8=======>

2022-02-16 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1478
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.0%
in alpha space · 52.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.6631-0.99%11.44-2.89%0.0838✗1.303.1M2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.4128-0.95%1.2511-12.28%0.0201✓1.272.4M2022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.6173-0.81%1.4805-9.20%0.0354✗1.55140k2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.055722-0.65%0.051055-8.97%0.0114✗1.247.6M2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.2711-0.49%2.2781-0.18%0.0496✗0.582.9M2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0457-0.41%0.94-10.48%0.0546✗2.021.1M2022-02-17
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.2965-0.41%2.89-12.69%0.0520✓1.00681k2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum4.874.8529-0.35%4.44-8.83%0.0104✗1.251.9M2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.2536-0.29%3.0801-5.61%0.0409✗1.203.3M2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.8447-0.29%7.015-10.84%0.0053✗1.47153k2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.013401-0.29%0.01178-12.35%0.0042✓1.571.8M2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum46.3846.2499-0.28%43.72-5.74%0.0386✗1.1930.4M2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3995.1336-0.27%88.28-7.45%0.0409✗1.45104.0M2022-02-17
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.3422-0.25%2.105-10.35%0.0272✓1.0084k2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.069334-0.24%0.0608-12.52%0.0091✗1.7664.3M2022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.248.2208-0.23%7.1-13.83%0.1237✓0.291.7M2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2398.222-0.21%7.107-13.74%0.1243✓0.2737k2022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.5707-0.20%5+9.17%0.1186✗0.361.8M2022-02-17
DASHDashDash115.33115.0975-0.20%104.76-9.17%0.0059✓1.111.9M2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum6.076.0581-0.20%5.54-8.73%0.0086✓1.02701k2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.174368-0.19%0.1642-6.01%0.0077✓0.66388k2022-02-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.1997-0.18%1.2327+2.56%0.1022✗0.941.5M2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.486314-0.18%0.4369-10.32%0.0044✗1.408.9M2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.675874-0.18%0.62107-8.27%0.0069✗1.153.6M2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.9445-0.18%3.3132-16.15%0.1039✓0.892.3M2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.7947-0.17%4.567-4.91%0.0172✗0.83379k2022-02-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115802-0.17%0.124+6.90%0.1480✗1.0064k2022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.306219-0.16%0.2746-10.47%0.0193✓1.13538k2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0822.0456-0.16%19.86-10.05%0.0125✓1.1524.2M2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.7345-0.15%3.4641-7.38%0.0009✓0.9330k2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.03824.0325-0.14%3.6686-9.15%0.0078✗1.292.4M2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.044598-0.14%0.04103-8.13%0.0047✗1.1131k2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01135.8248-0.14%123.7-9.05%0.0103✗1.3058k2022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.601192-0.13%0.5558-7.67%0.0073✓0.89840k2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.7658-0.13%10.24-5.01%0.0029✗0.67821k2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551595.4278-0.13%85.9444-10.05%0.0172✗1.53315k2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4263.3384-0.13%56.37-11.12%0.0159✓1.269.2M2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.075611-0.12%0.0698-7.79%0.0057✗1.0817k2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.114068-0.12%0.1047-8.32%0.0049✓1.0137k2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.016949-0.12%0.015816-6.79%0.0210✗1.13450k2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.667-0.11%2.47-7.49%0.0055✗1.03373k2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4493-0.11%2.231-9.01%0.0099✓1.0520k2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.081085-0.10%0.07416-8.64%0.0295✓0.7589k2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.033466-0.10%0.0309-7.76%0.0400✗1.50499k2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.624385-0.10%0.5382-13.89%0.0036✗1.911.8M2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.8244-0.10%4.3951-8.99%0.0023✗1.20335k2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.7336-0.10%15.35-8.36%0.0335✓0.661.5M2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.156048-0.10%0.1568+0.38%0.1122✗1.353.2M2022-02-17
DIADIAEthereum0.970.969077-0.10%1.2+23.71%0.2933✗1.00269k2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.8083-0.09%1.65-8.84%0.0076✗1.251.3M2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.8617-0.09%5.5502-5.40%0.0271✓0.35441k2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.8378-0.08%19.71-5.49%0.0458✗1.2710.1M2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6479-0.08%2.56-3.40%0.0667✗1.26390k2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3128.2879-0.08%26.61-6.00%0.0148✗0.951.2M2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash125.58125.4825-0.08%113.58-9.56%0.0031✓1.217.4M2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.089933-0.07%0.0825-8.33%0.0219✗1.36868k2022-02-17
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.1679-0.07%2.92-7.89%0.0019✓1.00829k2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.26912-0.07%0.2525-6.24%0.0181✗1.031.8M2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.4491-0.07%6.499-12.81%0.0596✓0.96407k2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.220073-0.06%0.2015-8.49%0.0228✗1.393.7M2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.097834-0.06%0.0902-7.86%0.0069✗1.1150k2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.7563-0.05%6.42-5.03%0.0186✗0.88430k2022-02-17
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002179-0.05%0.00000206-5.50%0.0235✗1.0014.3M2022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.8077-0.04%2.668-5.02%0.0559✗1.341.0M2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.9512-0.04%1.741-10.81%0.0029✓1.401.1M2022-02-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0465.0439-0.04%4.316-14.47%0.0746✓1.02664k2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000030937-0.04%0.00002821-8.85%0.0193✗1.402.8M2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.694.565-0.04%87.71-7.28%0.0044✓0.891.1M2022-02-17
STXStacksnative1.551.5495-0.03%1.4-9.68%0.0218✓1.00980k2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0324.0218-0.03%21.3-11.36%0.0025✗1.54387k2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.6005-0.03%3.227-10.40%0.0291✓1.012.5M2022-02-17
PROPropyEthereum2.342.3393-0.03%2.17-7.26%0.0797✗1.94812k2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2532.2411-0.03%29.43-8.74%0.0065✓1.065.5M2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55334.4577-0.03%313.15-6.40%0.0132✗0.998.9M2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.5284-0.02%6.03-7.66%0.0011✗1.011.9M2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.167766-0.02%0.1536-8.46%0.0060✓1.03470k2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.11251.1123-0.02%1.0138-8.87%0.0340✗1.591.9M2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0823.0759-0.02%20.54-11.01%0.0198✓1.2110.5M2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8993-0.02%4.59-6.33%0.0344✗1.252.6M2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0023,688.68-0.01%22,441.70-5.27%0.0263✗1.017.2M2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0832-0.00%1.0203-5.82%0.0308✗1.14106.9M2022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5128.5092-0.00%28.08-1.51%0.0725✗1.1066.4M2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.3581+0.00%6.1-4.06%0.0255✓0.8472k2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,897.22+0.00%40,536.73-7.65%0.0000✗1.00642.7M2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.218758+0.01%0.202261-7.53%0.0036✓1.0321.9M2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.285033+0.01%0.2558-10.25%0.0141✓1.544.0M2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000085402+0.01%0.00007849-8.08%0.0064✓1.144.7M2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.1202+0.02%1.07-4.46%0.0647✓1.39694k2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8244+0.02%1.6695-8.47%0.0017✓1.1469k2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013894+0.03%0.01258-9.43%0.0371✗0.7814k2022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.6396+0.03%25.54-10.79%0.0058✓1.512.0M2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.032171+0.03%0.02995-6.87%0.0037✗0.856.2M2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 256.0256.0412+0.04%50.27-10.26%0.0043✓1.426.3M2022-02-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.045847+0.04%0.04378-4.47%0.0178✓0.802.2M2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8043,980.55+0.04%40,651.20-7.53%0.0012✗0.9751k2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.5156+0.05%3.268-7.00%0.0024✗0.89481k2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.011710.011716+0.05%0.0107-8.63%0.0155✓1.331.2M2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.057618+0.05%0.05215-9.45%0.0111✓1.391.2M2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.373191+0.05%0.334-10.46%0.0028✗1.362.3M2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.983526+0.05%0.894-9.05%0.0133✓1.372.4M2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.5235+0.05%6.03-7.52%0.0129✗0.83463k2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.1717+0.05%2.91-8.20%0.0333✓1.5016.5M2022-02-17
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.4013+0.06%2.13-11.25%0.0397✗1.013.2M2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.3026+0.06%3.95-8.14%0.0252✓1.397.9M2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.689+0.06%1.541-8.71%0.0002✓1.162.1M2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44170.5452+0.06%152.99-10.24%0.0037✓1.418.0M2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.219+0.06%3.08-4.26%0.0193✓0.80215k2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum6.88276.8872+0.06%6.58-4.40%0.0228✓0.863.8M2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.793+0.07%18.16-8.19%0.0224✓1.3633.6M2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.1516+0.07%15.6-8.98%0.0008✓1.2070.2M2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.006014+0.07%0.0054-10.15%0.0524✓2.0117.9M2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,126.65+0.07%2,893.56-7.39%0.0128✓1.13581.4M2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.979865+0.08%0.8983-8.25%0.0111✓1.2326.7M2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.1318+0.08%1.9-10.80%0.0086✗1.342.1M2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.787693+0.09%0.742-5.72%0.0285✓1.111.9M2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero179.36179.5224+0.09%163.89-8.63%0.0104✗1.011.2M2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.539502+0.09%0.493-8.53%0.0238✓1.434.5M2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.894155+0.10%0.8222-7.96%0.0012✓1.0711.9M2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010791+0.10%0.00987-8.44%0.0058✗1.05483k2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration166.77166.9405+0.10%155.14-6.97%0.0220✓1.20973k2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum129.55129.6896+0.11%119.39-7.84%0.0021✗1.017.8M2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84127.9813+0.11%116.39-8.96%0.0031✓1.2332.4M2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.176443+0.12%0.16982-3.64%0.0897✓1.6132k2022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.2331+0.12%10.41-7.22%0.0306✓1.3412.2M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.148911+0.12%0.138407-6.95%0.0076✓1.016.1M2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4765+0.12%5.36-2.01%0.0416✓0.79407k2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.288351+0.12%0.268-6.94%0.0009✓0.9373k2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.961397+0.12%0.883-8.04%0.0355✓1.52552k2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.476029+0.13%0.4344-8.62%0.0267✓1.481.9M2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.9311+0.13%14.58-8.36%0.0061✗1.04483k2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.699945+0.15%0.6239-10.73%0.0041✓1.50665k2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.836679+0.16%0.76017-9.00%0.0244✓1.51334k2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.066578+0.16%0.062402-6.12%0.0028✓0.85344k2022-02-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.085238+0.16%0.0849-0.24%0.0925✓1.21194k2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2761+0.17%1.142-10.36%0.0129✗1.233.4M2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana101.94102.128+0.18%93.56-8.22%0.0133✓1.27179.7M2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021814+0.19%0.020359-6.49%0.0300✓1.242.4M2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.086.0915+0.19%5.45-10.36%0.0281✗1.04555k2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.194+0.21%1.0731-9.94%0.0201✗1.09193k2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.864+0.22%1.69-9.14%0.0127✓1.392.9M2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.6886+0.22%15.78-10.59%0.0236✓1.733.4M2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2563+0.23%7.46+3.04%0.0492✓0.271.2M2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.032053+0.23%0.02758-13.76%0.0440✗1.3410.7M2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2638+0.24%2.1008-6.98%0.0255✓1.26367k2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8649+0.26%1.66-10.75%0.0201✗1.211.3M2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.7277+0.27%36.74-9.55%0.0227✓1.58364k2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.569875+0.28%0.542-4.63%0.0581✓1.362.4M2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.105498+0.28%0.0969-7.89%0.0382✓1.55996k2022-02-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.4496+0.31%0.4073-9.13%0.0392✓1.7321.4M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.02845+0.59%0.026932-4.78%0.0479✓1.2989k2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.