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2022-02-16 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3225
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.3%
in alpha space · 72.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.0326-20.08%2.369-53.05%0.4814✓1.02664k2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum2.341.8878-19.33%1.4-40.17%0.2027✓1.94812k2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.0028-16.56%0.74-38.43%0.2573✓0.941.5M2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.038897-15.13%0.03367-26.53%0.1046✓0.802.2M2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.554781-11.24%0.4549-27.22%0.1038✓1.911.8M2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.01527-10.01%0.011938-29.65%0.1901✓1.13450k2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.025857-8.58%0.017275-38.92%0.3394✓1.2989k2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.106704-8.01%0.105-9.48%0.0334✓1.0064k2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.064189-7.64%0.0633-8.92%0.0734✓1.7664.3M2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.551.4404-7.07%1.3-16.13%0.0530✓1.00980k2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.0236-6.43%3.31-23.02%0.1264✓1.397.9M2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.031387-6.31%0.0271-19.10%0.0724✓1.50499k2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0820.7926-5.83%16.88-23.55%0.1513✓1.1524.2M2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.7565-5.57%1.365-26.61%0.1833✓1.392.9M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.5408-5.50%1.578-3.22%0.1009✗1.55140k2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.423894-5.42%0.3368-24.85%0.1442✓1.7321.4M2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.332-5.42%4.609+0.63%0.0799✗0.361.8M2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.05305-5.41%0.0395-29.57%0.2334✓1.247.6M2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.050.997561-4.99%0.68-35.24%0.2830✓2.021.1M2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.5742-4.99%6.0844+3.71%0.1047✗0.35441k2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.0198-4.74%2.251-28.99%0.2196✓1.5016.5M2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.970.924123-4.73%0.94-3.09%0.0666✗1.00269k2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.1134-4.59%2.4451-25.07%0.1821✓1.203.3M2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.574961-4.49%0.512-14.95%0.0717✓0.89840k2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551591.2617-4.49%54.2608-43.21%0.4442✓1.53315k2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.3616-4.34%3.671+4.47%0.1320✗0.89481k2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0022,681.53-4.26%20,575.06-13.15%0.0474✓1.017.2M2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum4.874.6655-4.20%3.723-23.55%0.1639✓1.251.9M2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.2535-4.02%1.639-30.20%0.2689✓1.0084k2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.086514-3.87%0.0711-21.00%0.1290✓1.36868k2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.1819-3.87%2.07-37.46%0.3804✓1.00681k2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.671924-3.86%0.4424-36.70%0.3439✓1.50665k2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.3718-3.82%1.1296-20.80%0.1312✓1.272.4M2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos4.03823.8848-3.80%3.1614-21.71%0.1424✓1.292.4M2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum6.075.8495-3.63%4.31-29.00%0.2551✓1.02701k2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.012974-3.47%0.0115-14.43%0.0431✓1.571.8M2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.2803-3.46%17.61-23.70%0.1751✓1.2110.5M2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.86261-3.44%0.7285-18.45%0.1160✓1.0711.9M2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0323.2076-3.42%20.21-15.90%0.0620✓1.54387k2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44164.6652-3.39%160.34-5.93%0.0433✗1.418.0M2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.0579-3.39%1.85-13.15%0.0403✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5127.55-3.37%28.63+0.42%0.0930✗1.1066.4M2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.2074-3.28%3.3831+48.24%0.4559✗0.582.9M2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.247.97-3.28%5.95-27.79%0.2780✓0.291.7M2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.072-3.09%2.19-30.91%0.2889✓1.00829k2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.7488-3.09%5.029+2.63%0.1193✗1.252.6M2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero179.36173.9939-2.99%195+8.72%0.1642✗1.011.2M2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.3352-2.98%7.638+16.97%0.2371✗1.011.9M2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.8988-2.72%1.451-25.67%0.1999✓1.401.1M2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0901-2.67%1.515+35.27%0.3979✗1.39694k2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.6438-2.58%2.1916-41.40%0.4622✓0.9330k2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.299078-2.49%0.3002-2.12%0.0595✗1.13538k2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.936657-2.45%0.7275-24.23%0.1777✓1.52552k2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1626-2.43%1.0729-9.96%0.0264✓1.09193k2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01132.7642-2.39%119.38-12.23%0.0417✓1.3058k2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3993.1877-2.31%85.76-10.10%0.0111✓1.45104.0M2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.718-2.30%4.289-11.19%0.0359✓1.20335k2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.3762-2.30%18.259-12.45%0.0466✓1.2710.1M2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2398.0533-2.25%5.917-28.18%0.2949✓0.2737k2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.2901-2.20%4.924-33.94%0.3446✓0.96407k2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.556048-2.16%0.8733+53.67%0.5188✗1.362.4M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6126-2.15%2.4-10.11%0.0337✓1.03373k2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.152841-2.15%0.1214-22.28%0.1635✓1.353.2M2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.011710.011458-2.15%0.00928-20.75%0.1448✓1.331.2M2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021323-2.07%0.01673-23.16%0.1810✓1.242.4M2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.2288-2.03%5.34-16.01%0.1123✓0.8472k2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5999-1.89%2.26-14.72%0.0776✓1.26390k2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.103212-1.89%0.0868-17.49%0.0966✓1.55996k2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.164685-1.86%0.1516-9.65%0.0316✓1.03470k2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.7572-1.84%6.275+123.39%0.8889✗1.341.0M2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.478409-1.80%0.4108-15.68%0.0830✓1.408.9M2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002144-1.67%0.00000186-14.68%0.0924✓1.0014.3M2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.6008-1.66%12.43+15.31%0.1922✗0.67821k2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.3845.6233-1.63%44.58-3.88%0.0359✗1.1930.4M2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7814-1.58%1.591-12.10%0.0513✓1.251.3M2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash125.58123.6116-1.57%172.57+37.42%0.3937✗1.217.4M2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.1909-1.53%25.79-9.92%0.0141✓1.512.0M2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.085.9881-1.51%4.24-30.26%0.2935✓1.04555k2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4262.4625-1.51%50.47-20.42%0.1506✓1.269.2M2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.056723-1.51%0.04977-13.58%0.0619✓1.391.2M2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative1.11251.0963-1.46%0.9186-17.43%0.0980✓1.591.9M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.531632-1.37%0.402-25.42%0.2086✓1.434.5M2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.5224-1.36%13.06-22.03%0.2023✓0.661.5M2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 256.0255.264-1.35%88.61+58.18%0.5424✗1.426.3M2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013707-1.32%0.01224-11.88%0.0745✓0.7814k2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.005931-1.31%0.00358-40.43%0.4053✓2.0117.9M2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.0888-1.31%41.26+1.58%0.1070✗1.58364k2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.281422-1.26%0.2119-25.65%0.2077✓1.544.0M2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2582-1.24%1.216-4.55%0.0269✗1.233.4M2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.55128.0229-1.18%116.39-10.16%0.0451✓1.017.8M2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.080256-1.13%0.07318-9.84%0.0551✓0.7589k2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84126.5556-1.00%111.9-12.47%0.0621✓1.2332.4M2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.88276.8162-0.97%6.34-7.88%0.0298✓0.863.8M2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.173146-0.89%0.133-23.87%0.2312✓0.66388k2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.9163-0.89%3.8721-2.01%0.0325✗0.892.3M2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.1895-0.86%3.346+4.01%0.0874✗0.80215k2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.218331-0.85%0.2087-5.22%0.0239✗1.393.7M2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0742-0.84%0.852-21.35%0.1753✓1.14106.9M2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2531.9807-0.84%28.05-13.02%0.0785✓1.065.5M2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4319-0.82%2.189-10.73%0.0533✓1.0520k2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3128.0834-0.80%28.09-0.78%0.0475✗0.951.2M2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.671994-0.75%0.537425-20.63%0.1666✓1.153.6M2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.370394-0.70%0.616+65.15%0.5760✗1.362.3M2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.6987-0.69%8.77-25.55%0.2240✓1.303.1M2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.0235-0.68%15.02-12.37%0.0658✓1.2070.2M2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.8145-0.68%6.123-22.18%0.1711✓1.47153k2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.3838-0.67%1.645-31.46%0.3211✓1.013.2M2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4358-0.62%6.43+17.55%0.2072✗0.79407k2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.6762-0.52%18.96-4.15%0.0304✗1.3633.6M2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.977929-0.52%0.836-14.95%0.0891✓1.372.4M2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.7803-0.47%4.828+0.52%0.0509✗0.83379k2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8515-0.46%1.05-43.55%0.5073✓1.211.3M2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.148069-0.45%0.119322-19.78%0.1656✓1.016.1M2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55333.0797-0.44%305.71-8.62%0.0366✓0.998.9M2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.075377-0.43%0.0728-3.83%0.0185✗1.0817k2022-03-18
DASHDashDash115.33114.8859-0.39%98.87-14.27%0.0953✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000085072-0.37%0.00008127-4.82%0.0108✗1.144.7M2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.473744-0.35%0.3288-30.84%0.2917✓1.481.9M2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.832511-0.34%0.84294+0.91%0.0873✗1.51334k2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8181-0.33%2.1269+16.60%0.2131✗1.1469k2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.287085-0.32%0.233-19.10%0.1627✓0.9373k2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.597-0.30%15.01-14.96%0.0733✓1.733.4M2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.976573-0.26%0.7552-22.87%0.1961✓1.2326.7M2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.5052-0.23%8.18+25.46%0.2700✗0.83463k2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.785706-0.16%0.64-18.68%0.1502✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000030943-0.02%0.00002236-27.75%0.2554✓1.402.8M2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.9082-0.01%13.65-14.20%0.1018✓1.04483k2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.694.6151+0.02%80.59-14.81%0.1164✗0.891.1M2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.01079+0.09%0.00919-14.75%0.1086✗1.05483k2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6901+0.12%1.574-6.75%0.0140✗1.162.1M2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.269785+0.18%0.2478-7.98%0.0341✗1.031.8M2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,133.23+0.28%2,939.17-5.93%0.0078✗1.13581.4M2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.219394+0.30%0.192891-11.82%0.0778✗1.0321.9M2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.098235+0.35%0.0956-2.34%0.0276✓1.1150k2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.032325+0.51%0.02515-21.80%0.2088✗0.856.2M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.6229+0.59%4.3273+20.15%0.2277✓1.012.5M2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.177349+0.63%0.1531-13.13%0.0675✗1.6132k2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.3098+0.80%9.62-14.26%0.0955✗1.3412.2M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration166.77168.2435+0.88%148.53-10.94%0.0653✗1.20973k2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.3084+0.95%6.14-15.19%0.1608✗0.271.2M2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8044,447.12+1.11%41,510.70-5.57%0.0201✗0.9751k2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.11420.1155+1.14%0.1-12.43%0.0939✗1.0137k2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2848+1.17%2.3491+4.02%0.0901✓1.26367k2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.8392+1.17%6.37-5.77%0.0277✗0.88430k2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5644,460.45+1.29%41,774.98-4.83%0.0128✓1.00642.7M2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.045548+1.99%0.04078-8.69%0.0558✗1.1131k2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.086868+2.08%0.0717-15.75%0.1319✗1.21194k2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana101.94104.1701+2.19%89.87-11.84%0.0849✗1.27179.7M2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.067939+2.21%0.061738-7.12%0.0537✗0.85344k2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.03312+3.56%0.04379+36.93%0.3454✓1.3410.7M2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.