2022-02-20 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2139

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.43%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

57.3%

in alpha space · 53.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.39%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.9937	+5.86%	2.762	-2.33%	0.2076	✗	1.28	579k	2022-03-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	9.4092	+5.13%	9.38	+4.80%	0.1322	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	16.0057	+5.09%	17.58	+15.43%	0.0743	✗	1.70	3.0M	2022-03-22
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.026673	+4.71%	0.025067	-1.60%	0.1701	✗	1.09	89k	2022-03-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.899	+4.34%	2.315	+27.20%	0.0937	✓	1.06	3.2M	2022-03-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	1.0244	+3.98%	1.1249	+14.19%	0.0113	✓	1.06	180k	2022-03-22
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.075784	+3.96%	0.0759	+4.12%	0.1103	✗	1.13	194k	2022-03-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.856108	+3.91%	0.8086	-1.86%	0.2077	✗	1.52	417k	2022-03-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	2.045	+3.87%	2.2499	+14.27%	0.0278	✓	1.25	233k	2022-03-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	13.4741	+3.81%	16.17	+24.58%	0.0804	✓	1.03	448k	2022-03-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.535395	+3.76%	1.1707	+126.88%	0.6521	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-03-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.4934	+3.71%	1.31	-9.03%	0.2525	✗	1.23	1.2M	2022-03-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.013651	+3.57%	0.013307	+0.96%	0.1382	✗	1.14	81k	2022-03-22
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.8146	+3.54%	4.5	-3.23%	0.1747	✗	1.08	510k	2022-03-22
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.02189	+3.45%	0.03998	+88.94%	0.4433	✓	1.61	10.9M	2022-03-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.248038	+3.35%	0.253	+5.42%	0.0732	✗	0.94	68k	2022-03-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7867	+3.27%	1.93	+11.56%	0.0545	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.093877	+3.16%	0.0905	-0.55%	0.1859	✗	1.51	807k	2022-03-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.309089	+3.03%	0.693	+131.00%	0.6763	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.925358	+2.82%	1.719	+91.00%	0.4930	✓	1.28	878k	2022-03-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.4494	+2.80%	1.582	+12.20%	0.0484	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	3.1037	+2.77%	4.2393	+40.37%	0.2140	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.000026152	+2.68%	0.00002344	-7.97%	0.2466	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.063662	+2.66%	0.063447	+2.32%	0.0860	✗	0.84	307k	2022-03-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.521312	+2.64%	0.758	+49.24%	0.2338	✓	1.42	610k	2022-03-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	93.1315	+2.59%	90.48	-0.33%	0.1505	✗	1.23	171.7M	2022-03-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.076259	+2.50%	0.0724	-2.69%	0.1855	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-22
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.937653	+2.39%	0.9224	+0.72%	0.1709	✗	1.56	1.8M	2022-03-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.5777	+2.33%	9.76	+4.27%	0.1115	✗	1.32	11.4M	2022-03-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.726	+2.05%	6.962	+5.63%	0.0027	✓	0.38	35k	2022-03-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.404042	+2.00%	0.3622	-8.56%	0.2508	✗	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	140.2095	+1.93%	152.91	+11.17%	0.0555	✗	1.44	6.8M	2022-03-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	75.7077	+1.86%	66.9272	-9.95%	0.2727	✗	1.51	281k	2022-03-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.479	+1.72%	1.626	+11.83%	0.0184	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-22
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.1712	+1.58%	2.6489	+23.93%	0.1055	✓	0.94	28k	2022-03-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	19.0757	+1.52%	20.78	+10.59%	0.0669	✗	1.54	350k	2022-03-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004717	+1.45%	0.00429	-7.74%	0.2869	✗	1.94	13.2M	2022-03-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009249	+1.41%	0.0096	+5.26%	0.0644	✗	1.03	504k	2022-03-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	156.0142	+1.39%	193.89	+26.01%	0.1182	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-22
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.053834	+1.38%	0.0657	+23.73%	0.0262	✓	1.75	64.3M	2022-03-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,658.15	+1.36%	2,970.51	+13.27%	0.0007	✓	1.12	581.4M	2022-03-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.138041	+1.35%	0.1543	+13.29%	0.0097	✓	1.03	470k	2022-03-22
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.466312	+1.33%	0.4064	-11.69%	0.3296	✗	1.94	2.0M	2022-03-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.805595	+1.21%	0.91	+14.32%	0.0134	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.036718	+1.04%	0.03923	+7.95%	0.0054	✓	0.72	1.9M	2022-03-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.5713	+1.00%	5.986	+8.52%	0.0069	✓	0.80	65k	2022-03-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.1374	+0.98%	4.136	+33.12%	0.1868	✓	0.91	492k	2022-03-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.574	+0.94%	2.268	-11.06%	0.2837	✗	1.59	14.5M	2022-03-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	108.6962	+0.92%	127.12	+18.02%	0.0571	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-03-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.311	+0.88%	6.4277	+2.74%	0.0656	✗	0.85	3.5M	2022-03-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	38,716.33	+0.85%	42,378.26	+10.39%	0.0085	✗	1.00	633.0M	2022-03-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.019401	+0.76%	0.01899	-1.38%	0.1350	✗	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.222792	+0.67%	0.218	-1.49%	0.1737	✗	1.54	3.6M	2022-03-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.137568	+0.62%	0.122365	-10.50%	0.2165	✗	1.00	4.7M	2022-03-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	38,883.76	+0.62%	42,512.10	+10.01%	0.0063	✗	0.97	42k	2022-03-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.086281	+0.62%	0.09728	+13.45%	0.0128	✓	1.08	49k	2022-03-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.2112	+0.57%	6.67	-6.97%	0.0978	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.135045	+0.55%	0.1349	+0.45%	0.1296	✗	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.380592	+0.55%	0.3714	-1.88%	0.1897	✗	1.67	16.9M	2022-03-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009659	+0.41%	0.00999	+3.85%	0.0945	✗	1.30	1.2M	2022-03-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.000074672	+0.41%	0.00008348	+12.25%	0.0005	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-03-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.2574	+0.40%	7.6005	+21.95%	0.0495	✓	1.47	172k	2022-03-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	34.8874	+0.40%	45.47	+30.85%	0.1108	✓	1.56	364k	2022-03-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0741	+0.34%	2.255	+9.10%	0.0196	✗	1.04	20k	2022-03-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.3088	+0.29%	51.65	+89.68%	0.5311	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-03-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9621	+0.28%	3.8754	+31.20%	0.1714	✓	0.98	2.5M	2022-03-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.7142	+0.25%	8.37	+46.84%	0.2984	✓	0.84	398k	2022-03-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7941	+0.25%	13.41	+37.26%	0.2480	✓	0.67	821k	2022-03-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.028005	+0.02%	0.026	-7.14%	0.2190	✗	1.46	499k	2022-03-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.194653	+0.00%	0.20689	+6.29%	0.0414	✗	1.04	21.8M	2022-03-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.705795	-0.05%	0.80946	+14.63%	0.0106	✓	1.49	298k	2022-03-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.699272	-0.10%	0.722	+3.14%	0.0728	✓	1.06	2.0M	2022-03-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.239814	-0.12%	0.253	+5.37%	0.0459	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	110.5417	-0.13%	122.81	+10.95%	0.0142	✓	1.21	30.0M	2022-03-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.7231	-0.21%	6.1887	+7.91%	0.0402	✗	0.38	430k	2022-03-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4948	-0.21%	6.234	+149.36%	0.7904	✗	1.27	845k	2022-03-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.185893	-0.22%	0.2091	+12.24%	0.0187	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	84.2712	-0.22%	91.76	+8.64%	0.0024	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.5642	-0.25%	15.43	+5.68%	0.0608	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-03-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.8396	-0.32%	29.9	+7.05%	0.0241	✓	0.97	1.4M	2022-03-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7889	-0.32%	4.168	+48.96%	0.3221	✗	0.81	206k	2022-03-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	301.8801	-0.33%	375.54	+23.99%	0.1218	✗	0.98	8.0M	2022-03-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.1192	-0.34%	6.43	+4.72%	0.0364	✓	0.87	430k	2022-03-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4848	-0.35%	1.547	+3.83%	0.0807	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-03-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.2503	-0.37%	3.302	+1.21%	0.1106	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.155349	-0.46%	0.15608	+0.01%	0.1366	✓	1.43	30k	2022-03-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	51.8593	-0.46%	52.46	+0.69%	0.1155	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-03-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.027021	-0.47%	0.02633	-3.02%	0.1110	✓	0.86	5.0M	2022-03-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	4.9847	-0.50%	6.75	+34.73%	0.2262	✗	0.78	431k	2022-03-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	107.4939	-0.57%	174.59	+61.49%	0.3671	✗	1.19	7.6M	2022-03-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.389412	-0.58%	0.4105	+4.80%	0.0850	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-03-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.4917	-0.59%	27.98	+18.41%	0.0258	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-03-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.56731	-0.62%	0.561881	-1.57%	0.1221	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-03-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.468008	-0.64%	0.446	-5.31%	0.1850	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-03-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	116.1482	-0.71%	114.7	-1.95%	0.1386	✓	1.27	66k	2022-03-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.6008	-0.80%	3.45	-4.96%	0.1787	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-03-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0544	-0.80%	1.26	+18.53%	0.0547	✗	1.25	3.0M	2022-03-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.607	-0.82%	2.188	+35.04%	0.1963	✗	1.14	75k	2022-03-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.250364	-0.85%	0.31	+22.77%	0.1030	✗	1.12	518k	2022-03-22
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.2195	-0.85%	1.3	+5.69%	0.0622	✓	1.28	817k	2022-03-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.6479	-0.86%	5.07	-11.01%	0.2111	✓	1.04	327k	2022-03-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010685	-0.88%	0.01179	+9.37%	0.0563	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-03-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.5779	-0.90%	13.32	-9.45%	0.1605	✓	0.71	1.8M	2022-03-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.772963	-0.90%	0.67	-14.10%	0.3376	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-22
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.73	-1.09%	2.16	-21.74%	0.3330	✓	1.00	696k	2022-03-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.097695	-1.12%	0.1082	+9.51%	0.0024	✓	1.01	38k	2022-03-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	4.0462	-1.14%	4.8022	+17.33%	0.0540	✗	1.19	327k	2022-03-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	4.0133	-1.15%	5.175	+27.46%	0.1327	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.505898	-1.17%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0721	✓	0.91	724k	2022-03-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.064627	-1.18%	0.07627	+16.62%	0.0603	✗	1.07	15k	2022-03-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.161	-1.19%	5.543	+31.63%	0.2039	✗	0.84	395k	2022-03-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	137.2034	-1.20%	158.4	+14.06%	0.0275	✗	1.17	930k	2022-03-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.4882	-1.25%	6.98	+6.24%	0.0328	✗	0.41	1.4M	2022-03-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.7146	-1.30%	18.261	-3.70%	0.1427	✓	1.20	9.8M	2022-03-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	76.3289	-1.37%	83.98	+8.52%	0.0477	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-03-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.2864	-1.37%	7.622	+42.20%	0.2680	✗	0.99	1.8M	2022-03-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.6516	-1.51%	2.4316	-9.68%	0.2091	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-22
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.9301	-1.53%	1.54	-21.43%	0.4043	✓	1.81	690k	2022-03-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,340.23	-1.58%	20,305.82	-1.75%	0.1026	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-03-22
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.5282	-1.63%	2.21	-14.01%	0.2334	✓	1.00	681k	2022-03-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.038495	-1.65%	0.04222	+7.87%	0.0160	✓	1.10	32k	2022-03-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5029	-1.90%	1.457	-4.90%	0.1717	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-03-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.096	-1.94%	1.1525	+3.12%	0.0823	✓	1.34	2.5M	2022-03-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.066199	-1.99%	0.07561	+11.95%	0.0560	✗	0.78	84k	2022-03-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	18.3157	-2.06%	18.02	-3.64%	0.1316	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-03-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.047679	-2.10%	0.05567	+14.31%	0.0181	✓	1.38	903k	2022-03-22
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	1.9958	-2.12%	1.793	-12.06%	0.2060	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.768652	-2.19%	0.7746	-1.44%	0.1028	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-03-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.911305	-2.21%	0.9753	+4.66%	0.0427	✓	1.12	97.3M	2022-03-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	95.8836	-2.26%	130.57	+33.10%	0.1992	✗	1.11	1.5M	2022-03-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012371	-2.28%	0.01287	+1.66%	0.0410	✓	0.82	15k	2022-03-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	39.907	-2.28%	45.28	+10.87%	0.0112	✓	1.16	27.9M	2022-03-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.3558	-2.34%	18.31	-7.62%	0.1771	✓	1.23	10.5M	2022-03-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.5114	-2.42%	20.22	+19.50%	0.0702	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-03-22
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	48.0585	-2.58%	93.09	+88.71%	0.5244	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-03-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.2663	-2.60%	3.81	-13.01%	0.2363	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.823382	-2.62%	0.8268	-2.21%	0.1188	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-03-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.22	-2.63%	2.44	+7.02%	0.0065	✓	1.02	299k	2022-03-22
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001918	-2.65%	0.00000186	-5.58%	0.1295	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.9631	-2.70%	3.292	+63.16%	0.4664	✗	0.51	2.8M	2022-03-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.4027	-3.12%	2.15	-13.31%	0.2285	✓	1.19	359k	2022-03-22
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.905958	-3.62%	0.95	+1.06%	0.0514	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-22
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.122312	-3.69%	0.105	-17.32%	0.2608	✓	1.09	51k	2022-03-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.148202	-3.76%	0.1371	-10.97%	0.1526	✓	0.76	350k	2022-03-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	24.9998	-4.18%	28.03	+7.44%	0.0083	✓	1.07	57.6M	2022-03-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.048927	-4.47%	0.040562	-20.81%	0.3151	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-03-22
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.904472	-4.79%	0.78	-17.89%	0.2214	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-03-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.6993	-4.98%	4.97	-29.50%	0.3869	✓	0.89	682k	2022-03-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.5126	-6.56%	4.907	-29.60%	0.3084	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-03-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.6822	-7.27%	1.466	-19.19%	0.2870	✓	1.51	189k	2022-03-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.