2022-02-15 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0473

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.61%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.3%

in alpha space · 62.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.54%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066837	0.06703	+0.29%	0.066472	-0.55%	0.0053	✓	0.88	327k	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0872	0.087424	+0.26%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0078	✗	1.23	195k	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	105.61	105.8543	+0.23%	101.94	-3.48%	0.0177	✗	1.29	179.7M	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3357	2.3401	+0.19%	2.2584	-3.31%	0.0159	✗	1.27	436k	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1143	0.114514	+0.19%	0.1142	-0.09%	0.0136	✓	1.05	39k	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.91	6.9228	+0.18%	6.76	-2.17%	0.0099	✗	0.89	449k	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.4	7.413	+0.18%	7.24	-2.16%	0.0189	✗	0.30	1.2M	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04542	0.045496	+0.17%	0.04466	-1.67%	0.0004	✓	1.17	30k	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.87	9.8857	+0.16%	11.78	+19.35%	0.1960	✓	1.33	3.0M	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.86024	0.861481	+0.14%	0.83537	-2.89%	0.0073	✗	1.51	334k	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.151784	0.151988	+0.13%	0.148737	-2.01%	0.0058	✗	1.02	6.4M	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	109.33	109.4765	+0.13%	115.33	+5.49%	0.0695	✓	1.12	2.0M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1761	0.176328	+0.13%	0.1747	-0.80%	0.0016	✓	0.70	388k	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0747	0.07479	+0.12%	0.0757	+1.34%	0.0293	✓	1.11	17k	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	176.23	176.4249	+0.11%	166.77	-5.37%	0.0377	✗	1.20	930k	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4864	0.486898	+0.10%	0.4754	-2.26%	0.0005	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03447	0.034504	+0.10%	0.03198	-7.22%	0.0571	✗	1.21	10.4M	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,583.52	44,627.80	+0.10%	43,895.56	-1.54%	0.0010	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.17	16.1858	+0.10%	15.91	-1.61%	0.0008	✓	1.05	483k	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03092	0.03095	+0.10%	0.03216	+4.01%	0.0517	✓	0.86	6.2M	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.711	3.7144	+0.09%	3.6017	-2.95%	0.0140	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.48	11.4897	+0.08%	11.22	-2.26%	0.0029	✗	1.34	12.2M	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,051.40	44,088.58	+0.08%	43,960.80	-0.21%	0.0123	✓	0.98	51k	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		97.61	97.6914	+0.08%	94.6	-3.08%	0.0181	✗	0.91	1.2M	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008792	0.000087986	+0.08%	0.00008539	-2.88%	0.0121	✗	1.15	4.8M	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.98	1.9815	+0.07%	1.86	-6.06%	0.0446	✗	1.20	1.4M	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09827	0.098343	+0.07%	0.09789	-0.39%	0.0132	✓	1.14	51k	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2792	0.279394	+0.07%	0.2693	-3.55%	0.0204	✗	1.06	1.7M	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.221086	0.221204	+0.05%	0.21874	-1.06%	0.0048	✓	1.03	21.9M	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.005	1.0054	+0.04%	0.983	-2.19%	0.0010	✗	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17939	0.179457	+0.04%	0.17624	-1.76%	0.0067	✓	1.60	34k	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01107	0.011074	+0.03%	0.01078	-2.62%	0.0108	✗	1.04	483k	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.115	6.117	+0.03%	6.358	+3.97%	0.0520	✓	0.86	72k	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9706	0.970915	+0.03%	0.9791	+0.88%	0.0260	✓	1.13	26.7M	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,186.24	3,187.18	+0.03%	3,124.45	-1.94%	0.0022	✗	1.14	581.4M	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.19	20.1957	+0.03%	19.78	-2.03%	0.0005	✓	1.37	34.9M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.26	6.2609	+0.01%	6.08	-2.88%	0.0123	✗	1.09	590k	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.296	0.296033	+0.01%	0.288	-2.70%	0.0128	✗	0.95	77k	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.62	6.6206	+0.01%	6.52	-1.51%	0.0024	✗	0.83	482k	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.772	4.7723	+0.01%	4.803	+0.65%	0.0195	✓	0.84	383k	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.74	131.7349	-0.00%	127.84	-2.96%	0.0105	✓	1.26	34.8M	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.286	3.2858	-0.01%	3.217	-2.10%	0.0085	✓	0.81	218k	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00613	0.00613	-0.01%	0.00601	-1.96%	0.0116	✗	2.02	18.1M	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.887	2.8868	-0.01%	2.809	-2.70%	0.0064	✓	1.34	1.1M	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	28.67	28.6673	-0.01%	28.63	-0.14%	0.0230	✗	1.56	2.0M	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.67	132.6563	-0.01%	129.55	-2.35%	0.0076	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1087	1.1086	-0.01%	1.0833	-2.29%	0.0055	✓	1.13	107.6M	2022-02-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.44	18.4373	-0.01%	17.65	-4.28%	0.0164	✓	1.75	3.6M	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8634	1.863	-0.02%	1.8241	-2.11%	0.0034	✓	1.14	69k	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2217	0.221655	-0.02%	0.2202	-0.68%	0.0156	✗	1.43	3.7M	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9311	6.9295	-0.02%	6.8827	-0.70%	0.0069	✗	0.88	3.9M	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.475	2.4744	-0.03%	2.452	-0.93%	0.0081	✗	1.10	20k	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	56.85	56.8347	-0.03%	56.02	-1.46%	0.0077	✗	1.42	6.9M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2264	1.2259	-0.03%	1.1915	-2.84%	0.0123	✓	1.04	211k	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	343.69	343.5627	-0.04%	334.55	-2.66%	0.0111	✓	1.00	8.9M	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.48	2.4788	-0.05%	2.4	-3.23%	0.0167	✓	1.01	3.2M	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.33	1.3294	-0.05%	1.274	-4.21%	0.0234	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2864	0.286257	-0.05%	0.285	-0.49%	0.0197	✗	1.55	4.2M	2022-02-16
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000222	0.000002219	-0.06%	0.00000218	-1.80%	0.0020	✓	1.00	14.5M	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.35	17.339	-0.06%	17.14	-1.21%	0.0073	✗	1.21	70.2M	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.558	7.5528	-0.07%	7.454	-1.38%	0.0021	✗	0.98	407k	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.889	7.8835	-0.07%	8.239	+4.44%	0.0494	✗	0.34	37k	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	43.12	43.09	-0.07%	40.62	-5.80%	0.0350	✓	1.55	400k	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003122	0.000031198	-0.07%	0.00003095	-0.86%	0.0139	✗	1.40	2.4M	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.72	5.7158	-0.07%	5.47	-4.37%	0.0316	✓	0.80	407k	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.767	1.7657	-0.08%	1.688	-4.47%	0.0265	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1078	0.10771	-0.08%	0.1052	-2.41%	0.0007	✓	1.56	1.1M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.04	125.9344	-0.08%	125.58	-0.36%	0.0161	✗	1.22	7.2M	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.54	0.539534	-0.09%	0.539	-0.19%	0.0214	✗	1.44	4.5M	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.8	1.7984	-0.09%	1.81	+0.56%	0.0261	✗	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.49	33.4581	-0.10%	32.25	-3.70%	0.0203	✓	1.06	5.5M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.642394	0.641726	-0.10%	0.677091	+5.40%	0.0718	✗	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.15	11.1378	-0.11%	10.78	-3.32%	0.0220	✓	0.69	760k	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022313	0.022289	-0.11%	0.021773	-2.42%	0.0042	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.577	20.554	-0.11%	20.855	+1.35%	0.0349	✗	1.31	10.2M	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5812	0.580509	-0.12%	0.5683	-2.22%	0.0001	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1327	1.1313	-0.12%	1.1125	-1.78%	0.0090	✗	1.66	1.9M	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9859	0.984686	-0.12%	0.9602	-2.61%	0.0013	✓	1.54	588k	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.73	2.7266	-0.12%	2.67	-2.20%	0.0049	✓	1.03	388k	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.826	0.824976	-0.12%	0.787	-4.72%	0.0298	✓	1.11	1.8M	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05586	0.055791	-0.12%	0.05759	+3.10%	0.0536	✗	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.388	0.387489	-0.13%	0.373	-3.87%	0.0173	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.166378	-0.13%	0.1678	+0.72%	0.0245	✗	1.03	470k	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	63.31	63.2194	-0.14%	63.42	+0.17%	0.0230	✗	1.27	8.8M	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01398	0.01396	-0.14%	0.01389	-0.64%	0.0069	✗	0.76	13k	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.17	47.099	-0.15%	46.38	-1.67%	0.0028	✗	1.17	30.8M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.9639	4.9561	-0.16%	4.8292	-2.71%	0.0067	✓	1.23	343k	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1628	0.162543	-0.16%	0.1562	-4.05%	0.0189	✓	1.34	3.3M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.971	1.9677	-0.17%	1.952	-0.96%	0.0129	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.77	2.7653	-0.17%	2.65	-4.33%	0.0228	✓	1.27	390k	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01191	0.01189	-0.17%	0.01171	-1.68%	0.0063	✗	1.39	1.2M	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	22.33	22.2911	-0.17%	23.08	+3.36%	0.0538	✗	1.22	10.4M	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	4.0137	4.0067	-0.18%	3.9514	-1.55%	0.0013	✓	0.97	2.3M	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08132	0.081177	-0.18%	0.08117	-0.18%	0.0118	✗	0.77	86k	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	136.04	135.7981	-0.18%	136.01	-0.02%	0.0221	✗	1.32	58k	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.39	6.3785	-0.18%	6.53	+2.19%	0.0398	✗	1.05	1.9M	2022-02-16
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.23	3.2241	-0.18%	3.17	-1.86%	0.0014	✓	1.00	882k	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6605	0.659243	-0.19%	0.6989	+5.81%	0.0822	✗	1.53	709k	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8985	0.896752	-0.19%	0.8933	-0.58%	0.0135	✗	1.12	12.4M	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.09	29.0258	-0.22%	28.31	-2.68%	0.0102	✓	0.95	1.2M	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5957	0.594292	-0.24%	0.602	+1.06%	0.0293	✗	1.06	948k	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.01	28.9361	-0.25%	28.51	-1.72%	0.0026	✗	1.12	68.5M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1483	4.1375	-0.26%	4.0382	-2.65%	0.0041	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.66	5.6451	-0.26%	6.07	+7.24%	0.0894	✗	1.08	682k	2022-02-16
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.46	2.4535	-0.27%	2.348	-4.55%	0.0284	✓	1.00	85k	2022-02-16
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.85	2.8423	-0.27%	3.31	+16.14%	0.1679	✗	1.00	639k	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.16	2.1542	-0.27%	2.13	-1.39%	0.0095	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-16
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.99	0.98711	-0.29%	0.97	-2.02%	0.0019	✓	1.00	270k	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3139	0.312962	-0.30%	0.3067	-2.29%	0.0025	✓	1.14	538k	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	93.07	92.7743	-0.32%	95.39	+2.49%	0.0504	✗	1.45	102.9M	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	23.7	23.6221	-0.33%	24.03	+1.39%	0.0413	✗	1.56	383k	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.36	17.3026	-0.33%	16.75	-3.51%	0.0219	✓	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0726	-0.34%	4.9	-3.73%	0.0151	✓	1.26	2.6M	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.99	7.9616	-0.36%	8.24	+3.13%	0.0399	✗	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	172.28	171.6647	-0.36%	170.44	-1.07%	0.0148	✗	1.41	8.0M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.65	4.6332	-0.36%	4.87	+4.73%	0.0695	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.581	3.5678	-0.37%	3.514	-1.87%	0.0015	✓	0.88	502k	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,489.02	24,398.39	-0.37%	23,690.00	-3.26%	0.0147	✓	0.95	7.4M	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.65	181.9551	-0.38%	179.36	-1.80%	0.0014	✓	1.02	1.2M	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.21	1.2053	-0.39%	1.12	-7.44%	0.0519	✓	1.38	751k	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4669	0.465002	-0.41%	0.4482	-4.01%	0.0094	✓	1.76	24.6M	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.776	3.7588	-0.46%	3.7402	-0.95%	0.0090	✗	0.89	30k	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.029039	0.028901	-0.47%	0.028284	-2.60%	0.0013	✓	1.30	91k	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5634	7.5275	-0.48%	7.8678	+4.02%	0.0673	✗	1.48	145k	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4932	0.490839	-0.48%	0.4872	-1.22%	0.0143	✗	1.40	8.9M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.78	21.6669	-0.52%	22.08	+1.38%	0.0369	✗	1.16	24.7M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.18	3.1633	-0.53%	3.17	-0.31%	0.0245	✗	1.44	17.3M	2022-02-16
STX	Stacks	native	1.58	1.5715	-0.54%	1.55	-1.90%	0.0017	✓	1.00	997k	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0136	0.013527	-0.54%	0.01344	-1.18%	0.0180	✗	1.58	1.8M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.92	1.9095	-0.55%	1.86	-3.12%	0.0046	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.65	4.6243	-0.55%	4.58	-1.51%	0.0040	✓	0.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0929	0.092374	-0.57%	0.09	-3.12%	0.0045	✓	1.38	784k	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.1748	2.1624	-0.57%	2.2822	+4.94%	0.0637	✗	0.63	2.9M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9474	5.913	-0.58%	5.8668	-1.36%	0.0027	✓	0.33	441k	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3864	1.378	-0.61%	1.6305	+17.61%	0.1931	✗	1.60	131k	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0343	0.03409	-0.61%	0.0335	-2.33%	0.0054	✓	1.47	499k	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.335	3.3145	-0.62%	3.2632	-2.15%	0.0014	✓	1.10	3.1M	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3318	1.3224	-0.70%	1.4263	+7.10%	0.0955	✗	1.28	2.3M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.43	4.3984	-0.71%	4.3	-2.93%	0.0009	✓	1.40	8.0M	2022-02-16
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.121	0.12011	-0.74%	0.116	-4.13%	0.0193	✓	1.00	70k	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0729	0.072346	-0.76%	0.0695	-4.66%	0.0127	✓	1.76	64.3M	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	98.6528	97.8602	-0.80%	95.5515	-3.14%	0.0002	✓	1.52	315k	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017306	0.017133	-1.00%	0.016969	-1.95%	0.0084	✓	1.16	503k	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.054953	0.054386	-1.03%	0.056084	+2.06%	0.0508	✗	1.29	7.4M	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.11	1.0955	-1.31%	1.05	-5.41%	0.0110	✓	2.02	1.1M	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6393	0.629186	-1.58%	0.625	-2.24%	0.0234	✗	1.93	1.8M	2022-02-16
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04668	0.045836	-1.81%	0.04583	-1.82%	0.0126	✓	0.82	2.4M	2022-02-16
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3014	1.2765	-1.91%	1.2019	-7.65%	0.0459	✓	0.92	1.5M	2022-02-16
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.179	5.0681	-2.14%	5.046	-2.57%	0.0116	✓	1.03	709k	2022-02-16
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.37	2.3135	-2.38%	2.34	-1.27%	0.0418	✗	1.95	870k	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.