2022-02-16 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0722

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.73%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

42.0%

in alpha space · 66.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-7.65%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066472	0.066666	+0.29%	0.062402	-6.12%	0.0015	✓	0.85	344k	2022-02-17
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03198	0.032073	+0.29%	0.02758	-13.76%	0.0446	✗	1.34	10.7M	2022-02-17
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.94	102.2269	+0.28%	93.56	-8.22%	0.0123	✓	1.27	179.7M	2022-02-17
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0851	0.085313	+0.25%	0.0849	-0.24%	0.0916	✓	1.21	194k	2022-02-17
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2584	2.2631	+0.21%	2.1008	-6.98%	0.0258	✓	1.26	367k	2022-02-17
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.76	6.7741	+0.21%	6.42	-5.03%	0.0160	✓	0.88	430k	2022-02-17
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04466	0.044742	+0.18%	0.04103	-8.13%	0.0015	✓	1.11	31k	2022-02-17
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.83537	0.836861	+0.18%	0.76017	-9.00%	0.0242	✓	1.51	334k	2022-02-17
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.24	7.2524	+0.17%	7.46	+3.04%	0.0497	✓	0.27	1.2M	2022-02-17
XEM	NEM	native	0.1142	0.114375	+0.15%	0.1047	-8.32%	0.0076	✗	1.01	37k	2022-02-17
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.22	11.235	+0.13%	10.41	-7.22%	0.0304	✓	1.34	12.2M	2022-02-17
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.983	0.98423	+0.13%	0.894	-9.05%	0.0126	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-17
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2693	0.269629	+0.12%	0.2525	-6.24%	0.0162	✓	1.03	1.8M	2022-02-17
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.148737	0.148917	+0.12%	0.138407	-6.95%	0.0076	✓	1.01	6.1M	2022-02-17
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,895.56	43,947.18	+0.12%	40,536.73	-7.65%	0.0012	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-17
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1747	0.174903	+0.12%	0.1642	-6.01%	0.0107	✗	0.66	388k	2022-02-17
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008539	0.000085484	+0.11%	0.00007849	-8.08%	0.0055	✓	1.14	4.7M	2022-02-17
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4754	0.475918	+0.11%	0.4344	-8.62%	0.0269	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-17
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.6	94.6986	+0.10%	87.71	-7.28%	0.0058	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-17
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.6017	3.6055	+0.10%	3.227	-10.40%	0.0304	✗	1.01	2.5M	2022-02-17
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	166.77	166.9417	+0.10%	155.14	-6.97%	0.0220	✓	1.20	973k	2022-02-17
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.86	1.8619	+0.10%	1.66	-10.75%	0.0185	✗	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-17
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.91	15.9248	+0.09%	14.58	-8.36%	0.0058	✗	1.04	483k	2022-02-17
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,124.45	3,127.19	+0.09%	2,893.56	-7.39%	0.0127	✓	1.13	581.4M	2022-02-17
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,960.80	43,999.17	+0.09%	40,651.20	-7.53%	0.0016	✗	0.97	51k	2022-02-17
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01078	0.010788	+0.07%	0.00987	-8.44%	0.0055	✗	1.05	483k	2022-02-17
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.688	1.689	+0.06%	1.541	-8.71%	0.0002	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-17
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.21874	0.218858	+0.05%	0.202261	-7.53%	0.0031	✓	1.03	21.9M	2022-02-17
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.78	19.7902	+0.05%	18.16	-8.19%	0.0226	✓	1.36	33.6M	2022-02-17
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09789	0.097939	+0.05%	0.0902	-7.86%	0.0058	✓	1.11	50k	2022-02-17
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.274	1.2746	+0.05%	1.142	-10.36%	0.0117	✗	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-17
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17624	0.176318	+0.04%	0.16982	-3.64%	0.0904	✓	1.61	32k	2022-02-17
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003095	0.000030963	+0.04%	0.00002821	-8.85%	0.0185	✓	1.40	2.8M	2022-02-17
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.288119	+0.04%	0.268	-6.94%	0.0017	✓	0.93	73k	2022-02-17
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.65	17.6567	+0.04%	15.78	-10.59%	0.0254	✓	1.73	3.4M	2022-02-17
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	127.84	127.8807	+0.03%	116.39	-8.96%	0.0039	✓	1.23	32.4M	2022-02-17
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8241	1.8246	+0.03%	1.6695	-8.47%	0.0016	✓	1.14	69k	2022-02-17
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.08	6.0818	+0.03%	5.45	-10.36%	0.0265	✗	1.04	555k	2022-02-17
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03216	0.032165	+0.02%	0.02995	-6.87%	0.0035	✗	0.85	6.2M	2022-02-17
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	129.55	129.5655	+0.01%	119.39	-7.84%	0.0012	✗	1.01	7.8M	2022-02-17
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.787	0.787062	+0.01%	0.742	-5.72%	0.0293	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-17
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1915	1.1916	+0.00%	1.0731	-9.94%	0.0181	✗	1.09	193k	2022-02-17
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.4	2.4001	+0.00%	2.13	-11.25%	0.0392	✗	1.01	3.2M	2022-02-17
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00601	0.00601	+0.00%	0.0054	-10.15%	0.0530	✓	2.01	17.9M	2022-02-17
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0833	1.0833	+0.00%	1.0203	-5.82%	0.0308	✓	1.14	106.9M	2022-02-17
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.62	40.6205	+0.00%	36.74	-9.55%	0.0254	✓	1.58	364k	2022-02-17
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2202	0.220198	-0.00%	0.2015	-8.49%	0.0222	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-17
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9791	0.979066	-0.00%	0.8983	-8.25%	0.0119	✗	1.23	26.7M	2022-02-17
DASH	Dash	Dash	115.33	115.3253	-0.00%	104.76	-9.17%	0.0079	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-17
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4697	-0.00%	5.36	-2.01%	0.0428	✗	0.79	407k	2022-02-17
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	56.02	56.0162	-0.01%	50.27	-10.26%	0.0047	✗	1.42	6.3M	2022-02-17
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0757	0.075694	-0.01%	0.0698	-7.79%	0.0046	✗	1.08	17k	2022-02-17
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	334.55	334.5079	-0.01%	313.15	-6.40%	0.0130	✗	0.99	8.9M	2022-02-17
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.14	17.1378	-0.01%	15.6	-8.98%	0.0016	✗	1.20	70.2M	2022-02-17
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.52	6.5191	-0.01%	6.03	-7.52%	0.0123	✓	0.83	463k	2022-02-17
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.25	32.2436	-0.02%	29.43	-8.74%	0.0066	✓	1.06	5.5M	2022-02-17
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8827	6.881	-0.03%	6.58	-4.40%	0.0237	✗	0.86	3.8M	2022-02-17
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.809	2.8082	-0.03%	2.668	-5.02%	0.0557	✗	1.34	1.0M	2022-02-17
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.452	2.4513	-0.03%	2.231	-9.01%	0.0107	✓	1.05	20k	2022-02-17
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.803	4.8016	-0.03%	4.567	-4.91%	0.0158	✗	0.83	379k	2022-02-17
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.217	3.2158	-0.04%	3.08	-4.26%	0.0203	✗	0.80	215k	2022-02-17
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08117	0.081139	-0.04%	0.07416	-8.64%	0.0301	✓	0.75	89k	2022-02-17
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.358	6.3556	-0.04%	6.1	-4.06%	0.0259	✗	0.84	72k	2022-02-17
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.78	10.7759	-0.04%	10.24	-5.01%	0.0020	✗	0.67	821k	2022-02-17
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.454	7.45	-0.05%	6.499	-12.81%	0.0598	✓	0.96	407k	2022-02-17
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	28.63	28.6147	-0.05%	25.54	-10.79%	0.0067	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-17
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1052	0.105135	-0.06%	0.0969	-7.89%	0.0416	✗	1.55	996k	2022-02-17
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1562	0.156097	-0.07%	0.1568	+0.38%	0.1118	✗	1.35	3.2M	2022-02-17
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	125.58	125.487	-0.07%	113.58	-9.56%	0.0032	✓	1.21	7.4M	2022-02-17
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.373	0.372707	-0.08%	0.334	-10.46%	0.0015	✓	1.36	2.3M	2022-02-17
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.285	0.284776	-0.08%	0.2558	-10.25%	0.0150	✗	1.54	4.0M	2022-02-17
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000218	0.000002178	-0.08%	0.00000206	-5.50%	0.0238	✗	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-17
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.539	0.538539	-0.09%	0.493	-8.53%	0.0256	✗	1.43	4.5M	2022-02-17
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5683	0.567756	-0.10%	0.542	-4.63%	0.0618	✗	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-17
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.6474	-0.10%	2.56	-3.40%	0.0669	✗	1.26	390k	2022-02-17
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1125	1.1114	-0.10%	1.0138	-8.87%	0.0348	✗	1.59	1.9M	2022-02-17
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.75	16.7325	-0.10%	15.35	-8.36%	0.0334	✓	0.66	1.5M	2022-02-17
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8292	4.824	-0.11%	4.3951	-8.99%	0.0024	✗	1.20	335k	2022-02-17
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.67	2.6671	-0.11%	2.47	-7.49%	0.0054	✗	1.03	373k	2022-02-17
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01389	0.013874	-0.11%	0.01258	-9.43%	0.0357	✓	0.78	14k	2022-02-17
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.81	1.8079	-0.11%	1.65	-8.84%	0.0078	✗	1.25	1.3M	2022-02-17
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	63.42	63.3439	-0.12%	56.37	-11.12%	0.0160	✓	1.26	9.2M	2022-02-17
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.9514	3.9465	-0.12%	3.3132	-16.15%	0.1044	✓	0.89	2.3M	2022-02-17
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.38	46.3208	-0.13%	43.72	-5.74%	0.0371	✗	1.19	30.4M	2022-02-17
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9602	0.958955	-0.13%	0.883	-8.04%	0.0381	✗	1.52	552k	2022-02-17
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021773	0.021744	-0.13%	0.020359	-6.49%	0.0332	✗	1.24	2.4M	2022-02-17
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.855	20.826	-0.14%	19.71	-5.49%	0.0464	✗	1.27	10.1M	2022-02-17
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.952	1.9493	-0.14%	1.741	-10.81%	0.0019	✓	1.40	1.1M	2022-02-17
XVG	Verge	native	0.01171	0.011693	-0.14%	0.0107	-8.63%	0.0175	✗	1.33	1.2M	2022-02-17
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.16753	-0.16%	0.1536	-8.46%	0.0046	✓	1.03	470k	2022-02-17
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.31	28.2618	-0.17%	26.61	-6.00%	0.0157	✗	0.95	1.2M	2022-02-17
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8933	0.891744	-0.17%	0.8222	-7.96%	0.0039	✗	1.07	11.9M	2022-02-17
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01344	0.013416	-0.18%	0.01178	-12.35%	0.0054	✓	1.57	1.8M	2022-02-17
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.118	-0.18%	1.07	-4.46%	0.0667	✗	1.39	694k	2022-02-17
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4872	0.486315	-0.18%	0.4369	-10.32%	0.0044	✗	1.40	8.9M	2022-02-17
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8678	7.8535	-0.18%	7.015	-10.84%	0.0042	✗	1.47	153k	2022-02-17
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.239	8.2239	-0.18%	7.107	-13.74%	0.1245	✓	0.27	37k	2022-02-17
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.348	2.3433	-0.20%	2.105	-10.35%	0.0276	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-17
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05759	0.057472	-0.21%	0.05215	-9.45%	0.0136	✗	1.39	1.2M	2022-02-17
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0382	4.0298	-0.21%	3.6686	-9.15%	0.0085	✗	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-17
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.17	3.163	-0.22%	2.92	-7.89%	0.0003	✓	1.00	829k	2022-02-17
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	23.08	23.0263	-0.23%	20.54	-11.01%	0.0176	✓	1.21	10.5M	2022-02-17
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.53	6.5147	-0.23%	6.03	-7.66%	0.0032	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-17
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.677091	0.675499	-0.24%	0.62107	-8.27%	0.0074	✗	1.15	3.6M	2022-02-17
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.51	28.4429	-0.24%	28.08	-1.51%	0.0749	✗	1.10	66.4M	2022-02-17
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.8877	-0.25%	4.59	-6.33%	0.0367	✗	1.25	2.6M	2022-02-17
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.13	2.1247	-0.25%	1.9	-10.80%	0.0053	✓	1.34	2.1M	2022-02-17
XMR	Monero	Monero	179.36	178.9055	-0.25%	163.89	-8.63%	0.0069	✓	1.01	1.2M	2022-02-17
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	136.01	135.6608	-0.26%	123.7	-9.05%	0.0115	✗	1.30	58k	2022-02-17
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3067	0.305877	-0.27%	0.2746	-10.47%	0.0182	✓	1.13	538k	2022-02-17
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.602	0.600348	-0.27%	0.5558	-7.67%	0.0059	✓	0.89	840k	2022-02-17
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	170.44	169.9471	-0.29%	152.99	-10.24%	0.0072	✗	1.41	8.0M	2022-02-17
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.03	23.9586	-0.30%	21.3	-11.36%	0.0051	✗	1.54	387k	2022-02-17
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	95.39	95.1053	-0.30%	88.28	-7.45%	0.0412	✗	1.45	104.0M	2022-02-17
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028284	0.028197	-0.31%	0.026932	-4.78%	0.0569	✗	1.29	89k	2022-02-17
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6989	0.696706	-0.31%	0.6239	-10.73%	0.0087	✗	1.50	665k	2022-02-17
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,690.00	23,615.05	-0.32%	22,441.70	-5.27%	0.0295	✗	1.01	7.2M	2022-02-17
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7402	3.7279	-0.33%	3.4641	-7.38%	0.0008	✓	0.93	30k	2022-02-17
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4482	0.4467	-0.33%	0.4073	-9.13%	0.0457	✗	1.73	21.4M	2022-02-17
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2632	3.2518	-0.35%	3.0801	-5.61%	0.0414	✗	1.20	3.3M	2022-02-17
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.514	3.5015	-0.35%	3.268	-7.00%	0.0016	✓	0.89	481k	2022-02-17
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.97	0.966445	-0.37%	1.2	+23.71%	0.2961	✗	1.00	269k	2022-02-17
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.09	0.089668	-0.37%	0.0825	-8.33%	0.0248	✗	1.36	868k	2022-02-17
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.24	8.2093	-0.37%	7.1	-13.83%	0.1223	✓	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-17
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	95.5515	95.1787	-0.39%	85.9444	-10.05%	0.0198	✗	1.53	315k	2022-02-17
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.87	4.849	-0.43%	4.44	-8.83%	0.0112	✗	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-17
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8668	5.8412	-0.44%	5.5502	-5.40%	0.0236	✓	0.35	441k	2022-02-17
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.17	3.1559	-0.45%	2.91	-8.20%	0.0383	✗	1.50	16.5M	2022-02-17
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.86	1.8513	-0.47%	1.69	-9.14%	0.0195	✗	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-17
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0335	0.033338	-0.48%	0.0309	-7.76%	0.0438	✗	1.50	499k	2022-02-17
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.2822	2.2707	-0.50%	2.2781	-0.18%	0.0497	✗	0.58	2.9M	2022-02-17
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.07	6.0392	-0.51%	5.54	-8.73%	0.0055	✓	1.02	701k	2022-02-17
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0695	0.069144	-0.51%	0.0608	-12.52%	0.0118	✗	1.76	64.3M	2022-02-17
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.58	4.5564	-0.51%	5	+9.17%	0.1218	✗	0.36	1.8M	2022-02-17
STX	Stacks	native	1.55	1.542	-0.52%	1.4	-9.68%	0.0170	✓	1.00	980k	2022-02-17
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.08	21.9647	-0.52%	19.86	-10.05%	0.0088	✓	1.15	24.2M	2022-02-17
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.3	4.276	-0.56%	3.95	-8.14%	0.0314	✗	1.39	7.9M	2022-02-17
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.05	1.0437	-0.60%	0.94	-10.48%	0.0565	✗	2.02	1.1M	2022-02-17
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.115236	-0.66%	0.124	+6.90%	0.1529	✗	1.00	64k	2022-02-17
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4263	1.4167	-0.67%	1.2511	-12.28%	0.0229	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-17
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	3.31	3.2806	-0.89%	2.89	-12.69%	0.0472	✓	1.00	681k	2022-02-17
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.056084	0.055529	-0.99%	0.051055	-8.97%	0.0148	✗	1.24	7.6M	2022-02-17
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.625	0.618652	-1.02%	0.5382	-13.89%	0.0129	✗	1.91	1.8M	2022-02-17
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.78	11.6579	-1.04%	11.44	-2.89%	0.0843	✗	1.30	3.1M	2022-02-17
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016969	0.016783	-1.10%	0.015816	-6.79%	0.0308	✗	1.13	450k	2022-02-17
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2019	1.1848	-1.42%	1.2327	+2.56%	0.1146	✗	0.94	1.5M	2022-02-17
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6305	1.6069	-1.45%	1.4805	-9.20%	0.0418	✗	1.55	140k	2022-02-17
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04583	0.045129	-1.53%	0.04378	-4.47%	0.0336	✗	0.80	2.2M	2022-02-17
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.046	4.9654	-1.60%	4.316	-14.47%	0.0589	✓	1.02	664k	2022-02-17
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.34	2.2889	-2.18%	2.17	-7.26%	0.1014	✗	1.94	812k	2022-02-17

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.