2022-02-25 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3659

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+24.03%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

54.3%

in alpha space · 16.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+19.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.019236	+5.75%	0.03666	+101.54%	0.3604	✓	1.60	12.7M	2022-03-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.06054	+1.78%	0.069166	+16.29%	0.0134	✓	0.83	286k	2022-03-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	39,773.75	+1.36%	46,850.01	+19.40%	0.0135	✓	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.4221	+1.34%	2.864	+19.83%	0.0817	✗	1.41	572k	2022-03-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.765	+1.29%	4.2578	+55.97%	0.2588	✓	0.98	2.3M	2022-03-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	39,842.64	+1.16%	46,722.30	+18.63%	0.0108	✓	0.96	49k	2022-03-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.7577	+0.97%	4.1683	+52.62%	0.2487	✓	0.93	2.9M	2022-03-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.099164	+0.67%	0.1176	+19.39%	0.0151	✗	1.05	38k	2022-03-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	125.421	+0.66%	173.98	+39.63%	0.1137	✓	1.20	930k	2022-03-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.6846	+0.61%	6.49	+14.87%	0.0156	✗	0.84	430k	2022-03-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.5859	+0.58%	3.779	+46.99%	0.2320	✓	0.83	207k	2022-03-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	93.4326	+0.57%	133.07	+43.24%	0.1532	✓	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.465395	+0.43%	0.7181	+54.96%	0.1710	✓	1.48	572k	2022-03-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	9.2635	+0.15%	11.42	+23.46%	0.0281	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-03-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.068913	+0.02%	0.0851	+23.51%	0.0254	✓	1.05	168k	2022-03-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.3805	-0.07%	16.87	+17.23%	0.0600	✓	1.24	59.6M	2022-03-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.2936	-0.12%	8.4	+58.49%	0.3093	✗	0.86	435k	2022-03-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.222928	-0.17%	0.275	+23.15%	0.0322	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	6.118	-0.24%	8.5079	+38.73%	0.0735	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.8727	-0.24%	2.5487	+35.77%	0.0910	✗	1.23	196k	2022-03-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.3084	-0.34%	7.13	+12.64%	0.0479	✗	0.42	1.2M	2022-03-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.038766	-0.34%	0.0495	+27.25%	0.0546	✗	1.07	30k	2022-03-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.898729	-0.35%	1.1454	+27.00%	0.0168	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.190449	-0.36%	0.229866	+20.26%	0.0093	✓	1.11	20.5M	2022-03-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008767	-0.37%	0.0124	+40.91%	0.1179	✗	1.29	546k	2022-03-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.895658	-0.45%	1.1845	+31.65%	0.0732	✗	1.16	97.3M	2022-03-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.7578	-0.56%	16.11	+25.57%	0.0516	✗	1.02	340k	2022-03-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.5272	-0.57%	2.32	+51.04%	0.2238	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	84.2641	-0.63%	95	+12.03%	0.0371	✓	0.89	946k	2022-03-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.126933	-0.66%	0.144798	+13.32%	0.0456	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,751.09	-0.67%	3,296.29	+19.02%	0.0108	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.5773	-0.71%	7.01	+52.06%	0.2882	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0741	-0.76%	2.79	+33.49%	0.0790	✗	1.23	343k	2022-03-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	92.1112	-0.79%	107.09	+15.35%	0.0781	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-03-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	4.0568	-0.84%	6.005	+46.79%	0.2461	✗	0.82	414k	2022-03-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000024618	-0.85%	0.00002557	+2.98%	0.2019	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.8942	-0.89%	7.939	+60.77%	0.3183	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-03-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.8887	-0.90%	6.421	+30.16%	0.1259	✗	0.83	65k	2022-03-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.1075	-1.01%	10.9	+18.48%	0.0494	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	108.2246	-1.01%	129.68	+18.61%	0.0302	✓	1.19	29.5M	2022-03-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.209946	-1.02%	0.2582	+21.74%	0.0635	✓	1.53	3.3M	2022-03-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.045609	-1.04%	0.05681	+23.26%	0.0011	✓	1.24	703k	2022-03-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.2458	-1.07%	6.5917	+4.41%	0.0853	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.3006	-1.10%	1.595	+21.29%	0.0397	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.226367	-1.15%	0.271	+18.34%	0.0285	✗	0.85	57k	2022-03-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4362	-1.15%	1.749	+20.37%	0.0147	✓	1.19	963k	2022-03-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.4572	-1.17%	5.33	+18.18%	0.0171	✗	0.91	696k	2022-03-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.022445	-1.18%	0.040217	+77.07%	0.3956	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.441429	-1.25%	0.49	+9.62%	0.1396	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-03-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	27.6587	-1.25%	48.03	+71.47%	0.3540	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-03-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.3056	-1.30%	6.324	+170.72%	0.7874	✗	1.25	727k	2022-03-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.645386	-1.32%	0.745	+13.91%	0.0619	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.3327	-1.37%	2.621	+10.82%	0.1540	✓	1.53	13.2M	2022-03-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	105.1744	-1.45%	210.67	+97.40%	0.4949	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-03-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.819102	-1.46%	0.9498	+14.27%	0.0684	✓	1.22	22.9M	2022-03-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.028788	-1.48%	0.02786	-4.65%	0.1732	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-03-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.156279	-1.52%	0.16715	+5.33%	0.1751	✓	1.37	28k	2022-03-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	17.0111	-1.56%	22.48	+30.09%	0.0426	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-03-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.474382	-1.60%	1.3598	+182.06%	0.8165	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.2467	-1.61%	3.99	+20.91%	0.0339	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-03-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.36662	-1.63%	0.4246	+13.93%	0.1136	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-03-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	137.4184	-1.63%	169.24	+21.15%	0.0499	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-03-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.080609	-1.70%	0.1288	+57.07%	0.1930	✗	1.55	668k	2022-03-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4204	-1.70%	1.952	+35.09%	0.1056	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-03-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.939409	-1.73%	1.3301	+39.14%	0.0985	✗	1.41	165k	2022-03-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.171022	-1.77%	0.2692	+54.62%	0.2033	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-03-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.144266	-1.79%	0.1543	+5.04%	0.0757	✓	0.81	321k	2022-03-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.4239	-1.80%	1.796	+23.86%	0.0387	✓	1.53	941k	2022-03-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	34.0885	-1.85%	50.08	+44.20%	0.1200	✗	1.49	309k	2022-03-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.5822	-1.89%	2.4727	+53.32%	0.2687	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	150.8085	-1.91%	216.11	+40.57%	0.1821	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.01179	-1.92%	0.01382	+14.98%	0.0249	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1226	-1.95%	1.444	+26.11%	0.0207	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.353936	-1.98%	0.4313	+19.44%	0.0550	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-03-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	110.2349	-2.03%	148.67	+32.13%	0.1166	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-03-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009331	-2.09%	0.01253	+31.48%	0.0655	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.723131	-2.09%	0.875	+18.47%	0.0050	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.0753	-2.11%	2.6409	+24.56%	0.0856	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.527979	-2.14%	0.728031	+34.94%	0.1141	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-03-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000073611	-2.15%	0.0000982	+30.53%	0.0792	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-03-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1397	-2.16%	2.589	+18.38%	0.0039	✓	1.05	19k	2022-03-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.14	-2.20%	51.99	+20.65%	0.0062	✓	1.15	23.5M	2022-03-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004244	-2.22%	0.00436	+0.46%	0.3001	✓	1.85	12.3M	2022-03-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	3.926	-2.27%	5.413	+34.75%	0.0895	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	79.1918	-2.29%	89.91	+10.93%	0.1381	✓	1.49	106.7M	2022-03-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.5177	-2.37%	18.45	+24.08%	0.0295	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-03-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.1319	-2.39%	7.352	+17.03%	0.0624	✓	1.38	28k	2022-03-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.844	-2.42%	5.4302	+37.85%	0.1326	✗	1.20	284k	2022-03-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.1805	-2.44%	1.54	+27.27%	0.0391	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.754205	-2.47%	1.1104	+43.59%	0.1154	✗	1.53	299k	2022-03-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	301.1945	-2.54%	376.78	+21.92%	0.0462	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.083777	-2.55%	0.11008	+28.04%	0.0757	✗	1.11	46k	2022-03-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.13	-2.59%	3.8564	+20.02%	0.0300	✓	1.35	2.1M	2022-03-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.00000185	-2.64%	0.00000214	+12.63%	0.0228	✓	0.69	14.7M	2022-03-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.683564	-2.67%	0.90403	+28.72%	0.0240	✓	1.44	224k	2022-03-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.289037	-2.68%	0.617	+107.74%	0.5126	✗	1.39	2.1M	2022-03-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.4929	-2.75%	5.47	+18.40%	0.0761	✓	1.54	432k	2022-03-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2167	-2.78%	2.73	+19.74%	0.0288	✗	1.01	270k	2022-03-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.017621	-2.81%	0.02076	+14.51%	0.0334	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	109.4709	-2.83%	126.01	+11.85%	0.0891	✓	1.30	58k	2022-03-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.062764	-2.84%	0.08599	+33.11%	0.1259	✗	1.07	13k	2022-03-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	29.3917	-2.87%	31.17	+3.01%	0.1229	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-03-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.4648	-3.02%	5.701	+1.17%	0.1327	✓	0.99	223k	2022-03-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.1624	-3.03%	2.49	+11.66%	0.0362	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	18.8686	-3.07%	19.247	-1.13%	0.1692	✓	1.07	9.6M	2022-03-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.009846	-3.09%	0.01417	+39.47%	0.0988	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-03-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.2793	-3.13%	13.48	-8.55%	0.1844	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	19,537.46	-3.14%	22,263.59	+10.37%	0.0464	✓	1.00	5.7M	2022-03-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.8008	-3.16%	3.1908	+71.59%	0.4525	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.6065	-3.22%	2.28	+37.35%	0.1144	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	20.4735	-3.24%	24.3	+14.84%	0.1103	✓	1.59	325k	2022-03-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.3238	-3.25%	23.71	+25.18%	0.0342	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-03-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	6.1131	-3.27%	7.41	+17.25%	0.0579	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-03-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.14195	-3.30%	0.1655	+12.74%	0.0351	✓	1.06	446k	2022-03-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.8037	-3.32%	4.074	+40.48%	0.2079	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	64.864	-3.37%	67.174	+0.07%	0.2286	✓	1.49	231k	2022-03-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.0445	-3.47%	14.36	+53.26%	0.3424	✗	0.68	853k	2022-03-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.062604	-3.54%	0.08788	+35.41%	0.1202	✗	1.23	74k	2022-03-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.850451	-3.58%	1.058	+19.95%	0.0248	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.026687	-3.66%	0.03351	+20.97%	0.0311	✓	1.46	497k	2022-03-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	24.3226	-3.75%	29.14	+15.31%	0.0821	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-03-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.1237	-3.79%	1.768	+51.37%	0.2328	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	49.1688	-3.89%	68.29	+33.48%	0.0900	✗	1.35	7.3M	2022-03-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.5353	-3.91%	4.57	+24.22%	0.0268	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	16.982	-3.95%	21.9	+23.87%	0.0499	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.124069	-3.97%	0.168	+30.03%	0.0707	✗	1.31	3.1M	2022-03-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.6253	-4.07%	2.7417	+0.18%	0.1885	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.252405	-4.10%	0.3422	+30.02%	0.0584	✗	1.39	451k	2022-03-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.33674	-4.14%	0.3911	+11.33%	0.1509	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-03-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	26.1496	-4.21%	29.95	+9.71%	0.0625	✓	1.12	52.8M	2022-03-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.510391	-4.24%	0.585	+9.76%	0.0278	✓	0.93	643k	2022-03-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.1896	-4.64%	1.2328	-1.17%	0.2196	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-03-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.069514	-5.29%	0.0842	+14.71%	0.0560	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-03-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.5945	-5.46%	6.1368	+3.71%	0.0183	✓	0.42	433k	2022-03-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.033491	-5.55%	0.04272	+20.47%	0.0885	✗	0.87	1.5M	2022-03-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.679923	-5.57%	0.73	+1.39%	0.2700	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.045871	-5.74%	0.043509	-10.60%	0.2690	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.0838	-5.76%	1.45	+26.09%	0.0600	✗	1.30	695k	2022-03-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.831808	-5.83%	0.9207	+4.23%	0.0003	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.5351	-7.14%	2.33	-14.65%	0.2617	✓	1.00	544k	2022-03-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.7024	-7.18%	1.995	+8.78%	0.0187	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.940659	-7.78%	1.07	+4.90%	0.1243	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.5155	-7.83%	1.5221	-7.43%	0.2509	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.385806	-7.92%	0.5139	+22.65%	0.0796	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-03-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.010778	-7.98%	0.01504	+28.40%	0.1364	✗	1.11	35k	2022-03-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.126964	-8.00%	0.114	-17.39%	0.2769	✓	0.95	51k	2022-03-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	66.6525	-8.94%	94.25	+28.76%	0.1006	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.7682	-9.78%	1.74	-11.22%	0.3054	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.061547	-11.57%	0.0803	+15.37%	0.0741	✓	1.92	72.8M	2022-03-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.1579	-13.15%	5.854	-17.43%	0.1164	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-27
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.00e-7	-14.24%	0.000001225	+75.07%	0.5363	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.