2022-02-18 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3601

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.21%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

69.3%

in alpha space · 60.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.26%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	1.865	-13.25%	1.72	-20.00%	0.1384	✓	1.79	744k	2022-03-20
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.01	5.2541	-12.58%	4.773	-20.58%	0.1026	✓	0.20	1.8M	2022-03-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015984	0.014384	-10.01%	0.01417	-11.35%	0.0503	✓	1.10	335k	2022-03-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5205	0.469014	-9.89%	0.4042	-22.34%	0.2083	✓	1.86	1.9M	2022-03-20
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.139	0.125361	-9.81%	0.106	-23.74%	0.2028	✓	1.09	57k	2022-03-20
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.889	3.5107	-9.73%	2.68	-31.09%	0.3061	✓	1.13	593k	2022-03-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.0542	0.954568	-9.45%	0.7809	-25.92%	0.2254	✓	0.77	1.5M	2022-03-20
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04094	0.037118	-9.34%	0.04486	+9.57%	0.1668	✗	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-20
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	0.971772	-9.18%	0.94	-12.15%	0.0653	✓	1.00	271k	2022-03-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6049	1.4724	-8.26%	1.4713	-8.32%	0.0492	✓	1.51	164k	2022-03-20
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.017	1.8661	-7.48%	1.647	-18.34%	0.1570	✓	1.00	68k	2022-03-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0602	0.055722	-7.44%	0.0662	+9.97%	0.1166	✗	1.73	64.3M	2022-03-20
STX	Stacks	native	1.35	1.2535	-7.15%	1.26	-6.67%	0.0269	✓	1.00	911k	2022-03-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0487	0.045703	-6.15%	0.040072	-17.72%	0.1703	✓	1.21	7.5M	2022-03-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.836039	-6.06%	0.64	-28.09%	0.3306	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.7	4.4305	-5.73%	3.584	-23.74%	0.2513	✓	1.22	1.9M	2022-03-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4198	0.396048	-5.66%	0.3394	-19.15%	0.2078	✓	1.66	17.8M	2022-03-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.708	5.3872	-5.62%	6.0638	+6.23%	0.1063	✗	0.37	441k	2022-03-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.530471	-5.48%	0.5158	-8.09%	0.0570	✓	0.90	780k	2022-03-20
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.93	2.771	-5.43%	2.43	-17.06%	0.1634	✓	1.00	736k	2022-03-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.97	2.8114	-5.34%	2.3992	-19.22%	0.1965	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-03-20
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.85	2.6987	-5.31%	2.15	-24.56%	0.2594	✓	1.00	737k	2022-03-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	18.5743	-5.28%	16.77	-14.48%	0.1391	✓	1.15	23.7M	2022-03-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.1979	78.8062	-5.28%	59.6685	-28.28%	0.3255	✓	1.47	315k	2022-03-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01204	0.01141	-5.23%	0.01172	-2.66%	0.0234	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-03-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0812	0.077	-5.17%	0.0705	-13.18%	0.1309	✓	1.33	1.1M	2022-03-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.91	3.7189	-4.89%	3.24	-17.14%	0.1820	✓	1.38	7.8M	2022-03-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.181	3.0268	-4.85%	4.103	+28.98%	0.2759	✗	0.88	481k	2022-03-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0302	0.028741	-4.83%	0.02543	-15.79%	0.1687	✓	1.44	493k	2022-03-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.026937	0.025648	-4.78%	0.024805	-7.91%	0.0700	✓	1.14	88k	2022-03-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.1176	2.0187	-4.67%	3.2419	+53.09%	0.4561	✗	0.55	3.1M	2022-03-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,934.46	21,003.03	-4.25%	19,923.17	-9.17%	0.0851	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-03-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1365	0.13084	-4.15%	0.1247	-8.64%	0.0889	✓	1.27	3.3M	2022-03-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.85	25.7805	-3.98%	27.83	+3.65%	0.0431	✗	1.04	64.2M	2022-03-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.3	5.0899	-3.96%	4.85	-8.49%	0.0812	✓	1.03	701k	2022-03-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.1997	-3.90%	5.219	+19.43%	0.1781	✗	1.22	2.5M	2022-03-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6234	3.4838	-3.85%	3.3362	-7.93%	0.0838	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-03-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.196	1.15	-3.85%	1.119	-6.44%	0.0679	✓	1.26	2.6M	2022-03-20
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000205	0.000001972	-3.79%	0.00000182	-11.22%	0.1125	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.02	20.2261	-3.78%	17.65	-16.03%	0.1754	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-03-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.17	9.7905	-3.73%	12.22	+20.16%	0.2004	✗	0.66	821k	2022-03-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.7524	-3.71%	1.88	+3.30%	0.0275	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-03-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8015	0.772111	-3.67%	0.7517	-6.21%	0.0611	✓	1.07	10.8M	2022-03-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.877	0.845594	-3.58%	0.8221	-6.26%	0.0751	✓	1.46	464k	2022-03-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.7102	-3.55%	2.15	-23.49%	0.2801	✓	1.51	15.4M	2022-03-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.674	1.6149	-3.53%	1.444	-13.74%	0.1559	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019599	0.01891	-3.52%	0.01861	-5.05%	0.0529	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.51	19.7967	-3.48%	19.62	-4.34%	0.0580	✓	1.53	383k	2022-03-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.93	6.6955	-3.38%	6.49	-6.35%	0.0431	✓	0.37	1.6M	2022-03-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.58	1.5267	-3.37%	1.465	-7.28%	0.0849	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.881	5.6827	-3.37%	5.461	-7.14%	0.0655	✓	0.80	68k	2022-03-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	160.94	155.6435	-3.29%	194.71	+20.98%	0.1915	✗	1.01	1.2M	2022-03-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.52	117.5658	-3.25%	116.01	-4.53%	0.0546	✓	1.29	59k	2022-03-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.92	5.7285	-3.24%	7.574	+27.94%	0.2469	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.29	5.1192	-3.23%	4.45	-15.88%	0.1735	✓	1.04	517k	2022-03-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.552	18.9369	-3.15%	18.205	-6.89%	0.0783	✓	1.21	10.0M	2022-03-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2677	0.259332	-3.13%	0.2994	+11.84%	0.1086	✗	1.09	538k	2022-03-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01063	0.010301	-3.09%	0.00932	-12.32%	0.1418	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-03-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5229	0.507121	-3.02%	0.9266	+77.20%	0.5609	✗	1.30	2.3M	2022-03-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07167	0.069538	-2.98%	0.07518	+4.90%	0.0534	✗	0.77	88k	2022-03-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.389	6.2012	-2.94%	4.884	-23.56%	0.2705	✓	0.99	407k	2022-03-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.2	14.7556	-2.92%	12.86	-15.39%	0.1595	✓	0.68	1.7M	2022-03-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.581	2.5057	-2.92%	6.238	+141.69%	0.8709	✗	1.28	911k	2022-03-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5682	0.552036	-2.84%	0.4472	-21.30%	0.2565	✓	1.43	665k	2022-03-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4126	0.400866	-2.84%	0.3905	-5.36%	0.0708	✓	1.39	9.0M	2022-03-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1609	0.156332	-2.84%	0.1358	-15.60%	0.1620	✓	0.66	372k	2022-03-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.962451	-2.78%	1.437	+45.15%	0.3600	✗	1.27	818k	2022-03-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.3144	-2.76%	2.35	-1.26%	0.0175	✓	1.02	342k	2022-03-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002815	0.000027387	-2.71%	0.00002312	-17.87%	0.2137	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-03-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.35	4.2356	-2.63%	4.8674	+11.90%	0.1009	✗	1.19	330k	2022-03-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.01	24.3543	-2.62%	26.24	+4.92%	0.0264	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-03-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.75	81.5802	-2.59%	84.85	+1.31%	0.0052	✓	1.39	110.8M	2022-03-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0978	0.095307	-2.55%	0.0911	-6.85%	0.0934	✓	1.50	919k	2022-03-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.75138	-2.54%	0.64	-16.99%	0.1942	✓	1.05	1.9M	2022-03-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.61	49.3228	-2.54%	90.43	+78.68%	0.5610	✗	1.41	5.6M	2022-03-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.43	2.3683	-2.54%	2.12	-12.76%	0.1495	✓	1.21	390k	2022-03-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.716	4.5983	-2.50%	4.965	+5.28%	0.0507	✗	0.81	383k	2022-03-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75452	0.735716	-2.49%	0.82107	+8.82%	0.0621	✗	1.48	334k	2022-03-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	55.59	54.2156	-2.47%	49.87	-10.29%	0.1244	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-03-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.64	142.1406	-2.40%	152.83	+4.94%	0.0269	✗	1.42	7.3M	2022-03-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.0669	-2.37%	44.03	+2.18%	0.0081	✓	1.17	29.5M	2022-03-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.08	28.393	-2.36%	29.09	+0.03%	0.0056	✓	0.93	1.2M	2022-03-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0419	1.0174	-2.35%	1.0804	+3.69%	0.0261	✗	1.06	193k	2022-03-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1967	0.192197	-2.29%	0.2035	+3.46%	0.0132	✓	1.37	3.5M	2022-03-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6654	1.6289	-2.20%	2.1435	+28.71%	0.2387	✗	1.12	72k	2022-03-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	109.21	106.8515	-2.16%	174.15	+59.46%	0.4506	✗	1.18	7.6M	2022-03-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	310.22	303.7417	-2.09%	327.61	+5.61%	0.0443	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-03-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.138612	0.135742	-2.07%	0.119124	-14.06%	0.1629	✓	1.01	5.6M	2022-03-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.02	2.9576	-2.07%	3.301	+9.30%	0.0848	✗	0.78	212k	2022-03-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01279	0.012526	-2.06%	0.0125	-2.27%	0.0279	✓	0.80	15k	2022-03-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0682	0.066793	-2.06%	0.0749	+9.82%	0.0802	✗	1.07	17k	2022-03-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2333	7.0876	-2.01%	6.9787	-3.52%	0.0621	✓	1.45	179k	2022-03-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.77	15.4541	-2.00%	15.84	+0.44%	0.0299	✓	1.70	3.1M	2022-03-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.494	0.484145	-1.99%	0.419	-15.18%	0.1891	✓	1.39	4.7M	2022-03-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.11	36.3836	-1.96%	41.02	+10.54%	0.0708	✗	1.53	405k	2022-03-20
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9999	0.980659	-1.92%	0.9064	-9.35%	0.1285	✓	1.55	1.9M	2022-03-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6403	6.513	-1.92%	6.4475	-2.90%	0.0368	✓	0.83	3.6M	2022-03-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2543	0.249467	-1.90%	0.2472	-2.79%	0.0412	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.903	6.774	-1.87%	6.486	-6.04%	0.0548	✓	0.35	36k	2022-03-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.222	2.1806	-1.86%	2.227	+0.23%	0.0124	✓	1.04	20k	2022-03-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04965	0.048746	-1.82%	0.04968	+0.06%	0.0249	✓	1.37	1.0M	2022-03-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.58	111.5377	-1.80%	118.64	+4.46%	0.0292	✗	1.01	7.5M	2022-03-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594984	0.584302	-1.80%	0.549424	-7.66%	0.0981	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-03-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1446	0.142082	-1.74%	0.1522	+5.26%	0.0358	✗	1.03	470k	2022-03-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000786	0.000077241	-1.73%	0.00007941	+1.03%	0.0086	✓	1.13	4.8M	2022-03-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.86	0.8454	-1.70%	0.847	-1.51%	0.0411	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-03-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5632	-1.69%	1.555	-2.20%	0.0445	✓	1.22	1.3M	2022-03-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.895	0.880055	-1.67%	0.7418	-17.12%	0.2106	✓	1.24	26.6M	2022-03-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4211	0.414094	-1.66%	0.3429	-18.57%	0.2348	✓	1.44	1.6M	2022-03-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.243034	-1.61%	0.2056	-16.76%	0.2161	✓	1.52	3.8M	2022-03-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.25	5.168	-1.56%	6.31	+20.19%	0.1753	✗	0.76	415k	2022-03-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9795	2.933	-1.56%	2.1688	-27.21%	0.3322	✓	0.95	27k	2022-03-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.261	0.256928	-1.56%	0.244	-6.51%	0.0810	✓	0.91	73k	2022-03-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09046	0.089063	-1.54%	0.09509	+5.12%	0.0305	✗	1.09	50k	2022-03-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00516	0.005083	-1.49%	0.00365	-29.26%	0.3936	✓	1.94	15.8M	2022-03-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.83	17.5655	-1.48%	18.66	+4.66%	0.0175	✗	1.34	32.8M	2022-03-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.67	7.5611	-1.42%	6.71	-12.52%	0.1256	✓	0.19	1.4M	2022-03-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.0885	-1.40%	1.194	+8.15%	0.0529	✗	1.23	3.3M	2022-03-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.518	1.4969	-1.39%	1.566	+3.16%	0.0083	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-03-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.85	113.27	-1.38%	114.88	+0.03%	0.0248	✓	1.21	31.6M	2022-03-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9958	0.982385	-1.35%	0.879	-11.73%	0.1468	✓	1.11	98.1M	2022-03-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.97	5.8919	-1.31%	7.97	+33.50%	0.2755	✗	0.83	398k	2022-03-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.96	28.5933	-1.27%	38.21	+31.94%	0.2556	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-03-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.61	1.59	-1.24%	1.12	-30.43%	0.3894	✓	1.21	1.2M	2022-03-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.05	2.0254	-1.20%	2.186	+6.63%	0.0429	✗	1.04	3.2M	2022-03-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.32	104.0753	-1.18%	115.63	+9.79%	0.0700	✗	1.10	1.7M	2022-03-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.35	10.2291	-1.17%	8.96	-13.43%	0.1722	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.318287	-1.15%	0.814	+152.80%	0.8964	✗	1.33	2.3M	2022-03-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.37	6.3036	-1.04%	6.14	-3.61%	0.0537	✓	0.86	449k	2022-03-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00961	0.009516	-0.98%	0.00918	-4.47%	0.0688	✓	1.02	504k	2022-03-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02928	0.028998	-0.96%	0.02552	-12.84%	0.1549	✓	0.85	5.3M	2022-03-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.44	86.6107	-0.95%	85.03	-2.76%	0.0468	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-03-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.44	14.3038	-0.94%	17.35	+20.15%	0.1602	✗	1.02	483k	2022-03-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0548	2.0383	-0.80%	2.21	+7.55%	0.0410	✗	1.24	292k	2022-03-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.2	15.1018	-0.65%	14.56	-4.21%	0.0750	✓	1.20	69.3M	2022-03-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1093	3.0929	-0.53%	3.8011	+22.25%	0.1755	✗	0.96	2.5M	2022-03-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17101	0.170142	-0.51%	0.15317	-10.43%	0.1512	✓	1.44	32k	2022-03-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	150.07	149.3378	-0.49%	152.19	+1.41%	0.0186	✓	1.17	973k	2022-03-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.200634	0.199712	-0.46%	0.197329	-1.65%	0.0449	✓	1.02	22.0M	2022-03-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.08	2,768.40	-0.42%	2,862.44	+2.96%	0.0024	✓	1.12	588.4M	2022-03-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.1011	0.100751	-0.34%	0.0995	-1.58%	0.0451	✓	1.02	37k	2022-03-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.076	3.0689	-0.23%	4.2046	+36.69%	0.2830	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0797	0.079691	-0.01%	0.0748	-6.15%	0.0991	✓	1.11	210k	2022-03-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.16	10.1678	+0.08%	9.33	-8.17%	0.1279	✗	1.31	11.7M	2022-03-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04101	0.041196	+0.45%	0.04113	+0.29%	0.0366	✗	1.09	31k	2022-03-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063085	0.063593	+0.80%	0.061551	-2.43%	0.0596	✗	0.84	330k	2022-03-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.9	90.7063	+0.90%	88.64	-1.40%	0.0629	✗	1.24	179.7M	2022-03-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,983.56	40,401.27	+1.04%	41,287.24	+3.26%	0.0104	✓	1.00	690.2M	2022-03-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,196.70	40,654.37	+1.14%	41,609.40	+3.51%	0.0080	✓	0.97	58k	2022-03-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02552	0.02668	+4.55%	0.03255	+27.55%	0.1546	✓	1.38	10.9M	2022-03-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.