8=======>

2022-02-09 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2503
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.5%
in alpha space · 62.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0410.042342+3.27%0.0143-65.12%0.9324✗1.129.1M2022-03-11
SOLSolanaSolana114.04117.5291+3.06%80.7-29.24%0.2066✗1.24179.7M2022-03-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09430.09704+2.91%0.0696-26.19%0.1638✗1.23219k2022-03-11
TRXTRONTron0.0699430.071964+2.89%0.060203-13.93%0.0555✗0.90362k2022-03-11
XVSVenusEthereum10.0610.345+2.83%8.54-15.11%0.0145✓1.292.5M2022-03-11
NANOnanopayBase2.42.4672+2.80%1.6874-29.69%0.2175✗1.19845k2022-03-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.487.654+2.33%5.85-21.79%0.2246✗0.321.0M2022-03-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.187.344+2.28%6.28-12.53%0.0360✗0.88416k2022-03-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,492.6045,491.38+2.24%38,852.80-12.68%0.0254✗0.9741k2022-03-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,416.3545,377.65+2.16%38,732.04-12.80%0.0214✓1.00642.7M2022-03-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.89683.9747+2.00%3.707-4.87%0.0812✓1.102.5M2022-03-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.03120.031785+1.88%0.02468-20.90%0.1311✗0.896.6M2022-03-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04680.047644+1.80%0.03906-16.54%0.0459✗1.1230k2022-03-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.2721.6494+1.78%13.72-35.50%0.2200✗1.723.8M2022-03-11
QTUMQtumQtum7.20427.3182+1.58%5.8755-18.44%0.0216✗1.45156k2022-03-11
DASHDashDash114.95116.6533+1.48%94.95-17.40%0.0507✗1.132.2M2022-03-11
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3312.5124+1.48%8.51-30.98%0.2048✗1.3212.5M2022-03-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29630.300047+1.26%0.2186-26.22%0.1683✗1.081.7M2022-03-11
XEMNEMnative0.12120.122721+1.25%0.0935-22.85%0.1286✗1.0535k2022-03-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,246.223,285.47+1.21%2,556.42-21.25%0.0989✗1.11544.5M2022-03-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.54060.546978+1.18%0.2924-45.91%0.4235✗1.482.2M2022-03-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.147.223+1.16%7.84+9.80%0.1926✓0.81463k2022-03-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.291081+1.07%0.226-21.53%0.1223✗0.9570k2022-03-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8270.835568+1.04%0.636-23.10%0.1235✗1.091.6M2022-03-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14290.144355+1.02%0.1144-19.94%0.0442✗1.383.2M2022-03-11
KSMKusamaHydration192.22194.1733+1.02%124.19-35.39%0.2819✗1.201.0M2022-03-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03711.0465+0.91%0.7014-32.37%0.2499✗1.1029.2M2022-03-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8321.8472+0.83%1.464-20.09%0.0753✗1.151.6M2022-03-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5116.6456+0.82%12.74-22.83%0.1239✗1.05590k2022-03-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.5102.3169+0.80%78.04-23.11%0.1472✗0.901.4M2022-03-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4060.409076+0.76%0.262-35.47%0.2598✗1.361.8M2022-03-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8014.8332+0.67%4.326-9.89%0.0033✓0.83346k2022-03-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2388540.240397+0.65%0.183591-23.14%0.1296✗1.0224.9M2022-03-11
XYMSymbolnative0.18680.187835+0.55%0.1335-28.53%0.2439✗0.71423k2022-03-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.99822.0089+0.54%2.1155+5.87%0.2024✓1.1079k2022-03-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4828.6329+0.54%27.91-2.00%0.1068✓0.97566k2022-03-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.212.2218+0.54%1.06-52.04%0.5787✗1.181.7M2022-03-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.24120.242176+0.40%0.1931-19.94%0.0358✗1.393.7M2022-03-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1590480.15966+0.38%0.11539-27.45%0.1842✗1.037.1M2022-03-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0861.0901+0.38%0.807-25.69%0.1132✗1.372.3M2022-03-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash346.21347.4725+0.36%287.73-16.89%0.0492✗1.027.9M2022-03-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032980.000033082+0.31%0.00002206-33.11%0.2135✗1.401.4M2022-03-11
XECeCashnative0.000097210.000097502+0.30%0.0000731-24.80%0.1316✗1.145.6M2022-03-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013240.013278+0.28%0.01186-10.42%0.0042✗0.7912k2022-03-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.067.0769+0.24%3.82-45.89%0.4657✗1.10733k2022-03-11
ZECZcashZcash126.05126.2739+0.18%153.51+21.79%0.3678✓1.266.6M2022-03-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107850.10803+0.17%0.09115-15.48%0.0248✗1.0649k2022-03-11
IMXImmutableEthereum2.812.8138+0.13%1.705-39.32%0.3743✗0.922.6M2022-03-11
DODODODOEthereum0.5910.591754+0.13%0.385-34.86%0.2333✗1.444.6M2022-03-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9721.9977+0.13%17.7-19.44%0.0326✗1.3537.4M2022-03-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.230580.230848+0.12%0.15536-32.62%0.1785✗1.5936k2022-03-11
SCSiacoinnative0.012050.012061+0.09%0.00879-27.05%0.1785✗1.01572k2022-03-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3473.346-0.03%2.741-18.11%0.0887✓0.81206k2022-03-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.941170.940818-0.04%0.65584-30.32%0.1585✓1.48311k2022-03-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.8853.8832-0.05%3.4608-10.92%0.0167✗0.962.2M2022-03-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.085730.08568-0.06%0.07118-16.97%0.0818✓0.7689k2022-03-11
LRCLoopringEthereum1.09761.0969-0.07%0.6978-36.42%0.2410✓1.54672k2022-03-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum67.6267.5592-0.09%45.9-32.12%0.2199✓1.228.4M2022-03-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana65.9943-0.09%5.49-8.50%0.0193✗0.78377k2022-03-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.718.6815-0.10%13.05-30.21%0.1958✓1.1975.4M2022-03-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48770.487118-0.12%0.3189-34.61%0.2435✓1.329.2M2022-03-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0242330.024187-0.19%0.01714-29.27%0.1782✓1.212.5M2022-03-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059410.059263-0.25%0.0472-20.55%0.0317✓1.431.2M2022-03-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007440.00742-0.27%0.00353-52.55%0.4690✓2.0019.8M2022-03-11
GTGateEthereum7.04237.0218-0.29%6.328-10.14%0.0181✗0.894.1M2022-03-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.1889.8664-0.35%71.25-20.99%0.0476✓1.3587.1M2022-03-11
HIVEHivenative1.17281.1687-0.35%0.8661-26.15%0.1000✓1.461.9M2022-03-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.8433.7062-0.40%26.5-21.69%0.0952✓1.064.0M2022-03-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07940.079078-0.40%0.06831-13.97%0.0023✓1.0921k2022-03-11
COMPCompoundEthereum144.23143.6456-0.41%102.07-29.23%0.1675✓1.2765k2022-03-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.29071.2854-0.41%1.1514-10.79%0.0517✗1.182.3M2022-03-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.6092.5981-0.42%2.114-18.97%0.0619✓1.0522k2022-03-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7067280.703659-0.43%0.48841-30.89%0.2079✓1.153.5M2022-03-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.832.8171-0.46%2.16-23.67%0.1264✓1.02489k2022-03-11
ADACardanoCardano1.19471.1886-0.51%0.7884-34.01%0.2585✓1.11109.8M2022-03-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin140.21139.479-0.52%104.55-25.43%0.1098✓1.3032.4M2022-03-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum33.9233.7368-0.54%22.89-32.52%0.1816✓1.512.0M2022-03-11
BTTCBTTC0.000002320.000002307-0.54%0.00000178-23.28%0.1226✓1.0015.1M2022-03-11
LUNATerraTerra 257.5657.2454-0.55%88.28+53.37%0.6256✗1.418.8M2022-03-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.8976.8558-0.60%4.778-30.72%0.2374✓0.9081k2022-03-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.431.4209-0.63%1.113-22.17%0.0748✓1.243.2M2022-03-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.166706-0.65%0.1489-11.26%0.0300✗1.04412k2022-03-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.9174-0.65%1.321-31.55%0.2012✓1.251.5M2022-03-11
RADRadworksEthereum6.086.0274-0.87%4.44-26.97%0.1639✓1.04773k2022-03-11
ZENHorizenBase47.8347.4135-0.87%37.86-20.84%0.0144✓1.54461k2022-03-11
BANDBandEthereum4.174.1325-0.90%3.44-17.51%0.0102✓1.261.9M2022-03-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0833.0542-0.94%5.761+86.86%0.8195✗1.351.1M2022-03-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62330.617376-0.95%0.6706+7.59%0.2622✗1.312.6M2022-03-11
XVGVergenative0.012530.012407-0.98%0.00939-25.06%0.0922✓1.361.3M2022-03-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.36335.308-1.03%4.0628-24.25%0.0999✓1.22442k2022-03-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.35191.3371-1.09%0.96652-28.51%0.1837✓1.03279k2022-03-11
FTTFTXEthereum47.9747.4087-1.17%40.81-14.93%0.0100✓1.1732.3M2022-03-11
KCSKuCoinnative20.70520.4606-1.18%18.17-12.24%0.0649✗1.3410.4M2022-03-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.942.9038-1.23%1.75-40.48%0.3317✓1.28401k2022-03-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9110.7755-1.23%10.59-2.93%0.0792✗0.71660k2022-03-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.162.1304-1.37%1.307-39.49%0.3128✓1.281.2M2022-03-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.1617.8881-1.50%13.84-23.79%0.1603✓0.70919k2022-03-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.31850.313711-1.50%0.2585-18.84%0.0416✓1.11518k2022-03-11
QNTQuantEthereum150.18147.8964-1.52%113.22-24.61%0.1298✓1.007.6M2022-03-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.32180.316866-1.53%0.1962-39.03%0.2672✓1.554.0M2022-03-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.12370.121572-1.72%0.0787-36.38%0.2221✓1.551.5M2022-03-11
UMAUMAEthereum6.666.5408-1.79%7.075+6.23%0.2124✗0.981.9M2022-03-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.96791.9317-1.84%2.5749+30.85%0.3718✗0.622.8M2022-03-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.282.2371-1.88%1.64-28.07%0.1325✓1.302.2M2022-03-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.3223.816-2.07%17.37-28.58%0.1525✓1.1910.4M2022-03-11
XMRMoneroMonero185.83181.8134-2.16%170.68-8.15%0.0794✗1.041.5M2022-03-11
GITCOINGITCOIN9.3299.1035-2.42%5.556-40.44%0.4490✓0.3338k2022-03-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015090.014712-2.50%0.01151-23.72%0.0415✓1.491.7M2022-03-11
FIDABonfidaSolana3.2693.1865-2.52%1.662-49.16%0.5140✓1.0067k2022-03-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08670.084505-2.53%0.0661-23.76%0.0568✓1.38548k2022-03-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.02160.995359-2.57%0.7111-30.39%0.1934✓1.0413.5M2022-03-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38521.348-2.68%1.4867+7.33%0.3096✗1.55107k2022-03-11
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0396-2.84%0.93-13.08%0.0256✓1.00286k2022-03-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.825.063-2.86%17.81-30.97%0.1271✓1.57398k2022-03-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.845.6699-2.91%4.165-28.68%0.1414✓1.222.6M2022-03-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.76090.737894-3.02%0.4152-45.43%0.3653✓1.53938k2022-03-11
AAVEAaveEthereum188.2182.4931-3.03%116.61-38.04%0.2569✓1.399.5M2022-03-11
XTZTezosTezos4.44294.3082-3.03%2.9889-32.73%0.1860✓1.312.3M2022-03-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.86943.7503-3.08%2.0529-46.95%0.4820✓0.8828k2022-03-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.9429.9796-3.10%27.47-11.22%0.0645✗1.1196.8M2022-03-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.319.0177-3.14%5.57-40.17%0.4342✓0.351.6M2022-03-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2638.0024-3.15%4.594-44.40%0.4166✓1.01460k2022-03-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7963.6737-3.22%2.869-24.42%0.1276✓0.87536k2022-03-11
MOVRMoonriverBase107.0699103.5851-3.25%48.7591-54.46%0.5591✓1.42320k2022-03-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,293.9825,425.67-3.30%18,538.11-29.50%0.1865✓0.9411.3M2022-03-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.043.9058-3.32%4.776+18.22%0.2459✗0.331.5M2022-03-11
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34153.2261-3.45%2.3033-31.07%0.2043✓0.972.8M2022-03-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60170.580876-3.46%0.5009-16.75%0.0017✓1.071.2M2022-03-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.56650.546135-3.59%0.3152-44.36%0.3039✓1.7940.2M2022-03-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0492-3.74%0.59-45.87%0.3102✓1.941.1M2022-03-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.53.3683-3.76%1.97-43.71%0.3461✓1.3920.5M2022-03-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.058190.055966-3.82%0.040059-31.16%0.1708✓1.198.8M2022-03-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.431.3742-3.90%0.959-32.94%0.1753✓1.35523k2022-03-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.282.1757-4.57%1.157-49.25%0.4429✓1.383.1M2022-03-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.80526.4922-4.60%5.8362-14.24%0.0663✓0.29407k2022-03-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.121.976-4.87%16.01-30.69%0.1593✓1.1526.1M2022-03-11
STXStacksnative1.721.6344-4.98%1.36-20.93%0.0469✓1.001.2M2022-03-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0170070.016145-5.07%0.011862-30.25%0.1473✓1.181.6M2022-03-11
SUSHISushiEthereum4.764.4725-6.04%2.89-39.29%0.2497✓1.378.0M2022-03-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03370.031545-6.39%0.02301-31.72%0.1100✓1.50490k2022-03-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.119316-6.78%0.111-13.28%0.0647✓1.0072k2022-03-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0860.079145-7.97%0.0576-33.02%0.0884✓1.6727.8M2022-03-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.82020.723743-11.76%0.3924-52.16%0.3608✓1.841.8M2022-03-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037470.032725-12.66%0.01489-60.26%0.6122✓1.28114k2022-03-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046990.039209-16.56%0.04078-13.22%0.1762✓1.004.9M2022-03-11
PROPropyEthereum2.461.9473-20.84%1.51-38.62%0.1174✓1.001.4M2022-03-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.3511.069-20.87%0.7156-47.03%0.2644✓1.001.9M2022-03-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.9084.4619-24.48%2.42-59.04%0.4749✓1.001.0M2022-03-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.