.010105	+4.39%	0.01247	+28.82%	0.1019	✓	1.26	546k	2022-03-30
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00439	0.004587	+4.49%	0.00461	+5.01%	0.1352	✗	1.63	9.6M	2022-03-30
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.33	9.7559	+4.56%	11.27	+20.79%	0.0391	✓	1.22	3.1M	2022-03-30
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.75	7.0598	+4.59%	7.714	+14.28%	0.0319	✓	1.40	27k	2022-03-30
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.21	2.313	+4.66%	2.66	+20.36%	0.0384	✓	1.18	343k	2022-03-30
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.2	14.8686	+4.71%	16.49	+16.13%	0.0085	✓	1.10	331k	2022-03-30
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0426	1.0926	+4.80%	1.4172	+35.93%	0.1456	✓	1.33	162k	2022-03-30
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.63	5.9079	+4.94%	6.258	+11.15%	0.0232	✓	0.94	68k	2022-03-30
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04871	0.05113	+4.97%	0.05567	+14.29%	0.0193	✓	1.21	686k	2022-03-30
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.461	0.484442	+5.08%	0.546	+18.44%	0.0092	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-03-30
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.078	0.082101	+5.26%	0.0883	+13.21%	0.0409	✓	1.32	1.0M	2022-03-30
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7584	0.798398	+5.27%	1.0802	+42.43%	0.2716	✓	0.36	1.3M	2022-03-30
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	11.0863	+5.28%	11.74	+11.49%	0.0452	✓	1.19	10.8M	2022-03-30
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.85	5.1077	+5.31%	5.49	+13.20%	0.0138	✓	1.00	828k	2022-03-30
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5696	0.600652	+5.45%	1.2858	+125.74%	0.6471	✓	1.32	2.4M	2022-03-30
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9381	2.044	+5.46%	2.5355	+30.82%	0.1131	✓	1.19	179k	2022-03-30
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3943	0.416079	+5.52%	0.4469	+13.34%	0.0524	✓	1.44	1.2M	2022-03-30
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.91	40.0046	+5.53%	49.86	+31.52%	0.0960	✓	1.44	280k	2022-03-30
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	115.74	122.1472	+5.54%	143.18	+23.71%	0.0740	✓	0.99	6.3M	2022-03-30
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.233	3.4123	+5.55%	4.213	+30.31%	0.1358	✓	0.87	477k	2022-03-30
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74117	0.782902	+5.63%	0.89959	+21.37%	0.0204	✓	1.38	206k	2022-03-30
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.504	0.532833	+5.72%	0.5986	+18.77%	0.0559	✗	2.00	2.1M	2022-03-30
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	22.3919	+5.82%	25.48	+20.42%	0.0055	✓	1.44	325k	2022-03-30
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	5.1432	+5.83%	5.61	+15.43%	0.0440	✓	1.52	430k	2022-03-30
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.79	7.1868	+5.84%	7.88	+16.05%	0.0302	✓	1.42	1.1M	2022-03-30
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.54	3.7471	+5.85%	4.47	+26.27%	0.0668	✓	1.27	6.8M	2022-03-30
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.86	1.9689	+5.85%	2.41	+29.57%	0.0886	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-30
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.566	1.6634	+6.22%	1.793	+14.50%	0.0497	✓	1.45	863k	2022-03-30
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03503	0.037229	+6.28%	0.04133	+17.98%	0.0266	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-30
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.763	72.0305	+6.30%	69.3339	+2.32%	0.1584	✗	1.40	214k	2022-03-30
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.75	0.797989	+6.40%	0.8	+6.67%	0.1452	✗	1.72	995k	2022-03-30
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0857	0.091498	+6.77%	0.1259	+46.91%	0.1929	✓	1.47	613k	2022-03-30
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01796	0.01924	+7.13%	0.03793	+111.19%	0.5454	✓	1.55	12.5M	2022-03-30
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.83	156.3496	+7.21%	223.52	+53.27%	0.2409	✓	1.35	6.6M	2022-03-30
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1104	3.3423	+7.46%	4.3	+38.25%	0.1753	✓	0.89	2.4M	2022-03-30
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.154	4.4667	+7.53%	6.643	+59.92%	0.2902	✓	1.24	2.3M	2022-03-30
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.823	0.885172	+7.55%	1.2646	+53.66%	0.2315	✓	1.45	270k	2022-03-30
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.236	0.254182	+7.70%	0.291	+23.31%	0.0618	✓	0.85	59k	2022-03-30
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3772	0.407133	+7.94%	0.4825	+27.92%	0.0519	✓	1.37	8.7M	2022-03-30
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.36	1.4692	+8.03%	1.52	+11.76%	0.0577	✓	1.06	932k	2022-03-30
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.073	0.078995	+8.21%	0.0871	+19.32%	0.0125	✓	0.99	160k	2022-03-30
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5007	0.542843	+8.42%	0.6894	+37.69%	0.1210	✓	1.37	484k	2022-03-30
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.308	0.335437	+8.91%	0.666	+116.23%	0.5733	✓	1.31	2.1M	2022-03-30
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3657	0.399529	+9.25%	0.4822	+31.86%	0.0489	✓	1.62	14.6M	2022-03-30
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.37	16.8003	+9.31%	19.25	+25.24%	0.0082	✓	1.49	2.4M	2022-03-30
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022655	0.024769	+9.33%	0.03562	+57.23%	0.2894	✓	0.86	117k	2022-03-30
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.352	1.48	+9.46%	1.747	+29.22%	0.0524	✓	1.32	2.0M	2022-03-30
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.442	2.6733	+9.47%	2.814	+15.23%	0.0745	✓	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-30
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.564	1.7329	+10.80%	2.64	+68.80%	0.3304	✓	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-30
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.664	2.9801	+11.87%	3.313	+24.36%	0.0092	✓	1.34	584k	2022-03-30

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.